The North Bank Region is an agricultural region of The Gambia grappling with climate change-induced migration. This study examines the impact on the people, vis a vis youth educational attainment and migration. With primary and secondary data, The Mann–Kendall trend test and Sen’s slope estimator were applied to evaluate the trend and magnitude of the climatic variables obtained from the Department of Water Resources. Household data were collected using a structured questionnaire to assess the impact of climate change on the youths, especially their educational attainment. Secondary data on school enrolment and completion rates of the region were collected from the education ministry to ascertain the trend of education from 2011 to 2021. Furthermore, the impact of climate extreme events from the questionnaire was analyzed. Finally, the effect of migration on educational attainment was assessed. The findings demonstrated that climate change has posed a burden on the people, through increased windstorms, increased rainfall, drought, and flood, which has led to crop and property damage, erosion and loss of lives among others. Irrespective of the low level of educational attainment of the area the majority of the inhabitants are conscious of the changing climate. However, only a few understand what climate change is, this is important in helping young people to appreciate and tackle the consequences of global warming. Climate change was found to impact school dropout, interruption in schooling and a reduction in the schooling years for the youths.
Adhikari, R. K., Yilmaz, A. G., Mainali, B., Dyson, P., & Imteaz, M. A. (2022). Methods of Groundwater Recharge Estimation under Climate Change: A Review. Sustainability, 1–19.
Alemayehu, A., |& Bewket, W. (2016). Local climate variability and crop production in the central highlands of Ethiopia. Environmental Development, 19, 36–48. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envdev.2016.06.002
Allgood l, & Kareen E. M. (2017). Climate-induced migration: Exploring local perspectives in Kiribati: Climate-induced migration. Singapore Journal of Tropical Geography, 370.
Armitano, Florence. 2017. “Migration in the Gambia migration a country profile 2017.” International Organization for Migration: 1–124.
Becker, G.S. (1966) Human Capital: A theoretical and empirical analysis, with special reference to education. g. s. Becker the residual factor and economic growth. by; Econometric models of education. Review: Graham Pyatt. The Economic Journal 76, (303). Pp. 635-638. Oxford University Press
Bhatta, G. D., Aggarwal, P. K., Poudel, S., & Belgrave, D. A. (2015). Climate-induced migration in South Asia: Migration decisions and the gender dimensions of adverse climatic events. The Journal of Rural and Community Development, 10(4), 1-23.
Bureau of Statistics, T. G. (2020). Environment Statistics Compendium. Analytical Biochemistry, 11(1), 1–5.http://link.springer.com/10.1007/978-3-319-59379- 1%0Ahttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-420070-8.00002-7%0Ahttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ab.2015.03.024%0Ahttps://doi.org/10.1080/07352689.2018. 1441103%0Ahttp://www.chile.bmw-motorrad.cl/sync/showroom/lam/es/
Bureau of Statistics, T. G. (2021). Gambia Social Registry Listing Survey Data District, 1–23.
Bureau of Statistics, T. G. (2023). The Gambia 2018 Statistical Abstract The Gambia Bureau of Statistics.
Burt, R. S. (1999). The Social Capital of Opinion Leaders. The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 566(1), 37–54. https://doi.org/10.1177/000271629956600104
Castles, S, Miller, J.M., & Giuseppe, A. (2005) The Age of Migration: International Population Movements in the Modern World, American Foreign Policy Interests: The Journal of the National Committee on American Foreign Policy, 27:6, 537-542. https://doi.org/10.1080/10803920500434037
Conrad S, Catherine T. (2019). “Backway or Bust: Causes and Consequences of Gambian Irregular Migration.” Journal of Modern African Studies 57(1): 111–35. doi:10.1017/S0022278X18000666.
Douglas, S. M. et al. (1993). Theories of International Migration: A Review and Appraisal Population and Development Review, Vol. 19, No. 3 pp. 431-466
Dustmann, C., & Glitz, A. (2011). Migration and Education. In Handbook of the Economics of Education (Vol. 4). Elsevier B.V. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-444-53444-6.00004-3
Espindola, A, L., Silveira, J J., & Penna, T.J.P (2006). Agent-based model to rural–urban migration analysis. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications. 364. PP. 445-456.
