Araştırma Makalesi
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DO FİNANCİAL STRESS, CLEAN ENERGY AND ENERGY INDİCES POLLUTE THE ENVİRONMENT? A GLOBAL REVİEW WİTH THE QUANTİLE REGRESSİON APPROACH

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 11 Sayı: Özel Sayı, 70 - 86, 20.10.2023
https://doi.org/10.52122/nisantasisbd.1346572

Öz

This study explored the Financial Stress Index, S&P Global Clean Energy Index, and S&P Energy Index's relationships with CO2 emissions. Monthly data between 2009-2023 are used in the empirical section using the quantile regression method. After the methodological study, there was no relationship between the Financial Stress Index and CO2 emissions. There is a significant relationship between the S&P Global Clean Energy Index and the S&P Energy Index. In this research using global data, a one-unit change in the S&P Global Clean Energy Index increases emissions by 0.02%. A one-unit change in the S&P Energy Index reduces emissions by 0.02%. It should be noted that regardless of the regression method, the Financial Stress Index increased significantly during the 2001 crisis, the 2008 global financial crisis and the 2020 Covid-19 pandemic. In these increasing processes, CO2 emissions have decreased significantly during economic crises and pandemic periods. Although many studies have proven the effects of instability as well as financial development on CO2 emissions, in this study it was seen that the Financial Stress Index did not have any effect on emissions.

