Toplam Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırımların ve Sektörel Yabancı Yatırımların İşsizlik Oranı Üzerindeki Etkisi: Türkiye’den Kanıt

Year 2023, Volume: 9 Issue: 1, 27 - 42, 30.06.2023

Emre Gökçeli

Abstract

Bu araştırmanın amacı, Türkiye'de 1992-2020 döneminde DYY girişlerinin işsizlik oranı üzerindeki etkisini Vektör Otoregresyon (VAR) yöntemi kullanarak araştırmaktır. Bulgular, DYY girişlerinin istihdam üzerinde önemli bir etkisinin olmadığını ortaya koymaktadır; bunun nedeni, farklı sektörlerdeki DYY'nin istihdam oranları üzerindeki farklı değişken etkisi olabilir. Çünkü DYY'nin ekonominin geri kalanıyla, özellikle de işgücü piyasasıyla bağlantısının farklı sektörlerde değişen etkiler gösterebilir. Bu durumun üstesinden gelmek için, bu çalışma DYY'nin Türkiye'deki işsizlik oranları üzerindeki etkisini çeşitli sektörlerde incelemeye çalışmaktadır. Sonuçlar, imalat sanayiindeki DYY'nin işsizlik oranındaki azalma ile ilişkili olduğunu, fakat birincil ve hizmet sektörlerindeki DYY'nin önemli bir etkisinin bulunmadığını göstermektedir. Çalışmanın bulguları baz alınarak, bu çalışma gelecekteki araştırmalar için çıkarımlar ve öneriler sunmaktadır.

Keywords

Türkiye, Foreign Direct Investment, Unemployment Rate, Vector Autoregression

Effect of Aggregate FDI and Sectoral FDI on the Unemployment Rate: Evidence from Türkiye

Abstract

The objective of this research is to investigate the effect of FDI inflows on the unemployment rate by employing the Vector Autoregression (VAR) method during the period of 1992-2020 in Türkiye. The findings reveal that FDI inflows have no significant effect on employment, which may be due to the varying impact of FDI on employment rates across different sectors. Given that the linkage of FDI with the rest of economy, particularly the labour market may exhibit varying effect across different sectors. To address this issue, this research endeavours to examine the impact of FDI on unemployment rates in Türkiye across various sectors. The results demonstrate that FDI in the manufacturing industry is associated with a reduction in the unemployment rate, whereas FDI in the primary and service sectors is not found to have a significant effect. Based on the results, the study offers implications and recommendations for future research.

Keywords

Foreign direct investment, VAR, Unemployment rate

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