Gambia Bureau of Statistics (GBoS) National migratio Analysis. (2013). The Gambia Bureau of Statistics (GBOS) 2013. National Migration Analysis. 2013 Population and Housing Census. Banjul, The Gambia. 1–40.
Gambia Bureau of Statistics (GBoS) preliminary report. (2024). Preliminary report. Communications of the ACM, 1, 1–25. https://doi.org/10.1145/377924.594925
Glossary on migration international migration law n° 34 n° 34. (2019). www.iom.int
Grace, K., et al. (2018). “Examining Rural Sahelian Out-Migration in the Context of Climate Change: An Analysis of the Linkages between Rainfall and Out-Migration in Two Malian Villages from 1981 to 2009.” World Development 109: 187–96.
Hossain, M. M. H. C. and M. S. (2022). Education, Language, and Culture (EDULEC). Eureko, Volume.2(3), 219–232. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.56314/edulec.v2i3
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (2023). Weather and Climate Extreme Events in a Changing Climate. In Climate Change 2021 – The Physical Science Basis. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.013
International Organization for Migration (IOM). (2020). Environmental Migration Portal. International Organization for Migration. https://environmentalmigration.iom.int/
IOM outlook on migration, environment and climate change. (2015). In IOM outlook on migration, environment and climate change. https://doi.org/10.18356/9ba951ac-en
IOM. (2022). Missing migrants project west and central Africa overseas route to the Canary Islands. 1–6.
IPCC. (2022). Impacts of 1.5°C Global Warming on Natural and Human Systems. In Global Warming of 1.5°C. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157940.00
IPCC. (2023). Climate Change 2023: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Cambridge University Press.
Langley, Sarah, Michaella Vanore, & Marzia Rango. (2016). European Asylum Support Office. The Push and Pull Factors of Asylum-Related Migration: A Literature Review.
Libasse Sow, B., Bah, A., Sow, P., Yaffa, S., & Wascal -West, 1. (2018). Farmers Awareness and Adaptation to Climate Change in Kaffrine Region of Senegal. 8(4), 51–59. www.iiste.org
Matache, I. C. (2023). Human Capital Theory – One Way of Explaining Higher Education Massification. Journal of Public Administration, Finance and Law, 29(29), 363–371. https://doi.org/10.47743/jopafl-2023-29-30
Ministry of Basic and Secondary Education (2022) Statistical Year book.
Mueller, V., Gray, C., & Hopping, D. (2020). Climate-Induced migration and unemployment in middle-income Africa. Global Environmental Change, 65(August), 102183. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102183
Mueller, V., Gray, C., & Kosec, K. (2014). Heat stress increases long-term human migration in rural Pakistan. Nature Climate Change, 4(3), 182–185. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2103
National Disaster Management Agency (2020). Emergency plan of action. final report Gambia: windstorm surge.
Resosudarmo, B., & Suryadarma, D. (2014). The Impact of Childhood Migration on Educational Attainment: Evidence from Rural-Urban Migrants in Indonesia. Asian Population Studies, 10(3), 319-333. https://doi.org/10.1080/17441730.2014.942954
Rizvi, F., Raghuram, P., Massey, D. S., Arango, J., Hugo, G., Kouaouci, A., Pellegrino, A., Taylor, J. E., King, R., Geddie, K., Solimano, A., Hawthorne, L., Castles, S., Miller, M. J., Massey, D. S., Arango, J., Graeme, H., Kouaouci, A., Pellegrino, A., … Góis, P. (2011). Theories and typologies of migration: An overview and a Primer Willy Brandt Series of Working Papers in International Migration and Ethnic Relations Willy Brandt Series of Working Papers Editor. Higher Education, 8(3), 11–43. http://econpapers.repec.org/article/migjournl/v_3a12_3ay_3a2015_3ai_3a3_3ap_3a279- 299.htm%5Cnhttp://www.tplondon.com/journal/index.php/ml/article/view/568%5Cnhttps:// www.questia.com/library/journal/1P3-3825376971/a-missing-element-in-migration- theories%5C
UNICEF. (2019). The State of the World’s Children 2019: Children, food and nutrition. UNICEF. https://www.unicef.org/reports/state-of-worlds-children-2019
UNICEF. (2019). The State of the World’s Children 2019: Children, food and nutrition. UNICEF. https://www.unicef.org/reports/state-of-worlds-children-2019
United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD). (2014). Desertification and migration. UNCCD. https://www.unccd.int/
