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Hibrit Savaş, Bir Savaş Aracı Olarak Göç Silahı ve Rusya Uygulaması

Year 2022, Volume: 2 Issue: 2, 238 - 257, 31.12.2022

Abstract

Dünyanın durmaksızın devam eden değişim ve dönüşümüne paralel olarak savaş kavramı da dönüşüme uğramış; günümüzdeki savaş ve çatışma yöntemleri “hibrit” bir yapıya bürünmüştür. Bu çerçevede, hedef öznenin zayıf yönlerine göre özel olarak yapılandırılmış, geleneksel ve geleneksel olmayan yöntemleri bir arada içeren hibrit savaş ve stratejilerin kullanımı günden güne artmıştır. Hibrit çatışma ortamında başvurulan en etkili araçlardan birisi de insan göçünün ve özellikle toplu göçlerin, belli amaçlara ulaşmak için kasten kullanılmasıdır. Böyle bir kullanım, literatürde “göçün silah olarak kullanılması” veya kısaca “göçün silahlaştırılması” olarak ifade edilmektedir. Bu çalışmanın öncelikli amacı, günümüzün hibrit çatışma ortamında göçün silah olarak kullanılmasının ne anlam ifade ettiği ve bunun ne şekillerde mümkün olabileceği konusunda okuyucunun aydınlatılmasıdır. Çalışmanın ikinci bölümünde ise göçü silah olarak kullanma konusundaki ustalığıyla diğer uluslararası aktörlerden ayrışan Rusya’nın uygulamalarına yakından bakılmış ve en çok başvurduğu göç silahları tespit edilmeye çalışılmıştır. Böylelikle bugüne kadar üzerinde fazlaca çalışılmamış olan göçün silahlaştırılması konusunda literatüre katkı sağlanmasının yanı sıra Rusya’nın, bugüne kadar yürüttüğü savaş ve operasyonlar dahilinde başvurduğu göç silahlarına ilişkin olarak, okuyucuya daha derinlikli bir bakış açısı kazandırılması hedeflenmiştir.

