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Managerial and Economic Factors Affecting Global Investing Decision: Evaluation Of Central Asia

Year 2007, Issue: 13, 176 - 191, 01.06.2007

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to determine the factors that might be affecting global investment decisions. Central Asia countries are being used as the peer group to analyze the relative attractiveness level of them for the potential investors and Europe and Central Asia countries are being used to determine the factors that might affect the investments into such economies as well as the relative importance of such factors among themselves. Canonical Correlation Analysis and Factor Rating Method are used for this purpose. The results of the study shows that while population, length of railways, oil production, inflation, electric production and exchange rate change are the most important factors affecting investment decisions, Income (GNI), GDP, time to start business, unemployment rate, lending rate, time to enforce contracts, growth in GDP and length of highways do not have high effects on investment decisions. Kazakhstan and then Uzbekistan and Azerbaijan are the most attractive market while Turkmenistan, Georgia, Tajikistan and Kyrgyz Republic being the least attractive markets among the Central Asia countries for investors

References

  • Alfaro L., A. Chanda, S. K. Ozcan, and S. Sayek. (2002). “FDI and Economic Growth: The Role of Local Financial Markets”. Harvard Business School Working Paper No. 01-083. http://www.people.hbs.edu/lalfaro/JIEfinal1.pdf
  • Aliber, R. Z. (1970). “A Theory of Foreign Direct Investment” In the International Corpo- ration: A Symposium, edited by C.P. Kindleberger, 17-34. Cambridge: MIT Press.
  • Bandera V. N., White J. T. (1968). “US Direct Investment and Domestic Market in Europe.” Economica Internazionale 21:117-33.
  • Barcikowski R., Stevens J. P., “A Monte Carlo Study of the Stability of Canonical Correla- tions, Canonical Weights and Canonical Variate-Variable Correlations”, Multivariate Be- haviral Research, 10, 1975, pp. 353-364
  • Brenton, P., F. DiMauro and M. Lucke (1998). Economic Integration and FDI: An Empirical Analysis of Foreign Investment in the EU and in Central and Eastern Europe. Kiel Work- ing Paper 890.
  • Chakrabarti, A. (2001). “The Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment: Sensitivity Analyses of Cross-Country Regressions”, Kyklos, Vol. 54, pp.89-114.
  • Chantasavat B., K.C. Fung, H. Iizaka, A. Siu, (2004). “Foreign direct investment in East Asia and Latin America: is there a People’s Republic of China effect?”, Asian Development Bank Discussion Paper, 17. November.
  • http://www.adbi.org/files/2004.11.dp17.fdi.prc.effect.pdf
  • Culem, C. (1988). “Direct Investment Among Industrialized Countries,” European Economic Review 32, pp. 885-904.
  • Dornier, P., R. Ernst, M. Fender, and P. Kouvelis. (1998). Global Operations and Logistics: Text and Cases. John Wiley, New York.
  • Dunning, J. H. (1980). “Toward an eclectic theory of international production: Some em- pirical tests”. Journal of International Business Studies, 11, Spring/Summer: 9-31.
  • Goldberg L., Kolstad C. D. (1995). “Foreign Direct Investment, Exchange Rate Variability, and Demand Uncertainty”, International Economic Review, vol. 36 no. 4, pp.855-873
  • Hair, Anderson, Tatham, Black: Multivariate Data Analysis, Prentice Hall, 1998
