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A multiple decrement life table model for orphan daughters in Turkey

Year 2020, Volume: 13 Issue: 2, 48 - 60, 31.12.2020

İlker Şirin

Abstract

The multiple decrement life table application in this study shows that, social insurances for surviving daughters in Turkey is considerably generous. When causes other than death are eliminated, expected benefit duration for surviving daughters, is higher than that is calculated for women pensioners who have earned their benefits after their career. Survivor pensioner daughters are encouraged to remain out of the labour force and receive their orphan’s pensions, rather than start working. However, benefiting from the demographic dividend requires covering both men and women in the labour force.

Keywords

Multiple decrement life table survivor pensions orphan daughter

References

  • [1] United Nations, 2017, World Population Ageing 2017 Highlights, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (ST/ESA/SER.A/397).
  • [2] OECD, 2017, Pensions at a Glance 2017: OECD and G20 indicators, OECD Publishing, Paris. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/pension_glance-2017-en.
  • [3] AIV, 2009. Demographic Changes and Development Cooperation, Advisory Council On International Affairs, No.66, The Hague.
  • [4] I., Koç, İ., M.A., Eryurt, T., Adalı, P., Seçkiner, 2009, Türkiye’nin Demografik Dönüşümü: Demographic Transition of Turkey. Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara.
  • [5] SSA, 2016, Social Security Programs throughout the World: Europe, 2016, Social Security Administration, SSA Publication No. 13-11801.
  • [6] Ş. Hoşgör, 2005, Türkiye’de Devlet İstatistik Enstitüsünce Derlenen Ölüm Verilerindeki Eksik Kapsamın Boyut ve Nitelik Tahmini, Nüfus Bilim Dergisi, 27, 17-34.
  • [7] M.A., Eryurt, I., Koç, 2006, Türkiye için hayat tablolarının yetimlik tekniği ile oluşuturulması, The Turkish Journal of Population Studies, Vol. 28-29, 47-60.
  • [8] E., Kırkbeşoğu, İ. Koç, 2010, Mortality table problems in the life insurance sector: An advisory alternative solution for Turkey, The Turkish Journal of Population Studies, Vol. 31-32, 5-30.
  • [9] E., Kırkbeşoğu, 2006, Construction of mortality tables for life insurance sector from the 2003 Turkey demographic and health survey, Unpublished master’s thesis, Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara.
  • [10] Y. Coşkun, 2002, Estimation of Adult Mortality by Using the Orphanhood Method from the 1993 and 1998 Turkish Demographic and Health Surveys, Unpublished masters thesis, Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara.
  • [11] A. Hancıoğlu, 1991, Estimation of Levels and Trends in Mortality from Information on the Survival Statusof a Close Relative: Turkey 1970-1985, Unpublished Doctoral Dissertation, Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara.
  • [12] Ş. Hoşgör, 1992, Estimation of Post-Childhood Life Tables Using Age and Sex Distributions and Intercensal Growth Rates in Turkey, (1930-1990), Unpublished master’s thesis, Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara.
  • [13] Ş. Hoşgör, 1997, Estimation of Post-Childhood Life Tables of Provinces and Regions in Turkey, by Using Age and Sex Distributions and Intercensal Growth Rates (1985-1990), Unpublished PhD thesis, Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara.
  • [14] A. Gjonça, 2006, Training on preparing a life table for Turkey, Project Completion Report. Hifab International.
  • [15] D. Demirbüken, 2001, An Evaluation of Burial Records of Ankara City Cemeteries, Unpublished masters thesis, Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara.
  • [16] H., Taylan, G., Yapar, 2013, Construction of a Life Table by Using the Turkish General Death Data, Journal of Statistical Research,10 (2), 1-24.
  • [17] H. Tuzgöl, 2005, SSK Ölüm İstatistiklerinin İncelenmesi ve Farklı Gruplar İçin Yaşam Tablolarının Oluşturulması, Unpublished expertise thesis, Social Security Institution, Ankara.
  • [18] E. Whittaker, 1923, On a new method of graduation, Proceedings of Edinburgh Mathematical Society, 41, 63-75.
  • [19] H., Tuzgöl, M., Sucu, Ş., Hoşgör, 2010, Çoklu Artan-Azalan Hayat Tablosu ve Türkiye Sosyal Güvenlik Sistemine Bir Uygulaması. The Turkish Journal of Population Studies, Vol. 31-32, 31-44.
  • [20] Y., G., Ündemir, H., Özuysal, Ş., Hoşgör, 2010, Sosyal güvenliğe kayıtlı 4/1-a bendi kapsamındaki zorunlu sigortalılara ilişkin çoklu azalan hayat tabloları, The Turkish Journal of Population Studies, Vol. 31-32, 83-102.
  • [21] Hacettepe University, 2018, ‘Türkiye Hayat ve Hayat Annüite Tablolarının Oluşturulması Projesi’, http://www.aktuerya.hacettepe.edu.tr/TurkiyeHayatTablolari.php.
  • [22] Europan Commission, 2003, Demographic statistics: Definitions and methods of collection in 31 European Countries, 3/2003/E/no25.
  • [23] C. L. Chiang, 1991, Competing risks in mortality analysis. Annu Rev Public Health, 1991; 12: 281-307.
  • [24] S., H., Preston, P., Heuveline, M., Guillot, 2001, Demography. Measuring and Modelling Population Processes, Blackwell Publishers: Oxford.
  • [25] N. Keyfitz, 1966, A Life Table that Agrees with the Data, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 61(314): 305-12.
  • [26] J., Gruber, D., Wise, 1998, Social Security and Retirement: An International Comparison. The American Economic Review, Vol 88, No.2., 158-163.
  • [27] Ministry of Labour and Social Security-MoLSS (2014), National Employment Strategy & Action Plans, General Directorate of Labour.

