MAKROEKONOMİK İSTİKRAR TÜRKİYE'DE ÇEVRESEL KAZANIMLAR YARATIYOR MU? EKONOMİK VE ÇEVRESEL FAKTÖRLER BAĞLAMINDA AMPİRİK BİR YAKLAŞIM

Year 2025, Volume: 15 Issue: 30, 1048 - 1077

Seyit Ordu

https://doi.org/10.53092/duiibfd.1711438

Abstract

Bu çalışma, 1990-2023 dönemi için yıllık verileri kullanarak Türkiye'nin ekonomik performansının çevresel sürdürülebilirlik üzerindeki etkisini değerlendirmeyi amaçlamaktadır. Çalışmanın temel motivasyonu, Türkiye için çoklu ekonomik dinamikler kullanılarak hesaplanan Makroekonomik İstikrar Endeksi'nin karbondioksit emisyonlarını nasıl şekillendirdiğidir. Metodoloji olarak, Peseran, Shin ve Smith (2001) tarafından geliştirilen ve değişkenler arasındaki ilişkiyi hem kısa hem de uzun dönemde görmemizi sağlayan ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag Bound Test) sınır testi kullanılmıştır. Analiz sonuçları tüm değişkenler arasında uzun dönemli bir eşbütünleşme ilişkisi olduğunu göstermektedir. Temel bulgular, Türkiye'deki makroekonomik istikrarın söz konusu dönemde karbondioksit emisyonlarını azalttığını ortaya koymaktadır. Analizlerden elde edilen bu temel bulgular, Türkiye'nin uzun vadeli ekonomik planlarının çevresel sürdürülebilirlik ilkeleriyle bütünleştiğini ve bu iki hedefin birbirini tamamlayıcı nitelikte olduğunu vurgulamaktadır.

Keywords

Çevresel Sürdürülebilirlik , ARDL Sınır Testi , EKC Hipotezi , Türkiye

DOES MACROECONOMIC STABILITY GENERATE ENVIRONMENTAL GAINS IN TURKIYE? AN EMPIRICAL APPROACH IN THE CONTEXT OF ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS

Abstract

This study aims to assess the impact of Türkiye's economic performance on environmental sustainability using annual data for the period 1990-2023. The main motivation of the study is how the Macroeconomic Stability Index for Türkiye, which of calculate using multiple economic dynamics, shapes carbon dioxide emissions. As a methodology, the ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag Bound Test) bounds test developed by Peseran, Shin and Smith (2001), which allows us to see the relationship between variables in both the short and long run, is used. The results of the analysis show that there is a long-run cointegration relationship between all variables. The main findings reveal that macroeconomic stability in Türkiye reduced carbon dioxide emissions in the period in question. These main findings from the analyses emphasise that Türkiye's long-term economic plans are integrated with the principles of environmental sustainability and that these two objectives are complementary to each other.

Keywords

Environmental Sustainability , ARDL Bounds Test , EKC Hypothesis , Türkiye

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