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TİCARİ SERBESTLEŞME-EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİNİN BOOTSTRAP KANTİL REGRESYON YARDIMIYLA ANALİZİ

Year 2012, Volume: 62 Issue: 2, 283 - 303, 06.09.2013

Hasan Alp Özel Funda Sezgin

Abstract

Günümüzde birçok alanda sıklıkla kullanılan küreselleşme kavramı, hayatımızın geniş bir alanını etkilemektedir. Küreselleşme ile birlikte üretim faktörleri dolaşımı önündeki ulusal sınırlar etkisini kaybetmekte ve dünya ölçeğinde büyük bir pazar oluşmaktadır. Ticari serbestleşme küreselleşmenin önemli bir yapı taşını oluşturmaktadır. Her ekonomi yapısal özelliklerine göre çeşitli düzeylerde ticari serbestleşme politikaları uygulamaktadır. Ülkelerin ticari serbestleşme düzeyi, ticari açıklık seviyesiyle ölçülmektedir. Çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye'nin ticari açıklık seviyesinin ekonomik büyümeyi ne yönde ve derecede etkilediğinin belirlenmesidir. Analizde, 1998.Q1-2011.Q4 çeyrek dönemlik veriler ile “Bootstrap Kantil Regresyon” yöntemi uygulanmış, ticari açıklığın büyüme üzerinde arttırıcı istatistik anlamlı bir etkisi olduğu belirlenmiştir.

