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Year 2016, , 222 - 233, 30.09.2016

Onur Koyuncu , Mehmet Gozlu Kazım Baris Atici

https://doi.org/10.17261/Pressacademia.2016321990

Abstract

References

  • Andrawis, R.R., Atiya, A.F. & El-Shishiny, H. 2011, “Combination of Long Term and Short Term Forecasts, with Application to Tourism Demand Forecasting”, International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 27, pp. 870-886.
  • Aslanova, K. 2013, “Türkiye’de Sağlık Turizmi ve Sağlık Turizmi Hukuku”, Avrasya Uluslararası Araştırmalar Dergisi, vol. 2, no.3, pp. 129-145.
  • Beladi, H., Chao, C.C., Shan Ee, M. & Hollas, D. 2015, “Medical Tourism and Health Worker Migration in Developing Countries”, Economic Modelling, vol. 46, pp. 391-396.
  • Birdir, K. & Tuzcu, Z. 2014, “JCI Akreditasyon Belgesine Sahip Olan Sağlık Kuruluşlarının WEB Sitelerinin Medikal Turizm Açısından Değerlendirilmesi”, Çağ Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, vol.11, no.1, pp. 1-19.
  • Bozkurt, H. 2008, “Health Doesn’t Listen to Crisis”, Health Tourism Occupational-Political-Cultural Journal, vol. 1, no. 6, pp. 21-23.
  • Claveria, O. & Datzira, J. 2010, “Forecasting Tourism Demand Using Consumer Expectations”, Tourism Review, vol. 65, no. 1, pp. 18-36.
  • Csirmaz, E. & Peto, K. 2015, “Emerging Markets Queries in Finance and Business International Trends in Recreational and Wellness Tourism”, Procedia Economics and Finance, vol. 32, pp.755-762.
  • Çevirme, F. 2008, “Global Economic Crisis Increases the Importance of Health Tourism”, Health Tourism Occupational-Political-Cultural Journal, vol. 1, no. 5, pp. 9-11.
  • Guizzardi, A. & Mazzocchi, M. 2010, “Tourism Demand for Italy and the Business Cycle”, Tourism Management, vol. 31, pp. 367-377.
  • Gupte, G. & Panjamapirom, A. 2014. “Understanding Medical Tourism”, Encyclopedia of Health Economics, vol. 3, pp. 404-410.
  • Huang, Y. 2012, “Forecasting the Demand for Health Tourism in Asian Countries Using a GM (1,1)-Alpha Model”, Tourism and Hospitality Management, vol. 18, no.2, pp. 171-181.
  • İçöz, O. 2009, “Sağlık Turizmi Kapsamında Medikal (Tıbbi) Turizm ve Türkiye’nin Olanakları”, Journal of Yaşar University, vol. 4, no.14, pp.2257-2279.
  • Joppe, M. 2010, “One Country’s Transformation to SPA Destination: The Case of Canada” Journal of Hospitality and Tourism Management, vol. 17, pp. 117–126.
  • Karuppan, C.M. & Karuppan M. 2010, “Changing Trends in Health Care Tourism”, The Health Care Manager, vol. 29, no. 4, pp. 349-358.
  • Kılınç, E. 2013, “Medikal Sağlık Turizminin Stratejik Planlaması: Isparta Örneği”, Unpublished Master Thesis, Isparta: Süleyman Demirel University.
  • Lautier, M. 2008, “Export of Health Services from Developing Countries: The Case of Tunisia”, Social Science &Medicine, vol.67, pp. 101-110.
  • Lautier, M. 2014, “International Trade of Health Services: Global Trends and Local Impact”, Health Policy, vol. 118, pp. 105-113.
  • Loh, C.A. 2015, “Trends and Structural Shifts in Health Tourism: Evidence from Seasonal Time-Series Data on Health-Related Travel Spending by Canada during 1970-2010”, Social Science &Medicine, vol. 132, pp. 173-180.
  • Özkurt, H. 2007, “Sağlık Turizmi Tahvilleri”, Maliye Dergisi, Vol. 152, pp.121-142.
  • Özok, G. 2008, “Thermal Tourism Investments in Turkey”, Health Tourism Occupational-Political-Cultural Journal, vol. 1, no. 6, pp. 16-20.
  • Republic of Turkey Ministry of Development, 2014, “The Tenth Development Plan 2014-2018”, http://www.mod.gov.tr/Lists/RecentPublications/Attachments/75/The%20Tenth%20Development%20Plan%20(2014-2018).pdf Accessed 15.02.2016.
  • Sayılı, M., Akca, H. Duman, T. & Esengün, K. 2007, “Psoriasis Treatment via Doctor Fishes as Part of Health Tourism: A Case Study of Kangal Fish Spring, Turkey”, Tourism Management, vol. 28, pp. 625-629.
  • Shen, S., Li, G. & Song, H. 2011, “Combination Forecasts of International Tourism Demand”, Annals of Tourism Research, vol. 38, no.1, pp. 72-89.
  • Song, H. & Li, G. 2008, “Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting – A Review of Recent Research”, Tourism Management, vol. 29, pp. 203-220.
  • Şahbaz, R.P., Akdu, U. & Akdu, S. “Türkiye’de Medikal Turizm Uygulamaları; İstanbul ve Ankara Uygulamaları”, Balıkesir Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, vol. 15, no.27, pp. 267-296.
  • TÜRSAB 2014, “Turkish Healthcare Tourism Report” (http://www.tursab.org.tr/dosya/12186/saglikturizmiraporu_12186_5485299.pdf Accessed 15.02.2016).
  • Tütüncü, Ö., Kiremitçi, İ. & Çalışkan, U. 2011, “Sağlık Turizmi, Güvenlik ve Kalite”, Anatolia: Turizm Araştırmaları Dergisi, vol. 22, no. 1, pp. 91-93.
  • Wang, Y. 2009, “The Impact of Crisis Events and Macroeconomic Activity on Taiwan’s International Inbound Tourism Demand”, Tourism Management” vol. 30, no. 1, pp. 75-82.
  • Witt, S.F. & Witt, C.A. 1995, “Forecasting Tourism Demand: A Review of Empirical Research”, International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 11, pp. 447-475.
  • Wong, K.K.F., Song, H., Witt, S.F. & Wu, D.C. 2007, “Tourism Forecasting: To Combine or not to Combine?”, Tourism Management, vol. 28, pp. 1068-1078.

