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Year 2025, Volume: 54 Issue: 2, 255 - 268, 26.08.2025
https://doi.org/10.26650/ibr.2025.54.1438705

Abstract

References

  • Ahir, H., Bloom, N. & Furceri, D. (2020). 60 Years of Uncertainty, Retrieved from https://www.imf.org/Publications/fandd/issues/2020/ 03/imf-launches-world-uncertainty-index-wui-furceri google scholar
  • Anderson, E.W., Ghysels, E. & Juergens, J.L. (2009). The impact of risk and uncertainty on expected returns, Journal of Financial Economics, 94(2), 233–263. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2008.11.001 google scholar
  • Badia, M., Duro, M., Penalva, F. & Ryan, S.G. (2021). Debiasing the Measurement of Conditional Conservatism, Journal of Accounting Research, 59(4), 1221-1259. https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-679X.12366 google scholar
  • Baker, S. R., Bloom, N. & Davis, S. J. (2016). Measuring economic policy uncertainty, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131, 4, 1593–1636. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjw024 google scholar
  • Baker, S. R., Bloom, N. & Davis, S., J. (2013). Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty, Retrieved from http://www.policyuncertainty.com/ media/BakerBloomDavis.pdf google scholar
  • Ball, R. & Shivakumar, L. (2006). The Role of Accruals in Asymmetrically Timely Gain and Loss Recognition, Journal of Accounting Research, 44, 207-242. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-679X.2006.00198.x google scholar
  • Basu, S. (1997). The conservatism principle and the asymmetric timeliness of earnings, Journal of Accounting and Economics, 24(1), 3-37. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-4101(97)00014-1 google scholar
  • Beaver, W. H. & Ryan, S. G. (2000). Biases and Lags in Book Value and Their Effects on the Ability of the Book-to-Market Ratio to Predict Book Return on Equity, Journal of Accounting Research, 38(1), 127-148. https://doi.org/10.2307/2672925 google scholar
  • Bellikli, U. (2019). Muhasebe Muhafazakârlığının Entelektüel Sermaye Üzerindeki Etkisi: Borsa İstanbul (Bist) 100 Endeksi’ndeki İşletmel- erde Bir Araştırma, Doctoral Dissertation, Karadeniz Technical University, Trabzon. google scholar
  • Bellikli, U. & Daştan, A. (2021). Accounting Conservatism and Intellectual Capital: Evidence from Turkey with Comparison Models and Sectors. Ege Academic Review, 21 (4), 333-355. https://doi.org/10.21121/eab.1017873 google scholar
  • Bloom, N. (2014). Fluctuations in Uncertainty, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 28(2), 153–176. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.28.2.153 google scholar
  • Brockman, P., Ma, T. & Ye, J. (2015). CEO compensation risk and timely loss recognition, Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 42(1– 2), 204–236. https://doi.org/10.1111/jbfa.12100 google scholar
  • Budner, S. (1962). Intolerance of ambiguity as a personality variable, Journal of Personality, 30, 29-50. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-6494. 1962.tb02303.x google scholar
  • Cui, X., Ma, T., Xie, X. & Goodell, J.W. (2023). Uncertainty of uncertainty and accounting conservatism, 52, 103525. https://doi.org/10.1016/ j.frl.2022.103525 google scholar
  • Cui, X., Wang, C., Liao, J., Fang, Z. & Cheng, F. (2021). Economic policy uncertainty exposure and corporate innovation investment: evidence from China, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 67, 101533. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2021.101533 google scholar