  • Hein, S. (1992). “Trade Strategy and the Dependency Hypothesis: A Comparison of Policy, Foreign Investment, and Economic Growth in Latin America and East Asia.”, Economic Development and Cultural Change 40(3): pp. 495-521.
  • Ito, Takatoshi (2000). “Capital Flows in Asia” in Capital Flows and The Emerging Economies, Ed.by, Sebastian Edward, NBER, Chicago Press, ss.263-276.
  • Johnson, Richard A., Wichern D. W. (2002). “Applied Multivariate Statistical Analysis”, Prentice Hall, pp.543.
  • Karluk, R. (2000). Affect of Foreign Direct Investment to Economic Growth of Turkey. Central Bank of Turkey, Education Department. 11-12
  • Kornecki L. (2006). “Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the Polish Economy: A Comparison with Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) Countries”, Problems and Perspectives in Man- agement, Volume 4, Issue 3, pp.5-14
  • Kotz, D. (2002), “The record of economic transition in Uzbekistan”, in UNDP: Growth and Poverty Reduction in Uzbekistan. Preparation of a National Study, with the Centre for Economic Research <http://www.cer.uz>, Tashkent, on “Macroeconomic Policy and Pov- erty Reduction (2002-2003)”.
  • Levine, Mark S. (1977). “Canonical Analysis and Factor Comparison”, Sage Publications, pp.6.
  • Lunn J. 1980. “Determinant of U.S. Investment in the EEC: Further Evidence,” European Economic Review 13, pp. 93-101.
  • Nigh, D. (1985). “The Effect of Political Events on United States Direct Foreing Invest- ment: A Pooled Time-Series Cross-Sectional Analysis”. Journal of International Busi- ness Studies 16(1):1-17.
  • Papanastassiou, M., R.D. Pearce. (1990). “Host country characteristics and the sourcing be- haviour of UK manufacturing industry”. University of Reading, Department of Econom- ics, Discussion Papers in International Investment and Business Studies, Series B, Vol- ume II, number 140.
  • Richard C. Pugh, Yuehluen Hu, “Use and Interpretation of Canonical Correlation Analyses in Journal of Educational Research Articals:1978-1989”, Journal of Educatinal Research, 84:3, s.147-152
  • Scaperlanda, A. E., Mauer L. J. (1969)." The Determinants of U.S. Direct Investment in the EEC", American Economic Review, Vol. 59: pp. 558-568.
  • Schneider F., Frey, B.S. (1985) "Economic and political determinants of foreign direct in- vestment”, World Development 13(2), pp.161-175
  • Simchi-Levi D., P. Kaminsky; E. Simchi-Levi. (2000). Designing and Managing the Supply Chain. McGraw-Hill.
  • Stevenson W.J. (2004). Operations Management. McGraw-Hill College, pp.356-376.
  • Sung H., H.E. Lapan (2000). “Strategic Foreign Direct Investment and Exchange-Rate Un- certainty”, International Economic Review, (May, Vol. 41), pp.411-422.
  • Swedenborg, B. (1979). The Multinational Operations of Swedish Firms: An Analysis of De- terminants and Effects, Stockholm: IUI. Industrial Institute for Economic and Social Research.
  • Tabachnick, Barbara G., Linda S. Fidel: Using Multivariate Statistics, Allyn and Bacon, Pearson Education, 2001
  • Torrisi, C. R. (1985). The determinants of direct foreign investment in a small LDC. Journal of Economic Development, 10, pp. 29-45
  • UNCTAD (1998). World Investment Report 1998- Trends and Determinants-, New York and Cenova: United Nations. www.abd.org www.cia.gov www.imf.org www.nber.org www.unstats.un.org www.worldbank.org
Year 2007, Issue: 13, 176 - 191, 01.06.2007