References

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  • Greenhill, K. M. (2010). Weapons of Mass Migration: Forced Displacement, Coercion, and Foreign Policy. Ithaca, New York: Cornell University Press.
  • Greenhill, K. M. (2016). Migration as a Weapon in Theory and Practice. Military Review, 96 (6), 23-36.
  • Hoffman, F. G. (2007). Conflict in the 21st Century: The Rise of Hybrid Wars. Arlington, Virginia: Potomac Institute for Policy Studies.
  • How many Ukrainian refugees are there and where have they gone? (2022). BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-60555472.amp Erişim Tarihi: 03.12.2022
  • How Migration Became a Weapon in a ‘Hybrid War’. (2021). Financial Times. https://www.ft.com/content/83ece7e4-cc71-45b5-8db7-766066215612 Erişim Tarihi: 03.12.2022
  • Jacobsen, K. (1996). Factors Influencing the Policy Responses of Host Governments to Mass Refugee Influxes. International Migration Review, 30 (3), 655-678. doi:10.2307/2547631.
  • Josan, A. & Voicu (Covaci), C. (2015). Hybrid Wars in the Age of Asymmetric Conflicts. Review of the Air Force Academy, 1 (28), 49-52. https://www.afahc.ro/ro/revista/2015_1/49.pdf.
  • Kittrie, O. F. (2016). Lawfare: Law as a Weapon of War. New York: Oxford University Press.
  • Liang, Q. & Xiangsui, W. (2002). Unrestricted Warfare. Panama: Pan American Publishing Company.
  • Loh, M. (2022). Putin is offering fast-tracked Russian citizenship to all Ukrainians, a tactic that critics call ‘passportization’. Insider. https://www.businessinsider.com/putin-opens-fast-track-russian-citizenship-to-ukrainians-2022-7 Erişim Tarihi: 02.12.2022
  • Lovatt, H. & Toaldo, M. (2015). EU Differentiation and Israeli Settlements. European Council of Foreign Relations Policy Brief, 1-12.
  • Łubiński, P. (2021). Hybrid Warfare or Hybrid Threat – The Weaponization of Migration as an Example of the Use of Lawfare – Case Study of Poland. Polish Political Science Yearbook, 51, 43-55.
  • Mahajan, K. (2022). Russia’s hybrid warfare strategy: From Crimea to Ukraine, Observer Research Foundation (ORF) Forum. https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/russias-hybrid-warfare-strategy/
  • Martin, C. (2019). What are the Limits on Lawfare? Opinio Juris. http://opiniojuris.org/2019/05/05/what-are-the-limits-on-lawfare/
  • Monaghan, S. (2021). Countering Hybrid Warfare: So What for the Future Joint Force? PRISM: The Journal of Complex Operations, 8 (2), 82-98. https://ndupress.ndu.edu/Portals/68/Documents/prism/prism_8-2/PRISM_8-2_Monaghan.pdf
  • Nurdoğan, A. K., Dur, A. İ. B. & Öztürk, M. (2017). Türkiye’nin Mülteci Sorunu ve Suriye Krizinin Mülteci Sorununa Etkileri. İş ve Hayat, 2 (4), 217-238. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/299579.
  • Official Site of the President of Russia and the Presidential Executive Office. (2022). Address by the President of the Russian Federation. http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/67843 Erişim Tarihi: 03.12.022.
  • Özer, Y. (2018). Savaşın Değişen Karakteri: Teori ve Uygulamada Hibrit Savaş. Güvenlik Bilimleri Dergisi, 7 (1), 29-56. DOI:10.28956/gbd.422724.
  • Özkan, Y. (2018). Hollanda diaspora vergisi alan Eritre’nin temsilcisini sınır dışı etti. BBC News Türkçe. https://www.bbc.com/turkce/haberler-dunya-42727716 Erişim Tarihi: 03.12.2022
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  • Schoemaker, H. (2019). Allegations of Russian Weaponized Migration Against the EU with the Blackest Intention? Militaire Spectator, 188 (7/8), 360-373. https://www.militairespectator.nl/thema/internationale-veiligheidspolitiek/artikel/allegations-russian-weaponized-migration-against-eu.
  • Steger, N. D. (2017). The Weaponization of Migration: Examining Migration as a 21st Century Tool of Political Warfare (Yüksek Lisans Tezi). Naval Post Graduate School, Monterey, California.
  • Szymański, P., Żochowski, P. & Rodkiewicz, W. (2016). Enforced Cooperation: the Finnish-Russian migration crisis, Ośrodek Studiów Wschodnich (OSW) Centre for Eastern Studies. https://www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/analyses/2016-04-06/enforced-cooperation-finnish-russian-migration-crisis
  • Teitelbaum, M. S. (1984). Immigration, Refugees, and Foreign Policy. International Organization, 38 (3), 429-450.
  • Teslova, E. (2022). West declared ‘hybrid war’ on Russia, says Lavrov. AA News. https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/west-declared-hybrid-war-on-russia-says-lavorv/2588192
  • UNHCR. Registered Syrian Refugees, Operational Data Portal, Refugee Situations https://data.unhcr.org/en/situations/syria/location/113 Erişim Tarihi: 03.12.2022.
  • Up In Flames: Humanitarian Law Violations and Civilian Victims in the Conflict over South Ossetia. (2009) Human Rights Watch. https://www.hrw.org/report/2009/01/23/flames/humanitarian-law-violations-and-civilian-victims-conflict-over-south Erişim Tarihi: 04.12.2022.
  • Weiner, M. (1992). Security, Stability, and International Migration. International Security, 17 (3), 91-126. https://doi.org/10.2307/2539131.
  • Wither, J. K. (2016). Making Sense of Hybrid Warfare. Connections, 15 (2), 73-87. https://www.jstor.org/stable/26326441?seq=1.

