Research Article
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TRAFFIC SAFETY AND RISK ASSESSMENT OF KONYA DISTRICTS

Year 2024, Volume: 12 Issue: 4, 1034 - 1046, 01.12.2024
https://doi.org/10.36306/konjes.1558785

Abstract

Road traffic accidents are a major problem worldwide, causing both loss of life and permanent disability. In order to prevent and reduce these losses and damages, it is very important to determine the causes of traffic accidents. Analyzing the population under the influence of traffic accidents can more realistically reflect the risk situation of the region in terms of traffic safety. The aim of this study is to analyze the situation of Konya districts in terms of traffic safety. For this purpose, the traffic accidents that occurred in 2019-2023 in 28 districts of Konya, excluding the central districts, were examined and the risk situation of the districts in terms of traffic safety was determined by the relative risk ratio. According to the results of the analysis, the districts with high relative risk value were determined as the most risky districts in terms of traffic safety. These districts are Ereğli, Karapınar, Seydişehir, Ilgın, Akşehir, Güneysınır, Beyşehir, Kadınhanı and Cumra. Yalıhüyük was found to be the district with the lowest risk. It was found that in the districts defined as high-risk, traffic accidents occurred mostly where the speed limit was 50 km/h. The relative risk rate was high in Ereğli, Karapınar, Seydişehir, Ilgın and Akşehir districts in all the years analyzed. For this reason, the types of accidents in these districts were studied and it was found that the most frequent type of accident was the side-on collision. In addition, it was found that the drivers involved in the most traffic accidents in these districts were drivers between the ages of 18 and 29. Such analyses are an important resource for the creation and implementation of traffic safety policies.