Keywords

Ekonomik Büyüme Ticari Serbestleşme Ticari Açıklık Bootstrap Kantil Regresyon

References

  • ADES, F. Alberto, Edward L. GLAESER (1999), “Evidence on Growth, Increasing Returns, And The Extent of The Market”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 144, No. 3, 1999, pp.1025-1045.
  • ATİK, Hayriye (2006), Beşeri Sermaye, Dış Ticaret ve Ekonomik Büyüme, Bursa, Ekin Kitapevi.
  • BAUR, D.,SAISANA, M., NIELS, N. (2004), “Modelling The Effects of Meteorological Variables on Ozone Concentration a Quantile Regression Approach”, Atmospheric Environment,vol:38, No.28, pp. 4689–4699.
  • BAYRAKTUTAN, Yusuf (2003), “Bilgi ve Uluslararası Ticaret Teorile-ri”, Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi İktisadi İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, Cilt 4, Sayı 2, ss. 175-186.
  • BEHR, A., (2008), “Quantile Regression for Robust Bank Efficiency Score Estimation”, European Journal of Operational Research, vol:200, No: 2, pp. 568–581.
  • BERG, Andrew, Anne, KRUEGER (2003), “Trade, Grow, and PovertyA Selective Survey”, Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics, The New Reform Agenda, Ed. Boris Pleskovic, Nicholas Stern, The World Bank and Oxford University Press, pp. 47-90.
  • CAMINIS, Asimina (2007), “Fakir Ülkelerin Dünya Ticaret Sistemine Entegre Edilmesi”, Çev. Bahar Burtan Doğan, Elektronik Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, Sayı 20, ss. 177-195.
  • CHANG, Roberto, Linda KALTANI, Norman V. LOAYZA (2009), “Openness Can Be Good For Growth: The Role of Policy Complementarities”, Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 90, Issue 1, pp. 33-49.
  • COLIN Chen, (2011), “An Introduction to Quantile Regression and the QUANTREG Procedure”, SAS Institute Inc., Paper No: 213-30, pp.1-24.
  • ÇAKMAK, Özge, Aynagöz (2006), “Türkiye ile Almanya, İtalya, Fransa ve İngiltere Arasında İmalat Endüstrisinde Endüstri İçi Ticaretin Yapısı: 1991-2004”, Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, Cilt: 3, Yıl: 2, Sayı: 1, s. 30-47.
  • DİKKAYA, Mehmet, Fatih DENİZ (2006), “Ekonomik Küreselleşmenin Yol Açtığı Problemler: Teorik Bir Bakış”, ZKÜ Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, Cilt 2, Sayı 3, ss. 163-181.
  • DİNLER, Zeynel (2009), İktisada Giriş, 15. Basım, Bursa, Ekin Basım Yayın Dağıtım.
  • DOLAR, David (1992), “Outward-Oriented Developing Economies Really do Grow More Rapidly: Evidence from 95 LDCs, 1976-1985”, Economic Development &Cultural Change, Vol. 40, Issue 3, pp. 523-544.
  • DUTTAGUPTA, Rupa, Montfort MLACHILA (2008), “What is Real Good for Long-Term Growth? Lessons from a Binary Classification Tree (BCT) Approach”, IMF WorkingPaper WP/08/263, Western Hemisphere Department, International MonetaryFund, pp. 1-27.
  • EDWARDS, Sebastian (1998), “Openness, Productivity and Growth: What do We Really Know?” The Economic Journal, Vol. 108, No. 447, pp. 383-398.
  • EDWARDS, Sebastian (1992), “Trade Orientations, Distortions and Growth in Developing Countries”, Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 39, Issue 1, pp. 31-57.
  • EMİRHAN, P. Narin (2008), “Türk Dış Ticaretinin Alternatif Modeller Açısından Değerlendirilmesi (1982-2000)”, Ege Akademik Bakış Dergisi, Cilt: 8, Sayı: 28, ss. 861-875.
  • GIOVANNI Juliandi, Andrei A. LEVCHENKO (2009), “Trade Openness and Volatility”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 91, No. 3, pp. 558-585.
  • GROSSMAN, M. Gene, Elhanan HELPMAN (1990), “Trade, knowledge Spillovers, and Growth”, National Bureau of Economic Research, NBER WorkingPaper No. 3485, pp. 1-12.
  • GROSSMAN, M. Gene, Elhanan HELPMAN (1989), “Product Development and International Trade”, The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 97, No. 6, pp. 1261-1283.
  • GUTTMANN, Simon, Anthony RICHARDS (2006), “Trade Openness: An Australian Perspective”, Australian Economic Papers, Vol. 45, Issue 3, pp. 188-203.
  • HELPMAN, Elhanan (1987), “Inperfect Competition and International Trade: Evidence from Fourteen Industrial Countries”, Journal of the Japaneseand International Economies, Vol. 1, Issue 1, pp. 62-81.
