AR-GE HARCAMALARI VE İŞSİZLİK ARASINDAKİ NEDENSELLİĞİN AMPİRİK ANALİZİ: G7 ÜLKELERİ ÖRNEĞİ

Year 2019, Volume: 41 Issue: 2, 413 - 431, 06.01.2020

Mustafa Gerçeker , İbrahim Özmen , Mehmet Mucuk

https://doi.org/10.14780/muiibd.665104

Cited By: 5

Abstract

Ar-Ge faaliyetleri sonucu gerçekleştirilen teknolojik ilerlemeler hem çıktı miktarı hem de işsizlik
oranları üzerinde önemli etkiler meydana getirmektedir. Ancak Ar-Ge alanındaki çalışmaların
işsizlik üzerindeki etkileri konusunda farklı yaklaşımlar bulunmaktadır. Bu yaklaşımlardan ilki;
süreç inovasyonunun teknolojik işsizliği beraberinde getireceğini ileri sürerken; diğer yaklaşım ise
ürün inovasyonu ile birlikte işsizliğin azalacağını kabul etmektedir. Bu çalışmada Ar-Ge harcamaları
ile işsizlik arasındaki nedensel bağıntının G7 ülkeleri için 1990-2016 dönemine ait yıllık verilerden
hareketle Kónya (2006) panel bootstrap Granger nedensellik testi kullanılarak analiz edilmesi
amaçlanmaktadır. Nedensellik testi sonuçları; Almanya, Fransa, İtalya ve Japonya’da Ar-Ge harcamaları
ile işsizlik arasında karşılıklı bir ilişki bulunduğunu göstermiştir. Diğer taraftan Kanada’da ve ABD’de
ise Ar-Ge harcamaları ile işsizlik arasında tek yönlü bir bağıntı bulunmaktadır.

Keywords

İşsizlik, Ar-Ge Harcamaları, G7 Ekonomileri, Panel Nedensellik

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