New firms and regional economic activity in Turkey
Year 2023,
Volume: 12 Issue: 1, 1 - 19, 26.01.2023
Yasin Enes Aksu
,
Burhan Can Karahasan
Abstract
New firms are important for local development as they create jobs and stimulate local demand. Meanwhile, firms’ location decisions are also affected by local demand and supply conditions. These potential links between firms’ location decisions and local economic conditions are theoretically discussed. However, strength of these channels over each other is less examined. We use monthly data (i.e., 2009-2021) to investigate the bi-directional relationships between new firms and regional economic activity in Turkey. Results from Panel VAR analyses confirm that new firms have strong effects on regional development which we measure by electricity consumption and employment. Moreover, our spatial extension shows that impact of new firms exceeds the administrative borders of regions. Contrariwise, the reverse case is less likely as economic activities’ impact on new firms is relatively weak. Our results validate that agglomeration of new firms have permanent positive effect on the level of economic activity in a region.
Supporting Institution
Tubitak
Thanks
Prior version of this paper is presented at the 21st Annual Meetings of the Turkish Regional Science Association (Bölge Bilimi Türk Milli Komitesi). Authors are grateful for the participants for valuable comments and suggestion. Some of the discussions and analyzes carried out in this paper are produced from the research project (Impact of new firm formation on innovation performance of Turkish regions: Evidence from micro and regional data) funded by the Scientific and Research Council of Turkey (TÜBİTAK, Grant no: 121K666). Authors are grateful to TÜBİTAK for the scientific support.
References
- Abrigo, M.R.M. & Love, I. (2016). Estimation of panel vector autoregression in Stata. The Stata Journal, 16(3), 778-804.
- Acs, Z. J. & Varga, A. (2005). Entrepreneurship, agglomeration and technological change. Small Business Economics, 24(3), 323-334.
- Acs, Z. J., Braunerhjelm, P., Audretsch, D. B. & Carlsson, B. (2009a). The knowledge spillover theory of entrepreneurship. Small Business Economics, 32(1), 15-30.
- Acs, Z. J., Lawrence, A. P. & Ryan, S. (2009b). Penetrating the Knowledge Filter in the ‘Rust Belt’ Economies. The Annals of Regional Science, 43(4), 989-1012.
- Arora, V. Lieskovsky, J. (2016). Electricity Use as an Indicator of U.S. Economic Activity, ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften, Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Kiel und Hamburg.
- Audretsch, D. B. (2007). Entrepreneurship capital and economic growth. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 23(1), 63-78.
- Baptista, R. & Preto, M. T. (2011). New firm formation and employment growth: regional and business dynamics. Small Business Economics, 36(4), 419-442.
- Blonz J. & Williams J. (2020). Electricity Demand as a High-Frequency Economic Indicator: A Case Study of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Hurricane Harvey. FEDS Notes 2020(2792).
- Braunerhjelm, P., Acs, Z. J., Audretsch, D. B. & Carlsson, B. (2010). The missing link: knowledge diffusion and entrepreneurship in endogenous growth. Small Business Economics, 34(2), 105-125.
- Cála, C. D., Arauzo-Carod, J. M. & Manjon-Antolin, M. (2015). The determinants of exit in a developing country: core and peripheral regions. The Annals of Regional Science, 54(3), 927-944.
- Cála, C. D., Manjon-Antolin, M. & Arauzo-Carod, J. M. (2016). Regional determinants of firm entry in a developing country. Papers in Regional Science, 95(2), 259-279.
- Cheng, S. & Li, H. (2011). Spatially varying relationships of new firm formation in the United States. Regional Studies, 45(6), 773-789.
- Davidsson, P., Lindmark, L. & Olofsson, C. (1994). New firm formation and regional development in Sweden. Regional Studies, 28(4), 395-410.
- Doğruel, F. & Doğruel, A. S. (2003). Turkiye’de bolgesel gelir farkliliklari ve buyume. In Kose, A. H, Senses, F and Yeldan, E. (Eds..) Iktisat Uzerine Yazilar I: Kuresel Duzen, Birikim, Devlet ve Siniflar, Korkut Boratav’a Armagan, 287–318.
