Research Article
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Year 2023, , 30 - 52, 28.03.2023
https://doi.org/10.54287/gujsa.1149380

Abstract

References

  • Acikgoz, V. (2012). Modeling of fire and explosion situations in LPG storage tanks. MSc Thesis, Yildiz Technical University, Institute of Science and Technology, Istanbul, Türkiye.
  • Caratozzolo, V., Misuri, A., & Cozzani, V. (2022). A generalized equipment vulnerability model for the quantitative risk assessment of horizontal vessels involved in Natech scenarios triggered by floods. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 223, 108504. doi:10.1016/j.ress.2022.108504
  • Çetinyokuş, S. (2018). Consequences Modeling of the Akcagaz Accident through Land Use Planning (LUP) Approach. Iranian Journal of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering-International English Edition, 37(4), 253-264. doi:10.30492/ijcce.2018.35109
  • Demirdöğen, M. M., & Çetinyokuş, S. (2021). Risk Assessment in a Ready-Mixed Concrete Plant Located in an Earthquake Zone. OHS Academic, 3(1), 79-98.
  • eNatech Database. (2022). (Accessed: 14/12/2022) https://enatech.jrc.ec.europa.eu/
  • Girgin, S., & Krausmann, E. (2016). Historical analysis of U.S. onshore hazardous liquid pipeline accidents triggered by natural hazards. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 40, 578-590. doi:10.1016/j.jlp.2016.02.008
  • Girgin, S., Necci, A & Krausmann, E. (2019). Dealing with cascading multi-hazard risks in national risk assessment: The case of Natech accidents. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 35, 101072. doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101072
  • Güneş, Y., & Çetinyokuş, S. (2020). The Problem of Land Use Planning (LUP) for Industrial Accidents in Turkey. Journal of Humanities and Tourism Research, 10(2), 226-248. doi:10.14230/johut768
  • HGM, General Directorate of Mapping. (2022). Physical Map of Erzurum City. (Accessed: 22/03/2022) https://www.harita.gov.tr/urun/erzurum-fiziki-il-haritasi/410
  • Krausmann , E., & Musthaq, F. (2008). A qualitative Natech damage scale for the impact of floods on selected industrial facilities. Natural Hazards, 46, 179-197. doi:10.1007/s11069-007-9203-5
  • Kurt, M. M., & Çetinyokuş, S. (2021, December 17-18). Risk Analysis of Technological Accidents Triggered by Natural Disasters. In: B. Topuz (Eds.), Proceedings of the 12th International Scientific Research Congress - Science and Engineering (UBAK 2021), (pp. 48-59). Ankara, Turkiye.
  • Landucci, G., Necci, A., Antonioni, G., Tugnoli, A., & Cozzani, V. (2014). Release of hazardous substances in flood events: damage model for horizontal cylindrical vessels. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 132, 125-145. doi:10.1016/j.ress.2014.07.016
  • Misuri, A., Antonioni, G., & Cozzani, V. (2020). Quantitative risk assessment of domino effect in Natech scenarios triggered by lightning. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 64, 104095. doi:10.1016/j.jlp.2020.104095
  • Moreno, V. C., Ricci, F., Sorichetti, R., Misuri, A., & Cozzani, V. (2019). Analysis of Past Accidents Triggered by Natural Events in the Chemical and Process Industry. Chemical Engineering Transactions, 74, 1405-1410. doi:10.3303/CET1974235
  • Naderpour, M., Rizeei, H. M., Khakzad, N., & Pradhan, B. (2019). Forest fire induced Natech risk assessment: A survey of geospatial technologies. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 191, 106558. doi:10.1016/j.ress.2019.106558
  • Necci, A., Antonioni, G., Cozzani, V., Krausmann, E., Borghetti, A., & Nucci, C. A. (2013a). A model for process equipment damage probability assessment due to lightning. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 115, 91-99. doi:10.1016/j.ress.2013.02.018
  • Necci, A., Antonioni, G., Cozzani, V., Borghetti, A., & Nucci, C. A. (2013b). Reduction of NaTech Risk Due to Lightning by the Use of Protection Systems. Chemical Engineering Transactions, 31, 763-768. doi:10.3303/CET1331128
  • Necci, A., Antonioni, G., Bonvicini, S., & Cozzani, V. (2016). Quantitative assessment of risk due to major accidents triggered by lightning. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 154, 60-72. doi:10.1016/j.ress.2016.05.009
  • Official Gazette (2019, March 2). Prevention of Major Industrial Accidents and Reduction of Their Effects (Büyük Endüstriyel Kazaların Önlenmesi ve Etkilerinin Azaltılması Hakkında Yönetmelik). Official Gazette of the Republic of Turkey, 30702. https://www.resmigazete.gov.tr/eskiler/2019/03/20190302-1.htm
  • Olivar, O. J. R. (2018). Fragility Assessment Methodology of Storage Tanks in NaTech Events. MSC Thesis, Universidad de los Andes Faculty of Engineering, Department of Chemical Engineering, Bogotá, Colombia.
  • RADSAN. (2021). Radsan Risk Analysis Lightning Rod. (Accessed: 14/12/2022) https://www.radsan.com.tr/images/dosyalar/proje-ornekleri/aktif-paratoner-projeleri-mR/4f1641-aktif-paratoner-projesi-izole-sistem-ct.pdf
  • Renni, E., Krausmann, E., & Cozzani, V. (2010). Industrial accidents triggered by lightning. Journal of Hazardous Materials, 184(1-3), 42-48. doi:10.1016/j.jhazmat.2010.07.118
  • Ricci, F., Moreno, V. C., & Cozzani, V. (2020). Analysis of NaTech Accidents Triggered by Extreme Temperatures in the Chemical and Process Industry. Chemical Engineering Transactions, 82, 79-84. doi:10.3303/CET2082014
  • Ricci, F., Moreno, V. C., & Cozzani, V. (2021). A comprehensive analysis of the occurrence of Natech events in the process industry. Process Safety and Environmental Protection, 147, 703-713. doi:10.1016/j.psep.2020.12.031
  • Rota, R., Caragliano, S., Brambilla, S., & Manca, D. (2008, May 18-23). Comparing floods and industrial accidents: A conceptual framework for multi-risk assessment. In: Proceedings of PSAM-9 International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, (pp. 1668-1675), Hong Kong, China.
  • Wang, J., & Weng, W. (2021). A simplified methodology for rapidly analyzing the effect of multi-hazard scenario on atmospheric storage tanks. Research Square. Preprint. doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-1119680/v1
  • YILKOMER. (2020). Lightning Protection Regulation (Accessed: 14/12/2022) https://www.yilkomer.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/yildirimdan-korunma-yonetmeligi.pdf
  • YILKOMER. (2022). Lightning Protection Levels (Accessed: 14/12/2022) https://www.yilkomer.com/yildirimdan-korunma-seviyeleri/