Abstract

References

  • Alfaro L., A. Chanda, S. K. Ozcan, and S. Sayek. (2002). “FDI and Economic Growth: The Role of Local Financial Markets”. Harvard Business School Working Paper No. 01-083. http://www.people.hbs.edu/lalfaro/JIEfinal1.pdf
  • Aliber, R. Z. (1970). “A Theory of Foreign Direct Investment” In the International Corpo- ration: A Symposium, edited by C.P. Kindleberger, 17-34. Cambridge: MIT Press.
  • Bandera V. N., White J. T. (1968). “US Direct Investment and Domestic Market in Europe.” Economica Internazionale 21:117-33.
  • Barcikowski R., Stevens J. P., “A Monte Carlo Study of the Stability of Canonical Correla- tions, Canonical Weights and Canonical Variate-Variable Correlations”, Multivariate Be- haviral Research, 10, 1975, pp. 353-364
  • Brenton, P., F. DiMauro and M. Lucke (1998). Economic Integration and FDI: An Empirical Analysis of Foreign Investment in the EU and in Central and Eastern Europe. Kiel Work- ing Paper 890.
  • Chakrabarti, A. (2001). “The Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment: Sensitivity Analyses of Cross-Country Regressions”, Kyklos, Vol. 54, pp.89-114.
  • Chantasavat B., K.C. Fung, H. Iizaka, A. Siu, (2004). “Foreign direct investment in East Asia and Latin America: is there a People’s Republic of China effect?”, Asian Development Bank Discussion Paper, 17. November.
  • http://www.adbi.org/files/2004.11.dp17.fdi.prc.effect.pdf
  • Culem, C. (1988). “Direct Investment Among Industrialized Countries,” European Economic Review 32, pp. 885-904.
  • Dornier, P., R. Ernst, M. Fender, and P. Kouvelis. (1998). Global Operations and Logistics: Text and Cases. John Wiley, New York.
  • Dunning, J. H. (1980). “Toward an eclectic theory of international production: Some em- pirical tests”. Journal of International Business Studies, 11, Spring/Summer: 9-31.
  • Goldberg L., Kolstad C. D. (1995). “Foreign Direct Investment, Exchange Rate Variability, and Demand Uncertainty”, International Economic Review, vol. 36 no. 4, pp.855-873
  • Hair, Anderson, Tatham, Black: Multivariate Data Analysis, Prentice Hall, 1998
  • Hein, S. (1992). “Trade Strategy and the Dependency Hypothesis: A Comparison of Policy, Foreign Investment, and Economic Growth in Latin America and East Asia.”, Economic Development and Cultural Change 40(3): pp. 495-521.
  • Ito, Takatoshi (2000). “Capital Flows in Asia” in Capital Flows and The Emerging Economies, Ed.by, Sebastian Edward, NBER, Chicago Press, ss.263-276.
  • Johnson, Richard A., Wichern D. W. (2002). “Applied Multivariate Statistical Analysis”, Prentice Hall, pp.543.
  • Karluk, R. (2000). Affect of Foreign Direct Investment to Economic Growth of Turkey. Central Bank of Turkey, Education Department. 11-12
  • Kornecki L. (2006). “Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the Polish Economy: A Comparison with Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) Countries”, Problems and Perspectives in Man- agement, Volume 4, Issue 3, pp.5-14
  • Kotz, D. (2002), “The record of economic transition in Uzbekistan”, in UNDP: Growth and Poverty Reduction in Uzbekistan. Preparation of a National Study, with the Centre for Economic Research <http://www.cer.uz>, Tashkent, on “Macroeconomic Policy and Pov- erty Reduction (2002-2003)”.
  • Levine, Mark S. (1977). “Canonical Analysis and Factor Comparison”, Sage Publications, pp.6.
  • Lunn J. 1980. “Determinant of U.S. Investment in the EEC: Further Evidence,” European Economic Review 13, pp. 93-101.
  • Nigh, D. (1985). “The Effect of Political Events on United States Direct Foreing Invest- ment: A Pooled Time-Series Cross-Sectional Analysis”. Journal of International Busi- ness Studies 16(1):1-17.
  • Papanastassiou, M., R.D. Pearce. (1990). “Host country characteristics and the sourcing be- haviour of UK manufacturing industry”. University of Reading, Department of Econom- ics, Discussion Papers in International Investment and Business Studies, Series B, Vol- ume II, number 140.
  • Richard C. Pugh, Yuehluen Hu, “Use and Interpretation of Canonical Correlation Analyses in Journal of Educational Research Articals:1978-1989”, Journal of Educatinal Research, 84:3, s.147-152
  • Scaperlanda, A. E., Mauer L. J. (1969)." The Determinants of U.S. Direct Investment in the EEC", American Economic Review, Vol. 59: pp. 558-568.
  • Schneider F., Frey, B.S. (1985) "Economic and political determinants of foreign direct in- vestment”, World Development 13(2), pp.161-175
  • Simchi-Levi D., P. Kaminsky; E. Simchi-Levi. (2000). Designing and Managing the Supply Chain. McGraw-Hill.
  • Stevenson W.J. (2004). Operations Management. McGraw-Hill College, pp.356-376.
  • Sung H., H.E. Lapan (2000). “Strategic Foreign Direct Investment and Exchange-Rate Un- certainty”, International Economic Review, (May, Vol. 41), pp.411-422.
  • Swedenborg, B. (1979). The Multinational Operations of Swedish Firms: An Analysis of De- terminants and Effects, Stockholm: IUI. Industrial Institute for Economic and Social Research.
  • Tabachnick, Barbara G., Linda S. Fidel: Using Multivariate Statistics, Allyn and Bacon, Pearson Education, 2001
  • Torrisi, C. R. (1985). The determinants of direct foreign investment in a small LDC. Journal of Economic Development, 10, pp. 29-45
  • UNCTAD (1998). World Investment Report 1998- Trends and Determinants-, New York and Cenova: United Nations. www.abd.org www.cia.gov www.imf.org www.nber.org www.unstats.un.org www.worldbank.org
There are 33 citations in total.

Details

Other ID JA87SM89HB
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Lutfu Sagbansua This is me

Nizamettin Bayyurt This is me

Publication Date June 1, 2007
Published in Issue Year 2007 Issue: 13

Cite

APA Sagbansua, L., & Bayyurt, N. (2007). Managerial and Economic Factors Affecting Global Investing Decision: Evaluation Of Central Asia. Kocaeli Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi(13), 176-191.

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