  • KARLUK, S. Rıdvan (2009), Uluslararası Ekonomi Teori Politika, İstanbul, Beta Basım A.Ş.
  • KEESING, B. Donald (1965), “Labor Skills and International Trade: Evaluating Many Trade Flows with a Single Measuring Device”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 47, No. 3, pp. 287-294.
  • KJELDSEN-KRAGH, Soren (2002), International Economics, Copenhagen Business School Press.
  • KOENKER, R. (2005), Quantile Regression, Econometric Society Monographs, Cambridge University Press.
  • KNUTH, D. E (1969), “Seminumerical Algorithms”, The Art of Computer Programming, Volume 2, No. 1, Boston: Addison Wesley. LEE, Jong-Wha (1993), “International Trade, Distortions, and Long-Run Economic Growth”, IMF Staff Papers, Vol. 40, No.2, pp. 299-328.
  • LEWER, J. Joshua (2002), “International Trade Composition and Medium-Run Growth: Evidence of a Causal Relationship”, The International Trade Journal, Vol. 16, Issue 3, pp. 295-317.
  • LOKO, Boileau, Mame, Astou DIOUF (2009), “Revisiting the Determinants of Productivity Growth: What’s New?”, IMF Working Paper WP/09/225, Middle East and Central Asia Department, International Monetary Fund, pp. 1-29.
  • MARKUNSEN, R. James (2005),“The Boundaries of Multinational Enterprises and the Theory of International Trade”, The Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 9, No.2, pp. 169-189.
  • MILNER, Chris, Oliver MORRISSEY, Evious ZGOVU (2008), “Trade Facilitation in Developing Countries” CREDIT Research Paper No. 08/05, Centre for Research in Economic Development and International Trade, University of Nottingham, pp. 1-34.
  • ÖZEL, H. Alp (2012), “Küreselleşme Sürecinde Ticari ve Finansal Açıklığın Ekonomik Büyüme Üzerine Etkisi: Türkiye Örneği”, Yönetim Bilimleri Dergisi, Cilt:10, Sayı: 19, ss.21-43.
  • ÖZTÜRK, Nazım (2009), Dış Ticaret Kuram Politika Uygulama, Ankara, Palme Yayıncılık. PANAGARIYA, Arvind (2004), “Miracles and Debacles: In Defence
  • of Trade Openness”, The World Economy, Vol. 27, Issue 8, pp. 1149- 1171. PORTER, E. Michael (1990), “The Competitive Advantage of Nations”, Harvard Business Review, March-April, pp. 73-91.
  • RICARDO, David (1817), Principles of Political Economy and Taxation, London, Elecbook Classics, Released 1817, Republished 2001, The Electric Book Company Ltd.
  • RODEIGUES, Francisco, Dani RODRIK (2000), “Trade Policy and Economic Growth: A Skeptic’s Guide to the Cross-National Evidence”, NBER/MacroeconomicsAnnual (MIT Pres), Vol. 15, Issue 1, pp. 261-325.
  • SAÇIK, Y. Sinem (2009), “Dış Ticaret Politikası ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Teorik Açıdan Bir İnceleme”, KMÜ İİBF Dergisi, Yıl: 11, Sayı 16, ss. 162-171.
  • SEYİDOĞLU, Halil (2009), Uluslararası İktisat, 17. Baskı, İstanbul, Güzem Yayınları No. 24.
  • SPILIMBERGO, Antonio, Juan Luis LONDONO, Miguel SZEKELY (2003), “Income Distribution, Factor Endowments, and Trade Openness”, Toward Pro-Poor Policies Aid, Institutions, and Globalization, Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics Europe, Ed. Bertil Tungodden, Nicholas Stern, Ivar Kolstad, The World Bank, pp. 291-313.
  • TUPY, L. Marian (2005), Trade Liberalization and Poverty Reduction in Sub-Saharan Africa, CATO Institute Press, Policy Analysis No. 557.
  • UTKULU, Utku, Durmuş ÖZDEMİR (2004), “Does Trade Liberalization Cause a Long Run Economic Growth in Turkey”, Economics of Planning, Vol. 37, No. 3-4, pp. 245-266.
  • VERNON, Raymond (1966), “International Investment and Internatonal Trade in the Product Cycle”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 80, No. 2, pp. 190-207.
  • WINTERS, L. Alan, Neil MCCULLOCH, Andrew MCKAY (2004), “Trade Liberalization and Poverty: The Evidence So Far”, Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 42, No. 1, pp. 71-115.
  • YILMAZ, Durmuş (2009), Dış Ticarette Yapısal Dönüşüm: Küresel Dinamikler ve Türkiye Ekonomisi Açılış Konuşması, İstanbul, Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası.