Kaynakça

  • Aboura, S. ve van Roye, B., (2017). “Financial stress and economic dynamics: The case of France”, International Economics, 149, 57-73.
  • Antonakakis, N., Chatziantoniou, I. ve Filis, G., (2017). ‘’Energy consumption, CO2 emissions, and economic growth: An ethical dilemma’’, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 68, 808-824.
  • Asl, M. G., Canarella, G., ve Miller, S. M., (2021). ‘’Dynamic asymmetric optimal portfolio allocation between energy stocks and energy commodities: Evidence from clean energy and oil and gas companies’’, Resources Policy, 71, 101982.
  • Baloch, M. A., Meng, F., Zhang, J. ve Xu, Z., (2018).‘‘ Financial instability and CO 2 emissions: the case of Saudi Arabia’’. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 25, 26030-26045.
  • Baş, G., (2017). ‘’Türkiye'de Bir Şehrin Büyükşehir Olabilme Kriterlerinin İkili Lojistik Regresyon İle Analizi’’, (Yayınlanmamış) Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Kütahya: Dumlupinar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Yayınlanmış
  • Bengochea-Morancho, A., Higón-Tamarit, F. ve Martínez-Zarzoso, I., (2001). ‘’Economic growth and CO2 emissions in the European Union’’, Environmental and Resource Economics, 19, 165-172.
  • Bui, D. T., (2020). ‘’Transmission channels between financial development and CO2 emissions: a global perspective’’, Heliyon, 6(11), e05509.
  • Cardarelli R, Elekdag S, Lall S., (2011). ‘’Financial stress and economic contractions’’, J Financ Stabil 7:78–97
  • Chatterjee, S., Chiu, C. W. J., Hacioglu Hoke, S. ve Duprey, T., (2017). ‘’A financial stress index for the United Kingdom’’. Social Science Research Network (SSRN)
  • Chen, C., Pinar, M. ve Stengos, T., (2022), ‘’Renewable energy and CO2 emissions: New evidence with the panel threshold model”. Renewable Energy, 194, 117-128.
  • Cevik E.I, Dibooglu S, Kutan A.M., (2013). “Measuring financial stress in transition economies”. J Financ Stabil 9:597–611.
  • Danninger, S., Tytell, I., Balakrishnan, R., ve Elekdag, S. A., (2009). “The transmission of financial stress from advanced to emerging economies”, IMF Working Papers, 2009(133).
  • Dickey, D. A. ve Fuller, W. A., (1979). “Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root”, Journal of the American statistical association, 74(366a), 427-431.
  • Doğan, M., Raikhan, S., Zhanar, N. ve Gulbagda, B., (2023). “Analysis of Dynamic Connectedness Relationships among Clean Energy, Carbon Emission Allowance, and BIST Indexes”, Sustainability, 15(7), 6025.
  • Enders, W. (1995). “Applied Econometric Time Series”, USA, John Wiley & Son, Inc.
  • Erilli, N. ve Çamurlu, S., (2019). ‘’Kantil Regresyon Analizinde Bootstrap Tahmini”, Erciyes Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Fen Bilimleri Dergisi , 35 (2) , 16-25.
  • Fuentes, F. ve Herrera, R., (2020). “Dynamics of connectedness in clean energy stocks”, Energies, 13(14), 3705.
  • Hakkio C. ve Keeton W., (2009). “Financial stress: What is it, how can it be measured, and why does it matter?”, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City - Economic Review, Second Quarter., pp 5–50.
  • Holló D., Kremer M. ve Lo Duca M., (2012). “CISS – A “Composite Indicator of Systemic Stress” in the financial system’’, ECB Working Paper , 1426.
  • Holmfeldt M., Rydén A., Strömberg L., Strömqvist M., (2009). “How has the stress on the financial markets developed? – An index-based discussion”, Riksbank Economic Commentaries, 13.
  • Illing M. ve Liu Y., (2006). “Measuring financial stress in a developed country: An application to Canada”, J Financ Stabil 2:243–265
  • Ionescu, C., (2013). “Financial Instability, Co2 Emissions And Environmental Pollution”, Calitatea, 14, 311-314
  • Ishrakieh, L. M., Dagher, L. ve El Hariri, S., (2020). “A financial stress index for a highly dollarized developing country: The case of Lebanon”, Central Bank Review, 20(2), 43-52.
  • Islami, M. ve Kurz-Kim, J-R., (2013). “A single composite financial stress indicator and its real impact in the euro area”, Bundesbank Discussion Paper, 31/2013.
  • Khezri, M., Karimi, M. S., Khan, Y. A. ve Abbas, S. Z., (2021). “The spillover of financial development on CO2 emission: a spatial econometric analysis of Asia-Pacific countries”, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 145, 111110.
  • Kliesen, K. L. ve Smith, D. C., (2010). “Measuring financial market stress” Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
  • Koenker, R. ve Hallock K. F., (2001). "Quantile Regression." Journal of Economic Perspectives, 15 (4): 143-156.
  • Koenker, R. ve Bassett Jr, G., (1978). “Regression quantiles”, Econometrica: journal of the Econometric Society, 33-50
  • Leping, K. O., (2005). “Public-private sector wage differential in Estonia: evidence from quantile regression”, University of Tartu Faculty of Economics and Business Administration Working Paper, (39).
  • Liu, X. ve Yuan, X., (2022). ”Novel research methods for energy use, carbon emissions, and economic growth: Evidence from the USA”, Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 1-16.
  • Lv, Z. ve Li, S., (2021). “How financial development affects CO2 emissions: a spatial econometric analysis”, Journal of Environmental Management, 277, 111397.
  • Lu, X., Liu, K., Liang, X. S., Lai, K. K. ve Cui, H., (2022). “The dynamic causality in sporadic bursts between CO2 emission allowance prices and clean energy index”, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29(51), 77724-77736.
  • Mardani, A., Streimikiene, D., Cavallaro, F., Loganathan, N. ve Khoshnoudi, M., (2019). “Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and economic growth: A systematic review of two decades of research from 1995 to 2017”, Science of the total environment, 649, 31-49.
  • Minsky, H., (1986). “Stabilizing an Unstable Economy”, New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press
  • Naeem, M. A., Peng, Z., Suleman, M. T., Nepal, R. ve Shahzad, S. J. H., (2020). “Time and frequency connectedness among oil shocks, electricity and clean energy markets”, Energy Economics, 91, 104914.
  • Nasreen, S., Anwar, S. ve Ozturk, I., (2017). “Financial stability, energy consumption and environmental quality: Evidence from South Asian economies”, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 67, 1105-1122
  • Raheem, I. D., Tiwari, A. K. ve Balsalobre-Lorente, D., (2020). “The role of ICT and financial development in CO2 emissions and economic growth, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27(2), 1912-1922.
  • Richard, P., (2010). “Financial market instability and CO2 emissions, Cahier de Recherche/Working Paper, 10, 20.
  • Slingenberg, J.W., De Haan, J., (2011). “Forecasting financial stress”. De Nederlandsche Bank Working Paper, 292.
  • Sirin, S. M. ve Yilmaz, B. N., (2020). “Variable renewable energy technologies in the Turkishelectricity market: Quantile regression analysis of the merit-order effect, Energy Policy, 144, 111660.
  • Tan, X., Geng, Y., Vivian, A. ve Wang, X., (2021). “Measuring risk spillovers between oil and clean energy stocks: Evidence from a systematic framework”, Resources Policy, 74, 102406.
  • Vermeulen, R., Hoeberichts, M., Vašíček, B., Žigraiová, D., Šmídková, K., ve De Haan, J., (2015). “Financial stress indices and financial crises”, Open Economies Review, 26, 383-406.
  • Yavuz, A. A. ve Aşık, E. G., (2017). “Quantile regression’’, International Journal of Engineering Research and Development, 9(2), 137-146.
  • Qayyum, M., Yu, Y., Nizamani, M. M., Raza, S., Ali, M. ve Li, S., (2022). “Financial instability and CO2 emissions in India: evidence from ARDL bound testing approach”, Energy & Environment, 0958305X211065019.
  • Wang, F. Y. ve Dou, J. L., (2013). “Dynamic co-integration analysis of the relationship between energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions”, Advanced Materials Research, 601, 526-531.
  • “Centre for Climate and Energy Solutions”, (2018), https://www.c2es.org/content/international-emissions/., 25.04.2023
  • ‘’IEA, Renewables’’ ( 2019 ), https://www.iea.org/reports/renewables-2019., 25/04/2023 “TCMB”, https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/., 20.04.2023
  • “OFR Financial Stress Index”, (2023), https://www.financialresearch.gov/financial-stress-index/ .,02.02.2023

