POLITICAL STABILITY AND ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE IN THE POST-DAYTON BOSNIA, 1997-2006

Year 2011, Issue: 60, 367 - 391, 25.01.2012

Mirsad Karıc

Abstract

This paper examines political stability and economic performance of
the Bosnian political system in the post-Dayton period and is primarily
based on statistical figures released by the United Nations Development
Program (UNDP) and state institutions. Study shows that people’s
confidence in the work of the main legislative and executive institutions in
the country is relatively low and that their confidence varies from one
ethnic group to another. Furthermore, political attitudes of the elected
representatives were non-conciliatory and, therefore the country was
characterized by constant institutional instability. At the same time, the
country enjoyed a high level of political stability, however, only due to the
huge presence of the international community, which secured the country
from the escalation of political representatives’ disagreements into military
confrontation.

Keywords

Bosnia and Herzegovina, Dayton Peace agreement, political stability, institutional instability, , economic performance, political confidence.

DAYTON ANLAŞMASI SONRASINDA BOSNA’DA POLİTİK İSTİKRAR VE EKONOMİK PERFORMANS (1997-2006)

Abstract

Bu makale, Dayton anlaşması sonrasında Bosna’nın politik
sisteminin politik istikrarı ve ekonomik performansını Birleşmiş Milleler
Kalkınma Programı ve Bosna devlet kurumlarının verilerine dayalı
olarak incelemektedir. Çalışmada, bu ülkede toplumun temel yasama ve
yürütme organlarının işleyişine olan güveninin görece olarak düşük
olduğunu ve bu güvenin etnik gruplar arasında farklılık gösterdiğini
iddia etmektedir. Ayrıca, seçilmiş temsilcilerin politik açıdan
uzlaşmadıklarını ve bu yüzden ülkeyi politik istikrasızlığın karakterize
ettiğini ileri sürülmektedir. Ancak aynı zamanda ülkeyi askeri
çatışmadan kurtaran uluslararası kurumların varlığının bu ülkeye ileri
düzeyde bir politik istikrar kazandırdığı ifade edilmektedir.

Keywords

Bosna ve Hersek, Dayton Barış Antlaşması, politikistikrar, kurumsal istikrar, ekonomik performans, politik güven

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