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Makroekonomik Belirsizliklerin Maliyet Yapışkanlığına Etkisi: BIST İmalat Sektöründe Bir Uygulama

Year 2026, Volume: 11 Issue: 1 , 1 - 20 , 31.03.2026
https://doi.org/10.30784/epfad.1661957
https://izlik.org/JA45CU37HZ

Abstract

Makroekonomik belirsizliklerin maliyet yapışkanlığı üzerindeki etkisini tespit etmeyi amaçlayan bu çalışmada, Borsa İstanbul'da işlem gören 113 imalat şirketinin 2007-2022 dönemine ait yıllık verileri panel veri regresyon analizine tabi tutulmuştur. Çalışmada, “Anderson, Banker ve Janakiraman” (ABJ) yöntemine göre çeşitli maliyet unsurlarında maliyet yapışkanlığını belirlemek için altı farklı model kurulmuştur. Daha sonra, bu maliyet unsurlarındaki yapışkanlık düzeyini etkileyen makroekonomik belirsizlikleri belirlemek için genişletilmiş ABJ yöntemine göre de altı farklı model kurulmuştur. Analiz sonuçları, maliyet yapışkanlığı teorisinin çalışan sayısı hariç tüm maliyet unsurları için geçerli olduğunu göstermektedir. Ancak, maliyet yapışkanlığı karşıtı teori çalışan sayısı için geçerlidir. Analiz edilen maliyet unsurlarında makroekonomik belirsizliklerin, şirkete özgü faktörlerin ve makroekonomik faktörlerin maliyet yapışkanlığı düzeyini farklı yönlerde ve farklı düzeylerde etkilediği sonucuna varılabilir.

References

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  • Banker, R.D., Byzalov, D. Ciftci, M., and Mashruwala, R. (2014). The moderating effect of prior sales changes on asymmetric cost behavior. Journal of Management Accounting Research, 26(2), 221-242. https://doi.org/10.2308/jmar-50726
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  • Çelik, M. and Kök, D. (2013). The validity of cost stickiness in Turkey: A panel data analysis in Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE). Business and Economics Research Journal, 4(4), 37–48. Retrieved from http://www.berjournal.com/
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  • Günay, F. (2019). Cost stickiness behaviour and the effect on stock return: An international comparison on tourism sub-sectors (Unpublished doctoral dissertation). Mersin University, Mersin, Türkiye.
  • Hacıhasanoğlu, T. and Dalkılıç, E. (2018). Testing the cost stickiness hypothesis in the context of BIST manufacturing sector. Hitit Journal of Social Sciences, 11(3), 1802–1808. https://doi.org/10.17218/hititsosbil.479221
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  • Hartlieb, S. and Loy, T.R. (2022). The impact of cost stickiness on financial reporting: Evidence from income smoothing. Accounting & Finance, 62(3), 3913–3950. https://doi.org/10.1111/acfi.12910
  • He, D., Teruya, J. and Shimizu, T. (2010). Sticky selling, general, and administrative cost behavior and its changes in Japan. Global Journal of Business Research, 4(4), 1–10. Retrieved from https://papers.ssrn.com
  • Ibrahim, A.E.A. and Ezat, A.N. (2017). Sticky cost behavior: Evidence from Egypt. Journal of Accounting in Emerging Economies, 7(1), 16–34. https://doi.org/10.1108/JAEE-06-2014-0027
  • Jiang, W., Yao, W. and Hu, Y. (2016). The enforcement of the minimum wage policy in China and firm cost stickiness. China Journal of Accounting Studies, 4(3), 339–355. https://doi.org/10.1080/21697213.2016.1218631
  • Jin, X. and Wu, H. (2021). Economic policy uncertainty and cost stickiness. Management Accounting Research, 52, 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mar.2021.100750
  • Kaçar, H. and Demirci, Ş.D. (2022). Testing cost stickiness by panel data analysis by BIST real estate investment trust sector. Yalova Journal of Social Sciences, 12(2), 76–98. Retrieved from https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/yalovasosbil
  • Karabayır, M.E. (2019). Revisiting cost stickiness: The case of Turkish manufacturing firms quoted on Istanbul Stock Exchange. Journal of Accounting and Taxation Studies, 12(2), 317–330. https://doi.org/10.29067/muvu.512534
  • Karadeniz, E. Günay, F., and Koşan, L. (2019). Analysis of cost stickiness in publicly traded lodging companies. Journal of Tourism Theory and Research, 5(2), 171–181. Retrieved from https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/jttr
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  • Lee, W.J. Pittman, J., and Saffar, W. (2020). Political uncertainty and cost stickiness: Evidence from national elections around the world. Contemporary Accounting Research, 37(2), 1107-1139. https://doi.org/10.1111/1911-3846.12547
  • Li, W. and Zheng, K. (2020). Rollover risk and managerial cost adjustment decisions. Accounting & Finance, 60(3), 2843–2878. https://doi.org/10.1111/acfi.12417
  • Li, Z. Cheng, X., Zhang, M., and Wen, X. (2020). Macroeconomic uncertainty and cost stickiness. Paper presented at the E3S Web of Conferences 214 2020 International Conference on Energy Big Data and Low-carbon Development Management (EBLDM 2020). Nanjing, China. https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202021401031
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The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainties on Cost Structure: An Application to the BIST Manufacturing Sector

