Time-of-Day Distribution and Human Factors in Recent General Aviation Accidents and Serious Incidents in Türkiye
Abstract
Human factors are important contributors to general aviation (GA) accidents and serious incidents; however, the potential role of time of day, fatigue, and individual chronotype in GA occurrences remains insufficiently described. This study primarily aimed to provide a descriptive characterization of the temporal distribution and human-factor involvement of these occurrences rather than to test causal circadian mechanisms. This cross-sectional study analyzed GA accident and serious incident reports from Türkiye (2018–2025) publicly available on the Transportation Safety Investigation Center website, of which 33 met the inclusion criteria. Variables extracted from each report included operation type, flight phase, reported fatigue, medical contribution, operational human factors, and local occurrence time. Events were grouped into four predefined time-of-day blocks and their distribution was assessed using a chi-square goodness-of-fit test.
Among the 33 included events, 11 were accidents and 22 serious incidents. Most occurred during training operations (25/33, 75.8%) and during the landing phase (19/33, 57.6%). A focused narrative review of the final reports showed that 32 of the 33 included events (97.0%) involved operational errors or violations attributable to personnel actions or decision-making. The distribution across the four time-of-day blocks was statistically non-uniform (χ²(3)=12.45, p=0.006), with the highest concentration between 10:00 and 13:59 (17/33, 51.5%). Fatigue was explicitly reported in only one event, and no medical cause was identified as a contributing factor.
The observed late-morning concentration should be interpreted cautiously as exposure data were not available. Although this study does not establish a causal relationship between circadian timing, chronotype, and GA occurrences, chronotype-schedule mismatch may be considered a hypothesis for future research.
Keywords
Supporting Institution
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Ethical Statement
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Thanks
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References
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Details
Primary Language
English
Subjects
Aerospace Engineering (Other)
Journal Section
Research Article
Early Pub Date
October 22, 2026
Publication Date
October 25, 2026
Submission Date
May 11, 2026
Acceptance Date
July 21, 2026
Published in Issue
Year 2026 Volume: 10 Number: 3
APA
Avcı, A. U., & Ercan, E. (2026). Time-of-Day Distribution and Human Factors in Recent General Aviation Accidents and Serious Incidents in Türkiye. Journal of Aviation, 10(3), 529-533. https://doi.org/10.30518/jav.1949243
AMA
1.Avcı AU, Ercan E. Time-of-Day Distribution and Human Factors in Recent General Aviation Accidents and Serious Incidents in Türkiye. JAV. 2026;10(3):529-533. doi:10.30518/jav.1949243
Chicago
Avcı, Ahmet Uğur, and Erdinç Ercan. 2026. “Time-of-Day Distribution and Human Factors in Recent General Aviation Accidents and Serious Incidents in Türkiye”. Journal of Aviation 10 (3): 529-33. https://doi.org/10.30518/jav.1949243.
EndNote
Avcı AU, Ercan E (October 1, 2026) Time-of-Day Distribution and Human Factors in Recent General Aviation Accidents and Serious Incidents in Türkiye. Journal of Aviation 10 3 529–533.
IEEE
[1]A. U. Avcı and E. Ercan, “Time-of-Day Distribution and Human Factors in Recent General Aviation Accidents and Serious Incidents in Türkiye”, JAV, vol. 10, no. 3, pp. 529–533, Oct. 2026, doi: 10.30518/jav.1949243.
ISNAD
Avcı, Ahmet Uğur - Ercan, Erdinç. “Time-of-Day Distribution and Human Factors in Recent General Aviation Accidents and Serious Incidents in Türkiye”. Journal of Aviation 10/3 (October 1, 2026): 529-533. https://doi.org/10.30518/jav.1949243.
JAMA
1.Avcı AU, Ercan E. Time-of-Day Distribution and Human Factors in Recent General Aviation Accidents and Serious Incidents in Türkiye. JAV. 2026;10:529–533.
MLA
Avcı, Ahmet Uğur, and Erdinç Ercan. “Time-of-Day Distribution and Human Factors in Recent General Aviation Accidents and Serious Incidents in Türkiye”. Journal of Aviation, vol. 10, no. 3, Oct. 2026, pp. 529-33, doi:10.30518/jav.1949243.
Vancouver
1.Ahmet Uğur Avcı, Erdinç Ercan. Time-of-Day Distribution and Human Factors in Recent General Aviation Accidents and Serious Incidents in Türkiye. JAV. 2026 Oct. 1;10(3):529-33. doi:10.30518/jav.1949243