TÜRKİYE’DE BÖLGESEL GENÇ İŞSİZLİĞİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİ
Year 2018,
, 297 - 318, 11.01.2019
Fatma Didin Sönmez
,
Yasemin Özerkek
Abstract
Bir ülkenin gelişmesine ve büyümesine katkıda bulunacak en önemli kaynaklardan biri olan genç iş gücünün iş gücü piyasalarına entegrasyonu ülkelerin mühim konularından biridir. Genç işsizliği, izlenecek politikalar ve genel işsizlik içerisindeki payı açısından ayrı bir yere sahiptir. Genç işsizliğinin temel unsurlarını anlamak, genç işsizliğini azaltmaya yönelik uygulanacak politikalar üretmek ve halen uygulanmakta olan politikaların verimliliğini arttırmak açısından büyük önem taşımaktadır. Bu çalışmada, İstatistiki Bölge Birimleri Sınıflandırılması 2 (İBBS-2) düzeyinde Türkiye’de 26 bölgedeki genç işsizliğin nedenleri makroekonomik ve demografik değişkenler kullanılarak Arellano‐Bond dinamik paneli ile tahmin edilmiştir. Enflasyon ve göreli kohort büyüklüğünün Türkiye’de bölgesel genç işsizliğini etkilediği fakat dışa açıklığın ve ekonomik büyümenin anlamlı bir etkiye sahip olmadığı sonucuna varılmıştır. Bölgeler arasında yüksek derecede farklılaşma gösteren genç işsizlik probleminin çözümünde bölgelerin karakteristik özelliklerinin de dikkate alınmasının gerekliliği vurgulanmıştır.
References
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- AKHTAR, S. ve S. Lubna (2006). Understanding the Youth Unemployment Conundrum in Pakistan: Preliminary Empirical Macro-micro Analysis, The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, Vol. 49, No. 2, p.233-248.
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- ASSAD, R. ve Levison, D. (2013). Employment for Youth: A Growing Challenge for the Global Community, Background Research Paper for United Nations High Level Panel on the Post-2015 Development Agenda.
- AUTOR, D. H., Levy, F. and R.J. Murnane (2003). The Skill Content of Recent Technological Change: An Empirical Exploration, Quarterly Journal of Economics, CXVIII, p. 1279 – 1333.
- BACCARO, Lucio and Diego Rei (2005). Institutional Determinants of Unemployment in OECD Countries: A Time Series Cross-section Analysis (1960-98), International Institute for Labor Studies Discussion Paper DP/160/2005, International Institute for Labor Studies, Geneva.
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- CHOUDHRY, M. T., Marelli E., Signorelli M., (2012). Youth Unemployment Rate and Impact of Financial Crises, International Journal of Manpower, Vol. 33 Issue: 1, p. 76-95
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- ÇETİNKAYA, E. (2010). Genç İşsizliğinin Teorik Açıklamaları, Sakarya Üniversitesi İİBF Sosyal Siyaset Konferansları Dergisi (58), 46
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- EGGER, H., and U. Kreickemeier.( 2009). Firm Heterogeneity and the Labor Market Effects of Trade Liberalization.” International Economic Review 50 (1): p. 187–216.
- FELBERMAYR, G., J. Prat, and H. Schmerer. (2011). “Trade and Unemployment:What Do the Data Say?” European Economic Review 55 (6): p. 741–758.
- GOMEZ-SALVADOR, R. ve Leiner-Killinger N. (2008). An Analysis of Youth Unemployment in the Euro- Area, European Central Bank, N° 89, June.
- GOZGOR, G. (2014). The Impact of Trade Openness on the Unemployment rate in G7 Countries, The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 23:7, p. 1018-1037.
- GÜNAYDIN D. ve Çetin M. (2015). Genç İşsizliğin Temel Makroekonomik Belirleyicileri: Ekonometrik Bir Analiz, Pamukkale Üniversitesi SBE Dergisi, 22, s.17-34.
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- MARCUS, R. ve Gavrilovic, M. (2010). The Impacts of the Economic Crisis on Youth: Review of Evidence, Overseas Development Institute: London, UK.
- MOORE, M.P., ve Ranjan, P. (2005). Globalisation vs Skill-Biased Technological Change: Implications for Unemployment and Wage Inequality. Economic Journal 115 (503): p. 391–422.
