Improvement of Football Match Score Prediction by Selecting Effective Features for Italy Serie A League

Yavuz Selim Taşpınar; İlkay Çınar; Murat Koklu

doi:10.51354/mjen.802818

EN

Improvement of Football Match Score Prediction by Selecting Effective Features for Italy Serie A League

Abstract

Football is one of the most popular sports in terms of number of fans in the world. This situation arises from the unpredictable nature of football. People are becoming more and more connected to this sport as it combines emotions such as excitement and joy that it creates in people. Match result prediction is a very challenging problem, and recently the solution to this problem has become very popular. With the result of this unpredictable game the events that occur during the match that affect this result are tried to be predicted by machine learning methods. This study demonstrates our work on finding the most effective features in match result prediction using match statistics from the Italian Serie A League's 2027 pieces match between the 2014-2015 and 2019-2020 seasons and with 54 features for each match. Feature selection testing was conducted to estimate the results of a football match and determine the most important factors. The selection of features was made using the ANOVA method and it was predicted that 28 of the 54 features would be effective in predicting match results. After this stage, fairly high rates classification success was achieved using the logistic regression method. 88.85% as a result of the prediction made with all features and 89.63% success was achieved as a result of the prediction made with 28 selected features. With these results, it is possible to say that process of feature selection increase success in match result prediction.

Keywords

Soccer, Football, Sport Result Prediction, Feature Selection, Team Sport

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Details

Primary Language

English

Subjects

Engineering

Journal Section

Research Article

Authors

Yavuz Selim Taşpınar ^*
0000-0002-7278-4241
Türkiye

İlkay Çınar
0000-0003-0611-3316
Türkiye

Murat Koklu
0000-0002-2737-2360
Türkiye

Publication Date

June 30, 2021

Submission Date

October 2, 2020

Acceptance Date

April 19, 2021

Published in Issue

Year 2021 Volume: 9 Number: 1

DOI

https://doi.org/10.51354/mjen.802818

IZ

https://izlik.org/JA33PW58LW

APA

Taşpınar, Y. S., Çınar, İ., & Koklu, M. (2021). Improvement of Football Match Score Prediction by Selecting Effective Features for Italy Serie A League. MANAS Journal of Engineering, 9(1), 1-9. https://doi.org/10.51354/mjen.802818

AMA

1.Taşpınar YS, Çınar İ, Koklu M. Improvement of Football Match Score Prediction by Selecting Effective Features for Italy Serie A League. MJEN. 2021;9(1):1-9. doi:10.51354/mjen.802818

Chicago

Taşpınar, Yavuz Selim, İlkay Çınar, and Murat Koklu. 2021. “Improvement of Football Match Score Prediction by Selecting Effective Features for Italy Serie A League”. MANAS Journal of Engineering 9 (1): 1-9. https://doi.org/10.51354/mjen.802818.

EndNote

Taşpınar YS, Çınar İ, Koklu M (June 1, 2021) Improvement of Football Match Score Prediction by Selecting Effective Features for Italy Serie A League. MANAS Journal of Engineering 9 1 1–9.

IEEE

[1]Y. S. Taşpınar, İ. Çınar, and M. Koklu, “Improvement of Football Match Score Prediction by Selecting Effective Features for Italy Serie A League”, MJEN, vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 1–9, June 2021, doi: 10.51354/mjen.802818.

ISNAD

Taşpınar, Yavuz Selim - Çınar, İlkay - Koklu, Murat. “Improvement of Football Match Score Prediction by Selecting Effective Features for Italy Serie A League”. MANAS Journal of Engineering 9/1 (June 1, 2021): 1-9. https://doi.org/10.51354/mjen.802818.

JAMA

1.Taşpınar YS, Çınar İ, Koklu M. Improvement of Football Match Score Prediction by Selecting Effective Features for Italy Serie A League. MJEN. 2021;9:1–9.

MLA

Taşpınar, Yavuz Selim, et al. “Improvement of Football Match Score Prediction by Selecting Effective Features for Italy Serie A League”. MANAS Journal of Engineering, vol. 9, no. 1, June 2021, pp. 1-9, doi:10.51354/mjen.802818.

Vancouver

1.Yavuz Selim Taşpınar, İlkay Çınar, Murat Koklu. Improvement of Football Match Score Prediction by Selecting Effective Features for Italy Serie A League. MJEN. 2021 Jun. 1;9(1):1-9. doi:10.51354/mjen.802818

Cited By

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Improvement of Football Match Score Prediction by Selecting Effective Features for Italy Serie A League

Abstract

Improvement of Football Match Score Prediction by Selecting Effective Features for Italy Serie A League

Abstract

Keywords

References

Details

Primary Language

Subjects

Journal Section

Authors

Publication Date

Submission Date

Acceptance Date

Published in Issue

DOI

IZ

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