- EMRA (2021), The Republic of Turkey Energy Market Regulatory Authority, Regional Electricity Consumption Database.
- Filiztekin, A. (2018 [1999]). Convergence Across Industries and Provinces in Turkey . Ekonomi-tek, 7(3), 1-32. Retrieved from https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/ekonomitek/issue/61731/922776.
- Fritsch, M. (1992). Regional Differences in New Firm Formation: Evidence from West. Regional Studies, 26(3), 233-241.
- Fritsch, M (1997). New Firms and Regional Employment Change. Small Business Economics, 9(5), 437-448.
- Fritsch, M. & Mueller, P. (2004). Effects of new business formation on regional development over time. Regional Studies, 38(8), 961-975.
- Fujita, M. & Thiss, J. F. (2002). Economics of Agglomeration. Cambridge University Press.
- Fujita, M., Krugman, P. & Venables, A. (1999). The spatial economy: Cities, regions, and international trade. MIT Press.
- Gaygısız, E. & Köksal, M. Y. (2003). Regional Variation in New Firm Formation in Turkey: Cross Section and Panel Data Evidence. Economic Research Center Working Paper 03/08.
- Ghani, E., Kerr, W. R. & O'Connell, S. (2014). Spatial Determinants of Entrepreneurship in India. Regional Studies, 48(6), 1071-1089.
- Guesnier, B. (1994). Regional Variation in New Firm Formation in France. Regional Studies, 28(4), 347-358.
- Günalp, B. & Cilasun, S. M. (2006). Determinants of Entry in Turkish Manufacturing Industries. Small Business Economics, 27(2-3), 275-287.
- Hoover, E. M. (1948). Location of Economic Activity. New York: McGraw-Hill Book Company Inc.
- Isard, W. (1954). Location theory and trade theory: short-run analysis. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 305-320.
- Kangasharju, A. (2000). Regional variation in firm formation: panel and cross-section data evidence from Finland. Papers in Regional Science, 79(4), 355-373.
- Karahasan, B. C. (2015). Dynamics of regional new firm formation in Turkey. Review of Urban & Regional Development Studies, 27(1), 18-39.
- Karahasan, B. C. (2018). Spatial varying relationship between financial development and new firm formation: Evidence from a developing country. Panoeconomicus, 65(5), 633-675.
- Karahasan, B. C. (2020). Winners and losers of rapid growth in Turkey: Analysis of the spatial variability of convergence. Papers in Regional Science, 99(3):603–644.
- Karahasan, B. C (2022). Impact of new firm formation on innovation performance of Turkish regions: Evidence from micro and regional data, research project funded by the Scientific and Research Council of Turkey (Grant no: 121K666).
- Kaya, S. & Üçdoğruk, Y. (2002). The Dynamics of Entry and Exit in Turkish Manufacturing Industry. Economic Research Center Working Paper 02/02.
- Konstantinos, D. & Karkalakos, S. (2015). Entrepreneurship, growth and unemployment: A panel VAR approach. MPRA Paper No. 74660.
- Koster, S. & Karlsson, C. (2009). New Firm Formation and Economic Development in a Globalizing Economy. Working Paper Series in Economics and Institutions of Innovation 167, Royal Institute of Technology, CESIS - Centre of Excellence for Science and Innovation Studies.
- Koster, S. & Van Stel, A. (2014). The relationship between start‐ups, market mobility and employment growth: An empirical analysis for Dutch regions. Papers in Regional Science, 93(1), 203-217.
- Krugman, P. (1991). Geography and Trade. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
- Lee, S. Y., Florida, R. & Acs, Z. J. (2004). Creativity and entrepreneurship: a regional analysis of new firm formation. Regional Studies, 38(8), 879-891.
- Mata, J. & Portugal, P. (1994). Life duration of new firms. The Journal of Industrial Economics, 42(3), 227–245.
- Mueller, P., Van Stel, A. & Storey, D. J. (2008). The effects of new firm formation on regional development over time: The case of Great Britain. Small Business Economics, 30(1), 59-71.
