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A Perspective on Productivity Growth and Challenges for the UK Economy

Year 2020, , 21 - 42, 31.12.2020
https://doi.org/10.26650/JEPR650998

Abstract

The UK’s low levels of output per hour of labour and their productivity relative to other advanced economies is a matter for concern. The UK’s productivity is a little over three-quarters that of Germany, the US, and France, and the about same as Italy. Furthermore, according to the OECD, it has been stagnant since 2007. Productivity is an important macroeconomic indicator as it demonstrates the output that an economy can generate using existing resources. It is generally acknowledged that technological progress, new research and technology can lead to higher investment and growth rates. Productivity refers to the quantity of goods and services that can be produced by a worker in a given period of time. For any economy, it is important to ensure rapid growth and a long-term trend of increased productivity. Indeed, this is particularly important for advanced economies where it is crucial to increase productivity in order to remain globally competitive. The study concludes that the UK’s growth in productivity has been very slow relative to other major economies, and as a result the UK, which was already behind many other G7 countries, has fallen even further behind. This study suggests that a stronger and more viable manufacturing sector would help to build structural balance in the economy and to move it away from an over-reliance on the financial sector. To achieve this would require active state polices to increase investment in R&D, innovation and skills.

References

  • Acemoglu, D., & Robinson, J. A. (2012). Why nations fail: The origin of power, prosperity and poverty, London: Profile Book.
  • Bacon, R., & Eltis, W. (1976). Britain’s economic problems: Too few producers, London: Macmillan.
  • Bagaria, N., Holland, D., & Van Reenen, J. (2012). Fiscal consolidation during a depression, National Institute Economic Review, 221: 38–50, July.
  • Baumol, W. J. (1986). Productivity growth, convergence and welfare: What the long run data shows, American Economic Review, 76(5), 1072–85.
  • Broadbent, B. (2013). Conditional guidance as a response to supply uncertainty. Retrieved from www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/speeches/2013/speech678.pdf. Craft, N. (2012). British relative economic decline revisited: The role of competition, Explorations in Economic History, 49, 17–29.
  • Disney, R., Haskel, J., & Heden, Y. (2003). Restructuring and productivity growth in UK manufacturing, Economic Journal, 113, 666–694, July.
  • Economist, (2018, April 14). Productivity: fix up, look sharp”, pp.21, London.
  • Eichengreen, B. (2014). Secular stagnation: A review of the issues, Centre of Economic Policy Research, London.
  • Green, A., Hogarth, T., Kispeter, E., & Owen, D. (‎2016). The future of productivity in manufacturing, University of Warwick. Retrieved from https://warwick.ac.uk/fac/.../ier_2016_manufacturing_sector_productivity_report.pdf.
  • Haskel, J. & Wallis, G. (2010). Public support for innovation, intangible investment and productivity growth in the UK market sector, IZA Discussion Paper No.4772, February. Retrieved from https://spiral.imperial.ac.uk/ bitstream/10044/1/5280/1/Haskel%202010-01.pdf
  • Hein, E., & Tarassow, A. (2010). Distribution, aggregate demand and productivity growth: theory and empirical results for six OECD countries based on Post-Kaleckian model, Cambridge Journal of Economics, 34:727– 754. DOI:10.1093/cje/bep066. IMF (2018). United Kingdom-Selected Issues, IMF Country Report No. 18/43, February, Washington DC: IMF. Retrieved from https://www.imf.org/~/media/Files/Publications/CR/2018/cr1843.ashx
  • Kaldor, N. (1975). Economic growth and Verdoorn’s law: A comment on Mr. Rowthorn’s article, Economic Journal, 85 (340), 891–96.
  • Kaldor, N. (1972). The irrelevance of equilibrium economics, Economic Journal, 82:1237–55. Kaldor, N. (1971). The conflict in policy objectives, Economic Journal, 81, 1–18.