FİNANSAL STRES, TEMİZ ENERJİ VE ENERJİ ENDEKSLERİ ÇEVREYİ KİRLETİR Mİ? KANTİL REGRESYON YAKLAŞIMI İLE KÜRESEL BİR İNCELEME

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 11 Sayı: Özel Sayı, 70 - 86, 20.10.2023
https://doi.org/10.52122/nisantasisbd.1346572

Öz

Bu çalışmada Finansal Stres Endeksi, S&P500 Küresel Temiz Enerji Endeksi ve S&P500 Enerji Endeksinin CO2 emisyonu ile ilişkileri araştırılmıştır. Kantil regresyon yöntemi kullanılan ampirik bölümde 2009-2023 yılları arasındaki aylık veriler kullanılmıştır. Yapılan metodolojik çalışma sonrasında Finansal Stres Endeksi ile CO2 emisyonu arasında ilişki görülmez iken S&P Küresel Temiz Enerji Endeksi ile S&P500 Enerji Endeksi arasında anlamlı bir ilişki tespit edilmiştir. Küresel verilerin kullanıldığı bu araştırmada S&P500 Küresel Temiz Enerji Endeksi’ndeki bir birim değişim emisyonu %0,02 artırırken S&P500 Enerji Endeksi emisyonu %0,02 azaltmaktadır. Regresyon yönteminden bağımsız olarak belirtmek gerekmektedir ki Finansal Stres Endeksi, 2001 krizi, 2008 küresel finans krizi ve 2020 Covid-19 Pandemi döneminde ciddi bir artış göstermektedir. Bu artış süreçlerinde CO2 emisyonu ekonomik krizlerde ve pandemi döneminde kayda değer bir azalma kaydetmiştir. Birçok çalışmada finansal gelişme kadar istikrarsızlığın da CO2 emisyonu üzerinde etkilerini kanıtlamakla birlikte bu çalışmada Finansal Stres Endeksi’nin karbon salınımı üzerinde herhangi bir etkisi olmadığı görülmüştür.

