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Nükleer Enerji Tüketimi ve Ekonomik Performans Arasındaki İlişki: Seçilmiş Ülkeler Üzerine Ampirik Bir Analiz

Year 2020, , 2636 - 2661, 30.09.2020
https://doi.org/10.15869/itobiad.785764

Abstract

Gelişmekte olan ülkelerin kalkınması için, enerji üretimi önem arzetmektedir. Ülkelerin nükleer enerji geleceği ise o ülkede yaşayan insanların hoşgörülerini kazanmasına ve emniyetli bir şekilde bu hoşgörüyü devam ettirebilmesine bağlı bulunmaktadır. Özellikle sanayileşmiş ülkeler için bu önemli bir koşul olarak görülmektedir. Gelişmekte olan ülkelerde nükleer enerjiden endüstriyel anlamda faydalanılmasa bile tıbbi anlamda, radyoaktif muayene ve çeşitli alanlarda yararlanılmaktadır. Çalışmada nükleer enerji tüketiminde ilk sıralarda yer alan ülkelerde nükleer enerji tüketimi ile ekonomik performans arasındaki ilişkinin ekonometrik analizlerle ortaya konulması ve politika karar vericilere tavsiye niteliğinde önermelerde bulunulması amaçlanmıştır. Bu amaç doğrultusunda Dünya’da nükleer enerji tüketiminde ilk sıralarda yer alan Almanya, Amerika Birleşik Devletleri, Birleşik Krallık, Çin, Fransa, Güney Kore, Hindistan, Japonya, Kanada, Rusya ve Ukrayna gibi ülkelerde nükleer enerji tüketimi ile ekonomik performans arasında uzun veya kısa dönemli bir ilişkinin olup olmadığı panel veri yöntemleri ile araştırılmıştır. Analizde Dünya Bankası Kalkınma Göstergeleri ve BP Dünya Enerji İstatistikleri Raporları’ndan derlenen 1997-2017 dönemine ait normalize edilmiş yıllık veriler kullanılarak Havuzlanmış Ortalama Grup Tahmincisi (PMGE), Ortalama Grup Tahmincisi (MGE) ve Dinamik Sabit Etkiler (DFE) yöntemlerine başvurulmuştur. Stata programı aracılığıyla yapılan ekonometrik analiz sonucunda nükleer enerji tüketimi ekonomik performans üzerinde kısa dönemde etkili olmaz iken uzun dönemde Japonya dışında diğer ülkelerde nükleer enerji tüketiminin ekonomik performans üzerinde etkili olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Panel veri yönteminde her bir ülke için ayrı ayrı sonuçlar sağlayan analizden çıkan bulguların politika karar vericiler tarafından dikkate alınarak uygun ekonomi politikalarının izlenmesi ekonomik performans ve etkinlik açısından önemli olacaktır.