  • Katz, J. (2000). Structural change and labor productivity growth in Latin American manufacturing industries 1970– 96, World Development, 28(9), 1583–1596.
  • King, S. (2013). Putting lower unemployment ahead of higher productivity risks long-term economic damage, The Times, 19 March, London
  • Kitson, M., & Michie, J. (2014). The deindustrial revolution: The rise and fall of UK manufacturing, 1870-2010, Centre for Business Research, University of Cambridge, Working paper No. 459, June.
  • Lall, S. (2001). Competitiveness technology and skills, Cheltenham: Edwar Elgar Publishing.
  • Mohun, S. (2009). Aggregate capital productivity in the US economy, 1964-2001, Cambridge Journal of Economics 33, 1023-1046. doi:10.1093/cje/ben045.
  • OECD Report (2015). The future of productivity, Paris: OECD. Retrieved from https://www.oecd.org/eco/OECD-2015-The-future-of-productivity-book.pdf
  • O’ Mahony, M. (1992). Productivity levels in British and German manufacturing industry, National Institute for Economic Review, 46–63, February, London
  • OECD (2017). Economic Survey - United Kingdom, October, Paris: OECD. Retrieved from https://www.oecd.org/eco/surveys/United-Kingdom-2017-OECD-economic-survey-overview.pdf ONS (2017). UK productivity, September. Retrieved from https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/labourproductivity/bulletins/ labourproductivity/julytoseptember2017
  • Oulton, N. (2017, Fburary 7). Productivity puzzle meets delusions of adequacy, Financial Times, London.
  • Oulton, N., & Sebastia-Barriel, M. (2013). Long and short-term effects of the financial crisis on labour productivity, capital and output, Working Paper No.470, London: Bank of England. ISSN 2042-2695. Retrieved from www. http://cep.lse.ac.uk/pubs/download/dp1185.pdf
  • Pessoa, J.P., & Van Reenan, J. (2013). The UK productivity and job puzzle: does the answer lie in labour market flexibility, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, Special Paper No. 31, June. Retrieved from http://cep.lse. ac.uk/pubs/download/special/cepsp31.pdf
  • Siddiqui, K. (2019). Government debts and fiscal deficits in the UK: A Critical Review, World Review of Political Economy, 10(1), 40–68, Pluto Journals.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2017). Austerity as a tool of fiscal consolidation: theoretical and empirical perspective, in (Ed.) S. Owsiak Public Finance and the New Economic Governance in the European Union, 116–66, Warsaw: Wydawnictwo Naukowe WN SA. ISBN 978-83-01-19812-1.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2015a). Political economy of Japan’s decades long economic stagnation, Equilibrium Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, 10(4), 9–39. Retrieved from http://dx.doi.org/10.12775/ EQUIL.2015.033.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2015b). Economic policy: state versus market controversy, in edited by Adam P. Balcerzak Contemporary Issues in Economy: Market or Government, 39–63, European Regional Science Association, Poland. ISBN 978-83-937843-6-3.
  • Siddiqui, K. (1995). Role of the state in South-East Asia, The Nation, 27 May. Siddiqui, K., & Dahle, T. (1989). World economy heading towards recession, Bergens Tidende, (in Norwegian) 3 July, Bergen.
  • Singh, A. (1977). UK industry and the World economy: a case of de-industrialisation?, Cambridge Journal of Economics, 1(2), 113–136. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.cje.a035354.
  • Summers, L. (2014). US economic prospects: Secular stagnation, hysteresis, and the zero lower bound, Business Economics, 49(2). Thirlwall, A. (1983). A plain-man’s guide to Kaldor’s growth law, Journal of Post-Keynesian Economics, 5(3), 345–58.
  • Van Ark, B. (1990). Comparative levels of manufacturing labour productivity in post-war Europe, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52, 343–374, November.
  • Wolf, M. (2018). The long wait for productivity resurgence, Financial Times, 12 June, London. Retrieved from http://www.Wolf,Martin.FT.com
  • Wolf, M. (2017). The productivity challenge to British economy, Financial Times, 26 January, London.
Year 2020, , 21 - 42, 31.12.2020
https://doi.org/10.26650/JEPR650998