Year 2026, Volume: 11 Issue: 1 , 1 - 20 , 31.03.2026
https://doi.org/10.30784/epfad.1661957
https://izlik.org/JA45CU37HZ

Abstract

In this study, which aims to ascertain the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on cost stickiness, the annual data from 113 manufacturing companies operating in Borsa Istanbul (BIST) for the period 2007-2022 were analyzed using panel data regression analysis. In the study, six different models were developed to determine cost stickiness in various cost elements according to the “Anderson, Banker and Janakiraman” (ABJ) method. Subsequently, six additional models were also developed according to the extended ABJ method to ascertain the macroeconomic uncertainties influencing the level of stickiness in these cost elements. The analysis results indicate that the cost stickiness theory is applicable for all cost elements except the number of employees. However, the anti-stickiness theory is valid for the number of employees. Consequently, it can be said that macroeconomic uncertainties, company-specific factors, and macroeconomic factors affect the level of cost stickiness in different directions and at different levels in the specific cost elements analyzed.

References

  • Abu-Serdaneh, J. (2014). The asymmetrical behavior of cost: Evidence from Jordan. International Business Research, 7(8), 113–122. https://doi.org/10.5539/ibr.v7n8p113
  • Ahir, H., Bloom, N. and Furceri, D. (2019). The world uncertainty index (NBER Working Paper Series No. 29763). Retrieved from https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w29763/w29763.pdf
  • Anderson, M.C., Banker, R.D. and Janakiraman, S.N. (2003). Are selling, general, and administrative costs “sticky”? Journal of Accounting Research, 41(1), 47–63. https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-679X.00095
  • Argilés-Bosch, J.M., García-Blandón, J., Ravenda, D., Valencia-Silva, M.M. and Somoza, A.D. (2017). The influence of the trade-off between profitability and future increases in sales on cost stickiness. Estudios De Economía, 44(1), 81–104. Retrieved from https://estudiosdeeconomia.uchile.cl/
  • Baltagi, B.H. (2005). Econometric analysis of panel data (3rd ed.). New York: John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
  • Baltagi, B.H. (2013). Econometric analysis of panel data. (5th ed.). New York: John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
  • Banker, R.D., Byzalov, D. and Chen, L.T. (2013). Employment protection legislation, adjustment costs and cross-country differences in cost behavior. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 55(1), 111-127. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2012.08.003
  • Banker, R.D., Byzalov, D. Ciftci, M., and Mashruwala, R. (2014). The moderating effect of prior sales changes on asymmetric cost behavior. Journal of Management Accounting Research, 26(2), 221-242. https://doi.org/10.2308/jmar-50726
  • Baumgarten, D. (2012). The cost stickiness phenomenon: Causes, characteristics, and implications for fundamental analysis and financial analysts' forecasts. Cologne: Springer Gabler.
  • Bengü, H. and Fidancan, C. (2020). An application on testing the cost stickness of manufacturing companies in BIST chemistry and metal main industry sectors. Academic Review of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 13(2), 331–342. https://doi.org/10.25287/ohuiibf.685931
  • Bu, D., Wen, C. and Banker, R.D. (2015). Implications of asymmetric cost behaviour for analysing financial reports of companies in China. China Journal of Accounting Studies, 3(3), 181–208. https://doi.org/10.1080/21697213.2015.1062343
  • Calleja, K., Steliaros, M. and Thomas, D.C. (2006). A note on cost stickiness: Some international comparisons. Management Accounting Research, 17(2), 127–140. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mar.2006.02.001