  • Dai, L. & Ngo, P. (2021). Political uncertainty and accounting conservatism, European Accounting Review, 30(2), 277–307. https://doi.org/ 10.1080/09638180.2020.1760117 google scholar
  • Drechsler, I. (2013). Uncertainty, time-varying fear, and asset prices, The Journal of Finance, 68(5), 1843–1889. https://doi.org/10.1111/ jofi.12068 google scholar
  • Eğilmez, M. (2021). Dünya Belirsizlik Endeksi, Kendime Yazılar, Retrieved from https://www.mahfiegilmez.com/2021/01/dunya-belirsizlik- endeksi.html google scholar
  • Eğilmez, M. (2024). Öngörülebilirlik ve Belirsizlik, Kendime Yazılar, Retrieved from https://www.mahfiegilmez.com/2024/02/ongorulebi lirlik-ve-belirsizlik.html google scholar
  • Givoly, D., Hayn, C. K., & Natarajan, A. (2007). Measuring Reporting Conservatism. The Accounting Review, 82(1), 65–106. https://www. jstor.org/stable/30243458 google scholar
  • Gong, G. & Luo, S. (2018). Lenders’ experience with borrowers’ major customers and the debt contracting demand for accounting conservatism, Accounting Review, 93(5), 187–222. https://doi.org/10.2308/accr-52022 google scholar
  • Goodell, J.W., Goyal, A. & Urquhart, A., (2021). Uncertainty of uncertainty and firm cash holdings, Journal of Financial Stability, 56, 100922. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2021.100922 google scholar
  • Gürsoy S. & Zeren, F. (2022). Ekonomik Politika Belirsizliği ve Borsa İlişkisi: G7 ve BRIC Ülkeleri Örneği, Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, (61), 353–368. https://doi.org/10.18070/erciyesiibd.986321 google scholar
  • https://worlduncertaintyindex.com/ (08.02.2024). google scholar
  • Hui, K.W., Klasa, S. & Yeung, P.E. (2012). Corporate suppliers and customers and accounting conservatism, Journal of Accounting and Economics, 53(1–2), 115–135. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2011.11.007 google scholar
  • International Monetary Fund (IMF) (2012). Coping with High Debt and Sluggish Growth, World Economic Outlook. google scholar
  • Khan, U. & Lo, A.K. (2018). Bank Lending Standards and Borrower Accounting Conservatism, Management Science, 65(11), 5337-5359. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2018.3094 google scholar
  • Neamtiu, M., Shroff, N., White, H.D. & Williams, C.D. (2014). The impact of ambiguity on managerial investment and cash holdings, Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 41(7–8), 1071–1099. https://doi.org/10.1111/jbfa.12079 google scholar
  • Penman, S. H. & Zhang, X.J. (2002). Accounting Conservatism the Quality of Earnings, and Stock Returns, The Accounting Review, 77(2), 237-264. https://www.jstor.org/stable/3068897 google scholar
  • Rothbard, M. N. (2006). Economic Thought Before Adam Smith - An Austrian Perspective on th History of Economic Thought Volume I. Auburn, Alabama: Edward Elgar Publishing, Ltd. google scholar
  • Roychowdhury, S. & Watts, R. L. (2007). Asymmetric Timeliness of Earnings, Market-to Book and Conservatism in Financial Reporting, Journal of Accounting and Economics, 44(1-2), 2-31. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2006.12.003 google scholar
  • Ryan, S. G. (2006). Identifying Conditional Conservatism, European Accounting Review, 15(4), 511-525. https://doi.org/10.1080/ 09638180601102099 google scholar
  • Wang, R. Z. (2009). Accounting Conservatism, Doctoral Dissertation, Victoria University, Wellington. google scholar
  • Yerdelen Tatoğlu, F. (2020). Panel veri ekonometrisi stata uygulamalı, 5. Baskı, Beta Basım Yayım Dağıtım A.Ş., İstanbul. google scholar

