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Natural Capital and Ecosystem Services: Theoretical Foundations and the Global and Turkish Implementations of Spatial Modeling Tools

Year 2025, Volume: 15 Issue: 1, 17 - 40, 31.07.2025

Abstract

This study aims to evaluate the conceptual foundations of natural capital and ecosystem services, as well as the tools that enable their spatial modeling. Valuing ecosystem services both physically and monetarily is critically important for sustainable development, environmental planning, and nature-based decision-making processes. In this context, three widely used global tools—ARIES, InVEST, and Co$ting Nature—are comparatively analyzed in terms of their technical features, data requirements, outputs, and user profiles. Additionally, the implementation of these tools within the Turkish context is assessed by reviewing the current data infrastructure, policy documents, academic studies, pilot projects, and institutional initiatives. The findings reveal that spatial modeling tools offer strong potential for quantifying, mapping, and integrating ecosystem services into natural capital accounting. However, to fully realize this potential, it is essential to strengthen data infrastructure, establish legal frameworks, and enhance institutional capacity.

References

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Doğal Sermaye ve Ekosistem Hizmetleri: Kavramsal Temeller ve Mekansal Modelleme Araçları ile Küresel ve Türkiye Uygulamaları

Year 2025, Volume: 15 Issue: 1, 17 - 40, 31.07.2025

Abstract

Bu çalışma, doğal sermaye ve ekosistem hizmetlerinin kavramsal temelleri ile bu hizmetlerin mekânsal olarak modellenmesine olanak tanıyan araçları değerlendirmeyi amaçlamaktadır. Ekosistem hizmetlerinin hem fiziksel hem de parasal olarak değerlenmesi, sürdürülebilir kalkınma, çevresel planlama ve doğa temelli karar alma süreçleri açısından kritik önemdedir. Bu bağlamda, dünya genelinde yaygın olarak kullanılan ARIES, InVEST ve Co$ting Nature araçları, teknik özellikleri, veri gereksinimleri, çıktıları ve kullanıcı profilleri açısından karşılaştırmalı olarak analiz edilmiştir. Ayrıca, bu araçların Türkiye bağlamında uygulanabilirliği, mevcut veri altyapısı ve politika belgeleriyle olan ilişkisi değerlendirilmiş; Türkiye’deki mevcut akademik çalışmalar, pilot projeler ve kurumsal girişimlere dair bir derleme sunulmuştur. Bulgular, ekosistem hizmetlerinin sayısallaştırılması, haritalandırılması ve doğal sermaye muhasebesine entegrasyonu için mekânsal modelleme araçlarının güçlü bir potansiyel sunduğunu ortaya koymakta; ancak bu potansiyelin etkin şekilde kullanılabilmesi için veri altyapısının güçlendirilmesi, yasal çerçevelerin oluşturulması ve kurumsal kapasitenin artırılması gerektiğini vurgulamaktadır.

