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TİCARİ VE FİNANSAL DIŞA AÇIKLIK İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ: TÜRKİYE ÜZERİNE BİR UYGULAMA

Year 2007, Issue: 5, 67 - 89, 19.09.2011

Yrd. Doç. Dr. Sevda Yapraklı

Abstract

Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye’de ticari ve finansal dışa açıklık ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkiyi
incelemektir. Bu amaçla 1990:1-2006:4 dönemi için, ticari ve finansal dışa açıklık oranları ile ekonomik büyüme
oranı arasındaki ilişkiler, çok değişkenli eş-bütünleşme analizi, hata düzeltme-geliştirilmiş Granger nedensellik
testleri ve vektör hata düzeltme modeli kullanılarak ekonometrik açıdan analiz edilmektedir. Analiz sonuçlarına
göre, uzun dönemde ekonomik büyüme ticari açıklıktan pozitif, finansal açıklıktan negatif olarak
etkilenmektedir. Hata düzeltme-geliştirilmiş Granger nedensellik testleri, ticari ve finansal açıklık ile ekonomik
büyüme arasında iki yönlü nedenselliğin bulunduğunu göstermektedir. Ayrıca, ticari açıklıktan finansal açıklığa
doğru tek yönlü nedenselliğin bulunduğu görülmektedir.

Keywords

Ticari Dışa Açıklık Finansal Dışa Açıklık Ekonomik Büyüme Türkiye Ekonomisi Zaman Serileri Birim Kök Granger Nedenselliği VEC Modeli

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Year 2007, Issue: 5, 67 - 89, 19.09.2011

Yrd. Doç. Dr. Sevda Yapraklı

Abstract

References

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  • Edison, H.J., Levine, R., Ricci, L.A. ve Slok, T. (2002); “International Financial Integration and Economic Growth”, Journal of International Money and Finance, 21(6), 749-776.
  • Edison, H.J., Klein, M., Ricci, L.A. ve Slok, T. (2004); “Capital Account Liberalization and Economic Performance: Survey and Synthesis”, IMF Staff Papers, 51(2), 220-56.
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  • Edwards, S. ve Van Wijnbergen, S. (1986); “The Welfare Effects of Trade and Capital Market Liberalization”, International Economic Review, 27(1), 141-48.
  • Engle, R.F. ve Granger, C.W.J. (1987); “Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation and Testing”, Econometrica, 55, 251-276.
  • Esfahani, H.S. (1991); “Exports, Imports and Economic Growth in Semi-Industrialized Countries”, Journal of Development Economics, 35, 93-116.
  • Feijen, E. ve Perotti, E.C. (2005); “The Political Economy of Financial Fragility,” CEPR Discussion Papers, http://www.cepr.org/pubs/dps/DP5317.asp, (07.02.2007).
  • Frankel, J.A. ve Romer, D. (1999); “Does Trade Cause Growth?”, American Economic Review, 89(3), 379- 399.
  • Frankel, J.A. ve Cavallo, E.A. (2004); “Does Openness to Trade make Countries more Volnurable to Sudden Stops, or Less? Using Gravity to Establish Causality”, NBER Working Paper No:10957, http://www.nber.org/papers/w10957, (15.12.2006).
  • Galindo, A. Micco, A. ve Ordonez, G. (2002); “Financial Liberalization and Growth: Empirical Evidence”, Inter American Development Bank, http://www.worldbank.org, (01.03.2007).
  • Ghali, K. (1999); “Financial Development and Economic Growth: The Tynisian Experience”, Review of Development Economics, 3(3), 310-322.
  • Ghartey, E.E. (1993); “Causal Relationship Between Exports and Economic Growth: Some Empirical Evidence in Taiwan, Japan and the U.S.”, Applied Economics, 25(9), 1145-52.
  • Ghatak, S. Milner, C., ve Utkulu, U. (1997); “Exports, Export Composition and Economic Growth: Cointegration and Causality Evidence for Malaysia’, Applied Economics, 29, 213-223.
  • Greenaway, D., Morgan, W. ve Wright, P. (2002); “Trade Liberalisation and Growth in Developing Countries”, Journal of Development Economics, 67, 229-244.
  • Grilli, V. ve Milesi-Ferretti, G.M. (1995); “Economic Effects and Structural Determinants of Capital Controls”, IMF Staff Papers, 42(3), 517-551.
  • Gujarati, D.N. (1999); Temel Ekonometri, (Çev. Şenesen, Ü.; Şenesen, G.G.), Literatür Yayınları, İstanbul.
  • Gürsoy, T. ve Müslümov, A. (1998); Stock Markets and Economic Growth: A Causality Test, MBA Thesis, Institute of Social Sciences, Istanbul.
  • Haring, J.E. ve Humprey, J.F. (1964); “Simple Models of Trade Expansion”, Western Economic Journal, Spring, 173-94.
  • Hay, D.A. (2001); “The post 1990 Brazilian Trade Liberalisation and The Performance of Large Manufacturing Firms: Productivity, Market Share and Pprofits”, Economic Journal, 111(473), 620-41.
  • Hellmann, T., Murdock, K. ve Stiglitz, J.E. (2000); “Liberalization, Moral Hazard in Banking and Prudential Regulation: Are Capital Requirements Enough?”, American Economic Review, 90(1), 147-165.
  • Irwin D. ve Tervio, M. (2002); “Does Trade Raise Income?: Evidence from the Twentieth Century”, Journal of International Economics, 58(1), 1-18.
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Primary Language Turkish
Journal Section Makaleler
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Yrd. Doç. Dr. Sevda Yapraklı This is me

