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The Returns to Formal Schooling in Turkey using Pseudo-Panel Data

Year 2018, Volume: 4 Issue: 2, 13 - 33, 27.12.2018

Abstract














The returns to education
is of great interest in public policies and labor economics. It has been widely
studied by many experts for decades. It has been acknowledged that in a
Mincerian wage equation, ordinary least squares estimates are biased due to the
endogeneity of education. One way to deal with this endogeneity could be
removing individual fixed effects using panel data. However, education of an
individual is fixed once their wage is observed. Thus, panel data would wipe
out the information on education. On the other hand, using pseudo-panel
approach the returns to education can be estimated making use of repeated cross
section data. There are limited studies on returns to education on Turkey
despite the fact that its crucial importance in the public policy. In this
paper we estimate returns to education for Turkey using a pseudo-panel data
approach. We make use of Turkish Household Labor Force data for the years 2009-2014
in order to construct pseudo-panel data. We find that one additional year of education
increases individual wages by around 8.5 percent using ordinary least squares.
However, using pseudo-panel fixed effect estimation leads a 9.3-percent rate of
returns to education. Thus, we show that there is a downward bias in ordinary
least squares estimates of returns to education in Turkey.








References

  • Angrist, J. D., & Krueger, A. B. (1991). Does compulsory school attendance affect schooling and earnings? Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(4), 979-1014.
  • Antman, F., & McKenzie, D. J. (2007). Earnings mobility and measurement error: A Pseudo‐Panel approach. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 56(1), 125-161.
  • Ashenfelter, O., & Krueger, A. (1994). Estimates of the economic return to schooling from a new sample of twins. The American Economic Review, 84(5), 1157-1173.
  • Ashenfelter, O., & Rouse, C. (1998). Income, schooling, and ability: Evidence from A new sample of identical twins. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113(1), 253-284.
  • Bakıs, O. (2012). Türkiye’de egitimin bireysel getirisi: 1988-2008. TUSIAD-Sabanci University Competitiveness Forum working Paper No. 2012-1.
  • Card, D. (1993). Using geographic variation in college proximity to estimate the return to schooling. National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Working Paper No:4483.
  • Card, D. (2001). Estimating the return to schooling: Progress on some persistent econometric problems. Econometrica, 69(5), 1127-1160.
  • Uusitalo, R. & Conneely, K., 1998. "Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects in the Becker Schooling Model," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics 435.
  • Dargay, J. (2007). The effect of prices and income on car travel in the UK. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 41(10), 949-960.
  • Deaton, A. (1985). Panel data from time series of cross-sections. Journal of Econometrics, 30(1), 109-126.
  • Duflo, E. (2001). Schooling and labor market consequences of school construction in Indonesia: Evidence from an unusual policy experiment. American Economic Review, 91(4), 795-813.
  • Fulford, S. (2014). Returns to education in India. World Development, 59, 434-450.
  • Griliches, Z. (1977). Estimating the returns to schooling: Some econometric problems. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1-22.
  • Güriş, S., & Çağlayan, E. (2012). Returns to education and wages in Turkey: Robust and resistant regression. Quality & Quantity, 46(5), 1407-1416.
  • Harmon, C., & Walker, I. (1995). Estimates of the economic return to schooling for the United Kingdom. The American Economic Review, 1278-1286.
  • Himaz, R., & Aturupane, H. (2016). Returns to education in Sri Lanka: a pseudo-panel approach. Education Economics, 24(3), 300-311.
  • Imbens, G. W., & Angrist, J. D. (1994). Identification and Estimation of Local Average Treatment Effects. Econometrica, 62(2), 467-475.
  • Kane, T. J., & Rouse, C. E. (1993). Labor market returns to two-and four-year colleges: Is a credit a credit and do degrees matter?, NBER Working Paper No:4268.
  • Kirby, S., & Riley, R. (2008). The external returns to education: UK evidence using repeated cross-sections. Labour Economics, 15(4), 619-630.
  • Aydemir, A., & Kirdar, M. G. (2015). Low Wage Returns to Schooling in a Developing Country: Evidence from a Major Policy Reform in Turkey (No. 9274). Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  • Krueger, A. O. (1972). Rates of return to Turkish higher education. Journal of Human Resources, 482-499.
  • Lang, K. (1993). Ability bias, discount rate bias and the return to education. Mimeo,Boston University.
  • Mocan, L. (2014). The Impact of Education on Wages: Analysis of an Education Reform in Turkey. In Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers (No. 1424). Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
  • Propper, C., Rees, H., & Green, K. (2001). The demand for private medical insurance in the UK: A cohort analysis. The Economic Journal, 111(471), 180-200.
  • Psacharopoulos, G. (1985). Returns to education: A further international update and implications. Journal of Human Resources, , 583-604.
  • Psacharopoulos, G. (1994). Returns to investment in education: A global update. World Development, 22(9), 1325-1343.
  • Psacharopoulos, G., & Patrinos, H. A. (2004). Returns to investment in education: A further update. Education Economics, 12(2), 111-134.
  • Tansel, A. (1994). Wage employment, earnings and returns to schooling for men and women in Turkey. Economics of Education Review, 13(4), 305-320.
  • Tansel, A. (2008). Changing returns to education for men and women in a developing country: Turkey, 1994-2005. ESPE Conference, London, pp. 18-21.
  • Tansel, A., & Bodur, F. B. (2012). Wage inequality and returns to education in turkey: A quantile regression analysis. Review of Development Economics, 16(1), 107-121.
  • Türkiye Istatistik Kurumu (Turkish Statistical Institute, TURKSTAT). Household Labor Force Survey Data 2009-2014.
  • Verbeek, M., & Nijman, T. (1992). Can cohort data be treated as genuine panel data? Empirical Economics, 17(1), 9-23.
  • Vural, B. M., & Gülcan, Y. (2008). Impact of education on individual earnings in Turkey. International Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2(3)
  • Warunsiri, S., & McNown, R. (2010). The returns to education in Thailand: A pseudo-panel approach. World Development, 38(11), 1616-1625.