Year 2012, Volume: 62 Issue: 2, 283 - 303, 06.09.2013

Hasan Alp Özel Funda Sezgin

Abstract

References

  • ADES, F. Alberto, Edward L. GLAESER (1999), “Evidence on Growth, Increasing Returns, And The Extent of The Market”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 144, No. 3, 1999, pp.1025-1045.
  • ATİK, Hayriye (2006), Beşeri Sermaye, Dış Ticaret ve Ekonomik Büyüme, Bursa, Ekin Kitapevi.
  • BAUR, D.,SAISANA, M., NIELS, N. (2004), “Modelling The Effects of Meteorological Variables on Ozone Concentration a Quantile Regression Approach”, Atmospheric Environment,vol:38, No.28, pp. 4689–4699.
  • BAYRAKTUTAN, Yusuf (2003), “Bilgi ve Uluslararası Ticaret Teorile-ri”, Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi İktisadi İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, Cilt 4, Sayı 2, ss. 175-186.
  • BEHR, A., (2008), “Quantile Regression for Robust Bank Efficiency Score Estimation”, European Journal of Operational Research, vol:200, No: 2, pp. 568–581.
  • BERG, Andrew, Anne, KRUEGER (2003), “Trade, Grow, and PovertyA Selective Survey”, Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics, The New Reform Agenda, Ed. Boris Pleskovic, Nicholas Stern, The World Bank and Oxford University Press, pp. 47-90.
  • CAMINIS, Asimina (2007), “Fakir Ülkelerin Dünya Ticaret Sistemine Entegre Edilmesi”, Çev. Bahar Burtan Doğan, Elektronik Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, Sayı 20, ss. 177-195.
  • CHANG, Roberto, Linda KALTANI, Norman V. LOAYZA (2009), “Openness Can Be Good For Growth: The Role of Policy Complementarities”, Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 90, Issue 1, pp. 33-49.
  • COLIN Chen, (2011), “An Introduction to Quantile Regression and the QUANTREG Procedure”, SAS Institute Inc., Paper No: 213-30, pp.1-24.
  • ÇAKMAK, Özge, Aynagöz (2006), “Türkiye ile Almanya, İtalya, Fransa ve İngiltere Arasında İmalat Endüstrisinde Endüstri İçi Ticaretin Yapısı: 1991-2004”, Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, Cilt: 3, Yıl: 2, Sayı: 1, s. 30-47.
  • DİKKAYA, Mehmet, Fatih DENİZ (2006), “Ekonomik Küreselleşmenin Yol Açtığı Problemler: Teorik Bir Bakış”, ZKÜ Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, Cilt 2, Sayı 3, ss. 163-181.
  • DİNLER, Zeynel (2009), İktisada Giriş, 15. Basım, Bursa, Ekin Basım Yayın Dağıtım.
  • DOLAR, David (1992), “Outward-Oriented Developing Economies Really do Grow More Rapidly: Evidence from 95 LDCs, 1976-1985”, Economic Development &Cultural Change, Vol. 40, Issue 3, pp. 523-544.
  • DUTTAGUPTA, Rupa, Montfort MLACHILA (2008), “What is Real Good for Long-Term Growth? Lessons from a Binary Classification Tree (BCT) Approach”, IMF WorkingPaper WP/08/263, Western Hemisphere Department, International MonetaryFund, pp. 1-27.
  • EDWARDS, Sebastian (1998), “Openness, Productivity and Growth: What do We Really Know?” The Economic Journal, Vol. 108, No. 447, pp. 383-398.
  • EDWARDS, Sebastian (1992), “Trade Orientations, Distortions and Growth in Developing Countries”, Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 39, Issue 1, pp. 31-57.
  • EMİRHAN, P. Narin (2008), “Türk Dış Ticaretinin Alternatif Modeller Açısından Değerlendirilmesi (1982-2000)”, Ege Akademik Bakış Dergisi, Cilt: 8, Sayı: 28, ss. 861-875.
  • GIOVANNI Juliandi, Andrei A. LEVCHENKO (2009), “Trade Openness and Volatility”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 91, No. 3, pp. 558-585.
  • GROSSMAN, M. Gene, Elhanan HELPMAN (1990), “Trade, knowledge Spillovers, and Growth”, National Bureau of Economic Research, NBER WorkingPaper No. 3485, pp. 1-12.
  • GROSSMAN, M. Gene, Elhanan HELPMAN (1989), “Product Development and International Trade”, The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 97, No. 6, pp. 1261-1283.
  • GUTTMANN, Simon, Anthony RICHARDS (2006), “Trade Openness: An Australian Perspective”, Australian Economic Papers, Vol. 45, Issue 3, pp. 188-203.
  • HELPMAN, Elhanan (1987), “Inperfect Competition and International Trade: Evidence from Fourteen Industrial Countries”, Journal of the Japaneseand International Economies, Vol. 1, Issue 1, pp. 62-81.
