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Uzun Ömürlülük ve Yaşlanan Nüfusların Ekonomisi

Year 2025, Volume: 4 Issue: 1, 146 - 176, 28.07.2025
https://doi.org/10.58654/jebi.1627286

Abstract

Yaşlanan nüfus ve insan yaşam süresinin artması önemli sonuçlar doğurmaktadır. Bu makale, demografik değişimlerin iktisadi etkilerini, özellikle mali sürdürülebilirlik ve işgücü piyasaları üzerinden analiz etmektedir. Çalışmanın birincil amacı, yaşlanan dünya nüfusunun sebep olduğu problemleri incelemek ve aynı zamanda bu yeni düzenin fırsatlarını vurgulamaktır. Çalışma, mevcut literatürü ve vaka çalışmalarını detaylı şekilde incelemekte, artan dünya nüfusunun emeklilik sistemlerini nasıl zorladığını, sağlık hizmetlerindeki maliyet artışlarını ve üretkenlikteki düşüşü tartışmaktadır. Çalışma aynı zamanda Japonya ve Norveç, Finlandiya gibi ülkelerden önemli vaka analizlerini kullanarak teknolojiyi sosyal sistemleri yeniden düzenleyen ve kuşaklar arası eşitliği teşvik eden entegre politikaların önemini vurgulamaktadır.

References

  • Acemoglu, D., & Restrepo, P. (2017). Robots and jobs: Evidence from US labor markets. NBER Working Paper No. 23285.
  • Barr, N. (2012). Economics of the Welfare State (5th ed.). Oxford University Press.
  • Bloom, D. E., Canning, D., & Fink, G. (2010). Implications of population aging for economic growth. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 26(4), 583–612.
  • Bongaarts, J. (2020). Trends in fertility and fertility preferences in sub-Saharan Africa: The roles of education and family planning programs. Genus, 76(1), 32–4.
  • Börsch-Supan, A., & Coile, C. (2018). Social security programs and retirement around the world: Working longer: Introduction and Summary. NBER Working Paper Series No. 24584.
  • Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. (2023). National health expenditure data: Historical and projected health spending. Retrieved from https://www.cms.gov
  • Cylus, J., Figueras, J., & Normand, C. (2019). Will Population Ageing Spell the End of the Welfare State? A Review of Evidence and Policy Options. WHO Regional Office for Europe.
  • Deaton, A. (2013). The great escape: Health, wealth, and the origins of inequality. Princeton University Press.
  • Eurostat. (2022). Statistics on Older People in the European Union.
  • European Commission: Joint Research Centre, Lutz, W., Stilianakis, N., Stonawski, M., Goujon, A., & Samir, K. (2018). Demographic and human capital scenarios for the 21st century.
  • Feng, W., Cai, Y., & Gu, B. (2013). Population, policy, and politics: How will history judge China’s one-child policy? Population and Development Review, 38(1), 773–789.
  • Fung, A. (2015). Putting the public back into governance: The challenges of citizen participation and its future. Public Administration Review, 75(4), 513–522.
  • Gardiner, C., Geldenhuys, G., & Gott, M. (2018). Interventions to reduce social isolation and loneliness among older people: An integrative review. Health & Social Care in the Community, 26(2), 147–157.
  • Gruber, J., & Wise, D. A. (2005). Social security programs and retirement around the World: Fiscal implications, introduction and summary. NBER Working Paper No. W11290.
  • Hatton, T. J., & Williamson, J. G. (2005). Global migration and the world economy: Two centuries of policy and performance. MIT Press.
  • Heckman, J. J., & Mosso, S. (2014). The economics of human development and social mobility. Annual Review of Economics, 6(1), 689–733.
  • Holt-Lunstad, J., Smith, T. B., & Layton, J. B. (2010). Social relationships and mortality risk: A meta-analytic review. PLOS Medicine, 7(7).
  • Holzmann, R., & Hinz, R. (2005). Old-age income support in the 21st century: An international perspective on pension systems and reform. World Bank.
  • Ikegami, N. (2019). Financing long-term care: Lessons from Japan. International Journal of Health Policy and Management, 8(8), 462–466.
  • ILO. (2021). World Social Protection Report 2020–22: Social Protection at the Crossroads – In Pursuit of a Better Future. International Labour Organization.
  • Khan, J., Hildingsson, R., & Garting, L. (2020). Sustainable welfare in Swedish cities: Challenges of eco-social integration in urban sustainability governance. Sustainability, 12(1), 383.
  • Kotlikoff, L. J. (2001). Generational policy. NBER Working Paper 8163.
  • Kuiper, J. S., Zuidersma, M., Zuidema, S. U., et al. (2016). Social relationships and cognitive decline: A systematic review and meta-analysis of longitudinal cohort studies. International Journal of Epidemiology, 45(4), 1169–1206.
  • Kushida, K. (2024). Japan’s aging society as a technological opportunity. Carnegie Endowment For International Peace.
  • Lee, R., & Mason, A. (2013). Population aging and the generational economy: A global perspective. Edward Elgar Publishing.
  • Lerch, M. (2020). International migration and city growth in the Global South: An analysis of IPUMS data for seven countries, 1992–2013. Population and Development Review, 46, 557–582.
  • Lesthaeghe, R. (2014). The second demographic transition: A concise overview of its development. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(51), 18112–18115.
  • Liebig, P. S., & Rajan, S. I. (2003). An aging India: Perspectives, prospects, and policies. Journal of Aging & Social Policy, 15(2–3), 1–9.
  • Mutchler, J., Yan-Jhu, S., & Velasco, R. N. (2023). Living below the line: Racial and ethnic disparities in economic security among older Americans. Center for Social and Demographic Research in Aging Publications, 68.
  • National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (NASEM). (2020). Social Isolation and Loneliness in Older Adults: Opportunities for the Health Care System. Washington DC: The National Academies Press.
  • OECD. (2023). Pensions at a Glance 2023: OECD and G20 Indicators. OECD Publishing.
  • Piketty, T. (2014). Capital in the Twenty-First Century. Harvard University Press.
  • Rajan, S. I., Misra, U. S., & Sharma, P. S. (1999). India’s Elderly: Burden or Challenge?. New Delhi: Sage.
  • Skirbekk, V. (2008). Age and productivity capacity: Description, causes and policy options. Ageing Horizons, 8, 4–12.
  • Suzuki, K., Dollery, B., & Kortt, M. A. (2020). Addressing loneliness and social isolation amongst elderly people through local co-production in Japan. Social Policy & Administration.
  • United Nations. (2023). World population prospects 2022. Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division.
  • World Bank. (2021). World Bank Support to Aging Countries. Retrieved from https://ieg.worldbankgroup.org/evaluations/world-bank-support-aging-countries
  • Zmud, J., Ecola, L., Phleps, P., & Feige, I. (2013). The future of mobility: Scenarios for the United States in 2030. Rand Corporation.
  • Yoshino, N., Kim, C. J., & Sirivunnabood, P. (2019). Aging population and its impact on fiscal sustainability. T20 Japan Task Force 10.

