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Panel Data Analysis of Export Structure and Growth: Case of BRICS-T Countries

Year 2024, , 99 - 120, 04.09.2024
https://doi.org/10.26650/ISTJECON2023-1296901

Abstract

Realisation of specialisation in areas dominated by technological production structure and the technological level of exported goods are essential determinants of macroeconomic performance. Therefore, the export structure and technological level of exported goods are highly significant. In this study, the relationship between real GDP and exports of goods produced in BRICS-T countries with low, medium, and high levels of skill and technology is investigated. In the panel data analysis using data for the period 1995–2020, the cointegration relationship between the variables was examined, and it was concluded that there is no long-run relationship between real GDP and goods produced in labour-resource intensive, low, medium, and high skill and technology levels of countries. In addition, a causality test using Dumitrescu and Hurlin’s (2012) linear heterogeneous model was carried out. The test results showed a unidirectional causality relationship between real GDP and goods with low and high skill and technology but a bidirectional causality relationship between real GDP and labour-resource-intensive goods.

JEL Classification : E60 , F10 , O50

References

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  • Awokuse, T.O. (2007). Causality between exports, imports, and economic growth: Evidence from transition economies. Economics Letters, 94(3), 389-395. google scholar
  • Basu, S.R. & Das, M. (2011). Export structure and economic performance in developing countries: evidence from nonparametric methodology. United Nations Conference On Trade And Development, Policy Issues In International Trade And Commodities Study Series, No.48. google scholar
  • Belkania, D. (2020). Export structure and economic performance in transition economies. European Research Studies Journal, XXIII(1), 476-490. google scholar
  • Breusch, T. & Pagan, A. (1980). The lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253. google scholar
  • Chychkalo-Kondratska, I., Bezrukova, N. & Svichkar, V. (2017). New “stars” of global economy: TICKS comes to replace BRICS. Journal of International Studies, 10(3), 24-34. google scholar
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  • Dündar, N. (2020). İhracat yapısı ve makroekonomik performans arasındaki ilişki: BRICS ülkeleri ve Türkiye için parametrik olmayan bir analiz, (Yayınlanmamış Doktora Tezi). İstanbul Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, İstanbul. google scholar
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  • Fosu, A. K. (1990). Export composition and the impact of exports on economic growth of developing economies. Economics Letters, 34(1), 67-71. google scholar
  • Funke, M. & Ruhwedel, R. (2003). The export variety and economic growth in east European transition economies. BOFIT Discussion Papers, No.8. google scholar
  • Gengenbach C., Urbain, J.& Westerlund, J. (2016). Error Correction testing in panels with common sthocastic trends. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 31, 982-1004. google scholar
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  • Hesse, H. (2008). Export diversification and economic growth. Commission on Growth and Development Working Paper, No.21, 1-26. google scholar
  • Henriques, I. & Sadorsky, P. (1996). Export-Led growth or growth-driven exports. the canadian case. Canadian Journal of Economics, 29(3), 540-555. google scholar
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  • Hu, C. & Tan, Y. (2015). Export spillovers and export performance in China. MPRA Paper, No. 67156. google scholar
  • Im, K., Pesaran, M. H. & Shin, Y. (2003). Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics, 115(1), 53-74 google scholar
  • Jarreau, J.& Poncet, S. (2012). Export sophistication and economic growth: evidence from China. Journal of Development Economics, 97(2), 281-292. google scholar
  • Kadochnikov, S. & Fedyunina, A. (2013). Export diversification ın the product space and regional growth: evidence from Russia”, Utrecht University, Section of Economic Geography, No. 1327. google scholar
  • Khan, T. I., Barua, U. & Bhuiya, I.I. (2015). BRICS Economy: an appealing investment opportunity on the international stage. Journal for Worldwide Holistic Sustainable Development, 1(3), 15-42. google scholar
  • Kunst, R.M. & Marin, D. (1989). On exports and productivity: a causal analysis. Review of Economics andStatistics 71,699-703. google scholar
  • Kwan, A.C.C. & Kwok, B. (1995). Exogenity and the export-led growth hypothesis: the case of China. Southern Economic Journal, 61(8), 1158-1166. google scholar
  • Lall, S. (2000). The technological structure and performance of developing country manufactured exports, 1985-1998. QEH Working Paper Series, No.44. google scholar
  • Lazarov, D. (2019). Empirical analysis of export performance and economic growth: the case of Macedonia, International Journal of Trade and Global Markets. 12(3-4), 381-393. google scholar
  • Lee, J. (2011). Export specialization and economic growth around the world. Economic Systems. 35(1), 45-63. google scholar
  • Mayer, J. & Wood, A. (2001). South Asia’s export structure in a comparative perspective. Oxford Development Studies, 29(1), 5-29. google scholar
  • O’Neill, J. (2001). Building better global economic BRICs. Global Economics Paper, No:66. google scholar
  • Pesaran, M.H. & Yamagata, T. (2008). Testing slope homogeneity in large panels. Journal of Econometric, 142(1), 50-93. google scholar
  • Peseran, M. H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22(2), 265-312. google scholar
  • Sun, P. & Heshmati, A. (2010). International trade and its effects on economic growth in China. IZA Discussion Paper, No.5151. google scholar
  • Tatoğlu, F. Y. (2020), Panel Zaman Serileri Analizi, 3.Baskı, İstanbul: Beta Yayımcılık. google scholar
  • Taş, N. (2012). Ekonomik değişkenlerin panel veri analizi ile çözümlenmesi. (Yayınlanmamış Doktora Tezi). İstanbul Üniversitesi Sosyal google scholar
Year 2024, , 99 - 120, 04.09.2024
https://doi.org/10.26650/ISTJECON2023-1296901