References

  • Apergis, N. & Payne, J. E. (2010). A Panel Study of Nuclear Energy Consumption and Economic Growth. Energy Economics, 32, pp. 545-549.
  • Apergis, N., Payne J. E., Menyah K. & Yemane, W., R. (2010). On The Causal Dynamics Between Emissions, Nuclear Energy, Renewable Energy And Economic Growth. Ecological Economics, 69, pp. 2255-2260.
  • Aslan, A. & Çam, Seçil. (2013). Alternative and Nuclear ConsumptionEconomic Growth Nexus for Israel: Evidence Based on Bootstrap-Corrected Causality Tests. Progress in Nuclear Energy, 62, pp. 50-53.
  • Chang, Y. (2004). Bootstrap Unit Root Tests in Panels with Cross Sectional Dependency, Journal of Econometrics, 120(2), 263-293.
  • Chang, T. & Gatwabuyege, F., Gupta,R., Inglesi-Lotz,R., Manjezi, N.C., Simo-Kengne, B.D. (2014). Causal Relationship Between Nuclear Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in G6 Countries: Evidence From Panel Granger Causality Tests. Progress in Nuclear Energy, 46, pp. 187-193.
  • Chu, H. P. & Chang, T. (2012). Nuclear Energy Consumption, Oil Consumption and Economic Growth in G-6 Countries: Bootstrap Panel Causality Test, Energy Policy, 48,762-769.
  • Chudik, A. & Pesaran, M. H. (2013). Large panel data models with cross-sectional dependence: a survey. CAFE Research Paper, (13.15).
  • Erden, B. (1990). Çağımız ve Çevre Kirliliği. Ankara: Kadıoğlu Publishing.
  • Ferguson, C. D. (2015). Nükleer Enerji Herkesin Bilmesi Gerekenler. Ankara: Ankamat Publishing.
  • Gülbahar, N. & Kılınç, M.Y. (2011). Enerji Güvenliği ve Türkiye. In 6. International Advanced Technologies Symposium (IATS'11), pp. 16-18.
  • Heo, J.-Y., Yoo, S.-H. & Kwak S.J. (2011). The Causal Relationship Between Nuclear Energy Consumption and Economic Growth İn India. Energy Sources, pp.111-117.
  • Kızıltan, O. (2010). Nükleer Enerjinin Türkiye'de Enerji İhtiyacını Karşılamadaki Rolü. Unpublished Master Thesis. Istanbul: Istanbul University Institute of Social Sciences, Department of Economics.
  • Lee C. C. & Chiu, Y. B. (2011a). Nuclear energy consumption, oil prices, and economic growth: Evidence from highly industrialized countries. Energy Economics, 33(2), pp. 236-248.
  • Lee C. C. & Chiu, Y.B. (2011b). Oil Prices, Nuclear Energy Consumption and Economic Growth: New Evidence Using a Heterogeneous Panel Analysis. Energy Policy, 39(4), pp. 2111-2120.
  • Luqman, M., Ahmad, N. & Bakhsh, K. (2019). Nuclear Energy, Renewable Energy And Economic Growth in Pakistan: Evidence from Non-Linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model. Renewable energy, 139, pp.1299-1309.
  • Mbarek, M. B., Khairallah, R. & Feki R. (2015). Causality Relationships Between Renewable Energy, Nuclear Energy And Economic Growth in France. Environment Systems and Decisions, 35(1), pp.133-142.
  • Mbarek, M.B., Nasreen, S. & Feki, R. (2017). The Contribution of Nuclear Energy To Economic Growth in France: Short and Long Run, Quality and Quality, 51: pp. 219-238.
  • Menyah, K. & Wolde-Rufael, Y. (2010). Co2 Emissions, Nuclear Energy Renewable Energy and Economic Growth in The US. Energy Policy, 38(6), pp. 2911-2915.
  • Moralı, D. (2004). Radyoaktif Kapitalizm-Nükleer Santrallere Marksist Tutum. İstanbul: Tarih Bilinci Publishing.
  • Nazlıoğlu, S., Lebe F. & Kayhan S. (2011), Nuclear Energy Consumption And Economic Growth in OECD Countries: CrossSectionally Depend Heterogeneous Panel Causality Analysis.
  • Omri A., Chaibi A., (2014). Nuclear Energy, Renewable Energy, And Economic Growth in Developed And Developing Countries: A Modelling Analysis From Simultaneous-Equation Models, No 2014-188, Working Papers, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  • Omri, A., Mabrouk, N. B. & Tmar A. S. (2015). Modeling The Causal Linkages Between Nuclear Energy, Renewable Energy And Economic Growth in Developed And Developing Countries. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 42,pp.1012-1022.
  • Ozcan, B. & Ari, A. (2016). Nuclear Energy-Economic Growth Nexus in OECD Countries A Panel Data Analysis. Atw Internationale Zeitschrift fuer Kernenergie, 61(1), pp.13-21.
  • Ozden, N. (1983). Nükleer Çağın İlk 40 Yılı. İstanbul: Nuclear Energy Institute Publications.
  • Oztürk, I., Acaravcı, A. (2011). Electricity Consumption and Real GDP Causality Nexus: Evidence From Ardl Bounds Testing Approach For 11 Mena Countries. Applied Energy, pp.2885-2892.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2004). General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels. Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, 435.
  • Pesaran, M. H. & Yamagata, T. (2008). Testing Slope Homogeneity in Large Panels, Journal of Econometrics, 142(1), 50-93.
  • Saidi, K. & Mbarek M. B. (2016). Nuclear Energy, Renewable Energy, CO2 Emissions, and Economic Growth for Nine Developed Countries: Evidence From Panel Granger Causality Tests. Progress in Nuclear Energy, 88, pp. 364-374.
  • Seyidoğlu, H. (2006). İktisat Biliminin Temelleri. Güzem Can Publishing.
  • Şimşek, T. & Aydın, H. İ. (2018). Gelişmiş Ülkelerde Nükleer Enerji Tüketimi Ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi Üzerine Panel Veri Analizi, Suleyman Demirel University Journal of Faculty Of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 23.
  • Şimşek, T. & Yiğit, E. (2017). BRICT Ülkelerinde Yenilenebilir Enerji Tüketimi, Petrol Fiyatları, CO2 Emisyonu, Kentleşme ve Ekonomik Büyüme Üzerine Nedensellik Analizi. Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 12(3), 117-136.
  • TAEK. (2005) Türkiye Atom Enerjisi Kurumu. Retrieved from http://www.taek.gov.tr/tr/2016-06-09-00-43-55/135-gunumuzde-nuk leer-enerji-rapor/832-bolum-08-uluslararasinukle erduzenlemeler-ve-nukleer-silahlarin-yayilmasinin-onlenmesi.html Access Date: December 2018.
  • Tatoğlu, F. Y. (2012). Panel veri ekonometrisi. Beta Publisher.
  • Tuğrul, A. B. (2006). Türkiye'nin Nükleer Enerji Seçeneği. Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma için Nükleer Enerji, pp. 28-40. İstanbul: Tasam Publisher.
  • Turan, T. (2008). İktisadi Büyüme Teorisine Giriş. İstanbul: Yalın Publisher.
  • Yıldırım, M. & Örnek, İ. (2007). Enerjide Son Seçim: Nükleer Enerji. Gaziantep University Journal of Social Sciences, pp. 32-44.
  • Wolde-Rufael, Y. (2010). Bounds Test Approach to Cointegration and Causality Between Nuclear Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in India. Energy Policy, 38(1), pp. 52-58.
  • Wolde-Rufael, Y. (2012). Nuclear Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Taiwan. Energy sources, 7(1), pp. 21-27.
  • Wolde-Rufael, Y. & Menyah, K. (2010). Nuclear Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Nine Developed Countries. Energy Economics, 32(3), pp.550-556.