Risk Analysis of Natech Accidents Trigged by Lightnings and Floods

Year 2023, , 30 - 52, 28.03.2023
https://doi.org/10.54287/gujsa.1149380

Abstract

Natural Hazard Triggered Technical Accidents (Natech) cause serious loss of life, environment and property and affect life negatively. Risk analysis studies of these accidents are important. In this study, it was aimed to analyze the risk of Natech accidents for Türkiye. Statistical evaluation of Natech accidents was made through various databases for selecting the province and organization where the application will be made. Because of these evaluations, two exemplary gas storage organizations (Organization 1: includes 5 cylindrical tanks of the same volume, Organization 2: includes 4 cylindrical tanks of the same volume and 1 large volume spherical tank) were selected within the scope of the legislation in Erzurum, which stands out in terms of flood and lightning risk. Flood-triggered Natech accidents were analyzed using the preliminary hazard list and Fine-Kinney methods, and lightning-triggered Natech accidents were analyzed through the YILKOMER and RADSAN programs. For Organization 1 and Organization 2, the protection level was determined as 3 and 4, respectively, according to the effectiveness value. While 34 hazard effects were graded with the preliminary hazard list for Organization 1 and 22 hazard effects by Fine-Kinney; for Organization 2, hazard effects were graded 37 with the preliminary hazard list and 28 with Fine-Kinney. Because of the analyses carried out, Organization 2 was found to be more risky in terms of Natech accidents triggered by both lightning and flooding. It can be said that this situation is because the relevant organization is located in a more congested area and within the organized industry, and that it contains more voluminous tanks. It is important that emergency plans be prepared by considering the Natech risks, based on the characteristics of the industrial facility and the type of natural disaster in the region.