Ölüm aylığı almakta olanlara ilişkin çok azalanlı yaşam tablosu uygulaması

Year 2020, Volume: 13 Issue: 2, 48 - 60, 31.12.2020

İlker Şirin

Abstract

Bu çalışmadaki çok azalanlı yaşam tablosu uygulaması, ölüm aylığı alan yetim kız çocuklarına sunulan sosyal sigorta hizmetlerinin Türkiye’deki bonkörlüğünü ortaya koymaktadır. Ölüm dışındaki ayrılış nedenleri eksiltildiğinde, Türkiye’de yetim kız çocukları için beklenen aylık ödeme süresi, kendi çalışmalarından kaynaklı emekliliğe hak kazanan kadın sigortalıların beklenen emekli aylığı alma sürelerinden fazladır. “Kızlar” çalışmaktansa evde kalıp yetim aylıklarını alma yönünde cesaretlendirilmektedir. Öte yandan, demografik fırsattan faydalanabilme kadın ve erkeklerin birlikte iş gücüne dahil olmasından geçmektedir.

Keywords

yaşam tablosu çok azalanlı süreçler ölüm aylıkları

References

  • [1] United Nations, 2017, World Population Ageing 2017 Highlights, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (ST/ESA/SER.A/397).
  • [2] OECD, 2017, Pensions at a Glance 2017: OECD and G20 indicators, OECD Publishing, Paris. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/pension_glance-2017-en.
  • [3] AIV, 2009. Demographic Changes and Development Cooperation, Advisory Council On International Affairs, No.66, The Hague.
  • [4] I., Koç, İ., M.A., Eryurt, T., Adalı, P., Seçkiner, 2009, Türkiye’nin Demografik Dönüşümü: Demographic Transition of Turkey. Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara.
  • [5] SSA, 2016, Social Security Programs throughout the World: Europe, 2016, Social Security Administration, SSA Publication No. 13-11801.
  • [6] Ş. Hoşgör, 2005, Türkiye’de Devlet İstatistik Enstitüsünce Derlenen Ölüm Verilerindeki Eksik Kapsamın Boyut ve Nitelik Tahmini, Nüfus Bilim Dergisi, 27, 17-34.
  • [7] M.A., Eryurt, I., Koç, 2006, Türkiye için hayat tablolarının yetimlik tekniği ile oluşuturulması, The Turkish Journal of Population Studies, Vol. 28-29, 47-60.
  • [8] E., Kırkbeşoğu, İ. Koç, 2010, Mortality table problems in the life insurance sector: An advisory alternative solution for Turkey, The Turkish Journal of Population Studies, Vol. 31-32, 5-30.
  • [9] E., Kırkbeşoğu, 2006, Construction of mortality tables for life insurance sector from the 2003 Turkey demographic and health survey, Unpublished master’s thesis, Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara.
  • [10] Y. Coşkun, 2002, Estimation of Adult Mortality by Using the Orphanhood Method from the 1993 and 1998 Turkish Demographic and Health Surveys, Unpublished masters thesis, Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara.
  • [11] A. Hancıoğlu, 1991, Estimation of Levels and Trends in Mortality from Information on the Survival Statusof a Close Relative: Turkey 1970-1985, Unpublished Doctoral Dissertation, Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara.
