Türkiye’de Bölgesel İşsizlik Farklılıkları

Year 2017, Issue: 634, 107 - 134, 01.12.2017

Ersin Kıral Can Mavruk

Abstract

Bu makale Türkiye’de bölgesel işsizlik oranlarındaki farklılıkları ve bu farklılıkların işgücü piyasasındaki değişkenler arasındaki ilişkisini araştırmaktadır. İlk olarak ortalama işsizlik ile bölgesel işsizlik arasındaki ilişki ve ikinci olarak bölgesel işgücü piyasası değişkenlerin bölgesel işsizliği nasıl etkilediği araştırılmaktadır. Sonuçlar (1) ortalama işsizlik oranı ile bölgesel işsizlik oranları arasında uzun vadeli bir ilişki olduğunu; (2) piyasa değişkenlerinin bölgesel işsizliğe anlamlı bir tepkisi olmadığını; (3) 2009 şokunun geçici etkilere sahip olduğunu ve bölgesel işsizlik oranlarının yaklaşık yedi yılda dengelendiğini ve (4) bölgesel işsizlik oranlarının kalıcı olduğunu göstermektedir.

Keywords

İşsizlik, Bölgesel farklılıklar, Kalıcılık, Panel eşbütünleşme, Denge

Regional Unemployment Disparities in Turkey

Abstract

This article investigates the disparities in regional unemployment rates and its relationship with labor market variables in Turkey. We first investigate the relationship between regional unemployment and national unemployment and second how regional labor market variables affect regional unemployment. The results demonstrate that: (1) there is a long run causality from the national unemployment rate to regional unemployment rates; (2) the response of the market variables to the regional unemployment is not significant; (3) the 2009 shock has transitory effects and regional unemployment rates get back to equilibrium in about seven years; and (4) regional unemployment rates are persistent.

Keywords

Unemployment, Regional disparities, Persistence, Panel cointegration, Equilibrium

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