Abstract

References

  • Aditya, A. & Acharyya, R. (2013). Export diversification, composition, and economic growth: evidence from cross-country analysis, The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 22(7), 959-992. google scholar
  • Akbulut Yıldız, G. & Adıyaman, G. (2021). Yüksek teknolojili ürün ihracatının ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisi: üst orta gelirli ülkeler için panel veri analizi. Verimlilik Dergisi, (3), 249-261. google scholar
  • Altunç, Ö.F. & Aydın, C. (2015). The Relationship between export structure and economic performance: an amprical analysis for selected G-20 countries. Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi ,(14), 423-444. google scholar
  • Awokuse, T.O. (2003). Is the export-led growth hypothesis: valid for Canada. Canadian Journal of Economics, 36(1), 126-136. google scholar
  • Awokuse, T.O. (2007). Causality between exports, imports, and economic growth: Evidence from transition economies. Economics Letters, 94(3), 389-395. google scholar
  • Basu, S.R. & Das, M. (2011). Export structure and economic performance in developing countries: evidence from nonparametric methodology. United Nations Conference On Trade And Development, Policy Issues In International Trade And Commodities Study Series, No.48. google scholar
  • Belkania, D. (2020). Export structure and economic performance in transition economies. European Research Studies Journal, XXIII(1), 476-490. google scholar
  • Breusch, T. & Pagan, A. (1980). The lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253. google scholar
  • Chychkalo-Kondratska, I., Bezrukova, N. & Svichkar, V. (2017). New “stars” of global economy: TICKS comes to replace BRICS. Journal of International Studies, 10(3), 24-34. google scholar
  • Demir, O. (2018). Does high tech exports really matter for economic growth? a panel approach for upper middle-income economies. AJIT-e: Online Academic Journal of Information Technology, 9(30), 43-54. google scholar
  • Dumitrescu, E. & Hurlin, C. (2012). Testing for granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels. Economic Modelling, 29(4), 1450-1460. google scholar
  • Dündar, N. (2020). İhracat yapısı ve makroekonomik performans arasındaki ilişki: BRICS ülkeleri ve Türkiye için parametrik olmayan bir analiz, (Yayınlanmamış Doktora Tezi). İstanbul Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, İstanbul. google scholar
  • Erdil Sahin, B., (2019). Impact of high technology export on economic growth: an analysis on Turkey. Journal of Business, Economics and Finance (JBEF), 8(3), 165-172. google scholar
  • Fosu, A. K. (1990). Export composition and the impact of exports on economic growth of developing economies. Economics Letters, 34(1), 67-71. google scholar
  • Funke, M. & Ruhwedel, R. (2003). The export variety and economic growth in east European transition economies. BOFIT Discussion Papers, No.8. google scholar
  • Gengenbach C., Urbain, J.& Westerlund, J. (2016). Error Correction testing in panels with common sthocastic trends. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 31, 982-1004. google scholar
  • Gertler, P. (2006). Export structure quality and economic growth. National Economy Issues, BIATEC, Vol XIV, 13-17. google scholar
  • Gözgör, G., & Can, M. (2017). Causal linkages among the product export diversification, economic globalization and economic growth. Review of Development Economics, 21(3), 888-908. google scholar
  • Guerson, A, Parks, J. & Torrado, M.P. (2007). Export structure and growth a detailed analysis for Argentina. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, 1(4237), 1-41. google scholar
  • Gylfason, T. (1997). Exports, inflation and growth. IMF Working Paper, WP/119. google scholar
  • Hesse, H. (2008). Export diversification and economic growth. Commission on Growth and Development Working Paper, No.21, 1-26. google scholar
  • Henriques, I. & Sadorsky, P. (1996). Export-Led growth or growth-driven exports. the canadian case. Canadian Journal of Economics, 29(3), 540-555. google scholar
  • Carter Hill, R.,Griffiths, W.E., & Lim, G.C. (2011). Principles of Econometrics, 4.th Edit., John Wiley & Sons google scholar
  • Hu, C. & Tan, Y. (2015). Export spillovers and export performance in China. MPRA Paper, No. 67156. google scholar
  • Im, K., Pesaran, M. H. & Shin, Y. (2003). Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics, 115(1), 53-74 google scholar
  • Jarreau, J.& Poncet, S. (2012). Export sophistication and economic growth: evidence from China. Journal of Development Economics, 97(2), 281-292. google scholar
  • Kadochnikov, S. & Fedyunina, A. (2013). Export diversification ın the product space and regional growth: evidence from Russia”, Utrecht University, Section of Economic Geography, No. 1327. google scholar
  • Khan, T. I., Barua, U. & Bhuiya, I.I. (2015). BRICS Economy: an appealing investment opportunity on the international stage. Journal for Worldwide Holistic Sustainable Development, 1(3), 15-42. google scholar
  • Kunst, R.M. & Marin, D. (1989). On exports and productivity: a causal analysis. Review of Economics andStatistics 71,699-703. google scholar
  • Kwan, A.C.C. & Kwok, B. (1995). Exogenity and the export-led growth hypothesis: the case of China. Southern Economic Journal, 61(8), 1158-1166. google scholar
  • Lall, S. (2000). The technological structure and performance of developing country manufactured exports, 1985-1998. QEH Working Paper Series, No.44. google scholar
  • Lazarov, D. (2019). Empirical analysis of export performance and economic growth: the case of Macedonia, International Journal of Trade and Global Markets. 12(3-4), 381-393. google scholar
  • Lee, J. (2011). Export specialization and economic growth around the world. Economic Systems. 35(1), 45-63. google scholar
  • Mayer, J. & Wood, A. (2001). South Asia’s export structure in a comparative perspective. Oxford Development Studies, 29(1), 5-29. google scholar
  • O’Neill, J. (2001). Building better global economic BRICs. Global Economics Paper, No:66. google scholar
  • Pesaran, M.H. & Yamagata, T. (2008). Testing slope homogeneity in large panels. Journal of Econometric, 142(1), 50-93. google scholar
  • Peseran, M. H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22(2), 265-312. google scholar
  • Sun, P. & Heshmati, A. (2010). International trade and its effects on economic growth in China. IZA Discussion Paper, No.5151. google scholar
  • Tatoğlu, F. Y. (2020), Panel Zaman Serileri Analizi, 3.Baskı, İstanbul: Beta Yayımcılık. google scholar
  • Taş, N. (2012). Ekonomik değişkenlerin panel veri analizi ile çözümlenmesi. (Yayınlanmamış Doktora Tezi). İstanbul Üniversitesi Sosyal google scholar
There are 40 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Business Administration
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Necip Dündar

