ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON AGRICULTURE: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM ARDL APPROACH FOR TURKEY

Year 2017, , 336 - 347, 30.12.2017

Yasemin Dumrul , Zerrin Kilicaslan

https://doi.org/10.17261/Pressacademia.2017.766

Abstract

Purpose- The agricultural sector is one of the sectors most sensitive
to climate change. This sector is directly affected by temperature and
precipitation, which is an input in agricultural production. The main objective
of this study is to evaluate the effects of climate change in agricultural
production in Turkey.

Methodology- The data cover the period 1961-2013.   In this study, economic effects of climate
change on agriculture were analyzed for Turkey using a time series
approach.     

Findings- The increase in precipitation affects agricultural GDP
positively, while the increase in temperature has a negative effect on
agricultural GDP.

Conclusion- In order to minimize the adverse effects of climate
change in Turkey, which is one of the largest countries in the world in terms
of agricultural land, it is important to establish policies, strategies, plans
and programs to combat climate change. 

Keywords

Climate change, agriculture, economic impact, ARDL, Turkey

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