The Relationship Between Nuclear Energy Consumption And Economic Performance: An Empiric Analysis on Selected Countries

Year 2020, , 2636 - 2661, 30.09.2020
https://doi.org/10.15869/itobiad.785764

Abstract

Energy production is important for the development of developing countries. The future of nuclear energy depends on the people living in that country gaining their tolerance and being able to continue this tolerance in a safe way. This is seen as an important condition, especially for industrialized countries. In developing countries, even if nuclear energy is not used in industrial terms, it is used in medical terms, radioactive examination and various fields. The aim of the study is to determine the relationship between nuclear energy consumption and economic performance in the countries that are ranked first in nuclear energy consumption by econometric analyses and to make recommendations to policy decision makers. For this purpose, it has been investigated whether there is a long or short term relationship between nuclear energy consumption and economic performance in countries (Germany, the United States, the United Kingdom, China, France, South Korea, India, Japan, Canada, Russia and Ukraine) that are in the first place in nuclear energy consumption in the world by using panel data methods. In the analysis, Pooled Mean Group Estimator (PMGE), Mean Group Estimator (MGE) and Dynamic Fixed Effects (DFE) methods are used using the normalized annual data for the period 1997-2017 compiled from the World Bank Development Indicators and BP World Energy Statistics Reports. As a result of the econometric analysis conducted through the Stata program, it has been concluded that nuclear energy consumption does not have an impact on economic performance in the short term, whereas nuclear energy consumption in other countries, except Japan, has an impact on economic performance in the long term. In the panel data method, it will be important for economic performance and efficiency to be followed by policy decision makers considering the findings from the analysis provided for each country separately.

