Research Article
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Year 2021, Issue: 047, 39 - 46, 31.12.2021

Abstract

References

  • [1] Nazeri, S., Colombelli, S., & Zollo, A., (2019), Fast and accurate determination of earthquake moment, rupture length and stress release for the 2016–2017 Central Italy seismic sequence. Geophysical Journal International, 217(2), 1425-1432.
  • [2] Lin, J. T., Chang, W. L., Melgar, D., Thomas, A., & Chiu, C. Y., (2019), Quick determination of earthquake source parameters from GPS measurements: a study of suitability for Taiwan. Geophysical Journal International, 219(2), 1148-1162.
  • [3] Saadalla, H., Mohamed, A., & El-Faragawy, K., (2019), Determination of earthquake source parameters using the inversion of waveform data: A case of small earthquakes around High Dam Lake, Aswan region, Egypt. Journal of African Earth Sciences, 151, 403-416.
  • [4] Prastowo, T., & Fahmi, M. N. (2020). Estimation of Rupture Directivity, CMT and Earthquake Tsunami Parameters and Their Correlation with the Main Source of the First Tsunami Wave, September 28, 2018. Science of Tsunami Hazards, 39(4).
  • [5] Ambraseys, N., (2009), Earthquakes in the Mediterranean and Middle East. Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press, ISBN 978-0-521-87292-.
  • [6] Papadopoulos, G.A., Daskalaki, E., Fokaefs, A., Giraleas, N., (2010), Tsunami hazard in the Eastern Mediterranean Sea: strong earthquakes and tsunamis in the west Hellenic arc and trench system, Journal of Earthquake and Tsunami, 4 (03): 145-179.
  • [7] Yolsal, S., Taymaz, T., Yalciner, A.C., (2007), Understanding tsunamis, potential source regions and tsunami-prone mechanisms in the Eastern Mediterranean, Geological Society, 291 (1): 201- 230.
  • [8] Yolsal-Çevikbilen, S., Taymaz, T., (2012), Earthquake source parameters along the Hellenic subduction zone and numerical simulations of historical tsunamis in the Eastern Mediterranean, Tectonophysics, 536: 61-100.
  • [9] Shaw, B., Ambraseys, N.N., England, P.C., Floyd, M.A., Gorman, G.J., Higham, T.F.G., Jackson, J.A., Nocquet, J.M., Pain, C.C., Piggott, M.D., (2008), Eastern Mediterranean tectonics and tsunami hazard inferred from the AD 365 earthquake, Nat. Geosci., 1: 268 – 276.
  • [10] Necmioglu, O., (2014), Tsunami Hazard in Turkey and Surroundings, PhD, Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul, Turkey.
  • [11] Goda, K., Abilova, K., (2016), Tsunami hazard warning and risk prediction based on inaccurate earthquake source parameters, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 16 (2): 577-593.
  • [12] Marriner, N., Kaniewski, D., Morhange, C., Flaux, C., Giaime, M., Vacchi, M., Goff, J., (2017), Tsunamis in the geological record: Making waves with a cautionary tale from the Mediterranean, Science advances, 3 (10): e1700485.
  • [13] Papadopoulos, G.A., Minoura, K., Imamura, F., Kuran, U., Yalciner, A.C., Fokaefs, A., Takahashi, T., (2012), Geological evidence of tsunamis and earthquakes at the Eastern Hellenic Arc: correlation with historical seismicity in the eastern Mediterranean Sea, Research in Geophysics, 2 (2): e12-e12.
  • [14] Hanks, T.C., Kanamori, H., (1979), A moment-magnitude scale, J. Geophys. Res., 84: 2348- 2350.
  • [15] Blaser, L., Krüger, F., Ohrnberger, M., Scherbaum, F., (2010), Scaling relations of earthquake source parameter estimates with special focus on subduction environment, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 100 (6): 2914-2926.
  • [16] Papazachos, B.C., Scordilis, E.M., Panagiotopoulos, D.G., Papazachos, C.B., Karakaisis, G.F., (2004), Global Relations between Seismic Fault Parameters and Moment Magnitude of Earthquakes, Bulletin of the Geological Society of Greece, 36.
  • [17] Wells, D.L., Coppersmith, K.J., (1994), New empirical relationships among magnitude, rupture length, rupture width, rupture area, and surface displacement, Bulletin of the seismological Society of America, 84 (4): 974-1002.
  • [18] Onat, Y., and Yalciner, A.C., (2013), Initial stage of database development for tsunami warning system along Turkish coasts, Ocean Engineering, 74: 141-154.
  • [19] Stiros, S.C., (2001), The AD 365 Crete earthquake and possible seismic clustering during the fourth to sixth centuries AD in the Eastern Mediterranean: a review of historical and archaeological data, Journal of Structural Geology, 23 (2-3): 545-562.
  • [20] Shaw, B., Ambraseys, N.N., England, P.C., Floyd, M.A., Gorman, G.J., Higham, T.F.G., Jackson, J.A., Nocquet, J.M., Pain, C.C., Piggott, M.D., (2008), Eastern Mediterranean tectonics and tsunami hazard inferred from the AD 365 earthquake, Nat. Geosci., 1: 268 – 276.
  • [21] England, P., Howell, A., Jackson, J., Synolakis, C., (2015), Palaeotsunamis and tsunami hazards in the Eastern Mediterranean, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 373 (2053), 20140374
  • [22] Periáñez, R., Abril, J.M., (2014), Modelling tsunamis in the Eastern Mediterranean Sea: Application to the Minoan Santorini tsunami sequence as a potential scenario for the biblical Exodus, Journal of Marine Systems, 139, 91-102.
  • [23] Hamouda, A.Z., (2010), Worst scenarios of tsunami effects along the Mediterranean coast of Egypt, Marine Geophysical Researches, 31 (3): 197-214.
  • [24] Altinok, Y., Alpar, B., Özer, N., Aykurt, H., (2011), Revision of the tsunami catalogue affecting Turkish coasts and surrounding regions, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 11 (2): 273-291.
  • [25] Hamouda, A.Z., (2006), Numerical computations of 1303 tsunamigenic propagation towards Alexandria, Egyptian Coast, Journal of African Earth Sciences, 44 (1): 37-44.
  • [26] El-Sayed, A., Romanelli, F., Panza, G., (2000), Recent seismicity and realistic waveforms modeling to reduce the ambiguities about the 1303 seismic activity in Egypt, Tectonophysics, 328 (3-4), 341-357.

