Abstract
Amaç- Bu çalışmanın amacı; ihracat hacminin arttırılabilmesi ve kompozisyonunun düzeltilebilmesi için lojistik sektörünün temel taşlarından olan ulaştırma harcamaları ve ihracatın ilişkisinin ekonometrik bir analizle incelenerek, ulaştırma harcamalarının öneminin belirlenmesidir.
Yöntem- Bu çalışmada, lojistik sektöründe en önemli payı oluşturan ulaştırma harcamaları ve ihracat arasındaki ilişkinin incelenmesinde Granger Nedensellik Testleri ile Toda ve Yamamoto ekonometrik modeli kullanılmıştır.
Bulgular- Çalışma sonucunda, “Ulaştırma harcamaları ve ihracat arasındaki ilişkinin araştırıldığı, çalışma sonucunda değişkenler arasında çift yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi tespit edilmiştir.’’ İhracattaki artış -ülkeleri daha fazla ihracat yapabilmek için- ulaşım kanallarını genişletmesine ve çeşitlendirmesine yöneltecektir.
Sonuç- Artan ihracatta yeni yöntemler, yeni ulaştırma yollarını hızlandıracak ve ihracat ve lojistik – ulaştırma birbirini besleyecektir. Taşımacılık ve ulaştırma maliyetlerinin aşağıya çekilmesi, modern sistemlerin kullanılmasına ve tedarik zincirinin iyi yönetilmesine bağlıdır. Lojistik yapısı iyi oluştuğunda ihracat artacak, ihracat arttıkça da daha multimodal taşımacılık sistemleri ve lojistik ağı oluşacaktır.
Keywords
Lojistik ihracat ulaştırma Granger Nedensellik Testleri Toda ve Yamamato Ekonometrik Modeli
References
- Akbulut G. ve Sekmen O., (2015), Uluslararası Ticaretin Gelişmesinde Ulaşım Maliyetlerinin Rolü:Türkiye Örneği, Balkan and Near Eastern Journal of Social Sciences Balkan ve Yakın Doğu Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 01 (01): 20-29.
- Chouhary, Muhammad; Khan, Nawar; Arshad, Muhammad and Aisha Abbas (2009), Analyzing Pakistan’s Freight Transportation Infrastructure Using Porter’s Framework and Forecasting Future Freight Demand Using Time Series Models, Proceedings of the 2nd Wseas International Conference on Urban Planning and Transportation, 70-77.
- Daşkan E.S. (2016), Türkiye’de Lojistik Hizmetlerdeki Gelişimin Dış Ticaret Üzerine Yansımaları, İstanbul Ticaret Üniversitesi Dış Ticaret Enstitüsü, Yüksek Lisans Tezi.
- Demir, V. (2008). Lojistik Yönetim Sisteminde Maliyet Hesaplama (2. Baskı.). Ankara: Nobel Basım Evi.
- Dickey, D.A. ve W.A. Fuller (1979), Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74, 427–431.
- Granger, C.W.J. (1988). Some Recent Development in a Concept of Causality. Journal of Econometrics, 39, 199-211.
- Hou, F. (2008). Modern Logistics: Accelerator of International Trade, Finance & Economics, 4, 13-20.
- Koban, E. ve Keser, H. Y. (2008). Dış Ticarette Lojistik (2. Baskı). Bursa: Ekin Yayınları.
- Larch, Mario; (2007), The Multinationalization of the transport sector, Journal of Policy Modeling, 29(3):397-416.
- Liping Zhu, Xubiao Yang (2011), Study on the relationship between Shanghai air logistics and international trade, Journal of System and Management Sciences, 1(2):69.
- TCMB, Hazine Ve Maliye Bakanalığı, TUİK, Strateji ve Bütçe Başkanlığı, 2018 ve 2019 P. 2019 Yılı Cumhurbaşkanlığı Yıllık Programı.
- Toda, H. Y.; Yamamoto, T., (1995), Statistical Inference in Vector Autoregression with Possibly Integrated Processes, Journal of Econometrics, 66:225-250.
- Tunç H. Ve Kaya M. (2016). Türkiye’de Lojistik Sektörünün Gelişmesinde Dış Ticaretin Rolü Üzerine Bir Nedensellik Analizi, Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi Vizyoner Dergisi, 7(14):58-65.
- Tunç, H. ve Kaya, M. (2016), Türkiye’de Lojistik Sektörünün Gelişmesinde Dış Ticaretin Rolü Üzerine Bir Nedensellik Analizi, Visionary E-Journal/Vizyoner Dergisi, 7(14).
- Wang, L. (2005). International Trade and Modern Logistics, Finance Teaching and Research, Vol.1, 30-31.
- Yang, C.C. (2008). Relationships Between International Trade and International Logistics in China”, International Business, Vol.1.8-16.
- Zhang, B.Y. (2009). A Study on the Influence of Logistics on the Import and Export Trade in China”, Journal of International Trade, Vol.1.9-18.