References

  • Agarwala, M., Atkinson, G., Palmer, C., Fry, B., Homewood, K., Mourato, S., & Milner‐Gulland, E. J. (2014). Natural capital: Using ecosystem service framework to inform policy. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 30(1), 126–144.
  • Aziz, T., & Van Cappellen, P. (2019). Comparative valuation of potential and realized ecosystem services in Southern Ontario, Canada. Environmental Science & Policy, 100, 105–112. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2019.06.011
  • Bagstad, K. J., Semmens, D. J., Waage, S., & Winthrop, R. (2013). A comparative assessment of decision-support tools for ecosystem services quantification and valuation. Ecosystem Services, 5, 27–39. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2013.07.004
  • Bagstad, K. J., Villa, F., Johnson, G. W., & Voigt, B. (2011). ARIES – Artificial Intelligence for Ecosystem Services: A guide to models and data (Version 1.0). ARIES Report Series No.1. ARIES Consortium.
  • Bagstad, K. J., Balbi, S., Adamo, G., et al. (2025). Interoperability for ecosystem service assessments: Why, how, who, and for whom? Ecosystem Services, 72, 101705.
  • Başak, E., Çetin, N. İ., Vatandaşlar, C., Pamukcu-Albers, P., Karabulut, A. A., Demirbaş Çağlayan, S., ... & Atkin, G. (2022). Ecosystem services studies in Turkey: A national-scale review. Science of The Total Environment, 844, 157068. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157068
  • Choi, C. Y., Kim, H., & Lee, D. K. (2018). Identifying priority areas for ecosystem services using ecosystem service bundles: A case study in South Korea. Ecological Indicators, 89, 745–754. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.02.008
  • Costanza, R., d’Arge, R., De Groot, R., Farber, S., Grasso, M., Hannon, B., ... & Belt, M. (1997). The value of the world’s ecosystem services and natural capital. Nature, 387, 253–260. https://doi.org/10.1038/387253a0
  • Daily, G. C., Polasky, S., Goldstein, J., Kareiva, P. M., Mooney, H. A., Pejchar, L., ... & Shallenberger, R. (2009). Ecosystem services in decision making: Time to deliver. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 7(1), 21–28. https://doi.org/10.1890/080025
  • Guerry, A. D., Polasky, S., Lubchenco, J., Chaplin‐Kramer, R., Daily, G. C., Griffin, R., ... & Vira, B. (2015). Natural capital and ecosystem services informing decisions: From promise to practice. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 112(24), 7348–7355. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1503751112
  • Haines-Young, R., & Potschin, M. (2010). The links between biodiversity, ecosystem services and human well-being. In D. Raffaelli & C. Frid (Eds.), Ecosystem ecology: A new synthesis (pp. 110–139). Cambridge University Press.
  • Hemati, A., Karami, M., & Khorasani, N. (2020). Identifying hotspots of ecosystem services and ecological conservation under land-use change scenarios using Co$ting Nature model. Environmental Earth Sciences, 79, 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-020-09182-w
  • IPBES. (2019). Summary for policymakers of the global assessment report on biodiversity and ecosystem services of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (E. S. Brondízio, J. Settele, S. Díaz, & H. T. Ngo, Eds.). IPBES Secretariat.
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  • Mulligan, M., & van Soesbergen, A. (2017). Mapping ecosystem services in the Volta Basin using the Co$ting Nature ecosystem service assessment model. CGIAR Research Program on Water, Land and Ecosystems (WLE). Colombo, Sri Lanka.
  • Mulligan, M., et al. (2010). Co$ting Nature: A policy support system for ecosystem services and conservation. King’s College London & AmbioTEK.
  • Natural Capital Project. (2023). InVEST user guide: Integrated valuation of ecosystem services and tradeoffs. Stanford University. https://naturalcapitalproject.stanford.edu/software/invest
  • Nelson, E., Mendoza, G., Regetz, J., Polasky, S., Tallis, H., Cameron, D. R., ... & Shaw, M. R. (2009). Modeling multiple ecosystem services, biodiversity conservation, commodity production, and trade-offs at landscape scales. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 7(1), 4–11. https://doi.org/10.1890/080023
  • Ruckelshaus, M., McKenzie, E., Tallis, H., Guerry, A., Daily, G., Kareiva, P., ... & Bernhardt, J. (2015). Notes from the field: Lessons learned from using ecosystem service approaches to inform real-world decisions. Ecological Economics, 115, 11–21. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2013.07.009
  • TEEB – The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity. (2010). Mainstreaming the economics of nature: A synthesis of the approach, conclusions and recommendations of TEEB. Malta: Progress Press.
  • Tonyaloğlu, E. E. (2025). Future land use/land cover and its impacts on ecosystem services: Case of Aydın, Turkey. International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 22, 4601–4617. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13762-024-05907-y
  • Türkiye Cumhuriyeti. (2018). Ulusal Biyolojik Çeşitlilik Stratejisi ve Eylem Planı 2018–2028. Tarım ve Orman Bakanlığı, Doğa Koruma ve Millî Parklar Genel Müdürlüğü. https://faolex.fao.org
  • United Nations. (2021). System of environmental-economic accounting – Ecosystem accounting (SEEA EA). United Nations.
  • Villa, F., Bagstad, K. J., Voigt, B., Johnson, G. W., Portela, R., Honzák, M., & Batker, D. (2014). A methodology for adaptable and robust ecosystem services assessment. PLOS ONE, 9(3), e91001. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0091001
  • Villa, F., Balbi, S., Bulckaen, A., & Ochoa, A. (2021). Artificial intelligence technology for rapid natural capital accounting: The ARIES for SEEA Explorer. BC3 Policy Briefing. Basque Centre for Climate Change (BC3).
  • Willcock, S., Hooftman, D., Blanchard, R., Dawson, T. P., Hickler, T., Lindeskog, M., ... & Bullock, J. M. (2020). Ensembles of ecosystem service models can improve accuracy and indicate uncertainty. Science of the Total Environment, 747, 141006. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141006
  • Uluç, S. M. (2022). Doğal sermaye muhasebesi ile ilgili çalışmaların betimsel bir içerik analizi ile değerlendirilmesi. Academic Social Resources Journal, 7(40), 883–890. https://doi.org/10.29228/ASRJ.63471
  • IUCN. (2020). Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions. https://doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.CH.2020.08.en
  • UNEP. (2021). State of finance for nature 2021. https://www.unep.org/resources/state-finance-nature
  • Sharp, R., Chaplin-Kramer, R., Wood, S. A., et al. (2020). InVEST 3.9.1 User’s Guide. The Natural Capital Project. https://naturalcapitalproject.stanford.edu/software/invest
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There are 66 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Economic Models and Forecasting, Spatial Statistics, Stochastic Analysis and Modelling
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Deniz Basoglu Acet 0000-0003-1918-1756

Gül Canan Yavuz 0009-0003-6521-3525

Kasirga Yildirak 0000-0002-0797-3505

Publication Date July 31, 2025
Submission Date May 21, 2025
Acceptance Date June 20, 2025
Published in Issue Year 2025 Volume: 15 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Basoglu Acet, D., Yavuz, G. C., & Yildirak, K. (2025). Doğal Sermaye ve Ekosistem Hizmetleri: Kavramsal Temeller ve Mekansal Modelleme Araçları ile Küresel ve Türkiye Uygulamaları. İstatistik Araştırma Dergisi, 15(1), 17-40.