PID tabanlı optimize edici döngüsü için bir uygulama: Malatya kayısısının yıllık üretim regresyon modellerinin tahmini

Öz

Bu çalışmada daha önceki bir çalışmada önerilen PID tabanlı optimizer döngüsü için bir veri analizi uygulaması yapılmıştır. Bu uygulamada Malatya ilinin 1991-2020 yılları arasındaki yıllık toplam kayısı üretim verileri kullanılarak yıllık kayısı üretiminin tahmini için kuadratik ve kübik polinom regresyon modelleri elde edilmiştir. Ayrıca tahmin güvenirliğini artırmak için bu regresyon model tahminlerinin ortalaması hesaplanmıştır. . 2021-2025 yılları arasında PID tabanlı optimizer sistemi ile elde edilen regresyon modelleri kullanılarak yıllık kayısı üretim miktarı tahmin edilmiştir. Sonuçlar, Matlab eğri uydurma araç kutusu ile elde edilen sonuçlarla karşılaştırılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• PID tabanlı optimize edici
• doğrusal olmayan optimizasyon
• regresyon modeli

An application for the PID-based optimizer loop: Estimation of the annual production regression models of Malatya’s apricot

Abstract

In this study, a data analysis application for the PID-based optimizer loop, which was previously proposed in a former study, is carried out. In this application, quadratic and cubic polynomial regression models were obtained for the estimation of annual apricot production by using the yearly total apricot production data of Malatya between 1991 and 2020. In addition, an average of these regression model estimations was calculated to increase estimation reliability. Annual apricot production amount was estimated by using the regression models obtained with the PID-based optimizer system between 2021-2025. The results were compared with the results obtained with the Matlab curve fitting toolbox.

Keywords

• PID-based optimizer
• nonlinear optimization
• regression model

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