  • KARLUK, S. Rıdvan (2009), Uluslararası Ekonomi Teori Politika, İstanbul, Beta Basım A.Ş.
  • KEESING, B. Donald (1965), “Labor Skills and International Trade: Evaluating Many Trade Flows with a Single Measuring Device”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 47, No. 3, pp. 287-294.
  • KJELDSEN-KRAGH, Soren (2002), International Economics, Copenhagen Business School Press.
  • KOENKER, R. (2005), Quantile Regression, Econometric Society Monographs, Cambridge University Press.
  • KNUTH, D. E (1969), “Seminumerical Algorithms”, The Art of Computer Programming, Volume 2, No. 1, Boston: Addison Wesley. LEE, Jong-Wha (1993), “International Trade, Distortions, and Long-Run Economic Growth”, IMF Staff Papers, Vol. 40, No.2, pp. 299-328.
  • LEWER, J. Joshua (2002), “International Trade Composition and Medium-Run Growth: Evidence of a Causal Relationship”, The International Trade Journal, Vol. 16, Issue 3, pp. 295-317.
  • LOKO, Boileau, Mame, Astou DIOUF (2009), “Revisiting the Determinants of Productivity Growth: What’s New?”, IMF Working Paper WP/09/225, Middle East and Central Asia Department, International Monetary Fund, pp. 1-29.
  • MARKUNSEN, R. James (2005),“The Boundaries of Multinational Enterprises and the Theory of International Trade”, The Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 9, No.2, pp. 169-189.
  • MILNER, Chris, Oliver MORRISSEY, Evious ZGOVU (2008), “Trade Facilitation in Developing Countries” CREDIT Research Paper No. 08/05, Centre for Research in Economic Development and International Trade, University of Nottingham, pp. 1-34.
  • ÖZEL, H. Alp (2012), “Küreselleşme Sürecinde Ticari ve Finansal Açıklığın Ekonomik Büyüme Üzerine Etkisi: Türkiye Örneği”, Yönetim Bilimleri Dergisi, Cilt:10, Sayı: 19, ss.21-43.
  • ÖZTÜRK, Nazım (2009), Dış Ticaret Kuram Politika Uygulama, Ankara, Palme Yayıncılık. PANAGARIYA, Arvind (2004), “Miracles and Debacles: In Defence
  • of Trade Openness”, The World Economy, Vol. 27, Issue 8, pp. 1149- 1171. PORTER, E. Michael (1990), “The Competitive Advantage of Nations”, Harvard Business Review, March-April, pp. 73-91.
  • RICARDO, David (1817), Principles of Political Economy and Taxation, London, Elecbook Classics, Released 1817, Republished 2001, The Electric Book Company Ltd.
  • RODEIGUES, Francisco, Dani RODRIK (2000), “Trade Policy and Economic Growth: A Skeptic’s Guide to the Cross-National Evidence”, NBER/MacroeconomicsAnnual (MIT Pres), Vol. 15, Issue 1, pp. 261-325.
  • SAÇIK, Y. Sinem (2009), “Dış Ticaret Politikası ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Teorik Açıdan Bir İnceleme”, KMÜ İİBF Dergisi, Yıl: 11, Sayı 16, ss. 162-171.
  • SEYİDOĞLU, Halil (2009), Uluslararası İktisat, 17. Baskı, İstanbul, Güzem Yayınları No. 24.
  • SPILIMBERGO, Antonio, Juan Luis LONDONO, Miguel SZEKELY (2003), “Income Distribution, Factor Endowments, and Trade Openness”, Toward Pro-Poor Policies Aid, Institutions, and Globalization, Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics Europe, Ed. Bertil Tungodden, Nicholas Stern, Ivar Kolstad, The World Bank, pp. 291-313.
  • TUPY, L. Marian (2005), Trade Liberalization and Poverty Reduction in Sub-Saharan Africa, CATO Institute Press, Policy Analysis No. 557.
  • UTKULU, Utku, Durmuş ÖZDEMİR (2004), “Does Trade Liberalization Cause a Long Run Economic Growth in Turkey”, Economics of Planning, Vol. 37, No. 3-4, pp. 245-266.
  • VERNON, Raymond (1966), “International Investment and Internatonal Trade in the Product Cycle”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 80, No. 2, pp. 190-207.
  • WINTERS, L. Alan, Neil MCCULLOCH, Andrew MCKAY (2004), “Trade Liberalization and Poverty: The Evidence So Far”, Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 42, No. 1, pp. 71-115.
  • YILMAZ, Durmuş (2009), Dış Ticarette Yapısal Dönüşüm: Küresel Dinamikler ve Türkiye Ekonomisi Açılış Konuşması, İstanbul, Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası.
There are 44 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Hasan Alp Özel This is me

