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Exploration of the Foreign Exchange Forward Premiums and the Spot Exchange Return: A Multivariate Approach

Year 2016, Volume: 6 Issue: 2, 694 - 702, 01.04.2016

Nessrine Hamzaoui Boutheina Regaieg

https://izlik.org/JA45GC82PN

Abstract

This paper empirically examines the interdependence between the foreign exchange forward premiums and the spot exchange return through a Multivariate GARCH type framework. The purpose of this study is to test the correlation sensitivity to shocks and the to capture the dynamic links between the EUR/USD 1,3, 6, 9 and 12-month forward premiums and the spot exchange return. Our empirical analysis is based on daily data from January 8, 1999 to January 8, 2016. Our daily analysis reveals the presence of high correlations between the unconditional EUR/USD forward exchange premiums at different horizons and the possible effect of asymmetric shocks on the conditional variance. The estimation results show that the dynamic conditional correlations have a relatively small and insignificant autoregressive effect, in addition to the existence of significant correlation sensitivity to shocks.

Keywords

Forward premium anomaly DCC-MVGARCH conditional volatility Volatility Persistence.

Year 2016, Volume: 6 Issue: 2, 694 - 702, 01.04.2016

Nessrine Hamzaoui Boutheina Regaieg

https://izlik.org/JA45GC82PN

Abstract

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Details

Other ID JA87MP73VM
Authors

Nessrine Hamzaoui This is me

Boutheina Regaieg This is me

Publication Date April 1, 2016
IZ https://izlik.org/JA45GC82PN
Published in Issue Year 2016 Volume: 6 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Hamzaoui, N., & Regaieg, B. (2016). Exploration of the Foreign Exchange Forward Premiums and the Spot Exchange Return: A Multivariate Approach. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 6(2), 694-702. https://izlik.org/JA45GC82PN
AMA 1.Hamzaoui N, Regaieg B. Exploration of the Foreign Exchange Forward Premiums and the Spot Exchange Return: A Multivariate Approach. IJEFI. 2016;6(2):694-702. https://izlik.org/JA45GC82PN
Chicago Hamzaoui, Nessrine, and Boutheina Regaieg. 2016. “Exploration of the Foreign Exchange Forward Premiums and the Spot Exchange Return: A Multivariate Approach”. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues 6 (2): 694-702. https://izlik.org/JA45GC82PN.
EndNote Hamzaoui N, Regaieg B (April 1, 2016) Exploration of the Foreign Exchange Forward Premiums and the Spot Exchange Return: A Multivariate Approach. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues 6 2 694–702.
IEEE [1]N. Hamzaoui and B. Regaieg, “Exploration of the Foreign Exchange Forward Premiums and the Spot Exchange Return: A Multivariate Approach”, IJEFI, vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 694–702, Apr. 2016, [Online]. Available: https://izlik.org/JA45GC82PN
ISNAD Hamzaoui, Nessrine - Regaieg, Boutheina. “Exploration of the Foreign Exchange Forward Premiums and the Spot Exchange Return: A Multivariate Approach”. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues 6/2 (April 1, 2016): 694-702. https://izlik.org/JA45GC82PN.
JAMA 1.Hamzaoui N, Regaieg B. Exploration of the Foreign Exchange Forward Premiums and the Spot Exchange Return: A Multivariate Approach. IJEFI. 2016;6:694–702.
MLA Hamzaoui, Nessrine, and Boutheina Regaieg. “Exploration of the Foreign Exchange Forward Premiums and the Spot Exchange Return: A Multivariate Approach”. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, vol. 6, no. 2, Apr. 2016, pp. 694-02, https://izlik.org/JA45GC82PN.
Vancouver 1.Nessrine Hamzaoui, Boutheina Regaieg. Exploration of the Foreign Exchange Forward Premiums and the Spot Exchange Return: A Multivariate Approach. IJEFI [Internet]. 2016 Apr. 1;6(2):694-702. Available from: https://izlik.org/JA45GC82PN