Hybrid Warfare, Migration Weapon as a Warfare Tool and the Practice of Russia

Year 2022, Volume: 2 Issue: 2, 238 - 257, 31.12.2022

Abstract

In parallel with the continuous change and transformation of the world, the concept of war has also undergone a transformation; today's war and conflict methods have taken on a "hybrid" structure. In this context, the use of hybrid strategies, which are specially structured according to the weaknesses of the target subject and include a combination of traditional and non-traditional methods, has increased day by day. One of the most effective tools used in a hybrid conflict environment is the deliberate use of human migration, and especially mass migration. Such a use is named in the literature as the "weaponization of migration". The primary purpose of this study is to enlighten the reader about what it means to use migration as a weapon in today's hybrid conflict environment and how it can be realized. In the second part of the study, the practices of Russia, which is distinctive among other international actors with its mastery in weaponization of migration, are closely examined and the most effective migration weapons of Russia are tried to be determined. Thus, in addition to contributing to the literature on the weaponization of migration, which has not been studied much until now, it is also aimed to provide the reader a more in-depth perspective about Russia’s migration weapons it has used within the scope of its wars and operations.

References

  • 2015 Rus Suhoy Su-24 uçağının düşürülmesi. Wikipedia. https://tr.wikipedia.org/wiki/2015_Rus_Suhoy_Su-24_uçağının_düşürülmesi Erişim Tarihi: 15.11.2022
  • Aleksander Lukaşenko kimdir: Belarus’u 26 yıldır yöneten Avrupa’nın son diktatörü. (2022). BBC News Türkçe. https://www.bbc.com/turkce/haberler-dunya-53840156 Erişim Tarihi: 16.11.2022
  • Belarus is the latest country to use migrants as pawns. The West is guilty, too. (2021). The Washington Post. https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2021/11/15/belarus-migrants-pawns-west/ Erişim Tarihi: 16.11.2022
  • Bescotti, E., Burkhardt, F., Rabinovych M. & Wittke, C. (2022). Passportization: Russia’s “humanitarian” tool for foreign policy, extra-territorial governance, and military intervention. Verfassunsblog on Matters Constitutional. https://verfassungsblog.de/passportization/.
  • Beşinci kol faaliyetleri nedir? (2021). Dünya Bülteni. https://www.dunyabulteni.net/hayatin-icinden/besinci-kol-faaliyetleri-nedir-h490635.html Erişim Tarihi: 15.11.2022
  • Child Soldiers. Human Rights Watch. https://www.hrw.org/topic/childrens-rights/child-soldiers Erişim Tarihi: 03.12.2022
  • Chkhikvishvili, D. (2022). The underground networks of Russians helping Ukrainian refugees, Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/underground-networks-russians-helping-ukrainian-refugees-2022-05-11/ Erişim Tarihi: 11.11.2022
  • Davidson, J. (2016). Syrian war creates child refugees and child soldiers: report. Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-children-idUSKCN0WG0R0 Erişim Tarihi: 16.11.2022
  • Donelli, F. (2018). Syrian Refugees in Turkey: A Security Perspective. New England Journal of Public Policy, 30 (2), 1-9. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3456588.
  • Erdoğan, M. (2020). Onuncu Yılında Türkiye’deki Suriyeliler. Panorama, https://www.uikpanorama.com/blog/2020/04/29/onuncu-yilinda-turkiye’deki-suriyeliler/ Erişim Tarihi: 03.12.2022
  • Erkış, İ. U. & Summak, M. E. (2014). Propaganda ve Dış Politika. Selçuk Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Meslek Yüksekokulu Dergisi, 14 (1-2), 293-310. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/116730.