The Returns to Formal Schooling in Turkey using Pseudo-Panel Data

Year 2018, Volume: 4 Issue: 2, 13 - 33, 27.12.2018

Abstract













The returns to education
is of great interest in public policies and labor economics. It has been widely
studied by many experts for decades. It has been acknowledged that in a
Mincerian wage equation, ordinary least squares estimates are biased due to the
endogeneity of education. One way to deal with this endogeneity could be
removing individual fixed effects using panel data. However, education of an
individual is fixed once their wage is observed. Thus, panel data would wipe
out the information on education. On the other hand, using pseudo-panel
approach the returns to education can be estimated making use of repeated cross
section data. There are limited studies on returns to education on Turkey
despite the fact that its crucial importance in the public policy. In this
paper we estimate returns to education for Turkey using a pseudo-panel data
approach. We make use of Turkish Household Labor Force data for the years 2009-2014
in order to construct pseudo-panel data. We find that one additional year of education
increases individual wages by around 8.5 percent using ordinary least squares.
However, using pseudo-panel fixed effect estimation leads a 9.3-percent rate of
returns to education. Thus, we show that there is a downward bias in ordinary
least squares estimates of returns to education in Turkey.

References

  • Angrist, J. D., & Krueger, A. B. (1991). Does compulsory school attendance affect schooling and earnings? Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(4), 979-1014.
  • Antman, F., & McKenzie, D. J. (2007). Earnings mobility and measurement error: A Pseudo‐Panel approach. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 56(1), 125-161.
  • Ashenfelter, O., & Krueger, A. (1994). Estimates of the economic return to schooling from a new sample of twins. The American Economic Review, 84(5), 1157-1173.
  • Ashenfelter, O., & Rouse, C. (1998). Income, schooling, and ability: Evidence from A new sample of identical twins. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113(1), 253-284.
  • Bakıs, O. (2012). Türkiye’de egitimin bireysel getirisi: 1988-2008. TUSIAD-Sabanci University Competitiveness Forum working Paper No. 2012-1.
  • Card, D. (1993). Using geographic variation in college proximity to estimate the return to schooling. National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Working Paper No:4483.
  • Card, D. (2001). Estimating the return to schooling: Progress on some persistent econometric problems. Econometrica, 69(5), 1127-1160.
  • Uusitalo, R. & Conneely, K., 1998. "Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects in the Becker Schooling Model," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics 435.
  • Dargay, J. (2007). The effect of prices and income on car travel in the UK. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 41(10), 949-960.
  • Deaton, A. (1985). Panel data from time series of cross-sections. Journal of Econometrics, 30(1), 109-126.
  • Duflo, E. (2001). Schooling and labor market consequences of school construction in Indonesia: Evidence from an unusual policy experiment. American Economic Review, 91(4), 795-813.
  • Fulford, S. (2014). Returns to education in India. World Development, 59, 434-450.
  • Griliches, Z. (1977). Estimating the returns to schooling: Some econometric problems. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1-22.
