DÜNYA YEŞİL KAHVE İHRACATININ AĞ ANALİZİ YÖNTEMİYLE İNCELENMESİ

Year 2024, , 268 - 309, 29.03.2024

Fatih Boz , Halil Özekicioğlu , Hüseyin Topuz

https://doi.org/10.48070/erciyesakademi.1423914

Abstract

Yeşil kahve dünya dış ticaretinde önemli bir ekonomik değere sahiptir. Ürün Karmaşıklık Endeksi'ne göre 104. en çok işlem gören ve 1024. en karmaşık üründür. 2021 yılında dünyada yaklaşık 10 milyon ton yeşil kahve üretimi, 7,8 milyon ton yeşil kahve ihracatı ve 7,5 milyon ton yeşil kahve ithalatı yapılmıştır. Bu çalışmada belirlenmiş araştırma soruları çerçevesinde 1986, 1995, 2000, 2010, 2013, 2018, 2020, 2021, 2022 yılları ihracat değerleri kullanılıp ağ analizi yapılarak dünya yeşil kahve ihracatında öncü ülkelerin ağ görselleri çıkartılmış ve elde edilen istatistiki değerler yorumlanmıştır. Buna göre ilk dönemlerde ticari bağlantı kuramayan ülkelerin sonraki dönemlerde bağlantı kurmaya başladıkları, ağların yoğunluklarının olumlu ekonomik dönemlerde giderek arttığı, özellikle salgın dönemi 2020 ve 2022 Rusya-Ukrayna savaşı dönemi gibi olumsuz ekonomik gelişmelerin olduğu yıllarda ise ağların yoğunluklarının azaldığı görülmüştür. Ayrıca dönemlere göre istatistiki değerlerde ve çekirdek ve çevre ülkelerde önemli değişimler tespit edilmiştir.

Keywords

Yeşil kahve, Üretim ve dış ticaret, Sosyal ağ analizi

INVESTIGATION OF WORLD GREEN COFFEE EXPORT USING NETWORK ANALYSIS

Abstract

Green coffee has an important economic value in world foreign trade. It is the 104th most traded and 1024th most complex product according to the Product Complexity Index. In 2021, approximately 10 million tons of green coffee was produced, 7.8 million tons of green coffee was exported and 7.5 million tons of green coffee was imported in the world. In this study, within the framework of the research questions determined, the export values of 1986, 1995, 2000, 2010, 2013, 2018, 2020, 2021, 2022 were used and network analysis was performed, network visuals of the leading countries in world green coffee exports were extracted and the obtained statistical values were interpreted. Accordingly, it has been observed that countries that could not establish commercial connections in the early periods began to establish connections in later periods, the density of the networks gradually increased in positive economic periods, and the density of the networks decreased in years of negative economic developments, especially during the epidemic period, 2020 and the 2022 Russia-Ukraine war period. In addition, significant changes were detected in statistical values and in core and peripheral countries according to periods.

Keywords

Green coffee, Production and foreign trade, Social network analysis

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