  • European Council. EU relations with Belarus: Situation at EU’s external borders with Belarus (Instrumentalisation of migrants for political purposes) https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/eastern-partnership/belarus/ Erişim Tarihi: 03.12.2022
  • Fakhry, A., Parkes, R. & Rácz, A. (2022). If Russia Uses Migration as a Weapon, Europeans Should Respond in Kind. German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP) Policy Brief, 6, 1-10.
  • Gaddafi wants EU cash to stop African migrants. (2010). BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-11139345 Erişim Tarihi: 16.11.2022
  • Goldenziel, J. (2021). Belarus Is Weaponizing Migrants Using Putin’s Playbook. Europe Must Legally Fight Back. Forbes. https://www.forbes.com/sites/jillgoldenziel/2021/11/10/belarus-is-weaponizing-migrants-using-putins-playbook-europe-must-legally-fight-back/amp/ Erişim Tarihi: 16.11.2022
  • Greenhill, K. M. (2002a). Engineered Migration and the Use of Refugees as. Political Weapons: A Case Study of the 1994 Cuban Balseros Crisis. International Migration, 40 (4), 39-74. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-2435.00205.
  • Greenhill, K. M. (2002b). Extortive Engineered Migration: Asymmetric Weapon of the Weak. Conflict, Security & Development, 2 (03), 105-116. DOI: 10.1080/14678800200590622.
  • Greenhill, K. M. (2008). Strategic Engineered Migration as a Weapon of War. Civil Wars, 10 (1), 6-21.
  • Greenhill, K. M. (2010). Weapons of Mass Migration: Forced Displacement, Coercion, and Foreign Policy. Ithaca, New York: Cornell University Press.
  • Greenhill, K. M. (2016). Migration as a Weapon in Theory and Practice. Military Review, 96 (6), 23-36.
  • Hoffman, F. G. (2007). Conflict in the 21st Century: The Rise of Hybrid Wars. Arlington, Virginia: Potomac Institute for Policy Studies.
  • How many Ukrainian refugees are there and where have they gone? (2022). BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-60555472.amp Erişim Tarihi: 03.12.2022
  • How Migration Became a Weapon in a ‘Hybrid War’. (2021). Financial Times. https://www.ft.com/content/83ece7e4-cc71-45b5-8db7-766066215612 Erişim Tarihi: 03.12.2022
  • Jacobsen, K. (1996). Factors Influencing the Policy Responses of Host Governments to Mass Refugee Influxes. International Migration Review, 30 (3), 655-678. doi:10.2307/2547631.
  • Josan, A. & Voicu (Covaci), C. (2015). Hybrid Wars in the Age of Asymmetric Conflicts. Review of the Air Force Academy, 1 (28), 49-52. https://www.afahc.ro/ro/revista/2015_1/49.pdf.
  • Kittrie, O. F. (2016). Lawfare: Law as a Weapon of War. New York: Oxford University Press.
  • Liang, Q. & Xiangsui, W. (2002). Unrestricted Warfare. Panama: Pan American Publishing Company.
  • Loh, M. (2022). Putin is offering fast-tracked Russian citizenship to all Ukrainians, a tactic that critics call ‘passportization’. Insider. https://www.businessinsider.com/putin-opens-fast-track-russian-citizenship-to-ukrainians-2022-7 Erişim Tarihi: 02.12.2022
  • Lovatt, H. & Toaldo, M. (2015). EU Differentiation and Israeli Settlements. European Council of Foreign Relations Policy Brief, 1-12.
  • Łubiński, P. (2021). Hybrid Warfare or Hybrid Threat – The Weaponization of Migration as an Example of the Use of Lawfare – Case Study of Poland. Polish Political Science Yearbook, 51, 43-55.
  • Mahajan, K. (2022). Russia’s hybrid warfare strategy: From Crimea to Ukraine, Observer Research Foundation (ORF) Forum. https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/russias-hybrid-warfare-strategy/
  • Martin, C. (2019). What are the Limits on Lawfare? Opinio Juris. http://opiniojuris.org/2019/05/05/what-are-the-limits-on-lawfare/
  • Monaghan, S. (2021). Countering Hybrid Warfare: So What for the Future Joint Force? PRISM: The Journal of Complex Operations, 8 (2), 82-98. https://ndupress.ndu.edu/Portals/68/Documents/prism/prism_8-2/PRISM_8-2_Monaghan.pdf