ANALYSIS AND FORECASTS ON THE HEALTHCARE TOURISM INCOME OF TURKEY

Year 2016, , 222 - 233, 30.09.2016

Onur Koyuncu , Mehmet Gozlu Kazım Baris Atici

https://doi.org/10.17261/Pressacademia.2016321990

Abstract



Turkey
is one of the new centers of attraction for healthcare tourism with increasing
efforts for improvement at policy making level. In link with the specific
targets for healthcare tourism income set by the government, this study aims to
analyze historical data of healthcare tourism income of Turkey over 2002-2015
and provide future forecasts. Both annual and quarterly healthcare tourism
income data are analyzed to investigate the share of healthcare tourism income
in aggregate tourism income and to search for seasonal effects. Results
indicate that relying on the high correlation between aggregate tourism and
healthcare tourism income, healthcare
tourism income can be presented and forecasted as a percentage of annual
tourism income. Seasonality
is observed for the aggregate tourism income, where it is also present for healthcare
tourism income between 2002 and 2009. It is also found that Turkey has an upward trend in health and
aggregate tourism income.




Keywords

Tourism Income healthcare tourism income forecasting

References

  • Andrawis, R.R., Atiya, A.F. & El-Shishiny, H. 2011, “Combination of Long Term and Short Term Forecasts, with Application to Tourism Demand Forecasting”, International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 27, pp. 870-886.
  • Aslanova, K. 2013, “Türkiye’de Sağlık Turizmi ve Sağlık Turizmi Hukuku”, Avrasya Uluslararası Araştırmalar Dergisi, vol. 2, no.3, pp. 129-145.
  • Beladi, H., Chao, C.C., Shan Ee, M. & Hollas, D. 2015, “Medical Tourism and Health Worker Migration in Developing Countries”, Economic Modelling, vol. 46, pp. 391-396.
  • Birdir, K. & Tuzcu, Z. 2014, “JCI Akreditasyon Belgesine Sahip Olan Sağlık Kuruluşlarının WEB Sitelerinin Medikal Turizm Açısından Değerlendirilmesi”, Çağ Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, vol.11, no.1, pp. 1-19.
  • Bozkurt, H. 2008, “Health Doesn’t Listen to Crisis”, Health Tourism Occupational-Political-Cultural Journal, vol. 1, no. 6, pp. 21-23.
  • Claveria, O. & Datzira, J. 2010, “Forecasting Tourism Demand Using Consumer Expectations”, Tourism Review, vol. 65, no. 1, pp. 18-36.
  • Csirmaz, E. & Peto, K. 2015, “Emerging Markets Queries in Finance and Business International Trends in Recreational and Wellness Tourism”, Procedia Economics and Finance, vol. 32, pp.755-762.
  • Çevirme, F. 2008, “Global Economic Crisis Increases the Importance of Health Tourism”, Health Tourism Occupational-Political-Cultural Journal, vol. 1, no. 5, pp. 9-11.
  • Guizzardi, A. & Mazzocchi, M. 2010, “Tourism Demand for Italy and the Business Cycle”, Tourism Management, vol. 31, pp. 367-377.
  • Gupte, G. & Panjamapirom, A. 2014. “Understanding Medical Tourism”, Encyclopedia of Health Economics, vol. 3, pp. 404-410.
  • Huang, Y. 2012, “Forecasting the Demand for Health Tourism in Asian Countries Using a GM (1,1)-Alpha Model”, Tourism and Hospitality Management, vol. 18, no.2, pp. 171-181.
  • İçöz, O. 2009, “Sağlık Turizmi Kapsamında Medikal (Tıbbi) Turizm ve Türkiye’nin Olanakları”, Journal of Yaşar University, vol. 4, no.14, pp.2257-2279.
