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İklim Değişikliğinin Elektrik Sektörünün Finansal Performansı Üzerindeki Etkileri: Türkiye Örneği

Year 2025, Volume: 10 Issue: 1, 92 - 106, 28.03.2025
https://doi.org/10.30784/epfad.1588558

Abstract

Dünya, iklim değişikliğinin etkisiyle giderek daha sık ve şiddetli ekstrem hava olaylarıyla karşı karşıya kalmaktadır. Sera gazı emisyonlarının ciddi şekilde azaltılmaması ve küresel sıcaklıkların yakında kontrol altına alınmaması durumunda varoluşsal bir tehdit oluşturacağı konusunda güçlü bir bilimsel fikir birliği vardır. Bu bağlamda, sera gazı emisyonlarına yol açmadan enerji üretebilen alternatif enerji teknolojileri hayati önem kazanmıştır. Türkiye’nin ekonomik istikrarı ve enerji güvenliğinin temel bir unsuru olan elektrik enerjisi sektörü, iklim değişikliğine uyum sağlamada büyük bir rol oynamaktadır. Bu çalışma, 2008-2022 döneminde Türkiye'deki halka açık elektrik enerjisi firmalarına odaklanarak iklim değişikliğinin bu firmaların finansal performansını nasıl etkilediğini panel veri metodolojisi ile incelemektedir. Ampirik bulgular, iklim değişikliğinin finansal sonuçlar üzerinde anlamlı ve olumlu bir etkiye sahip olduğunu, iklim baskılarına uyum sağlamanın sektör için finansal olarak fayda sağlayabileceğini göstermektedir. Sonuç olarak, elektrik enerjisi sektörünün iklimle ilgili stratejileri kurumsal gündemlerine dahil etmesi gereklidir. Ancak, teknolojik yenilikler geniş çaplı bir kamu eylemi olmadan yeterli olmayacaktır; bu noktada yerel ve ulusal hükümetlerin uluslararası kuruluşlar ve diğer ülkelerle iş birliği içinde çalışması önemlidir.

References

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The Impact of Climate Change on Financial Performance of the Electricity Industry: The Case of Türkiye

Year 2025, Volume: 10 Issue: 1, 92 - 106, 28.03.2025
https://doi.org/10.30784/epfad.1588558

Abstract

The world is encountering increasingly frequent and intense extreme weather events, driven by climate change. There is a strong scientific consensus that warns of an existential threat if greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are not dramatically reduced and global temperatures kept under control soon. In this context, alternative energy technologies have become essential, as they can generate energy without adding to GHG emissions. Türkiye’s electricity energy industry, as a core component of the country’s economic stability and energy security, plays a major role in adapting to climate change. This study specifically focuses on listed electricity energy firms in Türkiye over the period from 2008 to 2022, investigating how climate change impacts their financial performance using panel data methodology. The empirical findings show that climate change has a significant and positive influence on financial outcomes, suggesting that adapting to climate pressures can benefit the industry financially. As a result, it is essential for the electricity power industry to incorporate climate-related strategies into their corporate agendas. However, technological innovations will mean little without large-scale public action, where local and national governments work together with international organizations and nations.