References

  • Apergis, N. & Payne, J. E. (2010). A Panel Study of Nuclear Energy Consumption and Economic Growth. Energy Economics, 32, pp. 545-549.
  • Apergis, N., Payne J. E., Menyah K. & Yemane, W., R. (2010). On The Causal Dynamics Between Emissions, Nuclear Energy, Renewable Energy And Economic Growth. Ecological Economics, 69, pp. 2255-2260.
  • Aslan, A. & Çam, Seçil. (2013). Alternative and Nuclear ConsumptionEconomic Growth Nexus for Israel: Evidence Based on Bootstrap-Corrected Causality Tests. Progress in Nuclear Energy, 62, pp. 50-53.
  • Chang, Y. (2004). Bootstrap Unit Root Tests in Panels with Cross Sectional Dependency, Journal of Econometrics, 120(2), 263-293.
  • Chang, T. & Gatwabuyege, F., Gupta,R., Inglesi-Lotz,R., Manjezi, N.C., Simo-Kengne, B.D. (2014). Causal Relationship Between Nuclear Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in G6 Countries: Evidence From Panel Granger Causality Tests. Progress in Nuclear Energy, 46, pp. 187-193.
  • Chu, H. P. & Chang, T. (2012). Nuclear Energy Consumption, Oil Consumption and Economic Growth in G-6 Countries: Bootstrap Panel Causality Test, Energy Policy, 48,762-769.
  • Chudik, A. & Pesaran, M. H. (2013). Large panel data models with cross-sectional dependence: a survey. CAFE Research Paper, (13.15).
  • Erden, B. (1990). Çağımız ve Çevre Kirliliği. Ankara: Kadıoğlu Publishing.
  • Ferguson, C. D. (2015). Nükleer Enerji Herkesin Bilmesi Gerekenler. Ankara: Ankamat Publishing.
  • Gülbahar, N. & Kılınç, M.Y. (2011). Enerji Güvenliği ve Türkiye. In 6. International Advanced Technologies Symposium (IATS'11), pp. 16-18.
  • Heo, J.-Y., Yoo, S.-H. & Kwak S.J. (2011). The Causal Relationship Between Nuclear Energy Consumption and Economic Growth İn India. Energy Sources, pp.111-117.
  • Kızıltan, O. (2010). Nükleer Enerjinin Türkiye'de Enerji İhtiyacını Karşılamadaki Rolü. Unpublished Master Thesis. Istanbul: Istanbul University Institute of Social Sciences, Department of Economics.
  • Lee C. C. & Chiu, Y. B. (2011a). Nuclear energy consumption, oil prices, and economic growth: Evidence from highly industrialized countries. Energy Economics, 33(2), pp. 236-248.
  • Lee C. C. & Chiu, Y.B. (2011b). Oil Prices, Nuclear Energy Consumption and Economic Growth: New Evidence Using a Heterogeneous Panel Analysis. Energy Policy, 39(4), pp. 2111-2120.
  • Luqman, M., Ahmad, N. & Bakhsh, K. (2019). Nuclear Energy, Renewable Energy And Economic Growth in Pakistan: Evidence from Non-Linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model. Renewable energy, 139, pp.1299-1309.
  • Mbarek, M. B., Khairallah, R. & Feki R. (2015). Causality Relationships Between Renewable Energy, Nuclear Energy And Economic Growth in France. Environment Systems and Decisions, 35(1), pp.133-142.
  • Mbarek, M.B., Nasreen, S. & Feki, R. (2017). The Contribution of Nuclear Energy To Economic Growth in France: Short and Long Run, Quality and Quality, 51: pp. 219-238.
  • Menyah, K. & Wolde-Rufael, Y. (2010). Co2 Emissions, Nuclear Energy Renewable Energy and Economic Growth in The US. Energy Policy, 38(6), pp. 2911-2915.
  • Moralı, D. (2004). Radyoaktif Kapitalizm-Nükleer Santrallere Marksist Tutum. İstanbul: Tarih Bilinci Publishing.
  • Nazlıoğlu, S., Lebe F. & Kayhan S. (2011), Nuclear Energy Consumption And Economic Growth in OECD Countries: CrossSectionally Depend Heterogeneous Panel Causality Analysis.
  • Omri A., Chaibi A., (2014). Nuclear Energy, Renewable Energy, And Economic Growth in Developed And Developing Countries: A Modelling Analysis From Simultaneous-Equation Models, No 2014-188, Working Papers, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  • Omri, A., Mabrouk, N. B. & Tmar A. S. (2015). Modeling The Causal Linkages Between Nuclear Energy, Renewable Energy And Economic Growth in Developed And Developing Countries. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 42,pp.1012-1022.