United Nations. (2018). Global compact for safe, orderly and regular migration. IOM. https://www.iom.int/global-compact-migration
Vaaramo, M., Huikari, S., Ala-Mursula, L., Miettunen, J., & Korhonen, M. (2024). Temperament traits and economic preferences predict occupational choice beyond human capital variables. Labour Economics, 90(May), 102576. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102576
Weir, D., & Ali, S. (2024). Social network theory. In Business 2024 (pp. 280–286). Edward Elgar Publishing. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781035308767.ch36
Weir, D., & Ali, S. (2024a). Social network theory. A Guide to Key Theories for Human Resource Management Research, 280–286. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781035308767.ch36
The Impact of Climate-Induced Migration on Educational Attainment Among Youths in the North Bank Region (NBR) of The Gambia
Year 2025,
Volume: 3 Issue: 1, 57 - 82, 31.03.2025
The North Bank Region is an agricultural region of The Gambia grappling with climate change-induced migration. This study examines the impact on the people, vis a vis youth educational attainment and migration. With primary and secondary data, The Mann–Kendall trend test and Sen’s slope estimator were applied to evaluate the trend and magnitude of the climatic variables obtained from the Department of Water Resources. Household data were collected using a structured questionnaire to assess the impact of climate change on the youths, especially their educational attainment. Secondary data on school enrolment and completion rates of the region were collected from the education ministry to ascertain the trend of education from 2011 to 2021. Furthermore, the impact of climate extreme events from the questionnaire was analyzed. Finally, the effect of migration on educational attainment was assessed. The findings demonstrated that climate change has posed a burden on the people, through increased windstorms, increased rainfall, drought, and flood, which has led to crop and property damage, erosion and loss of lives among others. Irrespective of the low level of educational attainment of the area the majority of the inhabitants are conscious of the changing climate. However, only a few understand what climate change is, this is important in helping young people to appreciate and tackle the consequences of global warming. Climate change was found to impact school dropout, interruption in schooling and a reduction in the schooling years for the youths.
Adhikari, R. K., Yilmaz, A. G., Mainali, B., Dyson, P., & Imteaz, M. A. (2022). Methods of Groundwater Recharge Estimation under Climate Change: A Review. Sustainability, 1–19.
Alemayehu, A., |& Bewket, W. (2016). Local climate variability and crop production in the central highlands of Ethiopia. Environmental Development, 19, 36–48. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envdev.2016.06.002
Allgood l, & Kareen E. M. (2017). Climate-induced migration: Exploring local perspectives in Kiribati: Climate-induced migration. Singapore Journal of Tropical Geography, 370.
Armitano, Florence. 2017. “Migration in the Gambia migration a country profile 2017.” International Organization for Migration: 1–124.
Becker, G.S. (1966) Human Capital: A theoretical and empirical analysis, with special reference to education. g. s. Becker the residual factor and economic growth. by; Econometric models of education. Review: Graham Pyatt. The Economic Journal 76, (303). Pp. 635-638. Oxford University Press
Bhatta, G. D., Aggarwal, P. K., Poudel, S., & Belgrave, D. A. (2015). Climate-induced migration in South Asia: Migration decisions and the gender dimensions of adverse climatic events. The Journal of Rural and Community Development, 10(4), 1-23.
Bureau of Statistics, T. G. (2020). Environment Statistics Compendium. Analytical Biochemistry, 11(1), 1–5.http://link.springer.com/10.1007/978-3-319-59379- 1%0Ahttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-420070-8.00002-7%0Ahttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ab.2015.03.024%0Ahttps://doi.org/10.1080/07352689.2018. 1441103%0Ahttp://www.chile.bmw-motorrad.cl/sync/showroom/lam/es/
Bureau of Statistics, T. G. (2021). Gambia Social Registry Listing Survey Data District, 1–23.
Bureau of Statistics, T. G. (2023). The Gambia 2018 Statistical Abstract The Gambia Bureau of Statistics.