- Pellegrino, G., Piva, M. & Vivarelli, M. (2012). Young firms and innovation: A microeconometric analysis. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 23(4), 329-340.
- Prusa, T. J. & Schmitz Jr., J. A. (1991). Are new firms an important source of innovation?: Evidence from the PC software industry. Economics Letters, 35(3), 339-342.
- Rey, S. J. & Janikas, M. V. (2005). Regional convergence, inequality, and space. Journal of Economic Geography, 5(2), 155-176.
- Reynolds, P. (1994). Autonomous firm dynamics and economic growth in the United States, 1986-1990. Regional Studies, 28(4), 429-442.
- Romer, P. M. (1990). Endogenous technological change. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5, Part 2), S71-S102.
- Segarra, A. & Teruel, M. (2014). High-growth firms and innovation: an empirical analysis for Spanish firms. Small Business Economics, 43(4), 805-821.
- Skopelitis, D. (2017). Does entrepreneurship and its motives have an impact on economic and employment growth? A Panel VAR analysis on EU-15 countries. Master Thesis in Lund University.
- SSI (2020), Social Security Institute, Regional Employment Database
- Sutaria, V. & Hicks, D. A. (2004). New firm formation: dynamics and determinants. The Annals of Regional Science, 38(2), 241-262.
- TUCCET (2020), The Union of Chambers and Commodity Exchanges of Turkey, Provincial Firm Formation Database.
- Van Stel, A. & Storey, D. (2004). The link between firm births and job creation: Is there a Upas tree effect? Regional Studies, 38(8), 893-909.
- Van Stel, A. & Suddle K. (2008). The impact of new firm formation on regional development in the Netherlands. Small Business Economics, 30(1):31–47.
- Wong, P. K., Ho, Y. P. & Autio, E. (2005). Entrepreneurship, innovation and economic growth: evidence from GEM data. Small Business Economics, 24(3), 335–350.
Türkiye’de yeni firmalar ve bölgesel iktisadi aktivite
Year 2023,
Volume: 12 Issue: 1, 1 - 19, 26.01.2023
Yasin Enes Aksu
,
Burhan Can Karahasan
Abstract
Yeni firmaların oluşumu yerel kalkınmanın anahtarı olarak görülmektedir. Literatürdeki çoğu çalışma, yeni firmaların istihdam yaratarak işgücü piyasalarını doğrudan etkilediğini vurgulamaktadır. Diğer taraftan, firmaların yer seçim kararları da yerel talep ve arz koşullarından etkilenmektedir. Firmaların yer seçimi kararları ile yerel ekonomik koşullar arasındaki potansiyel çift yönlü bağlantılar teorik olarak tartışılsa da mevcut veri kısıtları dolayısıyla ampirik olarak literatürde fazla yer bulamamıştır. Bu çalışmada, Türkiye'de yeni firmaların bölgesel dağılımı ve bölgesel ekonomik faaliyetler arasındaki çift yönlü ilişkileri araştırmak için aylık verileri (2009-2021) kullanılmaktadır. Panel VAR analizlerinden elde ettiğimiz sonuçlar, yeni firmaların bölgesel elektrik tüketimi ve istihdam ile ölçtüğümüz bölgesel kalkınma üzerinde kalıcı etkileri olduğunu doğrulamaktadır. Ayrıca, mekânsal analiz çerçevesinde yeni firmaların etkisinin bölgelerin idari sınırlarını aşabileceğini gösterilmektedir. Diğer taraftan, bölgesel ekonomik aktivitenin firma oluşumu üzerindeki etkisi görece sınırlıdır. Sonuçlar bir bölgede yeni firmaların kümelenmesinin bölgesel iktisadi aktivite üzerinde kalıcı pozitif etkiler yarattığını göstermektedir.
References
- Abrigo, M.R.M. & Love, I. (2016). Estimation of panel vector autoregression in Stata. The Stata Journal, 16(3), 778-804.
- Acs, Z. J. & Varga, A. (2005). Entrepreneurship, agglomeration and technological change. Small Business Economics, 24(3), 323-334.