References

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  • D.McCarty & H.W. Kim, “Risky behaviors and road safety: An exploration of age and gender influences on road accident rates,” PLoS one , 19(1), e0296663, 2024.
  • S.Bando & A.Nozawa, “Detection of driver inattention from fluctuations in vehicle operating data,” Artificial Life and Robotics, 20, 28-33, 2015.
  • S.K.Fondzenyuy, B.M. Turner, A.F.Burlacu & C.Jurewicz, “The contribution of excessive or inappropriate speeds to road traffic crashes and fatalities: A review of literature,” Transportation Engineering, 17, 100259, 2024.
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  • A.Bilim, “Identifying unsafe locations for pedestrians in Konya with spatio-temporal analyses,” Cities, 156, 105523, 2025.
  • Z. Xie and J. Yan, "GIS-based economic cost estimation of traffic accidents in St. Louis, Missouri," Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, vol. 96, pp. 2907–2915, 2013.
  • H. Harirforoush and L. Bellalite, "A new integrated GIS-based analysis to detect hotspots: A case study of the city of Sherbrooke," Accident Analysis & Prevention, vol. 130, pp. 62-74, 2019.
  • M.H. Islam, L.T. Hua, H.Hamid & A. Azarkerdar, “ Relationship of accident rates and road geometric design,” In IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, vol. 357, no. 1, p. 012040, IOP Publishing, 2019.
  • K. G. Le, P. Liu, and L. T. Lin, "Determining the road traffic accident hotspots using GIS-based temporal-spatial statistical analytic techniques in Hanoi, Vietnam," Geo-spatial Information Science, vol. 23, no. 2, pp. 153-164, 2020.
  • M. Wang, J. Yi, X. Chen, W. Zhang, and T. Qiang, "Spatial and temporal distribution analysis of traffic accidents using GIS-based data in Harbin," Journal of Advanced Transportation, vol. 2021, pp. 1-10, 2021.
  • S.Erdoğan, M.A. Dereli & H.İ. Şenol, “A GIS-based assessment of long-term traffic accidents using spatiotemporal and empirical Bayes analysis in Turkey,” Applied Geomatics, 14(2), 147–162, 2022.
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  • A. Atalay, “Spatial and temporal analysis of traffic accidents in Turkey,” Ph.D. dissertation, Atatürk University, Institute of Natural and Applied Sciences, Erzurum, 2010.
  • A. E. Öncü and M. Önder, "Analysis of Traffic Accidents in the Gendarmerie Area by Data Mining Method," Trafik ve Ulaşım Araştırmaları Dergisi, vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 143–158, 2023.
  • M. Li, H. Xie & P. Shu, “Study on the Impact of Traffic Accidents in Key Areas of Rural Roads,” Sustainability, 13(14), 7802, 2021.
  • C.Leschik, L. Klitzke, R. Lüdtke & K.Gimm, “Investigation on Road Traffic Safety in Rural Areas Using Trajectory Data: Case Studies at Two Measurement Sites,”2024. Available at SSRN 4802927.
  • H.M. Mason, J. Randall, P.A. Leggat, D. Voaklander & R.C. Franklin, “Comparing rural traffic safety in Canada and Australia: a scoping review of the literature,” Rural and remote health, 22(4), 1-12, 2022.
  • A.C. Baviskar & M.P. Kadam, “An Approach of Multi Criteria Decision Making in Analyzing Rural Road Safety in Nashik District,” International Journal for Research in Applied Science & Engineering Technology (IJRASET) ISSN: 2321-9653; Volume 12 Issue I, 2024.
  • S.Tajnik & B.Luin, “Impact of Driver, Vehicle, and Environment on Rural Road Crash Rate,” Sustainability, 14(23), 15744, 2022.
  • C.J. Sun, R.Y. Bai & Y.Y. Yu, “Regression Analysis of Rural Road Traffic Accidents Causes,” Applied Mechanics and Materials, 97, 1042-1045, 2011.
  • S.Hu & Q. Xiang, “Characteristics analysis of traffic accidents on rural roads,” In CICTP 2012: Multimodal Transportation Systems—Convenient, Safe, Cost-Effective, Efficient, pp. 2506-2513,2012.
