Evaluation of Effective Parameters in Disaster Risk Reduction Plans with Multi Criteria Decision Making Method: An Analysis on Selected Country Samples

Year 2023, Volume: 9 Issue: 1, 1 - 22, 25.12.2023

Şenay Yıldırım , Burcu Ertaş Deniz

Abstract

The occurrence of natural and man-made disasters in the world is increasing day by day. In addition to causing physical, economic, social and environmental losses, these disasters stop or disrupt normal life and human activities. Disaster risk reduction is defined as analyzing and managing the factors that cause disasters with systematic efforts. Disaster risk reduction studies have an important place in increasing the resilience of individuals, society, cities and sectors against disasters. Countries have a national plan that will provide roadmap for them to be resilience to disaster risks is a critical in terms of the applicability of risk reduction studies and their contribution to sustainable development process. For this reason, every country should have strategic plans that determine priorities in order to ensure that measures are taken and implemented to eliminate or minimize risks. National strategic plans designed to provide optimum benefit with limited resources according to the determined priorities bring success in disaster risk reduction. In disaster risk reduction studies, there are multi-perspective approaches, including deterministic and statistical methods, in evaluations that determine the success of countries in this field and reveal the state of the country. Multi-criteria decision making method rather than statistical methods; in cases where there are more than one criteria in the decision-making process, it provides an approach to decision-makers to solve problems. Multi-criteria decision making method which is one of the statistical methods; in cases where there are more than one criteria in the decision-making process, it provides an approach to decision makers to solve problems.

In disaster risk reduction plans each country has its own characteristics. These features make countries different from one another. Seven key parameters, such as Risk Identification (B1), Risk Reduction (B2), Response and Recovery (B3), Economic Disaster Risk Management (B4), Disaster Preparedness (B5), Governance (B6) and Compliance of Policies and Plans (B7), were selected as the main criteria. 36 important components of the main criteria have been selected as sub-criteria. Then, these effective parameters have then been weighted using one of the methods of the multi-criteria decision-making process called the "Analytical Hierarchy Process. As a result of weighting, the importance degrees of the parameters were determined as B2, B1, B3, B4, B5, B6 and B7, respectively.

Within the scope of the study high risk of disasters in Japan, Turkey, the Philippines and New Zealand country samples were selected. The disaster management systems of these countries and their disaster risk reduction plans have been examined in detail. The country's performance rankings were made for these four country after an assessment of the existence of the main criteria and sub-criteria weighted with the "AHP" methodology by the country's experts. At the end of the analysis, Japan was determined as the country with the best DRR plan and implementation, while our country was ranked 2nd, New Zealand ranked 3rd and Philippines ranked 4th. As a result, this study will provide a resource that will contribute to theoretical knowledge systems on disaster risk reduction. As well as, it is also aimed to examine the results of the applications in the country plans by assessing the order of importance of the effective criteria that will bring countries successful in reducing the risk of disasters.

Keywords

Disaster, Disaster Risk Reduction, Disaster Risk Reduction Plan, Analytical Hierarchy Process

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