- MSIGWA, R ve Kipesha, EF (2013). Determinants of Youth Unemployment in Developing countries: Evidences from Tanzania, Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, vol.4, 14, p. 67-77.
- O’HIGGINS, N. (1997). The Challenges of Youth Unemployment, Employment and Training Papers 7. International Labour Office, Geneva
- O’HIGGINS, N. (2001). Youth Unemployment and Employment Policy: A Global Perspective, ILO, Ginevra.
- O’HIGGINS, N. (2010). The Impact of the Economic and Financial Crisis on Youth Employment: Measures for Labour Market Recovery in the European Union, Canada and the United States. Employment Sector WPNo. 70 2010, Geneva, ILO
- OKUN, Arthur. M. 1962, Potential Gnp: Its Measurement and Significance”, Proceedings of the Business and Economic Statistics Section of the American Statistical Association.
- OKUR, A. (2015). Türkiye’de Genç İşsizliği ve Nedenleri, Seçkin Yayıncılık, 1. Baskı, Ocak.
- PHILLIPS, A.W. (1958). The Relation Between Unemployment and the Rate of Change of Money Wage Rates in the United Kingdom, 1861-1957, Economica, Vol. 25, No : 2, November, p. 283-299.
- ROODMAN, D. (2006). How to Do xtabond2: An Introduction to “Difference” and “System” GMM in Stata. Center for Global Development Working Paper No.103.
- QAYYUM, W. (2007). Causes of Youth Unemployment in Pakistan, The Pakistan Development Review, Volume 46, No. 4, p. 611-621.
- ZULFIQAR, K., ve Akhtar, S. (2016). Youth Unemployment and Immigration: A Case Study of Ontario, Canada, Canadian Social Science, 12 (5), 17-27.
Year 2018,
, 297 - 318, 11.01.2019
Fatma Didin Sönmez
,
Yasemin Özerkek
References
- AHMAD, R. ve Azım, P. (2010). Youth Population and The Labour Market of Pakistan: A Micro Level Study, Pakistan Economic and Social Review, 48(2), p. 183-208.
- AKHTAR, S. ve S. Lubna (2006). Understanding the Youth Unemployment Conundrum in Pakistan: Preliminary Empirical Macro-micro Analysis, The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, Vol. 49, No. 2, p.233-248.
- ARELLANO M. ve Bond, S. (1991). Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations, Review of Economic Studies, 58, p. 277-291.
- ARELLANO M. ve Bover, O. (1995). Another Look at the Instrumental Variable Estimation of Error- Components Models, Journal of Econometrics, 68, p. 277-291.
- ASSAD, R. ve Levison, D. (2013). Employment for Youth: A Growing Challenge for the Global Community, Background Research Paper for United Nations High Level Panel on the Post-2015 Development Agenda.
- AUTOR, D. H., Levy, F. and R.J. Murnane (2003). The Skill Content of Recent Technological Change: An Empirical Exploration, Quarterly Journal of Economics, CXVIII, p. 1279 – 1333.
- BACCARO, Lucio and Diego Rei (2005). Institutional Determinants of Unemployment in OECD Countries: A Time Series Cross-section Analysis (1960-98), International Institute for Labor Studies Discussion Paper DP/160/2005, International Institute for Labor Studies, Geneva.
- BAYRAK, R. ve Tatlı, H. (2016). Short and Long Term Analysis of Some Factors Affecting Youth Unemployment in Turkey, Theoretical and Applied Economics, 23 (3/608), p. 229-242.
- BROWN, C., Gilroy, C., Kohen, A. (1983). Time-series Evidence of the Effect of the Minimum Wage on Youth Employment and Unemployment, Journal of Human Resources,, Vol. 18, No. 1, p. 3-46.
- BLUNDELL, R., Bond, S., (1998). Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models. Journal of Econometrics, 87, p. 115-143.
- CHOUDHRY, M. T., Marelli E., Signorelli M., (2012). Youth Unemployment Rate and Impact of Financial Crises, International Journal of Manpower, Vol. 33 Issue: 1, p. 76-95
- CLARK, K.B. ve Summers, L.H. (1982). The Dynamics of Youth Unemployment, in R.B. Freeman and D.A. Wise (eds.): The Youth Labour Market Problem (Chicago, University of Chicago Press), p.199-234
- ÇETİNKAYA, E. (2010). Genç İşsizliğinin Teorik Açıklamaları, Sakarya Üniversitesi İİBF Sosyal Siyaset Konferansları Dergisi (58), 46
- DİDİN SÖNMEZ, F. (2018). Ticaretin Yoksulluk Üzerine Etkisi; Türkiye için Temel Bulgular. Öneri Dergisi, 13 (50), s. 35-51.
