Year 2024,
Volume: 5 Issue: 1, 15 - 30, 18.11.2025
Oktay Sever
,
Kemal Erkişi
References
-
AKTAŞ, C., & YILMAZ, V. (2008). Türkiye’de ticari açıklık ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: Nedensellik analizi. Maliye Dergisi, 155, 21–35.
-
ALTUNÖZ, U. (2016). Türkiye’de finansal gelişme ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: 1990–2014 dönemi için nedensellik analizi. Çankırı Karatekin Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 6(1), 191–210.
-
AL-JUBOURI M. A. M., AL-AZZAWI O.N A. J., AL-JUBOURI M. I.M S.. Economic measurement of the impact of trade openness policy on Turkey's economic growth for the period (1990-2022). Int J Foreign Trade Int Bus 2024;6(2):100-109. DOI: 10.33545/26633140.2024.v6.i2b.120
-
AL-YOUSIF, Y. (2002). Financial development and economic growth: Another look at the evidence from developing countries. Review of Financial Economics, 11(2), 131–150.
-
AYDIN, C., & AKÇAY, S. (2007). Ticari açıklık ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: Türkiye için ampirik bir değerlendirme. Atatürk Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, 21(1), 1–14.
-
BARRO, R. J. (1991). Economic growth in a cross section of countries. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(2), 407–443. https://doi.org/10.2307/2937943
-
BREUSCH, T. (1978), “Testing for Autocorrelation in Dynamic Linear Models”, Australian Economic Papers, Vol. 17, pp. 334-355.
-
BREUSCH, T.S. AND GODFREY, L.G. (1978) Misspecification Tests and Their Uses in Econometrics. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 49, 241-260. https://doi.org/10.1016/0378-3758(95)00039-9
-
BREUSCH, T. S., & PAGAN, A. R. (1979). A Simple Test for Heteroscedasticity and Random Coefficient Variation. Econometrica, 47(5), 1287–1294. https://doi.org/10.2307/1911963
-
DEMETRIADES, P. O., & HUSSEIN, K. A. (1996). Does financial development cause economic growth? Time-series evidence from 16 countries. Journal of Development Economics, 51(2), 387–411.
-
DICKEY, D.A. and FULLER, W.A. (1979) Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 47, 427-431.
-
DICKEY, D.A. ve W.A. FULLER (1981), “Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root”, Econometrica, 49, 1057-72.
-
EDWARDS, S. (1998). Openness, productivity and growth: What do we really know? Economic Journal, 108(447), 383–398. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0297.00293
-
EMIRMAHMUTOGLU, F., & KÖSE, N., (2011). Testing for Granger causality in heterogeneous mixed panels. Economıc Modellıng, vol.28, no.3, 870-876.
-
ENGLE, R. F., & GRANGER, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251–276. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913236
-
ERDAL, M., & YELDAN, E. (2001). On the structural weaknesses of the Turkish economy. In A. M. ALTAY & M. ERDAL (Eds.), Türkiye in crisis (pp. 123–145). Turkish Economic Association.
-
FRANKEL, J. A., & ROMER, D. (1999). Does trade cause growth? American Economic Review, 89(3), 379–399. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.89.3.379
-
GODFREY, L. G. (1978). Testing for Higher Order Serial Correlation in Regression Equations when the Regressors Include Lagged Dependent Variables. Econometrica, 46(6), 1303–1310. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913830
-
JOHANSEN, S. (1988). Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2–3), 231–254.
-
JOHANSEN, S. VE JUSELIUS, K. (1990). Maksimum Likelihood Estimation andInference on Cointegration - With Applications to the Demand for Money. OxfordBulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52 (2), 169-210.
-
KAR, M., & PENTECOST, E. J. (2000). Financial development and economic growth in Türkiye: Further evidence on the causality issue. Economic Research Forum Working Paper, No. 200011.
-
KAR, M., NAZLIOĞLU, Ş., & AĞIR, H. (2011). Financial development and economic growth nexus in the MENA countries: Bootstrap panel Granger causality analysis. Economic Modelling, 28(1–2), 685–693.
-
KARACA, T., GÜNEY, N., & HOPOĞLU, S. (2022). Ticari Dışa Açıklık-Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırımlar-Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: BRICS-T Ülkeleri Örneği. Bingöl Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 6(1), 109-146. https://doi.org/10.33399/biibfad.937591
-
KING, R. G., & LEVINE, R. (1993). Finance and growth: Schumpeter might be right. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 108(3), 717–737. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118406
-
KIYOTAKI, N., & MOORE, J. (2005). Liquidity and asset prices. International Economic Review, 46(2), 317–349.