The impact of global economic policy uncertainty on accounting conservatism: A research on companies listed in the BIST 100 index

Year 2025, Volume: 54 Issue: 2, 255 - 268, 26.08.2025
https://doi.org/10.26650/ibr.2025.54.1438705

Abstract

The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of global economic policy uncertainty on the level of accounting conservatism of companies listed in the Borsa Istanbul-100 index. Regression developed by Basu (1997) was used to determine the conservatism levels of businesses, and within the scope of the research, the data of 73 companies, whose data were fully accessible for the years 2017-2022 were analyzed with the panel data method. The analysis revealed that the conservatism levels of the examined companies were low during the specified years. However, findings indicated that both global economic policy uncertainty indexes determined by current values and parity increased the level of conservatism in these companies. The results can be interpreted that in times of uncertainty, companies tend to act in the interest of protecting stakeholders’ interests, and managerial behavior tends to avoid opportunistic actions. Furthermore, the increase in conservatism levels due to uncertainty can also help reduce information asymmetry among stakeholders. Businesses may not have many options in situations of uncertainty. However, precautions taken in advance can enable businesses to navigate uncertain environments with minimal damage. Accounting conservatism can provide businesses with this opportunity.

References

  • Ahir, H., Bloom, N. & Furceri, D. (2020). 60 Years of Uncertainty, Retrieved from https://www.imf.org/Publications/fandd/issues/2020/ 03/imf-launches-world-uncertainty-index-wui-furceri google scholar
  • Anderson, E.W., Ghysels, E. & Juergens, J.L. (2009). The impact of risk and uncertainty on expected returns, Journal of Financial Economics, 94(2), 233–263. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2008.11.001 google scholar
  • Badia, M., Duro, M., Penalva, F. & Ryan, S.G. (2021). Debiasing the Measurement of Conditional Conservatism, Journal of Accounting Research, 59(4), 1221-1259. https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-679X.12366 google scholar
  • Baker, S. R., Bloom, N. & Davis, S. J. (2016). Measuring economic policy uncertainty, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131, 4, 1593–1636. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjw024 google scholar
  • Baker, S. R., Bloom, N. & Davis, S., J. (2013). Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty, Retrieved from http://www.policyuncertainty.com/ media/BakerBloomDavis.pdf google scholar
  • Ball, R. & Shivakumar, L. (2006). The Role of Accruals in Asymmetrically Timely Gain and Loss Recognition, Journal of Accounting Research, 44, 207-242. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-679X.2006.00198.x google scholar
  • Basu, S. (1997). The conservatism principle and the asymmetric timeliness of earnings, Journal of Accounting and Economics, 24(1), 3-37. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-4101(97)00014-1 google scholar
  • Beaver, W. H. & Ryan, S. G. (2000). Biases and Lags in Book Value and Their Effects on the Ability of the Book-to-Market Ratio to Predict Book Return on Equity, Journal of Accounting Research, 38(1), 127-148. https://doi.org/10.2307/2672925 google scholar
  • Bellikli, U. (2019). Muhasebe Muhafazakârlığının Entelektüel Sermaye Üzerindeki Etkisi: Borsa İstanbul (Bist) 100 Endeksi’ndeki İşletmel- erde Bir Araştırma, Doctoral Dissertation, Karadeniz Technical University, Trabzon. google scholar
  • Bellikli, U. & Daştan, A. (2021). Accounting Conservatism and Intellectual Capital: Evidence from Turkey with Comparison Models and Sectors. Ege Academic Review, 21 (4), 333-355. https://doi.org/10.21121/eab.1017873 google scholar
  • Bloom, N. (2014). Fluctuations in Uncertainty, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 28(2), 153–176. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.28.2.153 google scholar
  • Brockman, P., Ma, T. & Ye, J. (2015). CEO compensation risk and timely loss recognition, Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 42(1– 2), 204–236. https://doi.org/10.1111/jbfa.12100 google scholar
  • Budner, S. (1962). Intolerance of ambiguity as a personality variable, Journal of Personality, 30, 29-50. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-6494. 1962.tb02303.x google scholar
  • Cui, X., Ma, T., Xie, X. & Goodell, J.W. (2023). Uncertainty of uncertainty and accounting conservatism, 52, 103525. https://doi.org/10.1016/ j.frl.2022.103525 google scholar