Abstract

References

  • Acemoglu, D., & Robinson, J. A. (2012). Why nations fail: The origin of power, prosperity and poverty, London: Profile Book.
  • Bacon, R., & Eltis, W. (1976). Britain’s economic problems: Too few producers, London: Macmillan.
  • Bagaria, N., Holland, D., & Van Reenen, J. (2012). Fiscal consolidation during a depression, National Institute Economic Review, 221: 38–50, July.
  • Baumol, W. J. (1986). Productivity growth, convergence and welfare: What the long run data shows, American Economic Review, 76(5), 1072–85.
  • Broadbent, B. (2013). Conditional guidance as a response to supply uncertainty. Retrieved from www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/speeches/2013/speech678.pdf. Craft, N. (2012). British relative economic decline revisited: The role of competition, Explorations in Economic History, 49, 17–29.
  • Disney, R., Haskel, J., & Heden, Y. (2003). Restructuring and productivity growth in UK manufacturing, Economic Journal, 113, 666–694, July.
  • Economist, (2018, April 14). Productivity: fix up, look sharp”, pp.21, London.
  • Eichengreen, B. (2014). Secular stagnation: A review of the issues, Centre of Economic Policy Research, London.
  • Green, A., Hogarth, T., Kispeter, E., & Owen, D. (‎2016). The future of productivity in manufacturing, University of Warwick. Retrieved from https://warwick.ac.uk/fac/.../ier_2016_manufacturing_sector_productivity_report.pdf.
  • Haskel, J. & Wallis, G. (2010). Public support for innovation, intangible investment and productivity growth in the UK market sector, IZA Discussion Paper No.4772, February. Retrieved from https://spiral.imperial.ac.uk/ bitstream/10044/1/5280/1/Haskel%202010-01.pdf
  • Hein, E., & Tarassow, A. (2010). Distribution, aggregate demand and productivity growth: theory and empirical results for six OECD countries based on Post-Kaleckian model, Cambridge Journal of Economics, 34:727– 754. DOI:10.1093/cje/bep066. IMF (2018). United Kingdom-Selected Issues, IMF Country Report No. 18/43, February, Washington DC: IMF. Retrieved from https://www.imf.org/~/media/Files/Publications/CR/2018/cr1843.ashx
  • Kaldor, N. (1975). Economic growth and Verdoorn’s law: A comment on Mr. Rowthorn’s article, Economic Journal, 85 (340), 891–96.
  • Kaldor, N. (1972). The irrelevance of equilibrium economics, Economic Journal, 82:1237–55. Kaldor, N. (1971). The conflict in policy objectives, Economic Journal, 81, 1–18.
  • Katz, J. (2000). Structural change and labor productivity growth in Latin American manufacturing industries 1970– 96, World Development, 28(9), 1583–1596.
  • King, S. (2013). Putting lower unemployment ahead of higher productivity risks long-term economic damage, The Times, 19 March, London
  • Kitson, M., & Michie, J. (2014). The deindustrial revolution: The rise and fall of UK manufacturing, 1870-2010, Centre for Business Research, University of Cambridge, Working paper No. 459, June.
  • Lall, S. (2001). Competitiveness technology and skills, Cheltenham: Edwar Elgar Publishing.
  • Mohun, S. (2009). Aggregate capital productivity in the US economy, 1964-2001, Cambridge Journal of Economics 33, 1023-1046. doi:10.1093/cje/ben045.
  • OECD Report (2015). The future of productivity, Paris: OECD. Retrieved from https://www.oecd.org/eco/OECD-2015-The-future-of-productivity-book.pdf
  • O’ Mahony, M. (1992). Productivity levels in British and German manufacturing industry, National Institute for Economic Review, 46–63, February, London
  • OECD (2017). Economic Survey - United Kingdom, October, Paris: OECD. Retrieved from https://www.oecd.org/eco/surveys/United-Kingdom-2017-OECD-economic-survey-overview.pdf ONS (2017). UK productivity, September. Retrieved from https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/labourproductivity/bulletins/ labourproductivity/julytoseptember2017
  • Oulton, N. (2017, Fburary 7). Productivity puzzle meets delusions of adequacy, Financial Times, London.
  • Oulton, N., & Sebastia-Barriel, M. (2013). Long and short-term effects of the financial crisis on labour productivity, capital and output, Working Paper No.470, London: Bank of England. ISSN 2042-2695. Retrieved from www. http://cep.lse.ac.uk/pubs/download/dp1185.pdf
  • Pessoa, J.P., & Van Reenan, J. (2013). The UK productivity and job puzzle: does the answer lie in labour market flexibility, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, Special Paper No. 31, June. Retrieved from http://cep.lse. ac.uk/pubs/download/special/cepsp31.pdf
  • Siddiqui, K. (2019). Government debts and fiscal deficits in the UK: A Critical Review, World Review of Political Economy, 10(1), 40–68, Pluto Journals.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2017). Austerity as a tool of fiscal consolidation: theoretical and empirical perspective, in (Ed.) S. Owsiak Public Finance and the New Economic Governance in the European Union, 116–66, Warsaw: Wydawnictwo Naukowe WN SA. ISBN 978-83-01-19812-1.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2015a). Political economy of Japan’s decades long economic stagnation, Equilibrium Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, 10(4), 9–39. Retrieved from http://dx.doi.org/10.12775/ EQUIL.2015.033.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2015b). Economic policy: state versus market controversy, in edited by Adam P. Balcerzak Contemporary Issues in Economy: Market or Government, 39–63, European Regional Science Association, Poland. ISBN 978-83-937843-6-3.
  • Siddiqui, K. (1995). Role of the state in South-East Asia, The Nation, 27 May. Siddiqui, K., & Dahle, T. (1989). World economy heading towards recession, Bergens Tidende, (in Norwegian) 3 July, Bergen.
  • Singh, A. (1977). UK industry and the World economy: a case of de-industrialisation?, Cambridge Journal of Economics, 1(2), 113–136. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.cje.a035354.
  • Summers, L. (2014). US economic prospects: Secular stagnation, hysteresis, and the zero lower bound, Business Economics, 49(2). Thirlwall, A. (1983). A plain-man’s guide to Kaldor’s growth law, Journal of Post-Keynesian Economics, 5(3), 345–58.
  • Van Ark, B. (1990). Comparative levels of manufacturing labour productivity in post-war Europe, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52, 343–374, November.
  • Wolf, M. (2018). The long wait for productivity resurgence, Financial Times, 12 June, London. Retrieved from http://www.Wolf,Martin.FT.com
  • Wolf, M. (2017). The productivity challenge to British economy, Financial Times, 26 January, London.
There are 34 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Economics
Journal Section Makaleler
Authors