  • Cannon, J. (2014). Determinants of "sticky costs": An analysis of cost behavior using United States air transportation industry data. The Accounting Review, 89(5), 1645-1672. https://doi.org/10.2308/accr-50806
  • Chen, C.X., Lu, H. and Sougiannis, T. (2012). The agency problem, corporate governance, and the asymmetrical behavior of selling, general, and administrative costs. Contemporary Accounting Research, 29(1), 252–282. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1911-3846.2011.01094.x
  • Chen, J.V., Kama, I. and Lehavy, R. (2019). A contextual analysis of the impact of managerial expectations on asymmetric cost behavior. Review of Accounting Studies, 24, 665-693. doi:10.1007/s11142-019-09491-2
  • Çelik, M. and Kök, D. (2013). The validity of cost stickiness in Turkey: A panel data analysis in Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE). Business and Economics Research Journal, 4(4), 37–48. Retrieved from http://www.berjournal.com/
  • Dalla Via, N. and Perego, P. (2014). Sticky cost behaviour: Evidence from small and medium sized companies. Accounting & Finance, 54(3), 753–778. https://doi.org/10.1111/acfi.12020
  • Elden Ürgüp, S. (2022). Testing the cost stickiness theory: The case of BIST chemical pharmaceuticals petroleum rubber and plastic products industry. Journal of Research in Economics Politics and Finance, 7(2), 442–456. https://doi.org/10.30784/epfad.1098349
  • Erdoğan, M., Demirgubuz, M.Ö., Erdoğan, E.O. and Ömürbek, V. (2019). The analysis of sticky cost adhesives by sectors in Istanbul Stock Exchange with panel data analysis. Süleyman Demirel University Visionary Journal, 10(24), 264-274. https://doi.org/10.21076/vizyoner.529402
  • Finnet Financial Analysis Program. (2022). Company-specific data [Dataset]. Retrieved from www.finnet.com.tr
  • Garrison, R.H. (1988). Managerial accounting: Concepts for planning, control, decision making. Boston: BPI Irwin.
  • Guenther, T.W., Riehl, A. and Rößler, R. (2014). Cost stickiness: State of the art of research and implications. Journal of Management Control, 24, 301-318. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00187-013-0176-0
  • Gujarati, D.N. (2004). Basic econometrics (4th ed.). New York: McGraw-HiII/lrwin.
  • Gujarati, D.N. and Porter, D.C. (2010). Essentials of econometrics (4th ed.). McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
  • Günay, F. (2019). Cost stickiness behaviour and the effect on stock return: An international comparison on tourism sub-sectors (Unpublished doctoral dissertation). Mersin University, Mersin, Türkiye.
  • Hacıhasanoğlu, T. and Dalkılıç, E. (2018). Testing the cost stickiness hypothesis in the context of BIST manufacturing sector. Hitit Journal of Social Sciences, 11(3), 1802–1808. https://doi.org/10.17218/hititsosbil.479221
  • Haddow, A., Hare, C., Hooley, J. and Shakir, T. (2013). Macroeconomic uncertainty: What is it, how can we measure it and why does it matter? Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Q2, 53(2), 100–109. Retrieved from https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/news/publications
  • Hansen, D.R., Mowen, M.M. and Guan, L. (2009). Cost management: Accounting & control (6th ed.). Mason: South-Western Cengage Learning.
  • Hartlieb, S. and Loy, T.R. (2022). The impact of cost stickiness on financial reporting: Evidence from income smoothing. Accounting & Finance, 62(3), 3913–3950. https://doi.org/10.1111/acfi.12910
  • He, D., Teruya, J. and Shimizu, T. (2010). Sticky selling, general, and administrative cost behavior and its changes in Japan. Global Journal of Business Research, 4(4), 1–10. Retrieved from https://papers.ssrn.com
  • Ibrahim, A.E.A. and Ezat, A.N. (2017). Sticky cost behavior: Evidence from Egypt. Journal of Accounting in Emerging Economies, 7(1), 16–34. https://doi.org/10.1108/JAEE-06-2014-0027