References

  • Acikgoz, V. (2012). Modeling of fire and explosion situations in LPG storage tanks. MSc Thesis, Yildiz Technical University, Institute of Science and Technology, Istanbul, Türkiye.
  • Caratozzolo, V., Misuri, A., & Cozzani, V. (2022). A generalized equipment vulnerability model for the quantitative risk assessment of horizontal vessels involved in Natech scenarios triggered by floods. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 223, 108504. doi:10.1016/j.ress.2022.108504
  • Çetinyokuş, S. (2018). Consequences Modeling of the Akcagaz Accident through Land Use Planning (LUP) Approach. Iranian Journal of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering-International English Edition, 37(4), 253-264. doi:10.30492/ijcce.2018.35109
  • Demirdöğen, M. M., & Çetinyokuş, S. (2021). Risk Assessment in a Ready-Mixed Concrete Plant Located in an Earthquake Zone. OHS Academic, 3(1), 79-98.
  • eNatech Database. (2022). (Accessed: 14/12/2022) https://enatech.jrc.ec.europa.eu/
  • Girgin, S., & Krausmann, E. (2016). Historical analysis of U.S. onshore hazardous liquid pipeline accidents triggered by natural hazards. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 40, 578-590. doi:10.1016/j.jlp.2016.02.008
  • Girgin, S., Necci, A & Krausmann, E. (2019). Dealing with cascading multi-hazard risks in national risk assessment: The case of Natech accidents. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 35, 101072. doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101072
  • Güneş, Y., & Çetinyokuş, S. (2020). The Problem of Land Use Planning (LUP) for Industrial Accidents in Turkey. Journal of Humanities and Tourism Research, 10(2), 226-248. doi:10.14230/johut768
  • HGM, General Directorate of Mapping. (2022). Physical Map of Erzurum City. (Accessed: 22/03/2022) https://www.harita.gov.tr/urun/erzurum-fiziki-il-haritasi/410
  • Krausmann , E., & Musthaq, F. (2008). A qualitative Natech damage scale for the impact of floods on selected industrial facilities. Natural Hazards, 46, 179-197. doi:10.1007/s11069-007-9203-5
  • Kurt, M. M., & Çetinyokuş, S. (2021, December 17-18). Risk Analysis of Technological Accidents Triggered by Natural Disasters. In: B. Topuz (Eds.), Proceedings of the 12th International Scientific Research Congress - Science and Engineering (UBAK 2021), (pp. 48-59). Ankara, Turkiye.
  • Landucci, G., Necci, A., Antonioni, G., Tugnoli, A., & Cozzani, V. (2014). Release of hazardous substances in flood events: damage model for horizontal cylindrical vessels. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 132, 125-145. doi:10.1016/j.ress.2014.07.016
  • Misuri, A., Antonioni, G., & Cozzani, V. (2020). Quantitative risk assessment of domino effect in Natech scenarios triggered by lightning. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 64, 104095. doi:10.1016/j.jlp.2020.104095
  • Moreno, V. C., Ricci, F., Sorichetti, R., Misuri, A., & Cozzani, V. (2019). Analysis of Past Accidents Triggered by Natural Events in the Chemical and Process Industry. Chemical Engineering Transactions, 74, 1405-1410. doi:10.3303/CET1974235
  • Naderpour, M., Rizeei, H. M., Khakzad, N., & Pradhan, B. (2019). Forest fire induced Natech risk assessment: A survey of geospatial technologies. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 191, 106558. doi:10.1016/j.ress.2019.106558