Kalim Sıddıquı This is me 0000-0002-7952-4573

Publication Date December 31, 2020
Submission Date July 18, 2019
Published in Issue Year 2020

Cite

APA Sıddıquı, K. (2020). A Perspective on Productivity Growth and Challenges for the UK Economy. İktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi, 7(1), 21-42. https://doi.org/10.26650/JEPR650998
AMA Sıddıquı K. A Perspective on Productivity Growth and Challenges for the UK Economy. JEPR. December 2020;7(1):21-42. doi:10.26650/JEPR650998
Chicago Sıddıquı, Kalim. “A Perspective on Productivity Growth and Challenges for the UK Economy”. İktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi 7, no. 1 (December 2020): 21-42. https://doi.org/10.26650/JEPR650998.
EndNote Sıddıquı K (December 1, 2020) A Perspective on Productivity Growth and Challenges for the UK Economy. İktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi 7 1 21–42.
IEEE K. Sıddıquı, “A Perspective on Productivity Growth and Challenges for the UK Economy”, JEPR, vol. 7, no. 1, pp. 21–42, 2020, doi: 10.26650/JEPR650998.
ISNAD Sıddıquı, Kalim. “A Perspective on Productivity Growth and Challenges for the UK Economy”. İktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi 7/1 (December 2020), 21-42. https://doi.org/10.26650/JEPR650998.
JAMA Sıddıquı K. A Perspective on Productivity Growth and Challenges for the UK Economy. JEPR. 2020;7:21–42.
MLA Sıddıquı, Kalim. “A Perspective on Productivity Growth and Challenges for the UK Economy”. İktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi, vol. 7, no. 1, 2020, pp. 21-42, doi:10.26650/JEPR650998.
Vancouver Sıddıquı K. A Perspective on Productivity Growth and Challenges for the UK Economy. JEPR. 2020;7(1):21-42.