OVERESTIMATION of DISPLACEMENT DUE to MISINTERPRETATION of EARTHQUAKE RUPTURE PARAMETERS

Year 2021, Issue: 047, 39 - 46, 31.12.2021

Abstract

Tsunamis that killed hundreds of thousands of people, especially in the last two decades, are one of the most devastating natural hazards. Throughout history, tsunamis caused by devastating earthquakes have resulted in the loss of life, property, and environmental damage on the coasts. Recently, however, extreme hazard possibilities have been suggested due to misinterpretation of earthquake parameters and the overestimation of displacements. The structure of the seismic moment equation commonly used by scientists allows some manipulation on the rupture area of the fault and the displacement. Because of this gap, scientists produce different displacement amounts for an earthquake of the same magnitude and therefore, different tsunami wave heights are estimated by decreasing the rupture area and also, increasing the displacement under the sea. In this study, earthquake parameters are calculated based on a comprehensive literature review and compared with previous studies. The difference between the displacements calculated using regression analysis in the study and other studies reveals that the assumptions and estimations regarding the rupture parameters differs according to expert knowledge. The article aims to shed light on a reliable method of rupture parameter calculation to avoid misinterpretation and randomness.

References

  • [1] Nazeri, S., Colombelli, S., & Zollo, A., (2019), Fast and accurate determination of earthquake moment, rupture length and stress release for the 2016–2017 Central Italy seismic sequence. Geophysical Journal International, 217(2), 1425-1432.
  • [2] Lin, J. T., Chang, W. L., Melgar, D., Thomas, A., & Chiu, C. Y., (2019), Quick determination of earthquake source parameters from GPS measurements: a study of suitability for Taiwan. Geophysical Journal International, 219(2), 1148-1162.
  • [3] Saadalla, H., Mohamed, A., & El-Faragawy, K., (2019), Determination of earthquake source parameters using the inversion of waveform data: A case of small earthquakes around High Dam Lake, Aswan region, Egypt. Journal of African Earth Sciences, 151, 403-416.
  • [4] Prastowo, T., & Fahmi, M. N. (2020). Estimation of Rupture Directivity, CMT and Earthquake Tsunami Parameters and Their Correlation with the Main Source of the First Tsunami Wave, September 28, 2018. Science of Tsunami Hazards, 39(4).
  • [5] Ambraseys, N., (2009), Earthquakes in the Mediterranean and Middle East. Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press, ISBN 978-0-521-87292-.
  • [6] Papadopoulos, G.A., Daskalaki, E., Fokaefs, A., Giraleas, N., (2010), Tsunami hazard in the Eastern Mediterranean Sea: strong earthquakes and tsunamis in the west Hellenic arc and trench system, Journal of Earthquake and Tsunami, 4 (03): 145-179.
  • [7] Yolsal, S., Taymaz, T., Yalciner, A.C., (2007), Understanding tsunamis, potential source regions and tsunami-prone mechanisms in the Eastern Mediterranean, Geological Society, 291 (1): 201- 230.
  • [8] Yolsal-Çevikbilen, S., Taymaz, T., (2012), Earthquake source parameters along the Hellenic subduction zone and numerical simulations of historical tsunamis in the Eastern Mediterranean, Tectonophysics, 536: 61-100.
  • [9] Shaw, B., Ambraseys, N.N., England, P.C., Floyd, M.A., Gorman, G.J., Higham, T.F.G., Jackson, J.A., Nocquet, J.M., Pain, C.C., Piggott, M.D., (2008), Eastern Mediterranean tectonics and tsunami hazard inferred from the AD 365 earthquake, Nat. Geosci., 1: 268 – 276.
  • [10] Necmioglu, O., (2014), Tsunami Hazard in Turkey and Surroundings, PhD, Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul, Turkey.
