EN
TR
Perform Time-series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-based Models with a Decomposition-based Approach
Abstract
The analysis of a time-series (TS) measured or obtained by observing any area is an important step in characterizing a desired system or a phenomenon and predicting its future behavior. More precisely, predicting the value of an unknown variable is the objective of a predictive model used for TS. While doing this, it analyzes the relationships between past data well and reveals future predictions.
In this study, the prediction method contrasts the decomposition-based approach with non-decomposition-based approaches. In the comparison process, prediction metrics for assessment, such as RMSE, MAE, MPE, and MAPE were used for method achievements and the results obtained were discussed.
The experimental outcomes showed that the proposed decomposition-based approach performs better than non-decomposition-based approach in TS prediction processes.
Keywords
References
- Artasanchez A., Joshi P. Artificial Intelligence with Python, Packt Publishing, Birmingham, UK, 2020.
- Pala Z., Atici R. Forecasting Sunspot Time Series Using Deep Learning Methods, Solar Physics, 294 (50), 1-14, 2019.
- Nielsen A. Practical Time Series Analysis Prediction with Statistics and Machine Learning, O’Reilly Media, Inc., Sebastopol, CA, USA, 2020.
- Pala Z. Using Decomposition-based Approaches to Time Series Forecasting in R Environment, International Conference on Data Science, Machine Learning and Statistics, Van, June 26-29, 2019.
- Pala Z., Ünlük İ.H., Şahin Ç. Forecasting Low Frequency Electromagnetic Fields Values Time Series Using Python, International Conference on Innovative Engineering Applications (CIEA’ 2018), 20-22 Sep, Sivas, Turkey, 2017.
- Mills T.C. Applied Time Series Analysis A Practical Guide to Modeling and Forecasting, Academic Press, London, UK, 2019.
- Hyndman R.J., Athanasopoulos G. Forecasting: Principles and Practice (second ed.), Monash University, Australia, 2018.
- Cleveland, R. B., Cleveland, W. S., McRae, J. E., & Terpenning, I. J. STL: A seasonal-trend decomposition procedure based on loess. Journal of Official Statistics, 6 (1), 3–33, 1990.
Details
Primary Language
English
Subjects
Software Engineering
Journal Section
Research Article
Publication Date
December 27, 2020
Submission Date
December 17, 2020
Acceptance Date
December 21, 2020
Published in Issue
Year 2020 Volume: 1 Number: 1
APA
Pala, Z., & Pala, A. F. (2020). Perform Time-series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-based Models with a Decomposition-based Approach. Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi, 1(1), 55-63. https://izlik.org/JA82BW85GY
AMA
1.Pala Z, Pala AF. Perform Time-series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-based Models with a Decomposition-based Approach. Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi. 2020;1(1):55-63. https://izlik.org/JA82BW85GY
Chicago
Pala, Zeydin, and Ahmet Faruk Pala. 2020. “Perform Time-Series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-Based Models With a Decomposition-Based Approach”. Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi 1 (1): 55-63. https://izlik.org/JA82BW85GY.
EndNote
Pala Z, Pala AF (December 1, 2020) Perform Time-series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-based Models with a Decomposition-based Approach. Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi 1 1 55–63.
IEEE
[1]Z. Pala and A. F. Pala, “Perform Time-series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-based Models with a Decomposition-based Approach”, Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 55–63, Dec. 2020, [Online]. Available: https://izlik.org/JA82BW85GY
ISNAD
Pala, Zeydin - Pala, Ahmet Faruk. “Perform Time-Series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-Based Models With a Decomposition-Based Approach”. Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi 1/1 (December 1, 2020): 55-63. https://izlik.org/JA82BW85GY.
JAMA
1.Pala Z, Pala AF. Perform Time-series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-based Models with a Decomposition-based Approach. Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi. 2020;1:55–63.
MLA
Pala, Zeydin, and Ahmet Faruk Pala. “Perform Time-Series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-Based Models With a Decomposition-Based Approach”. Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi, vol. 1, no. 1, Dec. 2020, pp. 55-63, https://izlik.org/JA82BW85GY.
Vancouver
1.Zeydin Pala, Ahmet Faruk Pala. Perform Time-series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-based Models with a Decomposition-based Approach. Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi [Internet]. 2020 Dec. 1;1(1):55-63. Available from: https://izlik.org/JA82BW85GY