- Acs, Z. J., Braunerhjelm, P., Audretsch, D. B. & Carlsson, B. (2009a). The knowledge spillover theory of entrepreneurship. Small Business Economics, 32(1), 15-30.
- Acs, Z. J., Lawrence, A. P. & Ryan, S. (2009b). Penetrating the Knowledge Filter in the ‘Rust Belt’ Economies. The Annals of Regional Science, 43(4), 989-1012.
- Arora, V. Lieskovsky, J. (2016). Electricity Use as an Indicator of U.S. Economic Activity, ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften, Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Kiel und Hamburg.
- Audretsch, D. B. (2007). Entrepreneurship capital and economic growth. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 23(1), 63-78.
- Baptista, R. & Preto, M. T. (2011). New firm formation and employment growth: regional and business dynamics. Small Business Economics, 36(4), 419-442.
- Blonz J. & Williams J. (2020). Electricity Demand as a High-Frequency Economic Indicator: A Case Study of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Hurricane Harvey. FEDS Notes 2020(2792).
- Braunerhjelm, P., Acs, Z. J., Audretsch, D. B. & Carlsson, B. (2010). The missing link: knowledge diffusion and entrepreneurship in endogenous growth. Small Business Economics, 34(2), 105-125.
- Cála, C. D., Arauzo-Carod, J. M. & Manjon-Antolin, M. (2015). The determinants of exit in a developing country: core and peripheral regions. The Annals of Regional Science, 54(3), 927-944.
- Cála, C. D., Manjon-Antolin, M. & Arauzo-Carod, J. M. (2016). Regional determinants of firm entry in a developing country. Papers in Regional Science, 95(2), 259-279.
- Cheng, S. & Li, H. (2011). Spatially varying relationships of new firm formation in the United States. Regional Studies, 45(6), 773-789.
- Davidsson, P., Lindmark, L. & Olofsson, C. (1994). New firm formation and regional development in Sweden. Regional Studies, 28(4), 395-410.
- Doğruel, F. & Doğruel, A. S. (2003). Turkiye’de bolgesel gelir farkliliklari ve buyume. In Kose, A. H, Senses, F and Yeldan, E. (Eds..) Iktisat Uzerine Yazilar I: Kuresel Duzen, Birikim, Devlet ve Siniflar, Korkut Boratav’a Armagan, 287–318.
- EMRA (2021), The Republic of Turkey Energy Market Regulatory Authority, Regional Electricity Consumption Database.
- Filiztekin, A. (2018 [1999]). Convergence Across Industries and Provinces in Turkey . Ekonomi-tek, 7(3), 1-32. Retrieved from https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/ekonomitek/issue/61731/922776.
- Fritsch, M. (1992). Regional Differences in New Firm Formation: Evidence from West. Regional Studies, 26(3), 233-241.
- Fritsch, M (1997). New Firms and Regional Employment Change. Small Business Economics, 9(5), 437-448.
- Fritsch, M. & Mueller, P. (2004). Effects of new business formation on regional development over time. Regional Studies, 38(8), 961-975.
- Fujita, M. & Thiss, J. F. (2002). Economics of Agglomeration. Cambridge University Press.
- Fujita, M., Krugman, P. & Venables, A. (1999). The spatial economy: Cities, regions, and international trade. MIT Press.
- Gaygısız, E. & Köksal, M. Y. (2003). Regional Variation in New Firm Formation in Turkey: Cross Section and Panel Data Evidence. Economic Research Center Working Paper 03/08.
- Ghani, E., Kerr, W. R. & O'Connell, S. (2014). Spatial Determinants of Entrepreneurship in India. Regional Studies, 48(6), 1071-1089.
- Guesnier, B. (1994). Regional Variation in New Firm Formation in France. Regional Studies, 28(4), 347-358.
- Günalp, B. & Cilasun, S. M. (2006). Determinants of Entry in Turkish Manufacturing Industries. Small Business Economics, 27(2-3), 275-287.
- Hoover, E. M. (1948). Location of Economic Activity. New York: McGraw-Hill Book Company Inc.
- Isard, W. (1954). Location theory and trade theory: short-run analysis. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 305-320.