  • Ozcan, B. & Ari, A. (2016). Nuclear Energy-Economic Growth Nexus in OECD Countries A Panel Data Analysis. Atw Internationale Zeitschrift fuer Kernenergie, 61(1), pp.13-21.
  • Ozden, N. (1983). Nükleer Çağın İlk 40 Yılı. İstanbul: Nuclear Energy Institute Publications.
  • Oztürk, I., Acaravcı, A. (2011). Electricity Consumption and Real GDP Causality Nexus: Evidence From Ardl Bounds Testing Approach For 11 Mena Countries. Applied Energy, pp.2885-2892.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2004). General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels. Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, 435.
  • Pesaran, M. H. & Yamagata, T. (2008). Testing Slope Homogeneity in Large Panels, Journal of Econometrics, 142(1), 50-93.
  • Saidi, K. & Mbarek M. B. (2016). Nuclear Energy, Renewable Energy, CO2 Emissions, and Economic Growth for Nine Developed Countries: Evidence From Panel Granger Causality Tests. Progress in Nuclear Energy, 88, pp. 364-374.
  • Seyidoğlu, H. (2006). İktisat Biliminin Temelleri. Güzem Can Publishing.
  • Şimşek, T. & Aydın, H. İ. (2018). Gelişmiş Ülkelerde Nükleer Enerji Tüketimi Ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi Üzerine Panel Veri Analizi, Suleyman Demirel University Journal of Faculty Of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 23.
  • Şimşek, T. & Yiğit, E. (2017). BRICT Ülkelerinde Yenilenebilir Enerji Tüketimi, Petrol Fiyatları, CO2 Emisyonu, Kentleşme ve Ekonomik Büyüme Üzerine Nedensellik Analizi. Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 12(3), 117-136.
  • TAEK. (2005) Türkiye Atom Enerjisi Kurumu. Retrieved from http://www.taek.gov.tr/tr/2016-06-09-00-43-55/135-gunumuzde-nuk leer-enerji-rapor/832-bolum-08-uluslararasinukle erduzenlemeler-ve-nukleer-silahlarin-yayilmasinin-onlenmesi.html Access Date: December 2018.
  • Tatoğlu, F. Y. (2012). Panel veri ekonometrisi. Beta Publisher.
  • Tuğrul, A. B. (2006). Türkiye'nin Nükleer Enerji Seçeneği. Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma için Nükleer Enerji, pp. 28-40. İstanbul: Tasam Publisher.
  • Turan, T. (2008). İktisadi Büyüme Teorisine Giriş. İstanbul: Yalın Publisher.
  • Yıldırım, M. & Örnek, İ. (2007). Enerjide Son Seçim: Nükleer Enerji. Gaziantep University Journal of Social Sciences, pp. 32-44.
  • Wolde-Rufael, Y. (2010). Bounds Test Approach to Cointegration and Causality Between Nuclear Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in India. Energy Policy, 38(1), pp. 52-58.
  • Wolde-Rufael, Y. (2012). Nuclear Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Taiwan. Energy sources, 7(1), pp. 21-27.
  • Wolde-Rufael, Y. & Menyah, K. (2010). Nuclear Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Nine Developed Countries. Energy Economics, 32(3), pp.550-556.
There are 39 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Economics
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Türker Şimşek 0000-0001-7581-7590

Cihan Usta 0000-0001-8790-9505

Publication Date September 30, 2020
Published in Issue Year 2020

Cite

APA Şimşek, T., & Usta, C. (2020). The Relationship Between Nuclear Energy Consumption And Economic Performance: An Empiric Analysis on Selected Countries. İnsan Ve Toplum Bilimleri Araştırmaları Dergisi, 9(3), 2636-2661. https://doi.org/10.15869/itobiad.785764
İnsan ve Toplum Bilimleri Araştırmaları Dergisi  Creative Commons Atıf-GayriTicari 4.0 Uluslararası Lisansı (CC BY NC) ile lisanslanmıştır.