Yüksel Bayraktar This is me

Publication Date September 4, 2024
Submission Date May 14, 2023
Published in Issue Year 2024

Cite

APA Dündar, N., & Bayraktar, Y. (2024). Panel Data Analysis of Export Structure and Growth: Case of BRICS-T Countries. İstanbul İktisat Dergisi, 74(1), 99-120. https://doi.org/10.26650/ISTJECON2023-1296901
AMA Dündar N, Bayraktar Y. Panel Data Analysis of Export Structure and Growth: Case of BRICS-T Countries. İstanbul İktisat Dergisi. September 2024;74(1):99-120. doi:10.26650/ISTJECON2023-1296901
Chicago Dündar, Necip, and Yüksel Bayraktar. “Panel Data Analysis of Export Structure and Growth: Case of BRICS-T Countries”. İstanbul İktisat Dergisi 74, no. 1 (September 2024): 99-120. https://doi.org/10.26650/ISTJECON2023-1296901.
EndNote Dündar N, Bayraktar Y (September 1, 2024) Panel Data Analysis of Export Structure and Growth: Case of BRICS-T Countries. İstanbul İktisat Dergisi 74 1 99–120.
IEEE N. Dündar and Y. Bayraktar, “Panel Data Analysis of Export Structure and Growth: Case of BRICS-T Countries”, İstanbul İktisat Dergisi, vol. 74, no. 1, pp. 99–120, 2024, doi: 10.26650/ISTJECON2023-1296901.
ISNAD Dündar, Necip - Bayraktar, Yüksel. “Panel Data Analysis of Export Structure and Growth: Case of BRICS-T Countries”. İstanbul İktisat Dergisi 74/1 (September 2024), 99-120. https://doi.org/10.26650/ISTJECON2023-1296901.
JAMA Dündar N, Bayraktar Y. Panel Data Analysis of Export Structure and Growth: Case of BRICS-T Countries. İstanbul İktisat Dergisi. 2024;74:99–120.
MLA Dündar, Necip and Yüksel Bayraktar. “Panel Data Analysis of Export Structure and Growth: Case of BRICS-T Countries”. İstanbul İktisat Dergisi, vol. 74, no. 1, 2024, pp. 99-120, doi:10.26650/ISTJECON2023-1296901.
Vancouver Dündar N, Bayraktar Y. Panel Data Analysis of Export Structure and Growth: Case of BRICS-T Countries. İstanbul İktisat Dergisi. 2024;74(1):99-120.