Hanehalkı işgücü anketi resmi olmayan kullanım kılavuzu, Türkiye

Year 2023, Volume: 12 Issue: 2, 35 - 76, 02.11.2023

İnsan Tunalı

Abstract

Hanehalkı İşgücü Anketinin (HİA) evriminin bir özetini veren bu makale aynı zamanda mikro veri kullanıcıları için bir kılavuz kaynak olmayı hedeflemektedir. HİA kurumsal olmayan nüfus üzerinden işgücü analizleri yapmak için tasarlanmış adrese dayalı bir örnek çerçevesine sahiptir. Makalede örnek çerçevesindeki ve soru kağıdındaki ana değişiklikler gözden geçirilmekte, bunların ampirik çalışmalar üzerindeki etkileri irdelenmekte ve kurumsal olmayan nüfusun hedeflenmesinden kaynaklanan zorluklar vurgulanmaktadır. Veriler 2000 yılından başlayarak dönen bir örnek çerçevesi kullanılarak toplanmaktadır. Tasarım aynı adrese en fazla dört ziyaret hedeflemekte ve kısa paneller yaratmaktadır. Bu kurgu bir yandan kayıpranma sorununa yol açarken, diğer yandan ekonomik politikaların seçiminde yol gösterecek dinamik araştırmalara zemin hazırlamaktadır. Ne var ki TÜİK'in veri paylaşım politikası HİA'nın kısa panel içeriğine erişime izin vermemekte, eziyetli ve masraflı saha çalışmalarından elde edilen zengin verilerin değerlendirilmesi kesit boyutuyla sınırlı kalmaktadır.

Keywords

hanehalkı anketi, kurumsal olmayan nüfus, dönen örnek çerçevesi, kısa panel, cevapsızlık, kayıpranma, tersine kayıpranma, göz ardı edilememe, seçimlilik, ağırlıklandırma

Unofficial User’s Guide to the Household Labor Force Survey, Turkey

Abstract

This paper offers a summary of the evolution of the Household Labor Force Survey (HLFS) and is intended to serve as an informed guide to users of micro-data drawn from it. HLFS has an address-based sample frame suitable for studying the non-institutional population. Major revisions to the sampling frame and the survey instrument are discussed and their implications for empirical work are addressed. Challenges ushered in by the choice of the non-institutional population as the target are underscored. Since 2000 the data-collection effort has been based on a rotating sample frame which involves up to four visits to the same address. This ushers in attrition problems, but it also produces short panels that offer additional opportunities for research on labor market dynamics that can inform and guide economic policies. The short panel components of the HLFS are currently beyond the reach of micro-data users because of TurkStat’s data dissemination policy.

Keywords

household survey, non-institutional population, rotating sample frame, short panel, non-response, attrition, reverse attrition, non-ignorability, selectivity, weighting

Thanks

This article draws on information gathered from numerous TurkStat publications, consultations with experts in TurkStat and colleagues, and most importantly on research assistance of many students. I am grateful to all – the list is long, and my memory is liable to fail me. Semih Tümen gave me rapid feedback on an earlier draft that helped me to sharpen my arguments, and Aysıt Tansel and Seyfettin Gürsel offered many helpful suggestions. Esra Öztürk provided crucial assistance while assembling my paper. I am indebted to Meltem Dayıoğlu for an extremely careful reading of the pre-submisson draft and the long discussion that followed, which helped me to fix some incorrect and/or misleading arguments. Careful readers might note that I re-used some graphs from earlier public presentation occasions. Finally, I would like to thank the Editor for encouraging me to share the lessons from my long acquaintance with the HLFS. I am responsible for any remaining factual and judgement errors.

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