Çatışma Sonrası İyileşme için Ekonomi Politikaları: Afrika Örneği

Abstract

Araştırmamızda çatışma sonrası ekonomik canlanmada ekonomi politikalarının rolü incelenmiştir. Çalışmanın ana hedefleri ise yeni çatışma riskini azaltmada askeri harcamaların rolünü belirlemek ve yerli yatırım, dış yardım ve doğrudan yabancı yatırımların ekonomik iyileşmeye katkısını incelemektir. Yurtiçi yatırım, dış yardım, doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar ve askeri harcamaların, ülkelerin ekonomik büyümesi üzerinde uzun süreli etkisinin olduğu savunulmaktadır. Kısa dönemde, askeri harcamaların reel GSYİH üzerinde herhangi bir etkisi bulunmamakla birlikte, ekonomik büyüme üzerinde belirgin bir pozitif etkisi bulunduğu görülmüştür. Bunun dışında yerli yatırım ekonomik büyümeyi ve toparlanmayı desteklemektedir. Bu çalışma, yerli yatırımın çatışma sonrası ülkelerdeki gerçek gayri safi milli hâsıla üzerinde olumlu bir etkisi olduğunu varsayarak, bu finansal akımların çatışma sonrası durumlarda reel gayri safi yurtiçi hâsıla artışını desteklemesi nedeniyle dış yardım ve doğrudan yabancı yatırımın ekonomik büyümeyi olumlu yönde etkilediğini savlamaktadır. Son olarak, artan askeri harcamaların, çatışma sonrası durumlarda yeni çatışma riskini azaltarak ekonomik büyümeyi teşvik ettiği savunulmaktadır. 

Keywords

• İyileşme
• Çatışma
• Ekonomik Politikalar
• Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırım
• Yurtiçi Yatırım

Economic Policies for Post-Conflict Recovery: Africa Sample

Abstract

The research tried to investigate the role of economic policies in post-conflict economic recovery. The main objectives of the study were to identify the role of military expenditure in reducing the risk of new conflict and examine the contribution of domestic investment, foreign aid and FDI to the economic recovery. Domestic investment, foreign aid, foreign direct investment and military expenditure have long run significant effect on economic growth of countries. In the short run military expenditure has no any effect on the real GDP but it has significant positive effect on economic growth. Also, domestic investment does not promote the economic growth and recovery. The study assumes that domestic investment has a positive effect on real gross domestic product in post-conflict countries. Also, it assumes that foreign aid and foreign direct investment have a positive effect on economic growth since these financial flows are expected to increase real gross domestic product in post-conflict situations. Finally, the study assumes that increasing military expenditure promotes economic growth by reducing the risk of new conflict in post-conflict situations.

Keywords

• Recovery
• Post-Conflict
• Economic Policies
• Foreign Direct Investment
• Domestic Investment

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