  • Joppe, M. 2010, “One Country’s Transformation to SPA Destination: The Case of Canada” Journal of Hospitality and Tourism Management, vol. 17, pp. 117–126.
  • Karuppan, C.M. & Karuppan M. 2010, “Changing Trends in Health Care Tourism”, The Health Care Manager, vol. 29, no. 4, pp. 349-358.
  • Kılınç, E. 2013, “Medikal Sağlık Turizminin Stratejik Planlaması: Isparta Örneği”, Unpublished Master Thesis, Isparta: Süleyman Demirel University.
  • Lautier, M. 2008, “Export of Health Services from Developing Countries: The Case of Tunisia”, Social Science &Medicine, vol.67, pp. 101-110.
  • Lautier, M. 2014, “International Trade of Health Services: Global Trends and Local Impact”, Health Policy, vol. 118, pp. 105-113.
  • Loh, C.A. 2015, “Trends and Structural Shifts in Health Tourism: Evidence from Seasonal Time-Series Data on Health-Related Travel Spending by Canada during 1970-2010”, Social Science &Medicine, vol. 132, pp. 173-180.
  • Özkurt, H. 2007, “Sağlık Turizmi Tahvilleri”, Maliye Dergisi, Vol. 152, pp.121-142.
  • Özok, G. 2008, “Thermal Tourism Investments in Turkey”, Health Tourism Occupational-Political-Cultural Journal, vol. 1, no. 6, pp. 16-20.
  • Republic of Turkey Ministry of Development, 2014, “The Tenth Development Plan 2014-2018”, http://www.mod.gov.tr/Lists/RecentPublications/Attachments/75/The%20Tenth%20Development%20Plan%20(2014-2018).pdf Accessed 15.02.2016.
  • Sayılı, M., Akca, H. Duman, T. & Esengün, K. 2007, “Psoriasis Treatment via Doctor Fishes as Part of Health Tourism: A Case Study of Kangal Fish Spring, Turkey”, Tourism Management, vol. 28, pp. 625-629.
  • Shen, S., Li, G. & Song, H. 2011, “Combination Forecasts of International Tourism Demand”, Annals of Tourism Research, vol. 38, no.1, pp. 72-89.
  • Song, H. & Li, G. 2008, “Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting – A Review of Recent Research”, Tourism Management, vol. 29, pp. 203-220.
  • Şahbaz, R.P., Akdu, U. & Akdu, S. “Türkiye’de Medikal Turizm Uygulamaları; İstanbul ve Ankara Uygulamaları”, Balıkesir Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, vol. 15, no.27, pp. 267-296.
  • TÜRSAB 2014, “Turkish Healthcare Tourism Report” (http://www.tursab.org.tr/dosya/12186/saglikturizmiraporu_12186_5485299.pdf Accessed 15.02.2016).
  • Tütüncü, Ö., Kiremitçi, İ. & Çalışkan, U. 2011, “Sağlık Turizmi, Güvenlik ve Kalite”, Anatolia: Turizm Araştırmaları Dergisi, vol. 22, no. 1, pp. 91-93.
  • Wang, Y. 2009, “The Impact of Crisis Events and Macroeconomic Activity on Taiwan’s International Inbound Tourism Demand”, Tourism Management” vol. 30, no. 1, pp. 75-82.
  • Witt, S.F. & Witt, C.A. 1995, “Forecasting Tourism Demand: A Review of Empirical Research”, International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 11, pp. 447-475.
  • Wong, K.K.F., Song, H., Witt, S.F. & Wu, D.C. 2007, “Tourism Forecasting: To Combine or not to Combine?”, Tourism Management, vol. 28, pp. 1068-1078.
There are 30 citations in total.

Details

Journal Section Articles
Authors

Onur Koyuncu

Mehmet Gozlu This is me

Kazım Baris Atici

Publication Date September 30, 2016
Published in Issue Year 2016

Cite

APA Koyuncu, O., Gozlu, M., & Atici, K. B. (2016). ANALYSIS AND FORECASTS ON THE HEALTHCARE TOURISM INCOME OF TURKEY. Journal of Economics Finance and Accounting, 3(3), 222-233. https://doi.org/10.17261/Pressacademia.2016321990

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