  • S. Dissanayake & I. Ratnayake, “Identification of factors leading to high severity of crashes in rural areas using ordered probit modeling,” Journal of the Transportation Research Forum, vol. 45, no. 2, pp. 87-101, 2006.
  • L. L. Sun, D. Liu, T. Chen, and M. T. He, "Road traffic safety: An analysis of the cross-effects of economic, road, and population factors," Chinese Journal of Traumatology, vol. 22, no. 5, pp. 290-295, 2019.
  • Turkish National Police Traffic Presidency, Traffic accident data, EGM, 2023.
  • M. L. Iovaldi, "Relative risk and odds ratio: Basic concepts," Revista Argentina de Cirugía, vol. 115, no. 4, pp. 310-315, 2023.
  • N. Kabakuş, “Analysis of traffic accidents with geographic information systems: The case of Erzurum province,” M.Sc. thesis, Atatürk University, Institute of Natural and Applied Sciences, Erzurum, 2011.
  • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Principles of Epidemiology in Public Health Practice, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Atlanta, 2012, 511 p.
  • S. Erdoğan, "Explorative spatial analysis of traffic accident statistics and road mortality among the provinces of Turkey," Journal of Safety Research, vol. 40, pp. 341–351, 2009.
  • A.Ragnoy, “Changes of Speed Limits. Effects on Speed and Accidents,” Institute of Transport Economics (TOI), Oslo, No. TOI-729/2004),2004.
  • D.H.Kassa, “A Road Trafic Speed-Accidents Optimization Model,” International Journal of Emerging Trends in Science and Technology, 3(12), 4919-4922, 2016.
  • L. Carnis & C. Garcia, “Does the 80 km/h speed limit save lives in France?”, Journal of safety research, 88, 326-335, 2024.
  • H. Tuydes-Yaman and E. Kirmizioglu, "Comprehensibility of Traffic Signs Among Urban Drivers in Turkey," Accident Analysis and Prevention, vol. 45, pp. 135-141, 2012.
  • Z. Çakıcı and Y. Ş. Murat, "A research on the awareness of traffic signs: The case of Denizli," Bitlis Eren University Journal of Science, vol. 6, no. 1, pp. 21-30, 2017.
  • S. Shahribanoglu, "A research on the knowledge of traffic signs and their perspectives on traffic rules of the people living in Van," Journal of Traffic and Transportation Research, vol. 2, no. 1, pp. 1-15, 2019.
  • M. A. Mutu and F. Yakar, "The effect of driver characteristics, questionnaire type, and sign design on the level of correct recognition of traffic signs," Journal of Gazi University Faculty of Engineering and Architecture, vol. 37, no. 2, pp. 595-608, 2022.
  • S. Janpla, P. Bumrugrad, and K. Kularbphettong, "Developing A Traffic-Sign Knowledge Application on Android System," Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, vol. 191, pp. 680-685, 2015.
  • Z. Šarić, X. Xu, L. Duan & D. Babić, “Identifying the safety factors over traffic signs in state roads using a panel quantile regression approach,” Traffic Injury Prevention, 19(6), 607–614, 2018.
  • M. Ferko, A.N.A. Stažnik, M. Modrić & H. Dijanić, “The impact of traffic sign quality on the frequency of traffic accidents,” Promet-Traffic & Transportation, 31(5), 549-558, 2019.
  • İ. Öztürk and T. Özkan, "The relationship between driver skills and driver behavior in young drivers," Journal of Traffic and Transportation Research, vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 1-15, 2018.
  • N. Sumer and A. G. Özkan, "The Role of Driver Behavior in Accident Risk: Violations and Errors,” Turkish Journal of Psychology, 17 (50), pp. 1-22, 2002.
  • World Health Organization, Global Status Report on Road Safety, 2015a.
  • World Health Organization, 10 facts on global road safety, 2015b. [
  • T.Lajunen., M.J.M. Sullman, E. Gaygısız,”Self-Assessed Driving Skills and Risky Driver Behaviour Among Young Drivers: A Cross-Sectional Study,” Frontiers in Psychology, 2022.
  • ECMT, Young Drivers: The Road to Safety, OECD Publishing, Paris,2006.
Year 2024, Volume: 12 Issue: 4, 1034 - 1046, 01.12.2024
https://doi.org/10.36306/konjes.1558785