- Zhaofang, C. ve Qiang, W. (2010). “Air Logistics and International Trade: Evidence from China”, Journal of International Trade, 36(5), 19-24.
Abstract
Purpose- The aim of this study is to examine the role of transport expenditures in increasing the export and correcting its composition by examining the relationship between transport expenditures and export, which are the cornerstones of the logistics sector, with an econometric analysis.
Methodology- While analyzing the logistics sector, since the numerical data sources are not sufficient, transportation expenditure data, which is the most important item of the logistics sector, was used. In this study, the relationship between transportation expenditures and exports, which constitute the most important share in logistics sector, was found by applying Granger Causality Tests and Toda and Yamamoto econometric model.
Findings - The relationship between transportation expenditures and exports in the study was applied to Granger Causality Tests and Toda and Yamamoto econometric model. As a result, a two-way causality relationship has emerged between transportation expenditures and exports. The increase in exports will cause countries to expand and diversify their transportation channels in order to export more.
Conclusion- As revealed in the study; accelerating export will accelerate newer methods and new transportation routes, and export and logistics - transportation will feed each other. Further reduction of transportation and transportation costs depends on the use of modern systems and good management of the supply chain. Exports will increase when the logistics structure is well established, and more multimodal transportation systems and logistics networks will be expected as exports increases.
Keywords
Logistics export transportation Granger Causality Tests Toda and Yamamato Econometric Model
References
- Akbulut G. ve Sekmen O., (2015), Uluslararası Ticaretin Gelişmesinde Ulaşım Maliyetlerinin Rolü:Türkiye Örneği, Balkan and Near Eastern Journal of Social Sciences Balkan ve Yakın Doğu Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 01 (01): 20-29.
- Chouhary, Muhammad; Khan, Nawar; Arshad, Muhammad and Aisha Abbas (2009), Analyzing Pakistan’s Freight Transportation Infrastructure Using Porter’s Framework and Forecasting Future Freight Demand Using Time Series Models, Proceedings of the 2nd Wseas International Conference on Urban Planning and Transportation, 70-77.
- Daşkan E.S. (2016), Türkiye’de Lojistik Hizmetlerdeki Gelişimin Dış Ticaret Üzerine Yansımaları, İstanbul Ticaret Üniversitesi Dış Ticaret Enstitüsü, Yüksek Lisans Tezi.
- Demir, V. (2008). Lojistik Yönetim Sisteminde Maliyet Hesaplama (2. Baskı.). Ankara: Nobel Basım Evi.
- Dickey, D.A. ve W.A. Fuller (1979), Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74, 427–431.
- Granger, C.W.J. (1988). Some Recent Development in a Concept of Causality. Journal of Econometrics, 39, 199-211.
- Hou, F. (2008). Modern Logistics: Accelerator of International Trade, Finance & Economics, 4, 13-20.
- Koban, E. ve Keser, H. Y. (2008). Dış Ticarette Lojistik (2. Baskı). Bursa: Ekin Yayınları.
- Larch, Mario; (2007), The Multinationalization of the transport sector, Journal of Policy Modeling, 29(3):397-416.
- Liping Zhu, Xubiao Yang (2011), Study on the relationship between Shanghai air logistics and international trade, Journal of System and Management Sciences, 1(2):69.
- TCMB, Hazine Ve Maliye Bakanalığı, TUİK, Strateji ve Bütçe Başkanlığı, 2018 ve 2019 P. 2019 Yılı Cumhurbaşkanlığı Yıllık Programı.
- Toda, H. Y.; Yamamoto, T., (1995), Statistical Inference in Vector Autoregression with Possibly Integrated Processes, Journal of Econometrics, 66:225-250.
- Tunç H. Ve Kaya M. (2016). Türkiye’de Lojistik Sektörünün Gelişmesinde Dış Ticaretin Rolü Üzerine Bir Nedensellik Analizi, Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi Vizyoner Dergisi, 7(14):58-65.
- Tunç, H. ve Kaya, M. (2016), Türkiye’de Lojistik Sektörünün Gelişmesinde Dış Ticaretin Rolü Üzerine Bir Nedensellik Analizi, Visionary E-Journal/Vizyoner Dergisi, 7(14).
- Wang, L. (2005). International Trade and Modern Logistics, Finance Teaching and Research, Vol.1, 30-31.
- Yang, C.C. (2008). Relationships Between International Trade and International Logistics in China”, International Business, Vol.1.8-16.
- Zhang, B.Y. (2009). A Study on the Influence of Logistics on the Import and Export Trade in China”, Journal of International Trade, Vol.1.9-18.
- Zhaofang, C. ve Qiang, W. (2010). “Air Logistics and International Trade: Evidence from China”, Journal of International Trade, 36(5), 19-24.
Details
| Primary Language | Turkish |
|---|---|
| Subjects | Finance, Business Administration |
| Journal Section | Articles |
| Authors | |
| Publication Date | June 30, 2020 |
| Published in Issue | Year 2020 |
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