  • Cui, X., Wang, C., Liao, J., Fang, Z. & Cheng, F. (2021). Economic policy uncertainty exposure and corporate innovation investment: evidence from China, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 67, 101533. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2021.101533 google scholar
  • Dai, L. & Ngo, P. (2021). Political uncertainty and accounting conservatism, European Accounting Review, 30(2), 277–307. https://doi.org/ 10.1080/09638180.2020.1760117 google scholar
  • Drechsler, I. (2013). Uncertainty, time-varying fear, and asset prices, The Journal of Finance, 68(5), 1843–1889. https://doi.org/10.1111/ jofi.12068 google scholar
  • Eğilmez, M. (2021). Dünya Belirsizlik Endeksi, Kendime Yazılar, Retrieved from https://www.mahfiegilmez.com/2021/01/dunya-belirsizlik- endeksi.html google scholar
  • Eğilmez, M. (2024). Öngörülebilirlik ve Belirsizlik, Kendime Yazılar, Retrieved from https://www.mahfiegilmez.com/2024/02/ongorulebi lirlik-ve-belirsizlik.html google scholar
  • Givoly, D., Hayn, C. K., & Natarajan, A. (2007). Measuring Reporting Conservatism. The Accounting Review, 82(1), 65–106. https://www. jstor.org/stable/30243458 google scholar
  • Gong, G. & Luo, S. (2018). Lenders’ experience with borrowers’ major customers and the debt contracting demand for accounting conservatism, Accounting Review, 93(5), 187–222. https://doi.org/10.2308/accr-52022 google scholar
  • Goodell, J.W., Goyal, A. & Urquhart, A., (2021). Uncertainty of uncertainty and firm cash holdings, Journal of Financial Stability, 56, 100922. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2021.100922 google scholar
  • Gürsoy S. & Zeren, F. (2022). Ekonomik Politika Belirsizliği ve Borsa İlişkisi: G7 ve BRIC Ülkeleri Örneği, Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, (61), 353–368. https://doi.org/10.18070/erciyesiibd.986321 google scholar
  • https://worlduncertaintyindex.com/ (08.02.2024). google scholar
  • Hui, K.W., Klasa, S. & Yeung, P.E. (2012). Corporate suppliers and customers and accounting conservatism, Journal of Accounting and Economics, 53(1–2), 115–135. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2011.11.007 google scholar
  • International Monetary Fund (IMF) (2012). Coping with High Debt and Sluggish Growth, World Economic Outlook. google scholar
  • Khan, U. & Lo, A.K. (2018). Bank Lending Standards and Borrower Accounting Conservatism, Management Science, 65(11), 5337-5359. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2018.3094 google scholar
  • Neamtiu, M., Shroff, N., White, H.D. & Williams, C.D. (2014). The impact of ambiguity on managerial investment and cash holdings, Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 41(7–8), 1071–1099. https://doi.org/10.1111/jbfa.12079 google scholar
  • Penman, S. H. & Zhang, X.J. (2002). Accounting Conservatism the Quality of Earnings, and Stock Returns, The Accounting Review, 77(2), 237-264. https://www.jstor.org/stable/3068897 google scholar
  • Rothbard, M. N. (2006). Economic Thought Before Adam Smith - An Austrian Perspective on th History of Economic Thought Volume I. Auburn, Alabama: Edward Elgar Publishing, Ltd. google scholar
  • Roychowdhury, S. & Watts, R. L. (2007). Asymmetric Timeliness of Earnings, Market-to Book and Conservatism in Financial Reporting, Journal of Accounting and Economics, 44(1-2), 2-31. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2006.12.003 google scholar
  • Ryan, S. G. (2006). Identifying Conditional Conservatism, European Accounting Review, 15(4), 511-525. https://doi.org/10.1080/ 09638180601102099 google scholar
  • Wang, R. Z. (2009). Accounting Conservatism, Doctoral Dissertation, Victoria University, Wellington. google scholar
  • Yerdelen Tatoğlu, F. (2020). Panel veri ekonometrisi stata uygulamalı, 5. Baskı, Beta Basım Yayım Dağıtım A.Ş., İstanbul. google scholar
There are 34 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Business Administration
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Uğur Bellikli 0000-0002-4571-6200

Abdulkerim Daştan 0000-0002-8244-1648

Submission Date February 17, 2024
Acceptance Date July 26, 2025
Early Pub Date September 4, 2025
Publication Date August 26, 2025
Published in Issue Year 2025 Volume: 54 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Bellikli, U., & Daştan, A. (2025). The impact of global economic policy uncertainty on accounting conservatism: A research on companies listed in the BIST 100 index. Istanbul Business Research, 54(2), 255-268. https://doi.org/10.26650/ibr.2025.54.1438705

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