Abstract

References

  • WHO, Global status report on road safety, World Health Organization, 2023, 96p.
  • Turkish Statistical Institute, Road Traffic Accident Statistics Newsletter, TurkStat, 2023.
  • M. Li, H. Xie, and P. Shu, "Study on the impact of traffic accidents in key areas of rural roads," Sustainability, vol. 13, no. 7802, 2021.
  • A. M. Tola, T. A. Demissie, F. Saathoff, and A. Gebissa, "Severity spatial pattern and statistical analysis of road traffic crash hot spots in Ethiopia," Applied Sciences, vol. 11, no. 8828, 2021.
  • Y. Li, M. M. Karim, R. Qin, Z. Sun, Z. Wang, and Z. Yin, "Crash report data analysis for creating scenario-wise spatio-temporal attention guidance to support computer vision-based perception of fatal crash risks," Accident Analysis and Prevention, vol. 151, 105962, 2021.
  • K. Bucsuházy, E. Matuchová, R. Zůvala, P. Moravcová, M. Kostíková & R.Mikulec, “ Human factors contributing to the road traffic accident occurrence,” Transportation research procedia, 45, 555-561,2020.
  • D.McCarty & H.W. Kim, “Risky behaviors and road safety: An exploration of age and gender influences on road accident rates,” PLoS one , 19(1), e0296663, 2024.
  • S.Bando & A.Nozawa, “Detection of driver inattention from fluctuations in vehicle operating data,” Artificial Life and Robotics, 20, 28-33, 2015.
  • S.K.Fondzenyuy, B.M. Turner, A.F.Burlacu & C.Jurewicz, “The contribution of excessive or inappropriate speeds to road traffic crashes and fatalities: A review of literature,” Transportation Engineering, 17, 100259, 2024.
  • L.Kassym, A. Kussainova, Y. Semenova, A. Kussainov, D. Marapov, M. Zhanaspayev, Z. Urazalina, A. Akhmetova, M. Tokanov, Y. Smail & G.Bjørklund, “Worldwide prevalence of alcohol use in non-fatally injured motor vehicle drivers: a systematic review and meta-analysis,” In Healthcare ,Vol. 11, No. 5, p. 758, 2023.
  • K.V. Baklanova, “Influence of traffic flow parameters and road characteristics on road safety,” Intellect. Innovations. Investments, Vol. 2, pp. 99–110, 2023.
  • C. Xu, Z. Zhang, F. Fu, W. Yao, H. Su, Y. Hu, D. Rong & S.Jin, “ Analysis of spatiotemporal factors affecting traffic safety based on multisource data fusion,” Journal of transportation engineering, Part A: Systems, 149(10), 04023098, 2023.
  • X.Zhang, S. Qi, A. Zheng, Y. Luo & S. Hao, “ Data-Driven Analysis of Fatal Urban Traffic Accident Characteristics and Safety Enhancement Research,” Sustainability, 15(4), 3259, 2023.
  • A.Bilim, “Identifying unsafe locations for pedestrians in Konya with spatio-temporal analyses,” Cities, 156, 105523, 2025.
  • Z. Xie and J. Yan, "GIS-based economic cost estimation of traffic accidents in St. Louis, Missouri," Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, vol. 96, pp. 2907–2915, 2013.
  • H. Harirforoush and L. Bellalite, "A new integrated GIS-based analysis to detect hotspots: A case study of the city of Sherbrooke," Accident Analysis & Prevention, vol. 130, pp. 62-74, 2019.
  • M.H. Islam, L.T. Hua, H.Hamid & A. Azarkerdar, “ Relationship of accident rates and road geometric design,” In IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, vol. 357, no. 1, p. 012040, IOP Publishing, 2019.
  • K. G. Le, P. Liu, and L. T. Lin, "Determining the road traffic accident hotspots using GIS-based temporal-spatial statistical analytic techniques in Hanoi, Vietnam," Geo-spatial Information Science, vol. 23, no. 2, pp. 153-164, 2020.
  • M. Wang, J. Yi, X. Chen, W. Zhang, and T. Qiang, "Spatial and temporal distribution analysis of traffic accidents using GIS-based data in Harbin," Journal of Advanced Transportation, vol. 2021, pp. 1-10, 2021.
  • S.Erdoğan, M.A. Dereli & H.İ. Şenol, “A GIS-based assessment of long-term traffic accidents using spatiotemporal and empirical Bayes analysis in Turkey,” Applied Geomatics, 14(2), 147–162, 2022.
  • K. Hazaymeh, A. Almagbile, and A. H. Alomari, "Spatiotemporal analysis of traffic accidents hotspots based on geospatial techniques," ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information, vol. 11, no. 4, 2022.
  • A. Atalay, “Spatial and temporal analysis of traffic accidents in Turkey,” Ph.D. dissertation, Atatürk University, Institute of Natural and Applied Sciences, Erzurum, 2010.
  • A. E. Öncü and M. Önder, "Analysis of Traffic Accidents in the Gendarmerie Area by Data Mining Method," Trafik ve Ulaşım Araştırmaları Dergisi, vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 143–158, 2023.
  • M. Li, H. Xie & P. Shu, “Study on the Impact of Traffic Accidents in Key Areas of Rural Roads,” Sustainability, 13(14), 7802, 2021.
  • C.Leschik, L. Klitzke, R. Lüdtke & K.Gimm, “Investigation on Road Traffic Safety in Rural Areas Using Trajectory Data: Case Studies at Two Measurement Sites,”2024. Available at SSRN 4802927.
  • H.M. Mason, J. Randall, P.A. Leggat, D. Voaklander & R.C. Franklin, “Comparing rural traffic safety in Canada and Australia: a scoping review of the literature,” Rural and remote health, 22(4), 1-12, 2022.