References

  • Baltagi, B.H. and Li, Q. (1990). A Lagrange multiplier test for the error components model with incomplete panels. Econometric Reviews, 9(1), 103–107. https://doi.org/10.1080/07474939008800180
  • Baltagi, B.H. and Wu, P.X. (1999). Unequally spaced panel data regressions with AR(1) disturbances. Econometric Theory, 15, 814–823. Retrieved from http://www.jstor.org/
  • Bhargava, A., Franzni, L. and Narendranathan, W. (1982). Serial correlation and fixed effect models. The Review of Economic Studies, 49, 533–549. Retrieved from http://www.jstor.org/
  • Brealey, R.A., Myers, S.C. and Marcus, A.J. (2001). İşletme finansının temelleri (Çev. Ü. Bozkurt, T. Arıkan, H. Doğukanlı). İstanbul: Literatür Yayınları.
  • Breusch, T.S. and Pagan, A. (1980). The Lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239–253. Retrieved from http://www.jstor.org/
  • Brown, M.B. and Forsythe, A.B. (1974). The small sample behavior of some statistics which test the equality of several means. Technometrics, 16, 126–132. Retrieved from http://www.jstor.org/
  • Burck, J., Uhlich, T., Bals, C., Höhne, N., Nascimento, L., Tavares, M. and Strietzel, E. (2022). Climate change performance index (CCPI Results 2022). Retrieved from https://ccpi.org/download/climate-change-performance-index-2022/
  • Campiglio, E., Dafermos, Y., Monnin, P., Ryan-Collins, J., Schotten, G. and Tanaka, M. (2018). Climate change challenges for central banks and financial regulators. Nature Climate Change, 8(6), 462–468. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0175-0
  • Chen, X. and Yang, L. (2019). Temperature and industrial output: Firm-level evidence from China. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 95, 257–274. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2017.07.009
  • Chung, K.H. and Pruitt, S.W. (1994). A Simple approximation of Tobin’s Q. Financial Management, 23(3), 70–74. Retrieved from http://www.jstor.org/
  • Cook, R.D. and Weisberg, S. (1983). Diagnostics for heteroscedasticity in regression. Biometrica, 70, 1–10. Retrieved from http://www.jstor.org/
  • Dang, H-A. H., Nguyen, M.C. and Trinh, T.A. (2023). Does hotter temperature increase poverty and inequality? Global evidence from subnational data analysis (World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 10466). Retrieved from https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/099448406012312484/pdf/IDU0380ce1ed060ac047cf096bd0b9dff98cdd84.pdf
  • DCube Döngüsel Ekonomi Kooperatifi. (2020). İşletmeler için döngüsel ekonomi rehberi. Retrieved from https://www.business4goals.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/%C4%B0sletmeler-icin-Dongusel-Ekonomi-Rehberi.pdf
  • Dhaliwal, D.S., Li, O.Z., Tsang, A. and Yang, Y.G. (2011). Voluntary nonfinancial disclosure and the cost of equity capital: The initiation of corporate social responsibility reporting. The Accounting Review, 86, 59–100. https://doi.org/10.2308/accr.00000005
  • Durmuşkaya, S. (2016). Hava sıcaklıkları ile borsa gıda ve içecek endeksleri arasındaki ilişki: BİST gıda ve içecek endeksi uygulaması. Journal of Accounting, Finance and Auditing Studies, 2(2), 224–238. Retrieved from https://www.proquest.com/
  • Eicker, F. (1967). Limit theorems for regressions with unequal and dependent errors. In L. Le Cam and J. Neyman (Eds.), Proceedings of the fifth Berkeley Symposium on mathematical statistics and probability (pp. 59–82). California: University of California Press.
  • Ellen MacArthur Foundation. (2016). Delivering the circular economy - a toolkit for policymakers. Retrieved from https://ellenmacarthurfoundation.org/a-toolkit-for-policymakers
  • Eyüboğlu, S. and Eyüboğlu, K. (2018). Hava kirliliği Borsa İstanbul’u etkiler mi? Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 36(3), 71–87. https://doi.org/10.17065/huniibf.331942
  • Fan, J.-L., Hu, J.-W. and Zhang, X. (2019). Impacts of climate change on electricity demand in China: An empirical estimation based on panel data. Energy, 170, 880–888. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.12.044
  • Gençyürek, A.G. and Ekinci, R. (2021). Spillover between clean energy sector , crude oil and technology sector. Journal of Research in Economics Politics and Finance, 6(1), 60-81. https://doi.org/10.30784/epfad.798974
  • Güngör, S. and Küçün, N.T. (2019). BIST100 endeksinde işlem hacmi ve işlem miktarında hava durumu anomalisi. Atatürk Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 23(4), 1459–1469. Retrieved from https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/ataunisosbil/
  • He, W., Cheng, Y., Zhang, H., Guo, F. and Yu, H. (2021). The microeconomic effects of temperature changes. Journal of Cleaner Production, 326, 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.129389
  • Heyes, A., Neidell, M. and Saberian, S. (2016). The effect of air pollution on investor behavior: Evidence from the S&P 500 (NBER Working Paper No. 22753). Retrieved from https://www.nber.org/papers/w22753
  • Hong, H., Li, F.W. and Xu, J. (2019). Climate risks and market efficiency. Journal of Econometrics, 208, 265–281. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2018.09.015
  • Huang, G. and Song, F.M. (2006). The determinants of capital structure: Evidence from China. China Economic Review, 17(1), 14–36. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2005.02.007
