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Finite-Time Stability of Time-Delay Dynamical System for the Outbreak of COVID-19

Year 2020, Volume: 9 Issue: 3, 25 - 37, 25.12.2020

Abstract

In this study, the finite-time stability of the time-delay system representing the COVID-19 outbreak is analyzed. The infection dynamics is stated with the new kernel function to express the distribution of exposed people in the model. A history-wise Lyapunov functional is used to show the finite-time stability of the proposed system. A condition in terms of linear matrix inequalities is given to ensure finite-time stability. With this condition, it is guaranteed that the norm of the variables which are infected, confirmed, isolated and cured/recovered people do not exceed a certain bound in a fixed finite time interval. The solution of the generalized minimum/maximum parameters is explained and a numerical example is demonstrated to show the validity of the proposed method.

References

  • Chen, Y., Cheng, J. Jiang, Y. Liu, K., 2020a. A Time-Delay Dynamical Model for Outbreak of 2019-nCoV and the Parameter Identification. Journal of Inverse and Ill-Posed Problems, 28(2): 243-250.
  • Chen, Y., Cheng, J. Jiang, Y. Liu, K., 2020b. A Time-Delay Dynamic System with External Source for the Local Outbreak of 2019-nCoV. Applicable Analysis, In Press.
  • Hagood, J. W., Thomson, B.S., 2006. Recovering a Function from a Dini Derivative, The American Mathematical Monthly, 113(1): 34-46.
  • Hethcote, H. W., 2000. The Mathematics of Infectious Diseases. SIAM Review, 42(4): 599-653.
  • Kermack, W. O., McKendrick, A. G., 1991. Contributions to the Mathematical Theory of Epidemics-I. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 53(1-2): 33-55.
  • Kermack, W. O., McKendrick, A. G., 1932. Contributions to the Mathematical Theory of Epidemics-II: The Problem of Endemicity. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series A, 138(834): 55-83.
  • Kermack, W. O., McKendrick, A. G., 1933. Contributions to the Mathematical Theory of Epidemics-III: Further Studies of the Problem of Endemicity. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series A, 141(843): 94-122.
  • Kermack, W. O., McKendrick, A. G., 1937. Contributions to the Mathematical Theory of Epidemics-IV: Analysis of Experimental Epidemics of the Virus Disease Mouse Ectromelia. Epidemiology & Infection, 37(2): 172-187.
  • Kermack, W. O., McKendrick, A. G., 1939. Contributions to the Mathematical Theory of Epidemics-V: Analysis of Experimental Epidemics of Mouse-Typhoid; A Bacterial Disease Conferring Incomplete Immunity. Epidemiology & Infection, 39(3): 271-288.
  • Royden, H. L., 1988. Real Analysis, 3rd ed. (pp. 99). Macmillan NewYork.
  • World Health Organization, 2020. Novel Coronavirus – China: Disease Outbreak News, 12 January 2020.
  • World Health Organization, 2020. Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): Situation Reports.
Year 2020, Volume: 9 Issue: 3, 25 - 37, 25.12.2020

Abstract

References

  • Chen, Y., Cheng, J. Jiang, Y. Liu, K., 2020a. A Time-Delay Dynamical Model for Outbreak of 2019-nCoV and the Parameter Identification. Journal of Inverse and Ill-Posed Problems, 28(2): 243-250.
  • Chen, Y., Cheng, J. Jiang, Y. Liu, K., 2020b. A Time-Delay Dynamic System with External Source for the Local Outbreak of 2019-nCoV. Applicable Analysis, In Press.
  • Hagood, J. W., Thomson, B.S., 2006. Recovering a Function from a Dini Derivative, The American Mathematical Monthly, 113(1): 34-46.
  • Hethcote, H. W., 2000. The Mathematics of Infectious Diseases. SIAM Review, 42(4): 599-653.
  • Kermack, W. O., McKendrick, A. G., 1991. Contributions to the Mathematical Theory of Epidemics-I. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 53(1-2): 33-55.
  • Kermack, W. O., McKendrick, A. G., 1932. Contributions to the Mathematical Theory of Epidemics-II: The Problem of Endemicity. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series A, 138(834): 55-83.
  • Kermack, W. O., McKendrick, A. G., 1933. Contributions to the Mathematical Theory of Epidemics-III: Further Studies of the Problem of Endemicity. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series A, 141(843): 94-122.
  • Kermack, W. O., McKendrick, A. G., 1937. Contributions to the Mathematical Theory of Epidemics-IV: Analysis of Experimental Epidemics of the Virus Disease Mouse Ectromelia. Epidemiology & Infection, 37(2): 172-187.
  • Kermack, W. O., McKendrick, A. G., 1939. Contributions to the Mathematical Theory of Epidemics-V: Analysis of Experimental Epidemics of Mouse-Typhoid; A Bacterial Disease Conferring Incomplete Immunity. Epidemiology & Infection, 39(3): 271-288.
  • Royden, H. L., 1988. Real Analysis, 3rd ed. (pp. 99). Macmillan NewYork.
  • World Health Organization, 2020. Novel Coronavirus – China: Disease Outbreak News, 12 January 2020.
  • World Health Organization, 2020. Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): Situation Reports.
There are 12 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Gökhan Göksu 0000-0001-8442-9637

Publication Date December 25, 2020
Published in Issue Year 2020 Volume: 9 Issue: 3

Cite

APA Göksu, G. (2020). Finite-Time Stability of Time-Delay Dynamical System for the Outbreak of COVID-19. Journal of New Results in Science, 9(3), 25-37.
AMA Göksu G. Finite-Time Stability of Time-Delay Dynamical System for the Outbreak of COVID-19. JNRS. December 2020;9(3):25-37.
Chicago Göksu, Gökhan. “Finite-Time Stability of Time-Delay Dynamical System for the Outbreak of COVID-19”. Journal of New Results in Science 9, no. 3 (December 2020): 25-37.
EndNote Göksu G (December 1, 2020) Finite-Time Stability of Time-Delay Dynamical System for the Outbreak of COVID-19. Journal of New Results in Science 9 3 25–37.
IEEE G. Göksu, “Finite-Time Stability of Time-Delay Dynamical System for the Outbreak of COVID-19”, JNRS, vol. 9, no. 3, pp. 25–37, 2020.
ISNAD Göksu, Gökhan. “Finite-Time Stability of Time-Delay Dynamical System for the Outbreak of COVID-19”. Journal of New Results in Science 9/3 (December 2020), 25-37.
JAMA Göksu G. Finite-Time Stability of Time-Delay Dynamical System for the Outbreak of COVID-19. JNRS. 2020;9:25–37.
MLA Göksu, Gökhan. “Finite-Time Stability of Time-Delay Dynamical System for the Outbreak of COVID-19”. Journal of New Results in Science, vol. 9, no. 3, 2020, pp. 25-37.
Vancouver Göksu G. Finite-Time Stability of Time-Delay Dynamical System for the Outbreak of COVID-19. JNRS. 2020;9(3):25-37.


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