Funda Sezgin This is me

Publication Date September 6, 2013
Published in Issue Year 2012 Volume: 62 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Özel, H. A., & Sezgin, F. (2013). TİCARİ SERBESTLEŞME-EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİNİN BOOTSTRAP KANTİL REGRESYON YARDIMIYLA ANALİZİ. İstanbul Üniversitesi İktisat Fakültesi Mecmuası, 62(2), 283-303.
AMA Özel HA, Sezgin F. TİCARİ SERBESTLEŞME-EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİNİN BOOTSTRAP KANTİL REGRESYON YARDIMIYLA ANALİZİ. İstanbul Üniversitesi İktisat Fakültesi Mecmuası. September 2013;62(2):283-303.
Chicago Özel, Hasan Alp, and Funda Sezgin. “TİCARİ SERBESTLEŞME-EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİNİN BOOTSTRAP KANTİL REGRESYON YARDIMIYLA ANALİZİ”. İstanbul Üniversitesi İktisat Fakültesi Mecmuası 62, no. 2 (September 2013): 283-303.
EndNote Özel HA, Sezgin F (September 1, 2013) TİCARİ SERBESTLEŞME-EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİNİN BOOTSTRAP KANTİL REGRESYON YARDIMIYLA ANALİZİ. İstanbul Üniversitesi İktisat Fakültesi Mecmuası 62 2 283–303.
IEEE H. A. Özel and F. Sezgin, “TİCARİ SERBESTLEŞME-EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİNİN BOOTSTRAP KANTİL REGRESYON YARDIMIYLA ANALİZİ”, İstanbul Üniversitesi İktisat Fakültesi Mecmuası, vol. 62, no. 2, pp. 283–303, 2013.
ISNAD Özel, Hasan Alp - Sezgin, Funda. “TİCARİ SERBESTLEŞME-EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİNİN BOOTSTRAP KANTİL REGRESYON YARDIMIYLA ANALİZİ”. İstanbul Üniversitesi İktisat Fakültesi Mecmuası 62/2 (September 2013), 283-303.
JAMA Özel HA, Sezgin F. TİCARİ SERBESTLEŞME-EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİNİN BOOTSTRAP KANTİL REGRESYON YARDIMIYLA ANALİZİ. İstanbul Üniversitesi İktisat Fakültesi Mecmuası. 2013;62:283–303.
MLA Özel, Hasan Alp and Funda Sezgin. “TİCARİ SERBESTLEŞME-EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİNİN BOOTSTRAP KANTİL REGRESYON YARDIMIYLA ANALİZİ”. İstanbul Üniversitesi İktisat Fakültesi Mecmuası, vol. 62, no. 2, 2013, pp. 283-0.
Vancouver Özel HA, Sezgin F. TİCARİ SERBESTLEŞME-EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİNİN BOOTSTRAP KANTİL REGRESYON YARDIMIYLA ANALİZİ. İstanbul Üniversitesi İktisat Fakültesi Mecmuası. 2013;62(2):283-30.