  • Huber, P.J. (1967). The behavior of maximum likelihood estimates under non standart conditions. In L. Le Cam and J. Neyman (Eds.), Proceedings of the fifth Berkeley Symposium in mathematical statistics and probability (pp. 221–233). California: University of California Press.
  • International Monetary Fund. (2023). World economic outlook database [Dataset]. Retrieved from https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/SPROLLS/world-economic-outlook-databases#sort=%40imfdate%20descending
  • IPCC. (2023). Climate change 2023 synthesis report. Retrieved from https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_SYR_Full Volume.pdf
  • James, G., Witten, D., Hastie, T. and Tibshirani, R. (2103). An introduction to statistical learning with applications in R. New York: Springer.
  • Levene, H. (1960). Robust tests for equality of variances. In Olkin I., Ghurye G., Hoeffding W., Madow W.G. and Mann H.B. (Eds.), Contributions to probability and statistics (pp. 278–292). California: Stanford University Press.
  • Li, S., Coit, D.W. and Felder, F. (2016). Stochastic optimization for electric power generation expansion planning with discrete climate change scenarios. Electric Power Systems Research, 140, 401–412. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2016.05.037
  • Lindenberg, E.B. and Ross, S.A. (1981). Tobin’s q ratio and industrial organization. Journal of Business, 54(1), 1–32. Retrieved from http://www.jstor.org/
  • Liu, Y., Li, N., Zhang, Z., Huang, C., Chen, X. and Wang, F. (2020). The central trend in crop yields under climate change in China: A systematic review. Science of the Total Environment, 704, 135355. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.135355
  • Lo, S-F. and Sheu, H-J. (2007). Is corporate sustainability a value-increasing strategy for business? Corporate Governance, 15(2), 345–358. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8683.2007.00565.x
  • Pagnottoni, P., Spelta, A., Flori, A. and Pammolli, F. (2022). Climate change and financial stability: Natural disaster impacts on global stock markets. Physica A, 599, 127514. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2022.127514
  • Perera, A.T.D., Nik, V.M., Chen, D., Scartezzini, J.-L. and Hong, T. (2020). Quantifying the impacts of climate change and extreme climate events on energy systems. Nature Energy, 5(2), 150–159. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-020-0558-0
  • Qing, L., Li, P., Dagestani, A., Woo, C. and Zhong, K. (2024). Does climate change exposure impact on corporate finance and energy performance? Unraveling the moderating role of CEOs’ green experience. Journal of Cleaner Production, 461, 142653. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.142653
  • Rabier, M.R. (2017). Value is in the eye of the beholder: the relative valuation roles of earnings and book value in merger pricing. The Accounting Review, 93(1), 335–362. https://doi.org/10.2308/accr-51785
  • Republic of Türkiye Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources. (2024). Electricity. Retrieved from https://enerji.gov.tr/bilgi-merkezi-enerji-elektrik
  • Roso, V.M., Schenkel, F.S., Miller, S.P. and Schaeffer, L.R. (2005). Estimation of genetic effects in the presence of multicollinearity in multibreed beef cattle evaluation. American Society of Animal Science, 83, 1788–1800. Retrieved from https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/
  • S&P Global. (2022). Weather warning: Assessing countries’ vulnerability to economic losses from physical climate risks. Retrieved from https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/research/pdf-articles/220427-economic-research-weather-warning-assessing-countries-vulnerability-to-economic-losses-from-physical-clim-101529900
  • Sami, H. and Zhou, H. (2004). A comparison of value relevance of accounting information in different segments of the Chinese stock market. The International Journal of Accounting, 39(4), 403–427. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intacc.2004.08.001
  • Sun, Y., Yang, Y., Huang, N. and Zou, X. (2020). The impacts of climate change risks on financial performance of mining industry: Evidence from listed companies in China. Resources Policy, 69, 101828. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2020.101828
  • Sun, Y., Zou, Y., Jiang, J. and Yang, Y. (2023). Climate change risks and financial performance of the electric power industry: Evidence from listed companies in China. Climate Risk Management, 39, 100474. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2022.100474
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There are 55 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Finance, Financial Markets and Institutions
Journal Section Makaleler
Authors

Çağdaş Gündüz 0000-0002-2068-4951

Publication Date March 28, 2025
Submission Date November 20, 2024
Acceptance Date January 16, 2025
Published in Issue Year 2025 Volume: 10 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Gündüz, Ç. (2025). The Impact of Climate Change on Financial Performance of the Electricity Industry: The Case of Türkiye. Ekonomi Politika Ve Finans Araştırmaları Dergisi, 10(1), 92-106. https://doi.org/10.30784/epfad.1588558