Publication Date September 19, 2011
Published in Issue Year 2007 Issue: 5

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APA Yapraklı, Y. D. D. S. (2011). TİCARİ VE FİNANSAL DIŞA AÇIKLIK İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ: TÜRKİYE ÜZERİNE BİR UYGULAMA. Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics E-Journal(5), 67-89.
AMA Yapraklı YDDS. TİCARİ VE FİNANSAL DIŞA AÇIKLIK İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ: TÜRKİYE ÜZERİNE BİR UYGULAMA. Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal. September 2011;(5):67-89.
Chicago Yapraklı, Yrd. Doç. Dr. Sevda. “TİCARİ VE FİNANSAL DIŞA AÇIKLIK İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ: TÜRKİYE ÜZERİNE BİR UYGULAMA”. Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics E-Journal, no. 5 (September 2011): 67-89.
EndNote Yapraklı YDDS (September 1, 2011) TİCARİ VE FİNANSAL DIŞA AÇIKLIK İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ: TÜRKİYE ÜZERİNE BİR UYGULAMA. Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal 5 67–89.
IEEE Y. D. D. S. Yapraklı, “TİCARİ VE FİNANSAL DIŞA AÇIKLIK İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ: TÜRKİYE ÜZERİNE BİR UYGULAMA”, Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal, no. 5, pp. 67–89, September 2011.
ISNAD Yapraklı, Yrd. Doç. Dr. Sevda. “TİCARİ VE FİNANSAL DIŞA AÇIKLIK İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ: TÜRKİYE ÜZERİNE BİR UYGULAMA”. Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal 5 (September 2011), 67-89.
JAMA Yapraklı YDDS. TİCARİ VE FİNANSAL DIŞA AÇIKLIK İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ: TÜRKİYE ÜZERİNE BİR UYGULAMA. Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal. 2011;:67–89.
MLA Yapraklı, Yrd. Doç. Dr. Sevda. “TİCARİ VE FİNANSAL DIŞA AÇIKLIK İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ: TÜRKİYE ÜZERİNE BİR UYGULAMA”. Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics E-Journal, no. 5, 2011, pp. 67-89.
Vancouver Yapraklı YDDS. TİCARİ VE FİNANSAL DIŞA AÇIKLIK İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ: TÜRKİYE ÜZERİNE BİR UYGULAMA. Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal. 2011(5):67-89.