  • Jiang, W., Yao, W. and Hu, Y. (2016). The enforcement of the minimum wage policy in China and firm cost stickiness. China Journal of Accounting Studies, 4(3), 339–355. https://doi.org/10.1080/21697213.2016.1218631
  • Jin, X. and Wu, H. (2021). Economic policy uncertainty and cost stickiness. Management Accounting Research, 52, 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mar.2021.100750
  • Kaçar, H. and Demirci, Ş.D. (2022). Testing cost stickiness by panel data analysis by BIST real estate investment trust sector. Yalova Journal of Social Sciences, 12(2), 76–98. Retrieved from https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/yalovasosbil
  • Karabayır, M.E. (2019). Revisiting cost stickiness: The case of Turkish manufacturing firms quoted on Istanbul Stock Exchange. Journal of Accounting and Taxation Studies, 12(2), 317–330. https://doi.org/10.29067/muvu.512534
  • Karadeniz, E. Günay, F., and Koşan, L. (2019). Analysis of cost stickiness in publicly traded lodging companies. Journal of Tourism Theory and Research, 5(2), 171–181. Retrieved from https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/jttr
  • Kayalı, C.A. and Terim, B. (2009). Determinants of capital structure: Manufacturing industry case in Turkey. Manisa Celal Bayar University Journal of Social Science, 7(1), 125–154. Retrieved from https://www.ajindex.com/home
  • Kim, J.B. and Wang, K. (2014). Labor unemployment risk and sticky cost behavior. Paper presented at the 2014 Canadian Academic Accounting Association (CAAA) Annual Conference. Edmonton, Canada. Retrieved from https://ssrn.com/abstract=2378538
  • Kiracı, M. (2009). An analysis of the relationship between inventory management and profitability through financial ratios: A research on ISE manufacturing industries. METU Studies in Development, 36(1), 161–195. Retrieved from https://open.metu.edu.tr/
  • Knight, F.H. (1921). Risk, uncertainty and profit. Boston and New York: Houghton Mifflin Company.
  • Lee, W.J. Pittman, J., and Saffar, W. (2020). Political uncertainty and cost stickiness: Evidence from national elections around the world. Contemporary Accounting Research, 37(2), 1107-1139. https://doi.org/10.1111/1911-3846.12547
  • Li, W. and Zheng, K. (2020). Rollover risk and managerial cost adjustment decisions. Accounting & Finance, 60(3), 2843–2878. https://doi.org/10.1111/acfi.12417
  • Li, Z. Cheng, X., Zhang, M., and Wen, X. (2020). Macroeconomic uncertainty and cost stickiness. Paper presented at the E3S Web of Conferences 214 2020 International Conference on Energy Big Data and Low-carbon Development Management (EBLDM 2020). Nanjing, China. https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202021401031
  • Macit, D. (2022). A theoretical and conceptual perspective on macroeconomic uncertainty in the framework of coronomic crisis. Journal of Emerging Economies and Policy, 7(1), 16-31. Retrieved from https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/joeep
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There are 63 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Finance, Financial Econometrics, Financial Forecast and Modelling
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Emre Horasan 0000-0002-2575-789X

Emel Kılıçbey 0009-0006-3046-8554

Submission Date March 20, 2025
Acceptance Date March 7, 2026
Publication Date March 31, 2026
DOI https://doi.org/10.30784/epfad.1661957
IZ https://izlik.org/JA45CU37HZ
Published in Issue Year 2026 Volume: 11 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Horasan, E., & Kılıçbey, E. (2026). The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainties on Cost Structure: An Application to the BIST Manufacturing Sector. Ekonomi Politika Ve Finans Araştırmaları Dergisi, 11(1), 1-20. https://doi.org/10.30784/epfad.1661957