Burt, R. S. (1999). The Social Capital of Opinion Leaders. The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 566(1), 37–54. https://doi.org/10.1177/000271629956600104
Castles, S, Miller, J.M., & Giuseppe, A. (2005) The Age of Migration: International Population Movements in the Modern World, American Foreign Policy Interests: The Journal of the National Committee on American Foreign Policy, 27:6, 537-542. https://doi.org/10.1080/10803920500434037
Conrad S, Catherine T. (2019). “Backway or Bust: Causes and Consequences of Gambian Irregular Migration.” Journal of Modern African Studies 57(1): 111–35. doi:10.1017/S0022278X18000666.
Douglas, S. M. et al. (1993). Theories of International Migration: A Review and Appraisal Population and Development Review, Vol. 19, No. 3 pp. 431-466
Dustmann, C., & Glitz, A. (2011). Migration and Education. In Handbook of the Economics of Education (Vol. 4). Elsevier B.V. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-444-53444-6.00004-3
Espindola, A, L., Silveira, J J., & Penna, T.J.P (2006). Agent-based model to rural–urban migration analysis. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications. 364. PP. 445-456.
Gambia Bureau of Statistics (GBoS) National migratio Analysis. (2013). The Gambia Bureau of Statistics (GBOS) 2013. National Migration Analysis. 2013 Population and Housing Census. Banjul, The Gambia. 1–40.
Gambia Bureau of Statistics (GBoS) preliminary report. (2024). Preliminary report. Communications of the ACM, 1, 1–25. https://doi.org/10.1145/377924.594925
Glossary on migration international migration law n° 34 n° 34. (2019). www.iom.int
Grace, K., et al. (2018). “Examining Rural Sahelian Out-Migration in the Context of Climate Change: An Analysis of the Linkages between Rainfall and Out-Migration in Two Malian Villages from 1981 to 2009.” World Development 109: 187–96.
Hossain, M. M. H. C. and M. S. (2022). Education, Language, and Culture (EDULEC). Eureko, Volume.2(3), 219–232. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.56314/edulec.v2i3
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (2023). Weather and Climate Extreme Events in a Changing Climate. In Climate Change 2021 – The Physical Science Basis. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.013
International Organization for Migration (IOM). (2020). Environmental Migration Portal. International Organization for Migration. https://environmentalmigration.iom.int/
IOM outlook on migration, environment and climate change. (2015). In IOM outlook on migration, environment and climate change. https://doi.org/10.18356/9ba951ac-en
IOM. (2022). Missing migrants project west and central Africa overseas route to the Canary Islands. 1–6.
IPCC. (2022). Impacts of 1.5°C Global Warming on Natural and Human Systems. In Global Warming of 1.5°C. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157940.00
IPCC. (2023). Climate Change 2023: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Cambridge University Press.
Langley, Sarah, Michaella Vanore, & Marzia Rango. (2016). European Asylum Support Office. The Push and Pull Factors of Asylum-Related Migration: A Literature Review.
Libasse Sow, B., Bah, A., Sow, P., Yaffa, S., & Wascal -West, 1. (2018). Farmers Awareness and Adaptation to Climate Change in Kaffrine Region of Senegal. 8(4), 51–59. www.iiste.org
Matache, I. C. (2023). Human Capital Theory – One Way of Explaining Higher Education Massification. Journal of Public Administration, Finance and Law, 29(29), 363–371. https://doi.org/10.47743/jopafl-2023-29-30
Ministry of Basic and Secondary Education (2022) Statistical Year book.
Mueller, V., Gray, C., & Hopping, D. (2020). Climate-Induced migration and unemployment in middle-income Africa. Global Environmental Change, 65(August), 102183. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102183
Mueller, V., Gray, C., & Kosec, K. (2014). Heat stress increases long-term human migration in rural Pakistan. Nature Climate Change, 4(3), 182–185. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2103
National Disaster Management Agency (2020). Emergency plan of action. final report Gambia: windstorm surge.
