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Detecting Change-point in Seasonal Reference Evapotranspiration (ETo) datasets

Year 2019, Volume: 36 Issue: 3, 206 - 210, 31.12.2019
https://doi.org/10.13002/jafag4595

Abstract

The aim of the current study in the Central Anatolia Region was on assessing the reference evapotranspiration (ETo) behavior as proxies in exposing the presence of climate variability. Historical climatic data spanning forty-three years (1970-2012) from the Turkish State Meteorological Service was used to calculate ETo data for five meteorological stations. The change–point in ETo dataset was revealed by the distribution-free CUSUM (Cumulative Sum) statistic technique. The two stations, named Ankara and Konya, had a statistically significant shift. None of the others showed significant variability in statistic sense.

References

  • Abdul Aziz OI and Burn DH (2006). Trends and variability in the hydrological regime of the Mackenzie River Basin. Journal of Hydrology, 319: 282–294.
  • Allen RG, Pereira LS, Raes D and Smith M (1998). Crop Evapotranspiration (guidelines for computing crop water requirements): FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper No. 56, 15p, Rome.
  • Azizzadeh M and Javan K (2015). Analyzing trends in reference evapotranspiration in Northwest Part of Iran. Journal of Ecological Engineering, 16(2): 1-12.
  • Dinpashoh Y, Jhajharia D, Fakheri-Fard A, Singh VP and Kahya E (2011) Trends in reference crop evapotranspiration over Iran. Journal of Hydrology 399: 422–433.
  • Espadafor M, Lorite IJ, Gavilán P and Berengena J (2011). An analysis of the tendency of reference evapotranspiration estimates and other climate variables during the last 45 years in Southern Spain. Agricultural Water Management, 98: 1045–1061.
  • Ghafouri-Azar M, Bae DH and Kang SU (2018). Trend analysis of long-term reference evapotranspiration and its components over the Korean Peninsula. Water, 10, 1373: 1-18.
  • Hamed KH (2008). Trend detection in hydrologic data: The Mann-Kendall trend test under the scaling hypothesis. Journal of Hydrology, 349: 350–363.
  • Huang WR, Chang YH and Liu PY (2018). Assessment of IMERG precipitation over Taiwan at multiple timescales. Atmospheric Research, 214:239-249.
  • Karpouzos DK, Kavalieratou S and Babajimopoulos C (2010). Trend analysis of precipitation data in Pieria Region (Greece). European Water, 30:31-40.
  • Liang LQ, Li LJ and Liu Q (2010). Temporal variation of reference evapotranspiration during 1961–2005 in the Taoer River Basin of Northeast China. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 150: 298–306.
  • Mohammed MU, Abdulhamid A, Badamasi MM and Ahmed M (2015). Rainfall dynamics and climate change in Kano, Nigeria. Journal of Scientific Research & Reports, 7(5): 386-395.
  • Muchuru S, Botai JO, Botai CM, Landman WA and Adeola AM (2016). Variability of rainfall over Lake Kariba catchment area in the Zambezi river basin, Zimbabwe. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 124:325–338.
  • Palaniswami S and Muthiah Krishnaveni (2018). Change point detection and trend analysis of rainfall and temperature series over the Vellar River Basin. Polish Journal of Environmental Studies, 27(4): 1673-1681.
  • Reason C (2007). Tropical cyclone Dera, the unusual 2000/01 tropical cyclone season in the South West Indian Ocean and associated rainfall anomalies over Southern Africa. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 97(1-4): 181-188.
  • Robson A Bardossy A Jones D and Kundzewicz ZW. 2000. Statistical Methods for Testing for Change. Ed. ZW. Kundzewicz and A. Robson, Detecting Trend and Other Changes in Hydrological Data. World Climate Program – Water, WMO/UNESCO, WCDMP-45, WMO/TD 1013, p.46-62, Geneva.
  • Sen Z (2012). Innovative trend analysis methodology. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 17 (9): 1042–1046.
  • Shirgholami H, Ghahreman B, Alizadeh F and Bodagh-Jamali J (2005). Evaluation of reference crop evapotranspiration in Iran. Journal of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources of the Caspian, 2 (3): 11–27.
  • Tabari H and Talaee PH (2011). Temporal variability of precipitation over Iran: 1966–2005. Journal of Hydrology, 396: 313–320.
  • Tang B, Tong L, Kang S and Zhang L (2011). Impacts of climate variability on reference evapotranspiration over 58 years in the Haihe river basin of north China. Agricultural Water Management, 98: 1660-1670.
  • Ünlükara A and Yürekli K (2014). Orta Anadolu Bölgesinde referans bitki su tüketiminin mevsimsel değişiminin analizi. 2. Uluslararası Katılımlı Kuraklık ve Çölleşme Sempozyumu, 16-18 Eylül, Konya.
  • Yazıcı C, Purutçuoğlu V, Yozgatlıgil C, Bayramoğlu K, İyigün C and Batmaz İ (2012) Homogeneity analysis of Turkish climate data. METU-STAT-Technical Report-2012- 001, p.8, Ankara.
  • Yürekli K, Ünlükara A and Cömert MM (2017). Holt yaklaşımı ile referans bitki su tüketiminin mevsimsel değişiminin saptanması. Gaziosmanpasa Journal of Scientific Research, 6(special issue): 75-81.
Year 2019, Volume: 36 Issue: 3, 206 - 210, 31.12.2019
https://doi.org/10.13002/jafag4595