  • Güriş, S., & Çağlayan, E. (2012). Returns to education and wages in Turkey: Robust and resistant regression. Quality & Quantity, 46(5), 1407-1416.
  • Harmon, C., & Walker, I. (1995). Estimates of the economic return to schooling for the United Kingdom. The American Economic Review, 1278-1286.
  • Himaz, R., & Aturupane, H. (2016). Returns to education in Sri Lanka: a pseudo-panel approach. Education Economics, 24(3), 300-311.
  • Imbens, G. W., & Angrist, J. D. (1994). Identification and Estimation of Local Average Treatment Effects. Econometrica, 62(2), 467-475.
  • Kane, T. J., & Rouse, C. E. (1993). Labor market returns to two-and four-year colleges: Is a credit a credit and do degrees matter?, NBER Working Paper No:4268.
  • Kirby, S., & Riley, R. (2008). The external returns to education: UK evidence using repeated cross-sections. Labour Economics, 15(4), 619-630.
  • Aydemir, A., & Kirdar, M. G. (2015). Low Wage Returns to Schooling in a Developing Country: Evidence from a Major Policy Reform in Turkey (No. 9274). Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  • Krueger, A. O. (1972). Rates of return to Turkish higher education. Journal of Human Resources, 482-499.
  • Lang, K. (1993). Ability bias, discount rate bias and the return to education. Mimeo,Boston University.
  • Mocan, L. (2014). The Impact of Education on Wages: Analysis of an Education Reform in Turkey. In Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers (No. 1424). Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
  • Propper, C., Rees, H., & Green, K. (2001). The demand for private medical insurance in the UK: A cohort analysis. The Economic Journal, 111(471), 180-200.
  • Psacharopoulos, G. (1985). Returns to education: A further international update and implications. Journal of Human Resources, , 583-604.
  • Psacharopoulos, G. (1994). Returns to investment in education: A global update. World Development, 22(9), 1325-1343.
  • Psacharopoulos, G., & Patrinos, H. A. (2004). Returns to investment in education: A further update. Education Economics, 12(2), 111-134.
  • Tansel, A. (1994). Wage employment, earnings and returns to schooling for men and women in Turkey. Economics of Education Review, 13(4), 305-320.
  • Tansel, A. (2008). Changing returns to education for men and women in a developing country: Turkey, 1994-2005. ESPE Conference, London, pp. 18-21.
  • Tansel, A., & Bodur, F. B. (2012). Wage inequality and returns to education in turkey: A quantile regression analysis. Review of Development Economics, 16(1), 107-121.
  • Türkiye Istatistik Kurumu (Turkish Statistical Institute, TURKSTAT). Household Labor Force Survey Data 2009-2014.
  • Verbeek, M., & Nijman, T. (1992). Can cohort data be treated as genuine panel data? Empirical Economics, 17(1), 9-23.
  • Vural, B. M., & Gülcan, Y. (2008). Impact of education on individual earnings in Turkey. International Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2(3)
  • Warunsiri, S., & McNown, R. (2010). The returns to education in Thailand: A pseudo-panel approach. World Development, 38(11), 1616-1625.
There are 34 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Hacı Mevlüt Karataş

Publication Date December 27, 2018
Submission Date November 1, 2018
Acceptance Date November 16, 2018
Published in Issue Year 2018 Volume: 4 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Karataş, H. M. (2018). The Returns to Formal Schooling in Turkey using Pseudo-Panel Data. Giresun Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 4(2), 13-33.
  • Journal of Economics & Administrative Sciences