Economics of Longevity and Aging Populations

Year 2025, Volume: 4 Issue: 1, 146 - 176, 28.07.2025
https://doi.org/10.58654/jebi.1627286

Abstract

The global phenomenon of aging populations and increasing longevity presents significant economic, social, and policy challenges. This article explores the economic implications of these demographic trends, particularly their impact on fiscal sustainability, labor markets, healthcare systems, and intergenerational equity. The main aim is to critically evaluate the challenges posed by aging populations while highlighting opportunities for innovation and adaptation. By reviewing existing literature and case studies, the article illustrates how rising old-age dependency ratios strain pension systems, increase healthcare costs due to chronic diseases, and contribute to productivity declines from a shrinking workforce. At the same time, it examines the opportunities presented by the growth of the "silver economy," technological advancements in elder care, and policies that encourage lifelong learning and extended workforce participation. The article emphasizes the importance of integrated policy responses that leverage technology, reform social systems, and promote intergenerational equity by using examples from countries like Japan and the Nordic nations. By addressing these issues, this article aims to contribute to the broader discourse on sustainable strategies for managing aging populations and ensuring economic resilience in the face of demographic shifts.

References

  • Acemoglu, D., & Restrepo, P. (2017). Robots and jobs: Evidence from US labor markets. NBER Working Paper No. 23285.
  • Barr, N. (2012). Economics of the Welfare State (5th ed.). Oxford University Press.
  • Bloom, D. E., Canning, D., & Fink, G. (2010). Implications of population aging for economic growth. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 26(4), 583–612.
  • Bongaarts, J. (2020). Trends in fertility and fertility preferences in sub-Saharan Africa: The roles of education and family planning programs. Genus, 76(1), 32–4.
  • Börsch-Supan, A., & Coile, C. (2018). Social security programs and retirement around the world: Working longer: Introduction and Summary. NBER Working Paper Series No. 24584.
  • Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. (2023). National health expenditure data: Historical and projected health spending. Retrieved from https://www.cms.gov
  • Cylus, J., Figueras, J., & Normand, C. (2019). Will Population Ageing Spell the End of the Welfare State? A Review of Evidence and Policy Options. WHO Regional Office for Europe.
  • Deaton, A. (2013). The great escape: Health, wealth, and the origins of inequality. Princeton University Press.
  • Eurostat. (2022). Statistics on Older People in the European Union.
  • European Commission: Joint Research Centre, Lutz, W., Stilianakis, N., Stonawski, M., Goujon, A., & Samir, K. (2018). Demographic and human capital scenarios for the 21st century.
  • Feng, W., Cai, Y., & Gu, B. (2013). Population, policy, and politics: How will history judge China’s one-child policy? Population and Development Review, 38(1), 773–789.
  • Fung, A. (2015). Putting the public back into governance: The challenges of citizen participation and its future. Public Administration Review, 75(4), 513–522.
  • Gardiner, C., Geldenhuys, G., & Gott, M. (2018). Interventions to reduce social isolation and loneliness among older people: An integrative review. Health & Social Care in the Community, 26(2), 147–157.
  • Gruber, J., & Wise, D. A. (2005). Social security programs and retirement around the World: Fiscal implications, introduction and summary. NBER Working Paper No. W11290.
  • Hatton, T. J., & Williamson, J. G. (2005). Global migration and the world economy: Two centuries of policy and performance. MIT Press.
  • Heckman, J. J., & Mosso, S. (2014). The economics of human development and social mobility. Annual Review of Economics, 6(1), 689–733.