  • A.C. Baviskar & M.P. Kadam, “An Approach of Multi Criteria Decision Making in Analyzing Rural Road Safety in Nashik District,” International Journal for Research in Applied Science & Engineering Technology (IJRASET) ISSN: 2321-9653; Volume 12 Issue I, 2024.
  • S.Tajnik & B.Luin, “Impact of Driver, Vehicle, and Environment on Rural Road Crash Rate,” Sustainability, 14(23), 15744, 2022.
  • C.J. Sun, R.Y. Bai & Y.Y. Yu, “Regression Analysis of Rural Road Traffic Accidents Causes,” Applied Mechanics and Materials, 97, 1042-1045, 2011.
  • S.Hu & Q. Xiang, “Characteristics analysis of traffic accidents on rural roads,” In CICTP 2012: Multimodal Transportation Systems—Convenient, Safe, Cost-Effective, Efficient, pp. 2506-2513,2012.
  • S. Dissanayake & I. Ratnayake, “Identification of factors leading to high severity of crashes in rural areas using ordered probit modeling,” Journal of the Transportation Research Forum, vol. 45, no. 2, pp. 87-101, 2006.
  • L. L. Sun, D. Liu, T. Chen, and M. T. He, "Road traffic safety: An analysis of the cross-effects of economic, road, and population factors," Chinese Journal of Traumatology, vol. 22, no. 5, pp. 290-295, 2019.
  • Turkish National Police Traffic Presidency, Traffic accident data, EGM, 2023.
  • M. L. Iovaldi, "Relative risk and odds ratio: Basic concepts," Revista Argentina de Cirugía, vol. 115, no. 4, pp. 310-315, 2023.
  • N. Kabakuş, “Analysis of traffic accidents with geographic information systems: The case of Erzurum province,” M.Sc. thesis, Atatürk University, Institute of Natural and Applied Sciences, Erzurum, 2011.
  • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Principles of Epidemiology in Public Health Practice, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Atlanta, 2012, 511 p.
  • S. Erdoğan, "Explorative spatial analysis of traffic accident statistics and road mortality among the provinces of Turkey," Journal of Safety Research, vol. 40, pp. 341–351, 2009.
  • A.Ragnoy, “Changes of Speed Limits. Effects on Speed and Accidents,” Institute of Transport Economics (TOI), Oslo, No. TOI-729/2004),2004.
  • D.H.Kassa, “A Road Trafic Speed-Accidents Optimization Model,” International Journal of Emerging Trends in Science and Technology, 3(12), 4919-4922, 2016.
  • L. Carnis & C. Garcia, “Does the 80 km/h speed limit save lives in France?”, Journal of safety research, 88, 326-335, 2024.
  • H. Tuydes-Yaman and E. Kirmizioglu, "Comprehensibility of Traffic Signs Among Urban Drivers in Turkey," Accident Analysis and Prevention, vol. 45, pp. 135-141, 2012.
  • Z. Çakıcı and Y. Ş. Murat, "A research on the awareness of traffic signs: The case of Denizli," Bitlis Eren University Journal of Science, vol. 6, no. 1, pp. 21-30, 2017.
  • S. Shahribanoglu, "A research on the knowledge of traffic signs and their perspectives on traffic rules of the people living in Van," Journal of Traffic and Transportation Research, vol. 2, no. 1, pp. 1-15, 2019.
  • M. A. Mutu and F. Yakar, "The effect of driver characteristics, questionnaire type, and sign design on the level of correct recognition of traffic signs," Journal of Gazi University Faculty of Engineering and Architecture, vol. 37, no. 2, pp. 595-608, 2022.
  • S. Janpla, P. Bumrugrad, and K. Kularbphettong, "Developing A Traffic-Sign Knowledge Application on Android System," Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, vol. 191, pp. 680-685, 2015.
  • Z. Šarić, X. Xu, L. Duan & D. Babić, “Identifying the safety factors over traffic signs in state roads using a panel quantile regression approach,” Traffic Injury Prevention, 19(6), 607–614, 2018.
  • M. Ferko, A.N.A. Stažnik, M. Modrić & H. Dijanić, “The impact of traffic sign quality on the frequency of traffic accidents,” Promet-Traffic & Transportation, 31(5), 549-558, 2019.
  • İ. Öztürk and T. Özkan, "The relationship between driver skills and driver behavior in young drivers," Journal of Traffic and Transportation Research, vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 1-15, 2018.
  • N. Sumer and A. G. Özkan, "The Role of Driver Behavior in Accident Risk: Violations and Errors,” Turkish Journal of Psychology, 17 (50), pp. 1-22, 2002.
  • World Health Organization, Global Status Report on Road Safety, 2015a.
  • World Health Organization, 10 facts on global road safety, 2015b. [
  • T.Lajunen., M.J.M. Sullman, E. Gaygısız,”Self-Assessed Driving Skills and Risky Driver Behaviour Among Young Drivers: A Cross-Sectional Study,” Frontiers in Psychology, 2022.
  • ECMT, Young Drivers: The Road to Safety, OECD Publishing, Paris,2006.
There are 53 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Transportation and Traffic
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Atiye Bilim 0000-0002-8265-6091

Publication Date December 1, 2024
Submission Date September 30, 2024
Acceptance Date November 22, 2024
Published in Issue Year 2024 Volume: 12 Issue: 4

Cite

IEEE A. Bilim, “TRAFFIC SAFETY AND RISK ASSESSMENT OF KONYA DISTRICTS”, KONJES, vol. 12, no. 4, pp. 1034–1046, 2024, doi: 10.36306/konjes.1558785.