-
LEVINE, R. (2005). Finance and growth: Theory and evidence. In P. Aghion & S. Durlauf (Eds.), Handbook of Economic Growth (Vol. 1A, pp. 865–934). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1574-0684(05)01012-9
-
McKINNON, R. I. (1973). Money and capital in economic development. Brookings Institution.
-
PHILLIPS, P.C.B. AND PERRON, P. (1988) Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression. Biometrika, 75, 335-346. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/biomet/75.2.335
-
RODRIK, D. (1999). The new global economy and developing countries: Making openness work. Overseas Development Council.
-
RODRIK, D. (2000). Institutions for high-quality growth: What they are and how to acquire them. NBER Working Paper, No. 7540.
-
SACHS, J. D., & WARNER, A. M. (1995). Economic reform and the process of global integration. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1995(1), 1–118.
-
SHAW, E. S. (1973). Financial deepening in economic development. Oxford University Press.
-
SOLOW, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65–94. https://doi.org/10.2307/1884513
-
TUNCER, İ., & ERYİĞİT, K. Y. (2011). Ticari açıklık ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: Türkiye için yapısal kırılmalı sınır testi yaklaşımı. Ege Akademik Bakış, 11(4), 587–595.
-
YELDAN, E. (2001). Küreselleşme sürecinde Türkiye ekonomisi: Bölüşüm, birikim ve büyüme. İletişim Yayınları.
-
YENİPAZARLI, A., CAMBAZOĞLU, B., & BEGEÇ, E. (2022). Ticari Dışa Açıklık ve Ekonomik Büyüme Bağlantısı: BRICS Örneği. Pamukkale Journal of Eurasian Socioeconomic Studies, 9(1), 38-61. https://doi.org/10.34232/pjess.1094236
-
YILMAZ, A., & KOYUNCU, J. (2009). Finansal gelişme ve ekonomik büyüme: Türkiye ekonomisi üzerine bir uygulama. Anadolu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 9(2), 75–88.
Financial Deepening, Trade Openness and Economic Growth Relations: The Case of Türkiye
Year 2024,
Volume: 5 Issue: 1, 15 - 30, 18.11.2025
Oktay Sever
,
Kemal Erkişi
Abstract
This study examines the impact of financial depth and trade openness on economic growth in Türkiye over the period 1980–2018 through econometric analysis. Building upon Solow’s growth model, the analytical framework integrates financial deepening and trade openness as key explanatory variables. Annual data from the World Bank's World Development Indicators (WDI) are employed in the analysis. Prior to the long-run analysis, unit root and diagnostic tests are conducted to ensure the validity of model assumptions. In this direction, the Johansen cointegration test is applied to investigate long-run relationships among the variables. The empirical findings suggest that both financial depth and trade openness exert a positive and statistically significant influence on economic growth. These results imply that the development of the financial sector and the expansion of international trade have a supportive role in fostering economic growth. Therefore, increasing the diversity of financial instruments and improving trade efficiency are essential for achieving sustainable growth in Türkiye.
References
-
AKTAŞ, C., & YILMAZ, V. (2008). Türkiye’de ticari açıklık ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: Nedensellik analizi. Maliye Dergisi, 155, 21–35.
-
ALTUNÖZ, U. (2016). Türkiye’de finansal gelişme ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: 1990–2014 dönemi için nedensellik analizi. Çankırı Karatekin Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 6(1), 191–210.
-
AL-JUBOURI M. A. M., AL-AZZAWI O.N A. J., AL-JUBOURI M. I.M S.. Economic measurement of the impact of trade openness policy on Turkey's economic growth for the period (1990-2022). Int J Foreign Trade Int Bus 2024;6(2):100-109. DOI: 10.33545/26633140.2024.v6.i2b.120
-
AL-YOUSIF, Y. (2002). Financial development and economic growth: Another look at the evidence from developing countries. Review of Financial Economics, 11(2), 131–150.
-
AYDIN, C., & AKÇAY, S. (2007). Ticari açıklık ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: Türkiye için ampirik bir değerlendirme. Atatürk Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, 21(1), 1–14.
-
BARRO, R. J. (1991). Economic growth in a cross section of countries. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(2), 407–443. https://doi.org/10.2307/2937943
-
BREUSCH, T. (1978), “Testing for Autocorrelation in Dynamic Linear Models”, Australian Economic Papers, Vol. 17, pp. 334-355.
-
BREUSCH, T.S. AND GODFREY, L.G. (1978) Misspecification Tests and Their Uses in Econometrics. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 49, 241-260. https://doi.org/10.1016/0378-3758(95)00039-9
-
BREUSCH, T. S., & PAGAN, A. R. (1979). A Simple Test for Heteroscedasticity and Random Coefficient Variation. Econometrica, 47(5), 1287–1294. https://doi.org/10.2307/1911963
-
DEMETRIADES, P. O., & HUSSEIN, K. A. (1996). Does financial development cause economic growth? Time-series evidence from 16 countries. Journal of Development Economics, 51(2), 387–411.
