ASSESSMENT AND MODELING OF THE SOCIAL EFFECTS OF SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED ENTERPRISES

Year 2026, Volume: 8 Issue: 1, 54 - 78, 30.01.2026

Assem Kaliyeva Galiya Dauliyeva Gulmira Andabayeva Gulzhakan Mynzhanova

https://izlik.org/JA24FJ59AW

Abstract

The article examines the social effects of the development of small and medium- sized enterprises (SMEs) in Kazakhstan, where prior research has mainly concentrated on macroeconomic factors while neglecting social outcomes. The study aims to quantitatively assess the impact of the SME sector on key social indicators, such as household income, poverty rates, and reliance on targeted social assistance and to identify regional variations in these effects. It uses panel data from 15 regions of Kazakhstan spanning 2005–2023 (285 observations) and employs panel regression models with fixed and random effects. The findings show that an increase in the share of SMEs in the regional economy has a statistically significant positive impact on household income, while also helping to reduce poverty and the number of social assistance recipients. Nevertheless, growth in the number of SME entities or jobs within the sector alone does not ensure improved well-being, emphasizing the importance of productivity and job quality. These results underscore the role of SMEs as a key driver of inclusive economic growth and social resilience.

Keywords

Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) , Household income , Poverty , Targeted social assistance , Regional development , Panel data.

Ethical Statement

This study did not require approval from an ethics committee as it did not involve human participants, animals, or sensitive personal data. All data used in this research were obtained from publicly available sources.

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