  • [12] Ş. Hoşgör, 1992, Estimation of Post-Childhood Life Tables Using Age and Sex Distributions and Intercensal Growth Rates in Turkey, (1930-1990), Unpublished master’s thesis, Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara.
  • [13] Ş. Hoşgör, 1997, Estimation of Post-Childhood Life Tables of Provinces and Regions in Turkey, by Using Age and Sex Distributions and Intercensal Growth Rates (1985-1990), Unpublished PhD thesis, Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara.
  • [14] A. Gjonça, 2006, Training on preparing a life table for Turkey, Project Completion Report. Hifab International.
  • [15] D. Demirbüken, 2001, An Evaluation of Burial Records of Ankara City Cemeteries, Unpublished masters thesis, Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara.
  • [16] H., Taylan, G., Yapar, 2013, Construction of a Life Table by Using the Turkish General Death Data, Journal of Statistical Research,10 (2), 1-24.
  • [17] H. Tuzgöl, 2005, SSK Ölüm İstatistiklerinin İncelenmesi ve Farklı Gruplar İçin Yaşam Tablolarının Oluşturulması, Unpublished expertise thesis, Social Security Institution, Ankara.
  • [18] E. Whittaker, 1923, On a new method of graduation, Proceedings of Edinburgh Mathematical Society, 41, 63-75.
  • [19] H., Tuzgöl, M., Sucu, Ş., Hoşgör, 2010, Çoklu Artan-Azalan Hayat Tablosu ve Türkiye Sosyal Güvenlik Sistemine Bir Uygulaması. The Turkish Journal of Population Studies, Vol. 31-32, 31-44.
  • [20] Y., G., Ündemir, H., Özuysal, Ş., Hoşgör, 2010, Sosyal güvenliğe kayıtlı 4/1-a bendi kapsamındaki zorunlu sigortalılara ilişkin çoklu azalan hayat tabloları, The Turkish Journal of Population Studies, Vol. 31-32, 83-102.
  • [21] Hacettepe University, 2018, ‘Türkiye Hayat ve Hayat Annüite Tablolarının Oluşturulması Projesi’, http://www.aktuerya.hacettepe.edu.tr/TurkiyeHayatTablolari.php.
  • [22] Europan Commission, 2003, Demographic statistics: Definitions and methods of collection in 31 European Countries, 3/2003/E/no25.
  • [23] C. L. Chiang, 1991, Competing risks in mortality analysis. Annu Rev Public Health, 1991; 12: 281-307.
  • [24] S., H., Preston, P., Heuveline, M., Guillot, 2001, Demography. Measuring and Modelling Population Processes, Blackwell Publishers: Oxford.
  • [25] N. Keyfitz, 1966, A Life Table that Agrees with the Data, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 61(314): 305-12.
  • [26] J., Gruber, D., Wise, 1998, Social Security and Retirement: An International Comparison. The American Economic Review, Vol 88, No.2., 158-163.
  • [27] Ministry of Labour and Social Security-MoLSS (2014), National Employment Strategy & Action Plans, General Directorate of Labour.
There are 27 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Engineering
Journal Section Articles
Authors

İlker Şirin 0000-0003-4092-1579

Publication Date December 31, 2020
Published in Issue Year 2020 Volume: 13 Issue: 2

Cite

IEEE İ. Şirin, “A multiple decrement life table model for orphan daughters in Turkey”, JSSA, vol. 13, no. 2, pp. 48–60, 2020.