  • Holt-Lunstad, J., Smith, T. B., & Layton, J. B. (2010). Social relationships and mortality risk: A meta-analytic review. PLOS Medicine, 7(7).
  • Holzmann, R., & Hinz, R. (2005). Old-age income support in the 21st century: An international perspective on pension systems and reform. World Bank.
  • Ikegami, N. (2019). Financing long-term care: Lessons from Japan. International Journal of Health Policy and Management, 8(8), 462–466.
  • ILO. (2021). World Social Protection Report 2020–22: Social Protection at the Crossroads – In Pursuit of a Better Future. International Labour Organization.
  • Khan, J., Hildingsson, R., & Garting, L. (2020). Sustainable welfare in Swedish cities: Challenges of eco-social integration in urban sustainability governance. Sustainability, 12(1), 383.
  • Kotlikoff, L. J. (2001). Generational policy. NBER Working Paper 8163.
  • Kuiper, J. S., Zuidersma, M., Zuidema, S. U., et al. (2016). Social relationships and cognitive decline: A systematic review and meta-analysis of longitudinal cohort studies. International Journal of Epidemiology, 45(4), 1169–1206.
  • Kushida, K. (2024). Japan’s aging society as a technological opportunity. Carnegie Endowment For International Peace.
  • Lee, R., & Mason, A. (2013). Population aging and the generational economy: A global perspective. Edward Elgar Publishing.
  • Lerch, M. (2020). International migration and city growth in the Global South: An analysis of IPUMS data for seven countries, 1992–2013. Population and Development Review, 46, 557–582.
  • Lesthaeghe, R. (2014). The second demographic transition: A concise overview of its development. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(51), 18112–18115.
  • Liebig, P. S., & Rajan, S. I. (2003). An aging India: Perspectives, prospects, and policies. Journal of Aging & Social Policy, 15(2–3), 1–9.
  • Mutchler, J., Yan-Jhu, S., & Velasco, R. N. (2023). Living below the line: Racial and ethnic disparities in economic security among older Americans. Center for Social and Demographic Research in Aging Publications, 68.
  • National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (NASEM). (2020). Social Isolation and Loneliness in Older Adults: Opportunities for the Health Care System. Washington DC: The National Academies Press.
  • OECD. (2023). Pensions at a Glance 2023: OECD and G20 Indicators. OECD Publishing.
  • Piketty, T. (2014). Capital in the Twenty-First Century. Harvard University Press.
  • Rajan, S. I., Misra, U. S., & Sharma, P. S. (1999). India’s Elderly: Burden or Challenge?. New Delhi: Sage.
  • Skirbekk, V. (2008). Age and productivity capacity: Description, causes and policy options. Ageing Horizons, 8, 4–12.
  • Suzuki, K., Dollery, B., & Kortt, M. A. (2020). Addressing loneliness and social isolation amongst elderly people through local co-production in Japan. Social Policy & Administration.
  • United Nations. (2023). World population prospects 2022. Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division.
  • World Bank. (2021). World Bank Support to Aging Countries. Retrieved from https://ieg.worldbankgroup.org/evaluations/world-bank-support-aging-countries
  • Zmud, J., Ecola, L., Phleps, P., & Feige, I. (2013). The future of mobility: Scenarios for the United States in 2030. Rand Corporation.
  • Yoshino, N., Kim, C. J., & Sirivunnabood, P. (2019). Aging population and its impact on fiscal sustainability. T20 Japan Task Force 10.
There are 39 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects International Economics (Other)
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Aras Yolusever 0000-0001-9810-2571

Early Pub Date July 11, 2025
Publication Date July 28, 2025
Submission Date January 26, 2025
Acceptance Date June 10, 2025
Published in Issue Year 2025 Volume: 4 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Yolusever, A. (2025). Economics of Longevity and Aging Populations. Journal of Economics Business and International Relations-JEBI, 4(1), 146-176. https://doi.org/10.58654/jebi.1627286