Kırgızistan’ın ‘Renkli’ Devrimi: Demokrasiye Geçiş Mi, Küresel Rekabet Mi?

Abstract

Bu çalışma, Mart 2005’te meydana gelen Kırgızistan’ın renkli devrimini analiz etmeyi amaçlar. Kırgızistan, kendi jeo-kültürel çevresiyle karşılaştırıldığında, devrim öncesinde, bölgenin en demokratik ülkesi olmasından dolayı; bu devrimi sadece “özgürlük ve demokrasi” retoriğiyle açıklamak yetersiz olacaktır. Bu yüzden; bu çalışma, Kırgız devrimininin, bu ülkedeki demokrasi eksikliğinden ziyade, ABD ve Çin-Rusya arasındaki bölgesel rekabetle ilişkilendirilerek daha iyi anlaşılabileceğini ileri sürmektedir. Bu bağlamda, çalışma iki ana bölümden oluşmaktadır. Demokrasi kavramı üzerine kısa bir nottan sonra; birinci bölüm, genel olarak Orta Asya’nın anti-demokratik doğasını yansıtacaktır. İkinci bölümde, Avrasya jeopolitiğinde ABD ile Çin ve Rusya arasındaki rekabet ön plana çıkarılarak, ABD’nin Kırgız devriminde oynadığı rol ile ilgili kanıtlar ortaya konulacaktır. Çalışma, Kırgız devriminin bölgede bir domino etkisi doğurma ihtimallerinin değerlendirildiği bölümle sonlanacaktır

Keywords

• Siyaset, demokrasi, geçiş süreci, devrim, Kırgızistan, Orta Asya

The ‘Colorful’ Revolution of Kyrgyzstan: Democratic Transition or Global Competition?

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the reasons behind the recent revolution taken place in Kyrgyzstan. It argues that explaining the revolution through just the rhetoric of “democracy and freedom” needs to be reassessed, as comparing with its geo-cultural environment; Kyrgyzstan had been the most democratic of Central Asian republics. Thus, the paper argues that global competition between US and China-Russia should seriously be taken under consideration as a landmark reason behind the Kyrgyz revolution. In this regard, the paper will consist of two main parts. After an introductory remark, the first part will explore the undemocratic nature of Central Asian Turkic Republics in general. The second part will deal with the confrontational competition between US and China-Russia on the Eurasian geo-politics and provide the evidence showing Washington’s meddling in the Kyrgyz revolution. The paper will end with a concluding remark on the possibilities of domino effect of the Kyrgyz revolution in the region.

Keywords

• Politics, democracy, transition, revolution, Kyrgyzstan, Central Asia

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