INFLATION AND A PREDICTABLE PANDEMIC, FEMICIDE: EVIDENCE FROM ARDL BOUNDS TESTING APPROACH FROM TURKEY

Year 2022, , 78 - 87, 30.06.2022

Gulgun Cigdem

https://doi.org/10.17261/Pressacademia.2022.1558

Abstract

Purpose- Although femicide has been an ongoing "problem" for centuries, it has started to attract the attention of researchers in recent years.
Femicide has been explored in many ways, but its research from an economic perspective has been neglected. The main motivation of this study
is the economic analysis of Femicide. The aim of this paper is to determine whether there is a correlation between inflation and femicide.
Methodology- To achieve this, monthly data on Femicide in Turkey (case taken from We Will Stop Femicide Platform) and monthly inflation data
from the Central Bank of Turkey (CBT) balance sheet for the period between 2013:01 and 2020:11 were tested using the Normal LM Test with two
breaks, Enders and Lee (2012) Flexible Fourier Unit Root Test and ADF and PP unit root test, the ARDL Bounds Test Approach, and Error Correction
(VECM). The VECM model has also been used to investigate the short-term relationship.
Findings- According to the analysis's results, inflation and femicide have a long-term correlation. A rise in inflation of one unit was followed by an
increase in femicides of 0.95 units, and it was demonstrated that a long-term variation between the variables approached each other by 47% in
the subsequent era.
Conclusion- Politicians should take note of the discovery that inflation and femicide are cointegrated and that inflation will increase femicide in
the current inflationary process to avert these avoidable social and economic costs. These findings are of utmost significance to society, and this
study, which is a first, adds to the body of literature.

Keywords

Inflation, femicide, bounds testing, ARDL

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