-
DICKEY, D.A. and FULLER, W.A. (1979) Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 47, 427-431.
-
DICKEY, D.A. ve W.A. FULLER (1981), “Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root”, Econometrica, 49, 1057-72.
-
EDWARDS, S. (1998). Openness, productivity and growth: What do we really know? Economic Journal, 108(447), 383–398. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0297.00293
-
EMIRMAHMUTOGLU, F., & KÖSE, N., (2011). Testing for Granger causality in heterogeneous mixed panels. Economıc Modellıng, vol.28, no.3, 870-876.
-
ENGLE, R. F., & GRANGER, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251–276. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913236
-
ERDAL, M., & YELDAN, E. (2001). On the structural weaknesses of the Turkish economy. In A. M. ALTAY & M. ERDAL (Eds.), Türkiye in crisis (pp. 123–145). Turkish Economic Association.
-
FRANKEL, J. A., & ROMER, D. (1999). Does trade cause growth? American Economic Review, 89(3), 379–399. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.89.3.379
-
GODFREY, L. G. (1978). Testing for Higher Order Serial Correlation in Regression Equations when the Regressors Include Lagged Dependent Variables. Econometrica, 46(6), 1303–1310. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913830
-
JOHANSEN, S. (1988). Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2–3), 231–254.
-
JOHANSEN, S. VE JUSELIUS, K. (1990). Maksimum Likelihood Estimation andInference on Cointegration - With Applications to the Demand for Money. OxfordBulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52 (2), 169-210.
-
KAR, M., & PENTECOST, E. J. (2000). Financial development and economic growth in Türkiye: Further evidence on the causality issue. Economic Research Forum Working Paper, No. 200011.
-
KAR, M., NAZLIOĞLU, Ş., & AĞIR, H. (2011). Financial development and economic growth nexus in the MENA countries: Bootstrap panel Granger causality analysis. Economic Modelling, 28(1–2), 685–693.
-
KARACA, T., GÜNEY, N., & HOPOĞLU, S. (2022). Ticari Dışa Açıklık-Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırımlar-Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: BRICS-T Ülkeleri Örneği. Bingöl Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 6(1), 109-146. https://doi.org/10.33399/biibfad.937591
-
KING, R. G., & LEVINE, R. (1993). Finance and growth: Schumpeter might be right. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 108(3), 717–737. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118406
-
KIYOTAKI, N., & MOORE, J. (2005). Liquidity and asset prices. International Economic Review, 46(2), 317–349.
-
LEVINE, R. (2005). Finance and growth: Theory and evidence. In P. Aghion & S. Durlauf (Eds.), Handbook of Economic Growth (Vol. 1A, pp. 865–934). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1574-0684(05)01012-9
-
McKINNON, R. I. (1973). Money and capital in economic development. Brookings Institution.
-
PHILLIPS, P.C.B. AND PERRON, P. (1988) Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression. Biometrika, 75, 335-346. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/biomet/75.2.335
-
RODRIK, D. (1999). The new global economy and developing countries: Making openness work. Overseas Development Council.
-
RODRIK, D. (2000). Institutions for high-quality growth: What they are and how to acquire them. NBER Working Paper, No. 7540.
-
SACHS, J. D., & WARNER, A. M. (1995). Economic reform and the process of global integration. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1995(1), 1–118.
-
SHAW, E. S. (1973). Financial deepening in economic development. Oxford University Press.
-
SOLOW, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65–94. https://doi.org/10.2307/1884513
-
TUNCER, İ., & ERYİĞİT, K. Y. (2011). Ticari açıklık ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: Türkiye için yapısal kırılmalı sınır testi yaklaşımı. Ege Akademik Bakış, 11(4), 587–595.
-
YELDAN, E. (2001). Küreselleşme sürecinde Türkiye ekonomisi: Bölüşüm, birikim ve büyüme. İletişim Yayınları.
-
YENİPAZARLI, A., CAMBAZOĞLU, B., & BEGEÇ, E. (2022). Ticari Dışa Açıklık ve Ekonomik Büyüme Bağlantısı: BRICS Örneği. Pamukkale Journal of Eurasian Socioeconomic Studies, 9(1), 38-61. https://doi.org/10.34232/pjess.1094236
-
YILMAZ, A., & KOYUNCU, J. (2009). Finansal gelişme ve ekonomik büyüme: Türkiye ekonomisi üzerine bir uygulama. Anadolu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 9(2), 75–88.