- Kangasharju, A. (2000). Regional variation in firm formation: panel and cross-section data evidence from Finland. Papers in Regional Science, 79(4), 355-373.
- Karahasan, B. C. (2015). Dynamics of regional new firm formation in Turkey. Review of Urban & Regional Development Studies, 27(1), 18-39.
- Karahasan, B. C. (2018). Spatial varying relationship between financial development and new firm formation: Evidence from a developing country. Panoeconomicus, 65(5), 633-675.
- Karahasan, B. C. (2020). Winners and losers of rapid growth in Turkey: Analysis of the spatial variability of convergence. Papers in Regional Science, 99(3):603–644.
- Karahasan, B. C (2022). Impact of new firm formation on innovation performance of Turkish regions: Evidence from micro and regional data, research project funded by the Scientific and Research Council of Turkey (Grant no: 121K666).
- Kaya, S. & Üçdoğruk, Y. (2002). The Dynamics of Entry and Exit in Turkish Manufacturing Industry. Economic Research Center Working Paper 02/02.
- Konstantinos, D. & Karkalakos, S. (2015). Entrepreneurship, growth and unemployment: A panel VAR approach. MPRA Paper No. 74660.
- Koster, S. & Karlsson, C. (2009). New Firm Formation and Economic Development in a Globalizing Economy. Working Paper Series in Economics and Institutions of Innovation 167, Royal Institute of Technology, CESIS - Centre of Excellence for Science and Innovation Studies.
- Koster, S. & Van Stel, A. (2014). The relationship between start‐ups, market mobility and employment growth: An empirical analysis for Dutch regions. Papers in Regional Science, 93(1), 203-217.
- Krugman, P. (1991). Geography and Trade. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
- Lee, S. Y., Florida, R. & Acs, Z. J. (2004). Creativity and entrepreneurship: a regional analysis of new firm formation. Regional Studies, 38(8), 879-891.
- Mata, J. & Portugal, P. (1994). Life duration of new firms. The Journal of Industrial Economics, 42(3), 227–245.
- Mueller, P., Van Stel, A. & Storey, D. J. (2008). The effects of new firm formation on regional development over time: The case of Great Britain. Small Business Economics, 30(1), 59-71.
- Pellegrino, G., Piva, M. & Vivarelli, M. (2012). Young firms and innovation: A microeconometric analysis. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 23(4), 329-340.
- Prusa, T. J. & Schmitz Jr., J. A. (1991). Are new firms an important source of innovation?: Evidence from the PC software industry. Economics Letters, 35(3), 339-342.
- Rey, S. J. & Janikas, M. V. (2005). Regional convergence, inequality, and space. Journal of Economic Geography, 5(2), 155-176.
- Reynolds, P. (1994). Autonomous firm dynamics and economic growth in the United States, 1986-1990. Regional Studies, 28(4), 429-442.
- Romer, P. M. (1990). Endogenous technological change. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5, Part 2), S71-S102.
- Segarra, A. & Teruel, M. (2014). High-growth firms and innovation: an empirical analysis for Spanish firms. Small Business Economics, 43(4), 805-821.
- Skopelitis, D. (2017). Does entrepreneurship and its motives have an impact on economic and employment growth? A Panel VAR analysis on EU-15 countries. Master Thesis in Lund University.
- SSI (2020), Social Security Institute, Regional Employment Database
- Sutaria, V. & Hicks, D. A. (2004). New firm formation: dynamics and determinants. The Annals of Regional Science, 38(2), 241-262.
- TUCCET (2020), The Union of Chambers and Commodity Exchanges of Turkey, Provincial Firm Formation Database.
- Van Stel, A. & Storey, D. (2004). The link between firm births and job creation: Is there a Upas tree effect? Regional Studies, 38(8), 893-909.
- Van Stel, A. & Suddle K. (2008). The impact of new firm formation on regional development in the Netherlands. Small Business Economics, 30(1):31–47.
- Wong, P. K., Ho, Y. P. & Autio, E. (2005). Entrepreneurship, innovation and economic growth: evidence from GEM data. Small Business Economics, 24(3), 335–350.