The Global Economic Hibernation: Macroeconomic Indicators and Health Management Policies

Abstract

Considering its dire effects on different sectors, the coronavirus is far more than a health problem. The pandemic has hit the global economy starting with the developed world and now spreading into emerging economies. It is a fact that developing countries are more disadvantageous in this process since not only their health conditions and health services are not so sophisticated as their developed counterparts, but also macroeconomic conditions are not strong enough to endure such a long-lasting socio-economic crisis. Those countries are poorer and it is hard for them to allocate sources to the health sector. Comparing with emerging economies, the developed world also has been suffering from the severe effects of the pandemic. Because of long-lasting lock-down and contractions in the global economy, all developed economies revealed negative economic growth rates for the proceeding years. The purpose of this article is not only to compare the macroeconomic effects of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on developed and developing countries but also to assist economy authorities, health care leaders, and their organizations in anticipating and preempting problems by providing alternative health management policies rather than reacting. Macroeconomic variables data that are released by the World Bank and IMF will be applied to make the comparisons.

Keywords

• COVID-19
• developed countries
• developing countries
• macroeconomic performance
• health management

Küresel Kış Uykusu: Makroekonomik Göstergeler ve Sağlık Yönetimi Politikaları

Abstract

Koronavirüs pandemisinin farklı sektörler üzerinde yarattığı korkunç etkiler göz önüne alındığında, salgının küresel bir sağlık sorunu olmanın çok ötesinde girift ve çok katmanlı sorunlar doğurduğunu ifade etmek yanlış olmayacaktır. Öncelikle gelişmiş ülkelerde başlayan pandemi, alınan tüm küresel tedbirlere rağmen hızla gelişmekte olan ülkelerde de yayılmaya başlamıştır. Olumsuz etkileri uzun yıllara yayılacağı belli olan bu salgınla mücadele konusunda gelişmekte olan ülkeler gerek sağlık hizmetleri arzı ve sağlık altyapısındaki yetersizlikler, gerekse yerel ekonomilerin makroekonomik koşullarındaki kırılganlıklar nedeniyle gelişmiş ülkelere göre oldukça dezavantajlı durumdadırlar. Bu ülkeler, kaynak yetersizliği nedeniyle, sağlık harcamalarındaki artışı karşılayacak ekstra fonlara da sahip değildir. Gelişmekte olan ülkelerdeki bu ağır durum yanında, gelişmiş ülkeler de pandemi sürecinde darbe almış ve peş peşe açıklanan negatif büyüme oranları ile vahim tablo daha da netleşmiştir. Pandeminin etkilerinin uzun yıllara yayılması beklendiğinden, negatif büyüme oranlarının daha birkaç yıl devam edeceği tahmin edilmektedir. Bu çerçevede bu çalışmada koronavirüs hastalığı 2019 (coronavirus disease 2019, COVID-19) pandemisinin makoekonomik etkileri gelişmiş ve gelişmekte olan ülkeler ayrımı ile analiz edilecek ve sağlık kurumları yöneticilerinin istifadesine sunmak üzere sağlık yönetimi politika önerileri getirilecektir. Ayrıca, derinlemesine bir litaratür incelemesi yanında, Dünya Bankası ve IMF gibi küresel kuruluşlar tarafından açıklanan verilerin mukayeseli olarak ele alınacağı çalışmada, pandeminin yerel ekonomiler üzerindeki olumsuz etkilerinin en aza indirilebilmesi doğrultusunda mevcut durum ve alternatif politika önerileri de sunulacaktır.

Keywords

• COVID-19
• gelişmiş ülkeler
• gelişmekte olan ülkeler
• makroekonomik performans
• sağlık yönetimi

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