The team ranking and match performance analysis in World Cup

Year 2024, Volume: 02 Issue: 01, 47 - 61, 29.06.2024

Akif Karataş , Tuğbay İnan

Abstract

In recent years, studies on the evaluation of performance by using match performance data in football can be frequently encountered. It can also be seen that most studies have used a one-dimensional approach and expressed opinions about the effects of the match performance variables on the match. In this study, it was aimed to determine the performance indicators affecting the match result in the 2018 World Cup over factor analysis, using a retrospective method and to re-rankinking the tournament with these variables. In the study, we used 16 different in-match performance data for a total of 64 matches of 32 teams in the 2018 World Cup. According to the findings, it was seen that when the variables of successful pass percentages, the number of shots and the number of shots on target increased, team success increased accordingly, and also the contribution of the team in defense also increased the success rate. On the other hand, it was also seen that as the offside and turnover increased, the success of the team decreased. In this case, the success of the teams indicates that the offensive and defensive patterns of a team should be well balanced. As a result of the study, it is thought that when teams with close offensive and defensive performance ratios, which are presented as the first factors, are among the top 4, the in-match performance data contributes to the team ranking.

Keywords

world cup, factor analysis, football, soccer

Dünya Kupası'nda takım sıralaması ve maç performansı analizi

Abstract

Son yıllarda futbolda maç performansı verileri kullanılarak performansın değerlendirilmesine yönelik çalışmalara sıklıkla rastlanmaktadır. Ayrıca çoğu çalışmada tek boyutlu bir yaklaşımın kullanıldığı ve maç performansı değişkenlerinin maç üzerindeki etkilerine ilişkin görüşlerin dile getirildiği görülmektedir. Bu çalışmada, 2018 Dünya Kupası'nda maç sonucunu etkileyen performans göstergelerinin faktör analizi yoluyla retrospektif yöntem kullanılarak belirlenmesi ve turnuvanın bu değişkenlere göre yeniden sıralanması amaçlandı. Çalışmada 2018 Dünya Kupası'nda 32 takımın toplam 64 maçına ait 16 farklı maç içi performans verisi kullanıldı. Elde edilen bulgulara göre başarılı pas yüzdesi, şut sayısı ve kaleyi bulan şut sayısı değişkenleri arttıkça takım başarısının da buna bağlı olarak arttığı, ayrıca takımın savunmaya katkısının da başarı oranını arttırdığı görülmüştür. Öte yandan ofsayt ve top kaybı arttıkça takımın başarısının düştüğü de görüldü. Bu durumda takımların başarısı, takımın hücum ve savunma yapısının iyi dengelenmesi gerektiğini gösteriyor. Çalışma sonucunda ilk faktör olarak sunulan hücum ve savunma performans oranları birbirine yakın olan takımların ilk 4'e girmesi durumunda maç içi performans verilerinin takım sıralamasına katkı sağlayacağı düşünülmektedir.

Keywords

Dünya kupası, futbol, faktör analizi, takım sıralaması

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