Kaynakça

  • Aboura, S. ve van Roye, B., (2017). “Financial stress and economic dynamics: The case of France”, International Economics, 149, 57-73.
  • Antonakakis, N., Chatziantoniou, I. ve Filis, G., (2017). ‘’Energy consumption, CO2 emissions, and economic growth: An ethical dilemma’’, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 68, 808-824.
  • Asl, M. G., Canarella, G., ve Miller, S. M., (2021). ‘’Dynamic asymmetric optimal portfolio allocation between energy stocks and energy commodities: Evidence from clean energy and oil and gas companies’’, Resources Policy, 71, 101982.
  • Baloch, M. A., Meng, F., Zhang, J. ve Xu, Z., (2018).‘‘ Financial instability and CO 2 emissions: the case of Saudi Arabia’’. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 25, 26030-26045.
  • Baş, G., (2017). ‘’Türkiye'de Bir Şehrin Büyükşehir Olabilme Kriterlerinin İkili Lojistik Regresyon İle Analizi’’, (Yayınlanmamış) Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Kütahya: Dumlupinar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Yayınlanmış
  • Bengochea-Morancho, A., Higón-Tamarit, F. ve Martínez-Zarzoso, I., (2001). ‘’Economic growth and CO2 emissions in the European Union’’, Environmental and Resource Economics, 19, 165-172.
  • Bui, D. T., (2020). ‘’Transmission channels between financial development and CO2 emissions: a global perspective’’, Heliyon, 6(11), e05509.
  • Cardarelli R, Elekdag S, Lall S., (2011). ‘’Financial stress and economic contractions’’, J Financ Stabil 7:78–97
  • Chatterjee, S., Chiu, C. W. J., Hacioglu Hoke, S. ve Duprey, T., (2017). ‘’A financial stress index for the United Kingdom’’. Social Science Research Network (SSRN)
  • Chen, C., Pinar, M. ve Stengos, T., (2022), ‘’Renewable energy and CO2 emissions: New evidence with the panel threshold model”. Renewable Energy, 194, 117-128.
  • Cevik E.I, Dibooglu S, Kutan A.M., (2013). “Measuring financial stress in transition economies”. J Financ Stabil 9:597–611.
  • Danninger, S., Tytell, I., Balakrishnan, R., ve Elekdag, S. A., (2009). “The transmission of financial stress from advanced to emerging economies”, IMF Working Papers, 2009(133).
  • Dickey, D. A. ve Fuller, W. A., (1979). “Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root”, Journal of the American statistical association, 74(366a), 427-431.
  • Doğan, M., Raikhan, S., Zhanar, N. ve Gulbagda, B., (2023). “Analysis of Dynamic Connectedness Relationships among Clean Energy, Carbon Emission Allowance, and BIST Indexes”, Sustainability, 15(7), 6025.
  • Enders, W. (1995). “Applied Econometric Time Series”, USA, John Wiley & Son, Inc.
  • Erilli, N. ve Çamurlu, S., (2019). ‘’Kantil Regresyon Analizinde Bootstrap Tahmini”, Erciyes Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Fen Bilimleri Dergisi , 35 (2) , 16-25.
  • Fuentes, F. ve Herrera, R., (2020). “Dynamics of connectedness in clean energy stocks”, Energies, 13(14), 3705.
  • Hakkio C. ve Keeton W., (2009). “Financial stress: What is it, how can it be measured, and why does it matter?”, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City - Economic Review, Second Quarter., pp 5–50.
  • Holló D., Kremer M. ve Lo Duca M., (2012). “CISS – A “Composite Indicator of Systemic Stress” in the financial system’’, ECB Working Paper , 1426.
  • Holmfeldt M., Rydén A., Strömberg L., Strömqvist M., (2009). “How has the stress on the financial markets developed? – An index-based discussion”, Riksbank Economic Commentaries, 13.
  • Illing M. ve Liu Y., (2006). “Measuring financial stress in a developed country: An application to Canada”, J Financ Stabil 2:243–265
  • Ionescu, C., (2013). “Financial Instability, Co2 Emissions And Environmental Pollution”, Calitatea, 14, 311-314
  • Ishrakieh, L. M., Dagher, L. ve El Hariri, S., (2020). “A financial stress index for a highly dollarized developing country: The case of Lebanon”, Central Bank Review, 20(2), 43-52.
  • Islami, M. ve Kurz-Kim, J-R., (2013). “A single composite financial stress indicator and its real impact in the euro area”, Bundesbank Discussion Paper, 31/2013.
  • Khezri, M., Karimi, M. S., Khan, Y. A. ve Abbas, S. Z., (2021). “The spillover of financial development on CO2 emission: a spatial econometric analysis of Asia-Pacific countries”, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 145, 111110.
  • Kliesen, K. L. ve Smith, D. C., (2010). “Measuring financial market stress” Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