  • Nurdoğan, A. K., Dur, A. İ. B. & Öztürk, M. (2017). Türkiye’nin Mülteci Sorunu ve Suriye Krizinin Mülteci Sorununa Etkileri. İş ve Hayat, 2 (4), 217-238. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/299579.
  • Official Site of the President of Russia and the Presidential Executive Office. (2022). Address by the President of the Russian Federation. http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/67843 Erişim Tarihi: 03.12.022.
  • Özer, Y. (2018). Savaşın Değişen Karakteri: Teori ve Uygulamada Hibrit Savaş. Güvenlik Bilimleri Dergisi, 7 (1), 29-56. DOI:10.28956/gbd.422724.
  • Özkan, Y. (2018). Hollanda diaspora vergisi alan Eritre’nin temsilcisini sınır dışı etti. BBC News Türkçe. https://www.bbc.com/turkce/haberler-dunya-42727716 Erişim Tarihi: 03.12.2022
  • Rogin, J. (2016). How Russia Is 'Weaponizing' Migration to Destabilize Europe. Bloomberg. https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2016-03-24/how-russia-is-weaponizing-migration-to-destabilize-europe#xj4y7vzkg Erişim Tarihi: 02.12.2022.
  • Russia has issued 720,000 fast-track passports in separatist-held areas of eastern Ukraine. (2022). Euronews. https://www.euronews.com/2022/02/17/russia-has-issued-720-000-fast-track-passports-in-separatist-held-areas-of-eastern-ukraine Erişim Tarihi: 03.12.2022.
  • Russian Involvement in the Syrian Civil War. Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_involvement_in_the_Syrian_civil_war Erişim Tarihi: 02.12.2022.
  • Schoemaker, H. (2019). Allegations of Russian Weaponized Migration Against the EU with the Blackest Intention? Militaire Spectator, 188 (7/8), 360-373. https://www.militairespectator.nl/thema/internationale-veiligheidspolitiek/artikel/allegations-russian-weaponized-migration-against-eu.
  • Steger, N. D. (2017). The Weaponization of Migration: Examining Migration as a 21st Century Tool of Political Warfare (Yüksek Lisans Tezi). Naval Post Graduate School, Monterey, California.
  • Szymański, P., Żochowski, P. & Rodkiewicz, W. (2016). Enforced Cooperation: the Finnish-Russian migration crisis, Ośrodek Studiów Wschodnich (OSW) Centre for Eastern Studies. https://www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/analyses/2016-04-06/enforced-cooperation-finnish-russian-migration-crisis
  • Teitelbaum, M. S. (1984). Immigration, Refugees, and Foreign Policy. International Organization, 38 (3), 429-450.
  • Teslova, E. (2022). West declared ‘hybrid war’ on Russia, says Lavrov. AA News. https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/west-declared-hybrid-war-on-russia-says-lavorv/2588192
  • UNHCR. Registered Syrian Refugees, Operational Data Portal, Refugee Situations https://data.unhcr.org/en/situations/syria/location/113 Erişim Tarihi: 03.12.2022.
  • Up In Flames: Humanitarian Law Violations and Civilian Victims in the Conflict over South Ossetia. (2009) Human Rights Watch. https://www.hrw.org/report/2009/01/23/flames/humanitarian-law-violations-and-civilian-victims-conflict-over-south Erişim Tarihi: 04.12.2022.
  • Weiner, M. (1992). Security, Stability, and International Migration. International Security, 17 (3), 91-126. https://doi.org/10.2307/2539131.
  • Wither, J. K. (2016). Making Sense of Hybrid Warfare. Connections, 15 (2), 73-87. https://www.jstor.org/stable/26326441?seq=1.
There are 49 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Selin Başer 0000-0003-1267-6254

Publication Date December 31, 2022
Published in Issue Year 2022 Volume: 2 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Başer, S. (2022). Hibrit Savaş, Bir Savaş Aracı Olarak Göç Silahı ve Rusya Uygulaması. Fenerbahçe Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 2(2), 238-257.