Resosudarmo, B., & Suryadarma, D. (2014). The Impact of Childhood Migration on Educational Attainment: Evidence from Rural-Urban Migrants in Indonesia. Asian Population Studies, 10(3), 319-333. https://doi.org/10.1080/17441730.2014.942954
Rizvi, F., Raghuram, P., Massey, D. S., Arango, J., Hugo, G., Kouaouci, A., Pellegrino, A., Taylor, J. E., King, R., Geddie, K., Solimano, A., Hawthorne, L., Castles, S., Miller, M. J., Massey, D. S., Arango, J., Graeme, H., Kouaouci, A., Pellegrino, A., … Góis, P. (2011). Theories and typologies of migration: An overview and a Primer Willy Brandt Series of Working Papers in International Migration and Ethnic Relations Willy Brandt Series of Working Papers Editor. Higher Education, 8(3), 11–43. http://econpapers.repec.org/article/migjournl/v_3a12_3ay_3a2015_3ai_3a3_3ap_3a279- 299.htm%5Cnhttp://www.tplondon.com/journal/index.php/ml/article/view/568%5Cnhttps:// www.questia.com/library/journal/1P3-3825376971/a-missing-element-in-migration- theories%5C
UNICEF. (2019). The State of the World’s Children 2019: Children, food and nutrition. UNICEF. https://www.unicef.org/reports/state-of-worlds-children-2019
UNICEF. (2019). The State of the World’s Children 2019: Children, food and nutrition. UNICEF. https://www.unicef.org/reports/state-of-worlds-children-2019
United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD). (2014). Desertification and migration. UNCCD. https://www.unccd.int/
United Nations. (2018). Global compact for safe, orderly and regular migration. IOM. https://www.iom.int/global-compact-migration
Vaaramo, M., Huikari, S., Ala-Mursula, L., Miettunen, J., & Korhonen, M. (2024). Temperament traits and economic preferences predict occupational choice beyond human capital variables. Labour Economics, 90(May), 102576. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102576
Weir, D., & Ali, S. (2024). Social network theory. In Business 2024 (pp. 280–286). Edward Elgar Publishing. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781035308767.ch36
Weir, D., & Ali, S. (2024a). Social network theory. A Guide to Key Theories for Human Resource Management Research, 280–286. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781035308767.ch36
Mbowe, A. (2025). The Impact of Climate-Induced Migration on Educational Attainment Among Youths in the North Bank Region (NBR) of The Gambia. Journal of Migration and Political Studies, 3(1), 57-82. https://doi.org/10.69510/mipos.1629267
AMA
Mbowe A. The Impact of Climate-Induced Migration on Educational Attainment Among Youths in the North Bank Region (NBR) of The Gambia. MIPOS. March 2025;3(1):57-82. doi:10.69510/mipos.1629267
Chicago
Mbowe, Awa. “The Impact of Climate-Induced Migration on Educational Attainment Among Youths in the North Bank Region (NBR) of The Gambia”. Journal of Migration and Political Studies 3, no. 1 (March 2025): 57-82. https://doi.org/10.69510/mipos.1629267.
EndNote
Mbowe A (March 1, 2025) The Impact of Climate-Induced Migration on Educational Attainment Among Youths in the North Bank Region (NBR) of The Gambia. Journal of Migration and Political Studies 3 1 57–82.
IEEE
A. Mbowe, “The Impact of Climate-Induced Migration on Educational Attainment Among Youths in the North Bank Region (NBR) of The Gambia”, MIPOS, vol. 3, no. 1, pp. 57–82, 2025, doi: 10.69510/mipos.1629267.
ISNAD
Mbowe, Awa. “The Impact of Climate-Induced Migration on Educational Attainment Among Youths in the North Bank Region (NBR) of The Gambia”. Journal of Migration and Political Studies 3/1 (March 2025), 57-82. https://doi.org/10.69510/mipos.1629267.
JAMA
Mbowe A. The Impact of Climate-Induced Migration on Educational Attainment Among Youths in the North Bank Region (NBR) of The Gambia. MIPOS. 2025;3:57–82.
MLA
Mbowe, Awa. “The Impact of Climate-Induced Migration on Educational Attainment Among Youths in the North Bank Region (NBR) of The Gambia”. Journal of Migration and Political Studies, vol. 3, no. 1, 2025, pp. 57-82, doi:10.69510/mipos.1629267.
Vancouver
Mbowe A. The Impact of Climate-Induced Migration on Educational Attainment Among Youths in the North Bank Region (NBR) of The Gambia. MIPOS. 2025;3(1):57-82.