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Testing Explosive Bubble for Eurozone Exchange Rate in the COVID-19 Outbreak: Evidence from Recursive Right-Tailed Tests

Year 2020, Volume: 1 Issue: 1, 32 - 45, 31.12.2020

Abstract

This paper investigates the presence of explosive bubbles in financial markets using daily data (5-day weeks) of the closing rate of EUR/USD exchange in the COVID-19 outbreak, covering the period from December 2, 2019 to December 4, 2020. The bubble behavior in the closing rate of EUR/USD exchange is measured by two distinct right-tailed testing procedures. In this vein, the Supremum Augmented Dickey-Fuller (SADF) test developed by Phillips et al. (2011) and the Generalized Supremum Augmented Dickey-Fuller (GSADF) test developed by Phillips et al. (2015) are used to identify multiple bubble periods. The empirical findings imply that positive bubbles are a common feature of the closing rate of EUR/USD exchange in the COVID-19 outbreak. As a critical year, 2020 is identified to point out the importance of explosive bubble behavior, after which estimated statistics by two types of unit-root test procedures provide evidence of ongoing financial instability.

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There are 49 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Operation
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Onur Özdemir This is me 0000-0002-3804-0062

Publication Date December 31, 2020
Published in Issue Year 2020 Volume: 1 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Özdemir, O. (2020). Testing Explosive Bubble for Eurozone Exchange Rate in the COVID-19 Outbreak: Evidence from Recursive Right-Tailed Tests. Journal of Sustainable Economics and Management Studies, 1(1), 32-45.

Journal of Sustainable Economics and Management Studies (ECOMAN)
2718-1065 (Printed ISSN) & 2791-8084 (Electronic ISSN)
ecoman@gelisim.edu.tr