- DUTT, P., Mitra, D., Ranjan, P., (2009). International Trade and Unemployment: Theory and Cross-national Evidence, Journal of International Economics, 78, issue 1, p. 32-44
- EGGER, H., and U. Kreickemeier.( 2009). Firm Heterogeneity and the Labor Market Effects of Trade Liberalization.” International Economic Review 50 (1): p. 187–216.
- FELBERMAYR, G., J. Prat, and H. Schmerer. (2011). “Trade and Unemployment:What Do the Data Say?” European Economic Review 55 (6): p. 741–758.
- GOMEZ-SALVADOR, R. ve Leiner-Killinger N. (2008). An Analysis of Youth Unemployment in the Euro- Area, European Central Bank, N° 89, June.
- GOZGOR, G. (2014). The Impact of Trade Openness on the Unemployment rate in G7 Countries, The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 23:7, p. 1018-1037.
- GÜNAYDIN D. ve Çetin M. (2015). Genç İşsizliğin Temel Makroekonomik Belirleyicileri: Ekonometrik Bir Analiz, Pamukkale Üniversitesi SBE Dergisi, 22, s.17-34.
- HELPMAN E, Itskhoki, O., Redding, S. (2010). Inequality and Unemployment in a Global Economy. Econometrica 78(4): 1239–1283.
- ILO (2017). Global Employment Trends for Youth 2017, International Labor Organization.
- JİMENO, J. F. ve Rodríguez-Palenzuela, D. (2003). Youth Unemployment in the OECD: DemographicShifts, Labour Market Institutions and Macroeconomic Shocks, Economics Working Papers 019, European Network of Economic Policy Research Institutes.
- KIM, J. (2011). The Effects of Trade on Unemployment: Evidence from 20 OECD countries, No 2011:19, Research Papers in Economics, Stockholm University, Department of Economics.
- KORENMAN, S. ve Neumark, D. (1997). Cohort Crowding and Youth Labor Markets: A Crossnational Analysis, NBER Working Paper No. 6031, Cambridge, Massachusetts.
- MARCUS, R. ve Gavrilovic, M. (2010). The Impacts of the Economic Crisis on Youth: Review of Evidence, Overseas Development Institute: London, UK.
- MOORE, M.P., ve Ranjan, P. (2005). Globalisation vs Skill-Biased Technological Change: Implications for Unemployment and Wage Inequality. Economic Journal 115 (503): p. 391–422.
- MSIGWA, R ve Kipesha, EF (2013). Determinants of Youth Unemployment in Developing countries: Evidences from Tanzania, Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, vol.4, 14, p. 67-77.
- O’HIGGINS, N. (1997). The Challenges of Youth Unemployment, Employment and Training Papers 7. International Labour Office, Geneva
- O’HIGGINS, N. (2001). Youth Unemployment and Employment Policy: A Global Perspective, ILO, Ginevra.
- O’HIGGINS, N. (2010). The Impact of the Economic and Financial Crisis on Youth Employment: Measures for Labour Market Recovery in the European Union, Canada and the United States. Employment Sector WPNo. 70 2010, Geneva, ILO
- OKUN, Arthur. M. 1962, Potential Gnp: Its Measurement and Significance”, Proceedings of the Business and Economic Statistics Section of the American Statistical Association.
- OKUR, A. (2015). Türkiye’de Genç İşsizliği ve Nedenleri, Seçkin Yayıncılık, 1. Baskı, Ocak.
- PHILLIPS, A.W. (1958). The Relation Between Unemployment and the Rate of Change of Money Wage Rates in the United Kingdom, 1861-1957, Economica, Vol. 25, No : 2, November, p. 283-299.
- ROODMAN, D. (2006). How to Do xtabond2: An Introduction to “Difference” and “System” GMM in Stata. Center for Global Development Working Paper No.103.
- QAYYUM, W. (2007). Causes of Youth Unemployment in Pakistan, The Pakistan Development Review, Volume 46, No. 4, p. 611-621.
- ZULFIQAR, K., ve Akhtar, S. (2016). Youth Unemployment and Immigration: A Case Study of Ontario, Canada, Canadian Social Science, 12 (5), 17-27.