Abstract

References

  • Abdul Aziz OI and Burn DH (2006). Trends and variability in the hydrological regime of the Mackenzie River Basin. Journal of Hydrology, 319: 282–294.
  • Allen RG, Pereira LS, Raes D and Smith M (1998). Crop Evapotranspiration (guidelines for computing crop water requirements): FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper No. 56, 15p, Rome.
  • Azizzadeh M and Javan K (2015). Analyzing trends in reference evapotranspiration in Northwest Part of Iran. Journal of Ecological Engineering, 16(2): 1-12.
  • Dinpashoh Y, Jhajharia D, Fakheri-Fard A, Singh VP and Kahya E (2011) Trends in reference crop evapotranspiration over Iran. Journal of Hydrology 399: 422–433.
  • Espadafor M, Lorite IJ, Gavilán P and Berengena J (2011). An analysis of the tendency of reference evapotranspiration estimates and other climate variables during the last 45 years in Southern Spain. Agricultural Water Management, 98: 1045–1061.
  • Ghafouri-Azar M, Bae DH and Kang SU (2018). Trend analysis of long-term reference evapotranspiration and its components over the Korean Peninsula. Water, 10, 1373: 1-18.
  • Hamed KH (2008). Trend detection in hydrologic data: The Mann-Kendall trend test under the scaling hypothesis. Journal of Hydrology, 349: 350–363.
  • Huang WR, Chang YH and Liu PY (2018). Assessment of IMERG precipitation over Taiwan at multiple timescales. Atmospheric Research, 214:239-249.
  • Karpouzos DK, Kavalieratou S and Babajimopoulos C (2010). Trend analysis of precipitation data in Pieria Region (Greece). European Water, 30:31-40.
  • Liang LQ, Li LJ and Liu Q (2010). Temporal variation of reference evapotranspiration during 1961–2005 in the Taoer River Basin of Northeast China. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 150: 298–306.
  • Mohammed MU, Abdulhamid A, Badamasi MM and Ahmed M (2015). Rainfall dynamics and climate change in Kano, Nigeria. Journal of Scientific Research & Reports, 7(5): 386-395.
  • Muchuru S, Botai JO, Botai CM, Landman WA and Adeola AM (2016). Variability of rainfall over Lake Kariba catchment area in the Zambezi river basin, Zimbabwe. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 124:325–338.
  • Palaniswami S and Muthiah Krishnaveni (2018). Change point detection and trend analysis of rainfall and temperature series over the Vellar River Basin. Polish Journal of Environmental Studies, 27(4): 1673-1681.
  • Reason C (2007). Tropical cyclone Dera, the unusual 2000/01 tropical cyclone season in the South West Indian Ocean and associated rainfall anomalies over Southern Africa. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 97(1-4): 181-188.
  • Robson A Bardossy A Jones D and Kundzewicz ZW. 2000. Statistical Methods for Testing for Change. Ed. ZW. Kundzewicz and A. Robson, Detecting Trend and Other Changes in Hydrological Data. World Climate Program – Water, WMO/UNESCO, WCDMP-45, WMO/TD 1013, p.46-62, Geneva.
  • Sen Z (2012). Innovative trend analysis methodology. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 17 (9): 1042–1046.
  • Shirgholami H, Ghahreman B, Alizadeh F and Bodagh-Jamali J (2005). Evaluation of reference crop evapotranspiration in Iran. Journal of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources of the Caspian, 2 (3): 11–27.
  • Tabari H and Talaee PH (2011). Temporal variability of precipitation over Iran: 1966–2005. Journal of Hydrology, 396: 313–320.
  • Tang B, Tong L, Kang S and Zhang L (2011). Impacts of climate variability on reference evapotranspiration over 58 years in the Haihe river basin of north China. Agricultural Water Management, 98: 1660-1670.
  • Ünlükara A and Yürekli K (2014). Orta Anadolu Bölgesinde referans bitki su tüketiminin mevsimsel değişiminin analizi. 2. Uluslararası Katılımlı Kuraklık ve Çölleşme Sempozyumu, 16-18 Eylül, Konya.
  • Yazıcı C, Purutçuoğlu V, Yozgatlıgil C, Bayramoğlu K, İyigün C and Batmaz İ (2012) Homogeneity analysis of Turkish climate data. METU-STAT-Technical Report-2012- 001, p.8, Ankara.
  • Yürekli K, Ünlükara A and Cömert MM (2017). Holt yaklaşımı ile referans bitki su tüketiminin mevsimsel değişiminin saptanması. Gaziosmanpasa Journal of Scientific Research, 6(special issue): 75-81.
There are 22 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Kadri Yureklı This is me

Publication Date December 31, 2019
Published in Issue Year 2019 Volume: 36 Issue: 3

Cite

APA Yureklı, K. (2019). Detecting Change-point in Seasonal Reference Evapotranspiration (ETo) datasets. Journal of Agricultural Faculty of Gaziosmanpaşa University (JAFAG), 36(3), 206-210. https://doi.org/10.13002/jafag4595