A CRITICAL REVIEW ON THE EFFECT OF HOUSING INDUSTRY TO THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS: THE CASE OF TURKEY

Abstract

The overall aim of the research presented is to investigate the relationship between the macroeconomic factors linked with financial crises and housing industry in Turkey. The research includes empirical investigation in a regression based model using mostly the Turkish market data. The ability of public intervention, indicated by central bank reserves and corporate bankruptcies are statistically effective in the performance of housing market. There is weak statistical dependence of housing on financial crisis. The research is based on Turkish market data between the period 2002-2009. The research can be extended with global market data especially from the emerging market for a comparative study. Research in this field should focus more to industry dynamics rather than macroeceonomic variables explaining crisis to explore housing sector dynamics. The real estate managers should look to central bank reserves and corporate bankruptcies more closely as a macroeceonomic variable affecting housing industry. The effect of macroeceonomic variables in the period of financial volatility is limited in the housing market, whereas industry factors should be analized. Central bank reserves and corporate bankruptcies are important indicators of housing industry growth that can be used as an instrument. To to the author’s knowledge, the paper is the first study to investigate the link between financial crisis and housing market in Turkey

Keywords

• Housing Market, Financial Crisis, Asset Bubble

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