  • [11] Goda, K., Abilova, K., (2016), Tsunami hazard warning and risk prediction based on inaccurate earthquake source parameters, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 16 (2): 577-593.
  • [12] Marriner, N., Kaniewski, D., Morhange, C., Flaux, C., Giaime, M., Vacchi, M., Goff, J., (2017), Tsunamis in the geological record: Making waves with a cautionary tale from the Mediterranean, Science advances, 3 (10): e1700485.
  • [13] Papadopoulos, G.A., Minoura, K., Imamura, F., Kuran, U., Yalciner, A.C., Fokaefs, A., Takahashi, T., (2012), Geological evidence of tsunamis and earthquakes at the Eastern Hellenic Arc: correlation with historical seismicity in the eastern Mediterranean Sea, Research in Geophysics, 2 (2): e12-e12.
  • [14] Hanks, T.C., Kanamori, H., (1979), A moment-magnitude scale, J. Geophys. Res., 84: 2348- 2350.
  • [15] Blaser, L., Krüger, F., Ohrnberger, M., Scherbaum, F., (2010), Scaling relations of earthquake source parameter estimates with special focus on subduction environment, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 100 (6): 2914-2926.
  • [16] Papazachos, B.C., Scordilis, E.M., Panagiotopoulos, D.G., Papazachos, C.B., Karakaisis, G.F., (2004), Global Relations between Seismic Fault Parameters and Moment Magnitude of Earthquakes, Bulletin of the Geological Society of Greece, 36.
  • [17] Wells, D.L., Coppersmith, K.J., (1994), New empirical relationships among magnitude, rupture length, rupture width, rupture area, and surface displacement, Bulletin of the seismological Society of America, 84 (4): 974-1002.
  • [18] Onat, Y., and Yalciner, A.C., (2013), Initial stage of database development for tsunami warning system along Turkish coasts, Ocean Engineering, 74: 141-154.
  • [19] Stiros, S.C., (2001), The AD 365 Crete earthquake and possible seismic clustering during the fourth to sixth centuries AD in the Eastern Mediterranean: a review of historical and archaeological data, Journal of Structural Geology, 23 (2-3): 545-562.
  • [20] Shaw, B., Ambraseys, N.N., England, P.C., Floyd, M.A., Gorman, G.J., Higham, T.F.G., Jackson, J.A., Nocquet, J.M., Pain, C.C., Piggott, M.D., (2008), Eastern Mediterranean tectonics and tsunami hazard inferred from the AD 365 earthquake, Nat. Geosci., 1: 268 – 276.
  • [21] England, P., Howell, A., Jackson, J., Synolakis, C., (2015), Palaeotsunamis and tsunami hazards in the Eastern Mediterranean, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 373 (2053), 20140374
  • [22] Periáñez, R., Abril, J.M., (2014), Modelling tsunamis in the Eastern Mediterranean Sea: Application to the Minoan Santorini tsunami sequence as a potential scenario for the biblical Exodus, Journal of Marine Systems, 139, 91-102.
  • [23] Hamouda, A.Z., (2010), Worst scenarios of tsunami effects along the Mediterranean coast of Egypt, Marine Geophysical Researches, 31 (3): 197-214.
  • [24] Altinok, Y., Alpar, B., Özer, N., Aykurt, H., (2011), Revision of the tsunami catalogue affecting Turkish coasts and surrounding regions, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 11 (2): 273-291.
  • [25] Hamouda, A.Z., (2006), Numerical computations of 1303 tsunamigenic propagation towards Alexandria, Egyptian Coast, Journal of African Earth Sciences, 44 (1): 37-44.
  • [26] El-Sayed, A., Romanelli, F., Panza, G., (2000), Recent seismicity and realistic waveforms modeling to reduce the ambiguities about the 1303 seismic activity in Egypt, Tectonophysics, 328 (3-4), 341-357.
There are 26 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Engineering
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Cüneyt Yavuz 0000-0001-9767-7234

Publication Date December 31, 2021
Submission Date September 15, 2020
Published in Issue Year 2021 Issue: 047

Cite

IEEE C. Yavuz, “OVERESTIMATION of DISPLACEMENT DUE to MISINTERPRETATION of EARTHQUAKE RUPTURE PARAMETERS”, JSR-A, no. 047, pp. 39–46, December 2021.