  • Koenker, R. ve Hallock K. F., (2001). "Quantile Regression." Journal of Economic Perspectives, 15 (4): 143-156.
  • Koenker, R. ve Bassett Jr, G., (1978). “Regression quantiles”, Econometrica: journal of the Econometric Society, 33-50
  • Leping, K. O., (2005). “Public-private sector wage differential in Estonia: evidence from quantile regression”, University of Tartu Faculty of Economics and Business Administration Working Paper, (39).
  • Liu, X. ve Yuan, X., (2022). ”Novel research methods for energy use, carbon emissions, and economic growth: Evidence from the USA”, Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 1-16.
  • Lv, Z. ve Li, S., (2021). “How financial development affects CO2 emissions: a spatial econometric analysis”, Journal of Environmental Management, 277, 111397.
  • Lu, X., Liu, K., Liang, X. S., Lai, K. K. ve Cui, H., (2022). “The dynamic causality in sporadic bursts between CO2 emission allowance prices and clean energy index”, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29(51), 77724-77736.
  • Mardani, A., Streimikiene, D., Cavallaro, F., Loganathan, N. ve Khoshnoudi, M., (2019). “Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and economic growth: A systematic review of two decades of research from 1995 to 2017”, Science of the total environment, 649, 31-49.
  • Minsky, H., (1986). “Stabilizing an Unstable Economy”, New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press
  • Naeem, M. A., Peng, Z., Suleman, M. T., Nepal, R. ve Shahzad, S. J. H., (2020). “Time and frequency connectedness among oil shocks, electricity and clean energy markets”, Energy Economics, 91, 104914.
  • Nasreen, S., Anwar, S. ve Ozturk, I., (2017). “Financial stability, energy consumption and environmental quality: Evidence from South Asian economies”, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 67, 1105-1122
  • Raheem, I. D., Tiwari, A. K. ve Balsalobre-Lorente, D., (2020). “The role of ICT and financial development in CO2 emissions and economic growth, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27(2), 1912-1922.
  • Richard, P., (2010). “Financial market instability and CO2 emissions, Cahier de Recherche/Working Paper, 10, 20.
  • Slingenberg, J.W., De Haan, J., (2011). “Forecasting financial stress”. De Nederlandsche Bank Working Paper, 292.
  • Sirin, S. M. ve Yilmaz, B. N., (2020). “Variable renewable energy technologies in the Turkishelectricity market: Quantile regression analysis of the merit-order effect, Energy Policy, 144, 111660.
  • Tan, X., Geng, Y., Vivian, A. ve Wang, X., (2021). “Measuring risk spillovers between oil and clean energy stocks: Evidence from a systematic framework”, Resources Policy, 74, 102406.
  • Vermeulen, R., Hoeberichts, M., Vašíček, B., Žigraiová, D., Šmídková, K., ve De Haan, J., (2015). “Financial stress indices and financial crises”, Open Economies Review, 26, 383-406.
  • Yavuz, A. A. ve Aşık, E. G., (2017). “Quantile regression’’, International Journal of Engineering Research and Development, 9(2), 137-146.
  • Qayyum, M., Yu, Y., Nizamani, M. M., Raza, S., Ali, M. ve Li, S., (2022). “Financial instability and CO2 emissions in India: evidence from ARDL bound testing approach”, Energy & Environment, 0958305X211065019.
  • Wang, F. Y. ve Dou, J. L., (2013). “Dynamic co-integration analysis of the relationship between energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions”, Advanced Materials Research, 601, 526-531.
  • “Centre for Climate and Energy Solutions”, (2018), https://www.c2es.org/content/international-emissions/., 25.04.2023
  • ‘’IEA, Renewables’’ ( 2019 ), https://www.iea.org/reports/renewables-2019., 25/04/2023 “TCMB”, https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/., 20.04.2023
  • “OFR Financial Stress Index”, (2023), https://www.financialresearch.gov/financial-stress-index/ .,02.02.2023
Toplam 48 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Siyasi Coğrafya
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Bilge Çipe 0000-0001-7598-0291

Yayımlanma Tarihi 20 Ekim 2023
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2023 Cilt: 11 Sayı: Özel Sayı

Kaynak Göster

APA Çipe, B. (2023). FİNANSAL STRES, TEMİZ ENERJİ VE ENERJİ ENDEKSLERİ ÇEVREYİ KİRLETİR Mİ? KANTİL REGRESYON YAKLAŞIMI İLE KÜRESEL BİR İNCELEME. Nişantaşı Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 11(Özel Sayı), 70-86. https://doi.org/10.52122/nisantasisbd.1346572

Nişantaşı Üniversitesi kurumsal yayınıdır.