Quantitative Analysis of Burdur's Climatic Transformation

Year 2025, Volume: 9 Issue: 1, 58 - 69, 30.06.2025

Orhun Soydan

Abstract

This study offers a detailed analysis of climate change trends in Burdur, Turkey, spanning a century (1924–2024), using a comprehensive dataset that includes temperature (average, minimum, maximum), precipitation, humidity, and the number of rainy and sunny days. The aim is to evaluate long-term climatic shifts and assess the local manifestations of global climate change. The analysis reveals a consistent increase in average temperatures, supported by rising minimum and maximum values. This indicates a general warming trend in the region. While overall annual precipitation has remained relatively stable, significant irregularities have been observed — with alternating periods of intense rainfall and prolonged droughts. These fluctuations present growing risks to water management and agricultural sustainability. Changes in relative humidity and sunshine patterns were also noted. An increase in sunny days, alongside a decrease in rainy days, suggests a shift in seasonal dynamics and atmospheric moisture conditions, further evidencing a deviation from historical climatic norms. Although many trends were not statistically significant on a linear basis, the cumulative changes highlight Burdur’s climatic vulnerability. The study emphasizes that climate change in the region may not always follow a predictable pattern but can still have profound local consequences. These findings provide a scientific basis for regional planning and climate resilience strategies. They support the development of adaptive policies for agriculture, water resources, and urban planning. Moreover, this case study contributes to broader research on climate impacts in semi-arid and Mediterranean-influenced regions. In conclusion, the study underlines the importance of localized, long-term climate assessments for effective environmental management, offering crucial insight into how global climate change translates into specific regional transformations.

Keywords

Climate Change , Climate Resilience , Temperature Trends , Precipitation Patterns , Burdur

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