Solar Radiation Modeling with Adaptive Approach

Year 2019, Volume: 3 Issue: 2, 110 - 115, 10.10.2019

Emre Akarslan , Fatih Onur Hocaoglu

Abstract

The unsustainable formation of fossil fuels, increase the
interest on different resources and  this
leads to greater emphasis on clean resources. Solar energy is one of the
popular sources among the renewables. Electricity generation from PV panels
directly related to the solar radiation value measured on surface of the panel.
Modeling of solar radiation is important due to manage the integration of
different sources to the grid. In this study, previously developed Adaptive
Approach method is used for modeling the solar radiation values. This method
combines linear prediction filter method with an empiric approach. Linear
prediction filter used in this study utilize the current value of the solar
radiation to predict next hour’s solar radiation value while the empiric
model utilize from the current value of the solar radiation and the deviation
on extraterrestrial radiation. One year solar radiation data belong to Van
region is used in this study. The accuracies of the forecasting results are
compared and discussed.

Keywords

Solar radiation forecasting, Adaptive approach, Empiric model, Linear prediction filter

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