  • Necci, A., Antonioni, G., Cozzani, V., Krausmann, E., Borghetti, A., & Nucci, C. A. (2013a). A model for process equipment damage probability assessment due to lightning. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 115, 91-99. doi:10.1016/j.ress.2013.02.018
  • Necci, A., Antonioni, G., Cozzani, V., Borghetti, A., & Nucci, C. A. (2013b). Reduction of NaTech Risk Due to Lightning by the Use of Protection Systems. Chemical Engineering Transactions, 31, 763-768. doi:10.3303/CET1331128
  • Necci, A., Antonioni, G., Bonvicini, S., & Cozzani, V. (2016). Quantitative assessment of risk due to major accidents triggered by lightning. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 154, 60-72. doi:10.1016/j.ress.2016.05.009
  • Official Gazette (2019, March 2). Prevention of Major Industrial Accidents and Reduction of Their Effects (Büyük Endüstriyel Kazaların Önlenmesi ve Etkilerinin Azaltılması Hakkında Yönetmelik). Official Gazette of the Republic of Turkey, 30702. https://www.resmigazete.gov.tr/eskiler/2019/03/20190302-1.htm
  • Olivar, O. J. R. (2018). Fragility Assessment Methodology of Storage Tanks in NaTech Events. MSC Thesis, Universidad de los Andes Faculty of Engineering, Department of Chemical Engineering, Bogotá, Colombia.
  • RADSAN. (2021). Radsan Risk Analysis Lightning Rod. (Accessed: 14/12/2022) https://www.radsan.com.tr/images/dosyalar/proje-ornekleri/aktif-paratoner-projeleri-mR/4f1641-aktif-paratoner-projesi-izole-sistem-ct.pdf
  • Renni, E., Krausmann, E., & Cozzani, V. (2010). Industrial accidents triggered by lightning. Journal of Hazardous Materials, 184(1-3), 42-48. doi:10.1016/j.jhazmat.2010.07.118
  • Ricci, F., Moreno, V. C., & Cozzani, V. (2020). Analysis of NaTech Accidents Triggered by Extreme Temperatures in the Chemical and Process Industry. Chemical Engineering Transactions, 82, 79-84. doi:10.3303/CET2082014
  • Ricci, F., Moreno, V. C., & Cozzani, V. (2021). A comprehensive analysis of the occurrence of Natech events in the process industry. Process Safety and Environmental Protection, 147, 703-713. doi:10.1016/j.psep.2020.12.031
  • Rota, R., Caragliano, S., Brambilla, S., & Manca, D. (2008, May 18-23). Comparing floods and industrial accidents: A conceptual framework for multi-risk assessment. In: Proceedings of PSAM-9 International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, (pp. 1668-1675), Hong Kong, China.
  • Wang, J., & Weng, W. (2021). A simplified methodology for rapidly analyzing the effect of multi-hazard scenario on atmospheric storage tanks. Research Square. Preprint. doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-1119680/v1
  • YILKOMER. (2020). Lightning Protection Regulation (Accessed: 14/12/2022) https://www.yilkomer.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/yildirimdan-korunma-yonetmeligi.pdf
  • YILKOMER. (2022). Lightning Protection Levels (Accessed: 14/12/2022) https://www.yilkomer.com/yildirimdan-korunma-seviyeleri/
There are 28 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Journal Section Chemical Engineering
Authors

Meryem Merve Kurt 0000-0002-5879-9527

Saliha Çetinyokuş 0000-0001-9955-6428

Publication Date March 28, 2023
Submission Date July 27, 2022
Published in Issue Year 2023

Cite

APA Kurt, M. M., & Çetinyokuş, S. (2023). Risk Analysis of Natech Accidents Trigged by Lightnings and Floods. Gazi University Journal of Science Part A: Engineering and Innovation, 10(1), 30-52. https://doi.org/10.54287/gujsa.1149380